ZURICH, March 19 (Reuters) – Insured losses from natural catastrophes ‌are likely to ‌climb to about $148 billion this year, ​estimates published by reinsurer Swiss Re showed on Thursday.

In a severe scenario, insured ‌losses could ⁠surge to as much as $320 billion, Swiss Re ⁠said. Last year, the insurance industry faced about $107 ​billion in ​natural ​disaster claims.

“The below-trend ‌natural catastrophe losses seen in 2025 are the result of favourable variability rather than any easing of underlying ‌risk,” said Balz ​Grollimund, Swiss ​Re’s Head ​of Catastrophe Perils.

Swiss ‌Re said its ​2026 projections ​are based on the long-term average for insured ​losses.

(Reporting ‌by Marleen Kaesebier, writing by ​Dave Graham, editing by ​Thomas Seythal)