Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.