Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thun win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Basel had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.