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Chubb (CB) has quietly delivered a 10% total return over the past 3 months and 17% over the past year, with the stock recently closing at US$330.83 and market cap near US$129b.
See our latest analysis for Chubb.
That recent momentum, with a 2.6% 1 month share price return and 10% 3 month share price return, sits alongside a 17.4% 1 year total shareholder return and a 71.5% 3 year total shareholder return. This suggests sentiment has been steadily improving.
If Chubb’s performance has you thinking about what else is working in the market, it could be a good moment to scan 19 top founder-led companies
So with the share price near analyst targets, yet an internal estimate suggesting roughly a 50% discount, should you see Chubb as undervalued today or assume the market is already pricing in much of its future growth potential?
According to iStock, the widely followed narrative pegs Chubb’s fair value at $247.08, well below the last close at $330.83, which creates a clear valuation gap.
Chubb Limited’s future growth prospects are influenced by several strategic initiatives, market trends, and external factors. Here is an analysis of the factors that are likely to drive Chubb’s growth in the coming years:
The fair value hinges on how these growth drivers, profitability assumptions and cash flow projections all fit together. Curious which levers matter most and how they interact.
Result: Fair Value of $247.08 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, keep in mind the 5.1% revenue contraction and the 12% discount rate assumption; shifts in either could quickly challenge this 33.9% overvaluation call.
Find out about the key risks to this Chubb narrative.
The 33.9% overvaluation call from the user narrative contrasts with our SWS DCF model, which points to a fair value of $655.92 per share, suggesting that Chubb may be trading at a sizeable discount to its estimated future cash flows. Which story do you think is closer to reality?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
CB Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Chubb for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 60 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.
With such different signals on value and sentiment in play, it makes sense to move quickly and stress test the data yourself, starting with 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.
If Chubb has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Use the screener to spot fresh ideas that fit your goals before the next move passes you by.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include CB.
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