Get insights on thousands of stocks from the global community of over 7 million individual investors at Simply Wall St.
UBS Group (SWX:UBSG) is back in focus after reporting first quarter 2026 results that showed net income of US$3,040 million and basic earnings per share from continuing operations of US$0.98, compared with US$0.53 a year earlier.
See our latest analysis for UBS Group.
UBS Group’s CHF34.22 share price reflects mixed momentum, with a 1-month share price return of 8.88% and a year to date share price decline of 10.35%, while the 1-year total shareholder return of 37.92% points to stronger longer term gains.
After a busy period of earnings, buybacks and balance sheet debate, it can be useful to scan the wider market for fresh ideas, including 97 top founder-led companies
With earnings per share almost double last year and the stock trading at a discount to analyst price targets and some intrinsic value estimates, you have to ask: Is UBS Group undervalued, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 10.8% Undervalued
With UBS Group shares at CHF34.22 versus a narrative fair value of CHF38.38, the current setup revolves around whether earnings momentum and margins can justify that gap.
The ongoing integration of Credit Suisse is progressing ahead of schedule, driving meaningful cost savings, increased scale, and improved operating efficiency. As these synergies are realized through further platform migration and operational streamlining, UBS’s net margins and return on equity are likely to change, influencing earnings performance.
Want to see what sits underneath that view? The narrative focuses on margin uplift, steadier fee income and a tighter share count as key factors behind that higher fair value.
Result: Fair Value of CHF38.38 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, you still need to weigh risks such as tighter Swiss capital rules and ongoing Credit Suisse integration challenges, which could pressure returns and disrupt this valuation story.
Find out about the key risks to this UBS Group narrative.
Another View: What P/E Says About UBS Group
While the narrative fair value points to UBS Group trading at a discount, the current P/E of 14.9x sits slightly above the European Capital Markets industry at 14.7x, yet below the peer average of 19x and a fair ratio of 22.6x. This raises the question of whether the market is being cautious or conservative on the stock.
To see how those P/E gaps could close or widen over time, and what that might mean for upside or downside risk, it is worth looking more closely at the valuation breakdown, including the fair ratio signals, in See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
SWX:UBSG P/E Ratio as at May 2026 Next Steps
With mixed signals on value, risk and reward, it makes sense to move quickly, stress test the numbers yourself, and then weigh up the 3 key rewards and 4 important warning signs
Looking for more investment ideas?
If you stop at just one stock, you might miss opportunities that fit your goals even better, so widen the lens with a few focused screeners.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include UBSG.SW.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com