Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.51%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.