Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-0 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.