Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-0 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.