Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Basel has a probability of 33.96% and a draw has a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Basel win is 1-2 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.59%).