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What ABB’s recent performance signals for investors
ABB (SWX:ABBN) has caught investor attention after a strong year of share price gains, with the stock up 37% year to date and 80% over the past year. This has prompted fresh interest in its valuation.
See our latest analysis for ABB.
The recent 1-day share price return of 1.92% to CHF83.8 continues a strong run, with a 30-day share price return of 7.57% and a 1-year total shareholder return of 79.71% suggesting momentum has been building rather than fading.
If ABB’s recent run has you reassessing the sector, this is a good moment to widen your search using our screener for 35 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks
With ABB’s strong share price run, rising revenue and net income, and a market value of about CHF152b, the key question now is whether the stock still offers a buying opportunity or if markets are already pricing in future growth.
Most Popular Narrative: 34.3% Overvalued
ABB’s last close at CHF83.8 sits well above the most followed fair value estimate of CHF62.40, so the current share price already reflects a lot of optimism.
Record-high order backlog ($25 billion), broad-based order growth across regions, and multi-year service contracts in process automation provide strong forward earnings visibility and support for sustained revenue and margin expansion over the medium to long term.
Curious what kind of revenue profile, margin path and future P/E this narrative is banking on to justify that fair value gap? The underlying assumptions combine steadier earnings, a premium earnings multiple and a defined discount rate into one tight valuation story.
Result: Fair Value of CHF62.40 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, this story can quickly look different if data center demand softens, or if competition in China and robotics bites harder into margins than analysts expect.
Find out about the key risks to this ABB narrative.
Next Steps
The story so far points to a lot of optimism, so it makes sense to check the numbers yourself and move quickly if you feel strongly. To see what the market is excited about, take a closer look at the 3 key rewards
Looking for more investment ideas?
If you stop with just one stock, you might miss other opportunities that suit your goals better. Consider broadening your watchlist with a few focused themes.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include ABBN.SW.
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