{"id":38120,"date":"2026-03-24T22:29:56","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T22:29:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/38120\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T22:29:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T22:29:56","slug":"xcel-energy-could-hit-89-by-year-end-as-ubs-argues-wildfire-risks-are-already-priced-into-76-75-stock-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/38120\/","title":{"rendered":"Xcel Energy Could Hit $89 by Year-End as UBS Argues Wildfire Risks Are Already Priced Into $76.75 Stock"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Xcel Energy (XEL) trades at $76.75, down 5.73% over the past week but guided to 2026 EPS of $4.04 to $4.16 supported by a $60 billion capital plan for transmission and renewables, a doubled 6 GW data center pipeline by end-2027 (including Google partnerships), and 23 consecutive years of dividend increases targeting 4% to 6% annual growth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">UBS cut its price target to $89 while maintaining its Buy rating, arguing the recent selloff has pushed Xcel below fair value despite top-quartile 9%+ EPS growth and upcoming catalysts, though wildfire liability from the Smokehouse Creek Fire and Texas litigation remain key execution risks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Have You read <a href=\"https:\/\/247wallst.com\/lp\/the-new-report-thats-changing-retirement-income-2\/?i=a6dbb235-30c3-41ea-b0af-e05a3ef946d3&amp;p=c1d27ffe-b689-434e-933b-2f682850f0c8&amp;pos=keypoints&amp;tpid=1575076&amp;l=a5c26dce-da07-4303-a158-921be0f3c60c&amp;c=9fe8d7e0-66b2-4547-81f4-61fba833ce76&amp;utm_source=yahoo&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=feed&amp;utm_content=feed||1575076\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:The New Report Shaking Up Retirement Plans;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;The New Report Shaking Up Retirement Plans&quot;}\" class=\"link \">The New Report Shaking Up Retirement Plans<\/a>? Americans are answering three questions and many are realizing they can retire earlier than expected.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Xcel Energy (<a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/XEL\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:NASDAQ:XEL;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;NASDAQ&quot;}\" class=\"link \" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NASDAQ:XEL<\/a>) has delivered a 14% gain over the past year,\u00a0 and analysts cluster around a consensus target of $88.44. UBS cut its price target to $89 from $93 while keeping its Buy rating, arguing the recent selloff has pushed the stock below UBS&#8217;s assessed fair value. That target implies meaningful upside from current levels. But can XEL realistically reach $89 by end of 2026?<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">UBS remains a buyer of shares based on top-quartile EPS growth of 9%+ and upcoming catalysts that could improve valuation, with the stock now implying sub-7% growth after recent underperformance. The firm argues that wildfire and regulatory concerns appear overly discounted at current levels. With Xcel guiding to 2026 ongoing EPS of $4.04 to $4.16 and a long-term EPS growth target of 6% to 8%+, UBS sees the market mispricing a utility with one of the strongest earnings track records in the sector.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">$60 billion capital plan: Xcel&#8217;s five-year base capital expenditure plan covering 2026 through 2030 totals $60 billion, targeting transmission, renewables, and grid infrastructure, supporting the rate base growth that drives regulated utility earnings.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Data center demand surge: Xcel&#8217;s contracted data center pipeline has doubled to 6 GW by end-2027, with strategic partnerships including Google. The Colorado utility commission approved a load forecast reflecting 3% compound annual sales growth through 2031 with approximately 5,400 MW of generation capacity needed, a durable demand tailwind.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Dividend growth consistency: Xcel has raised its dividend for 23 consecutive years, with the current quarterly payout at $0.5925 per share and an annualized yield near 3.1%. The company targets annual dividend increases of 4% to 6%.<\/p>\n<p>    Story Continues  <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">With 623.9 million shares outstanding, an $89 target implies a substantially higher market capitalization. Reaching that level likely requires three things: favorable resolution of pending wildfire liabilities, including the Smokehouse Creek Fire with estimated losses of $430 million before insurance; constructive rate case outcomes across multiple jurisdictions; and continued execution on the data center pipeline. CEO Bob Frenzel noted that Xcel delivered on its earnings guidance for &#8220;the 21st year in a row&#8221;, underpinning confidence in the 2026 guidance range.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Have You read <a href=\"https:\/\/247wallst.com\/lp\/the-new-report-thats-changing-retirement-income-2\/?i=a6dbb235-30c3-41ea-b0af-e05a3ef946d3&amp;p=7d51379e-f07d-4bb3-8e5a-81e78e7297ee&amp;pos=mid_content&amp;tpid=1575076&amp;l=a5c26dce-da07-4303-a158-921be0f3c60c&amp;c=9fe8d7e0-66b2-4547-81f4-61fba833ce76\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:The New Report Shaking Up Retirement Plans;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;The New Report Shaking Up Retirement Plans&quot;}\" class=\"link \">The New Report Shaking Up Retirement Plans<\/a>? Americans are answering three questions and many are realizing they can retire\u00a0earlier than expected.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The primary risk remains wildfire liability, where potential losses could exceed $500 million in insurance coverage and a Texas Attorney General lawsuit against SPS remains active. Still, with insider activity trending toward net buying and UBS seeing the risk-reward skewed to the upside, the $89 target reflects a view that the market is punishing Xcel for risks already largely priced in.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">You may think retirement is about picking the best stocks or ETFs and saving as much as possible, but you&#8217;d be wrong. After the release of <a href=\"https:\/\/247wallst.com\/lp\/the-new-report-thats-changing-retirement-income-2\/?i=a6dbb235-30c3-41ea-b0af-e05a3ef946d3&amp;p=cac97b63-c459-44ee-a9f4-d5fe4b3f252c&amp;pos=end_of_article&amp;tpid=1575076&amp;c=9fe8d7e0-66b2-4547-81f4-61fba833ce76&amp;l=a5c26dce-da07-4303-a158-921be0f3c60c&amp;utm_source=yahoo&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=feed&amp;utm_content=feed||1575076\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:a new retirement income report;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;a new retirement income report&quot;}\" class=\"link \">a new retirement income report<\/a>, wealthy Americans are rethinking their plans and realizing that even modest portfolios can be serious cash machines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Many are even learning they can retire earlier than expected.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">If you&#8217;re thinking about retiring or know someone who is, take 5 minutes to <a href=\"https:\/\/247wallst.com\/lp\/the-new-report-thats-changing-retirement-income-2\/?i=a6dbb235-30c3-41ea-b0af-e05a3ef946d3&amp;p=cac97b63-c459-44ee-a9f4-d5fe4b3f252c&amp;pos=end_of_article&amp;tpid=1575076&amp;c=9fe8d7e0-66b2-4547-81f4-61fba833ce76&amp;l=a5c26dce-da07-4303-a158-921be0f3c60c&amp;utm_source=yahoo&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=feed&amp;utm_content=feed||1575076\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:learn more here;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;learn more here&quot;}\" class=\"link \">learn more here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Xcel Energy (XEL) trades at $76.75, down 5.73% over the past week but guided to 2026 EPS of&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":37959,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[22231,22228,4182,22229,22230,22227,5255,223,22226],"class_list":{"0":"post-38120","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ubs","8":"tag-annual-growth","9":"tag-capital-plan","10":"tag-data-center","11":"tag-dividend-increases","12":"tag-eps-growth","13":"tag-retirement-plans","14":"tag-target","15":"tag-ubs","16":"tag-xcel-energy"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ch\/116286522822568567","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38120","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38120"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38120\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37959"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38120"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38120"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38120"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}