{"id":49043,"date":"2026-04-15T06:36:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T06:36:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/49043\/"},"modified":"2026-04-15T06:36:05","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T06:36:05","slug":"ubs-group-swxubsg-valuation-check-after-recent-share-price-rebound","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/49043\/","title":{"rendered":"UBS Group (SWX:UBSG) Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Rebound"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Make better investment decisions<\/a> with Simply Wall St’s easy, visual tools that give you a competitive edge.<\/p>\n

UBS Group (SWX:UBSG) has drawn fresh attention after a recent 7 day return of about 7.4%, adding to a roughly 14.3% gain over the past month, while the past 3 months show an 11.3% decline.<\/p>\n

See our latest analysis for UBS Group.<\/a><\/p>\n

That recent upswing comes after a softer year to date share price return of a 12.3% decline, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 44.3% points to stronger longer term gains for investors who stayed invested.<\/p>\n

If UBS Group\u2019s moves have you thinking about where else capital might work hard, use this moment to broaden your search with 96 top founder-led companies<\/a><\/p>\n

With UBS Group trading at CHF33.48 and sitting at a roughly 9% intrinsic discount and around 12% below the average analyst price target, the key question is whether this signals a buying opportunity or whether markets are already pricing in future growth.<\/p>\n

The most followed narrative currently places UBS Group\u2019s fair value at about CHF38.38, above the CHF33.48 last close, which sets up a valuation gap for investors to assess.<\/p>\n

Analysts expect earnings to reach $12.8 billion (and earnings per share of $4.25) by about September 2028, up from $6.3 billion today. However, there is some disagreement amongst the analysts with the more bearish ones expecting earnings as low as $10.3 billion.<\/p>\n

Read the complete narrative.<\/a><\/p>\n

Curious what has to happen for that higher fair value to make sense? The narrative leans on sturdier margins, steady revenue progress and a lower future earnings multiple. Want to see how those pieces fit together into that CHF38.38 figure?<\/p>\n

Result: Fair Value of CHF38.38 (UNDERVALUED)<\/p>\n

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.<\/a><\/p>\n

However, that higher fair value depends on UBS managing tighter capital rules and the ongoing Credit Suisse integration, where extra costs or delays could quickly challenge the current narrative.<\/p>\n

Find out about the key risks to this UBS Group narrative.<\/a><\/p>\n

The earlier fair value work leans on earnings forecasts and a target P\/E, but the current P\/E of 17.1x adds a different shade. It sits above the European Capital Markets average of 14.7x, yet below a fair ratio of 23.1x. This leaves you balancing valuation risk against potential upside if the market moves closer to that fair ratio.<\/p>\n

To see what the numbers say about this price, check the valuation breakdown in See what the numbers say about this price \u2014 find out in our valuation breakdown.<\/a><\/p>\n

\"SWX:UBSG<\/a> SWX:UBSG P\/E Ratio as at Apr 2026 <\/p>\n

Seeing mixed signals in the story so far? Take a moment to review the data for yourself and weigh both sides with 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs<\/p>\n

If UBS Group has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Use this momentum to size up other opportunities that might suit your goals and risk comfort.<\/p>\n

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.<\/p>\n

Companies discussed in this article include UBSG.SW<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch<\/a> with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Make better investment decisions with Simply Wall St’s easy, visual tools that give you a competitive edge. UBS…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":37981,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[2359,1104,2361,1080,1271,223,1551],"class_list":{"0":"post-49043","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ubs","8":"tag-competitive-edge","9":"tag-fair-value","10":"tag-investment-decisions","11":"tag-price-target","12":"tag-total-shareholder-return","13":"tag-ubs","14":"tag-ubs-group"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ch\/116407342596030149","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49043","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49043"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49043\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37981"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49043"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49043"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49043"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}