{"id":66777,"date":"2026-05-17T09:30:34","date_gmt":"2026-05-17T09:30:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/66777\/"},"modified":"2026-05-17T09:30:34","modified_gmt":"2026-05-17T09:30:34","slug":"how-serious-is-the-uns-warning-of-imminent-bankruptcy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/66777\/","title":{"rendered":"How serious is the UN\u2019s warning of imminent bankruptcy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Amid warnings that UN funding may run out by mid-summer, a member state finance committee has the option to change an outdated rule that has made the organisation\u2019s budget crisis a lot worse.<\/p>\n<p>As alarmist as it was, a press release from the United Nations General Assembly finance committee \u2013 saying the UN would face imminent financial collapse by August if membership dues are not paid \u2014 barely triggered a perceptible global reaction. It was as if the world had gotten used to the UN\u2019s existential crisis. <\/p>\n<p>Earlier this month, Catherine Pollard, under secretary general for management strategy, policy and compliance, pressed the Fifth Committee, as it\u2019s called, to urge member states to pay on time and in full, or change rules that have allowed the crisis to snowball out of control.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe current cash balance (at the UN) is only sufficient to meet legal obligations through mid-August,\u201d she said, explaining that \u201ccash conservation measures will remain in effect\u201d until there is certainty that contributions may meet financial needs until the end of the year.<\/p>\n<p>It was not the first time the committee had been given such a warning, but with little time to spare, the announcement should raise deafening alarms. \u201cThe situation is as dire as the UN secretary general already announced at the start of this year,\u201d says Ronny Patz, a UN finance analyst and researcher with the German Institute of Development and Sustainability. \u201cEvery month that the United States doesn\u2019t pay, it\u2019s only getting worse, and every month that the new financial rules are not in place, the risk of bankruptcy gets higher.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>On top of a massive drop in UN funding due to the Trump administration\u2019s withholding of mandatory fees, a rule requiring cash paybacks to members when budgeted funds are not spent due to late payments has had catastrophic effects, contracting funding to the UN every year quite a bit more.<\/p>\n<p>Crisis math<\/p>\n<p>Pollard detailed how the UN\u2019s secretariat had started the year with no cash reserves, after being hit with a $400 million liquidity deficit due to unpaid contributions and having to dip into its Working Capital Fund and Special Account to cover bills. Fifty-five of the UN\u2019s 194 member states paid in full within the required 30-day period after the organisation\u2019s $3.45bn budget was announced, allowing its numbers to return to the black and to reimburse the funds.<\/p>\n<p>But by the end of April, despite the number of countries that paid their dues in full rising to 106, outstanding payments stood at $2.8bn due to arrears, sharply up from last year. At the top of the <a href=\"https:\/\/estatements.un.org\/estatements\/11.0050\/20260507150000000\/PotCzfgHGKo\/xIxxBF_Kt_nyc_en.pdf?_gl=1*yrm0br*_ga*NzM1Nzk2MzkzLjE3NzQ2NDY3MDg.*_ga_TK9BQL5X7Z*czE3NzgxODc2MzEkbzIxNyRnMSR0MTc3ODE4NzY3MCRqMjEkbDAkaDA.\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">list<\/a> of late and non-payers this year are the US, with roughly $2bn due, including $827m in arrears for 2025, followed by China, which owes $429m to the organisation.<\/p>\n<p>But many other states have failed to pay as well. By the end of December, only 151 member states paid their contributions in full, with a few making token payments to maintain voting rights.<\/p>\n<p>Read more: <a href=\"https:\/\/genevasolutions.news\/global-news\/behind-the-un-liquidity-crunch-a-multilateral-system-in-crisis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Behind the UN liquidity crunch, a multilateral system in crisis?<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Peacekeeping operations, conducted through a separate budget, also face mounting budget shortfalls, as fewer and fewer states pay their dues on time or at all, forcing deep cuts in troops deployed globally, including in <a href=\"https:\/\/unu.edu\/cpr\/blog-post\/defaulting-transition-how-financial-cuts-are-affecting-peacekeeping-realities\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">South Sudan<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.africanews.com\/2025\/09\/03\/us-budget-cuts-threaten-un-peacekeeping-in-south-sudan-and-drc\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Democratic Republic of Congo<\/a>. The Trump administration, which says it opposes endless peacekeeping missions in favour of finding political solutions to conflicts, has sharply cut back on its contributions, adding to Washington\u2019s mounting arrears to the operations, estimated at over $2.2bn.<\/p>\n<p>Recent US diplomatic notes seen by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.devex.com\/news\/devex-newswire-us-demands-un-adopt-quick-win-conditions-to-get-paid-112399\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Devex<\/a> indicate that Washington is calling for specific \u201cquick win\u201d reforms at the global body in exchange for a resumption of payments to the UN. These include reforming the pension fund system, cutting more senior-level posts and ending business-class travel for some professionals. It also demanded a 10 per cent reduction in peacekeeping missions.<\/p>\n<p>Rule at fault<\/p>\n<p>Very much at fault for the current state of UN finances, at least for its regular budget, according to Patz, is the so-called payback rule.\u00a0 Formulated in 1945, it effectively reduces the UN\u2019s funding every time member states fail to pay on time. \u201cThe rule is the first line of drop, and then whatever the US doesn\u2019t pay comes on top of that every year\u201d, he said.<\/p>\n<p>The rule requires the UN to reimburse member states within two years for unspent funds from the regular budget due to non- or late payment of dues by certain members. With 2025 recording the lowest level of assessed contributions in seven years as a proportion of the annual budget, the 2027 budget is expected to be particularly low due to a hefty $400m refund.<\/p>\n<p>The provision, part of the organisation\u2019s financial Rules and Regulations, was initially agreed to ensure that funds are reimbursed if the organisation has spent less than expected.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But calls to reform the outdated rule have been growing. Instead, unspent funds could be put towards staving off the UN\u2019s budget crisis \u2013 with spending already cut by 15 per cent in 2026 and staff slashed by 19 per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>An earlier proposal, <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.un.org\/en\/a\/res\/3049(XXVII)\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">adopted by consensus <\/a>by the General Assembly in 1972, would allow voluntary contributions from member states to cover funding shortfalls.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Last October, secretary general Ant\u00f3nio Guterres told member states they had the choice to \u201coverhaul our financial rules, or accept the very real prospect of financial collapse\u201d.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At the Fifth Committee meeting earlier this month, Norway\u2019s delegate said the credit returns cannot be maintained, as they \u201cforce the organisation into a financial death spiral.\u201d Mexico\u2019s representative, also favourable to suspending the rule, said that returning unspent funds may create a \u201cperverse incentive, which can foster arrears and even non-payment.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Uruguay, which spoke on behalf of the G77 developing countries and China, stressed that countries needed to pay in full, on time, and without conditions, noting that the current crisis was due to \u201cthe significant arrears of the single largest contributor,\u201d i.e., the US.<\/p>\n<p>Ongoing talks<\/p>\n<p>Questions about reforming the rule will continue to be discussed over the coming weeks, as the finance committee meets to discuss the peacekeeping budget, which has a bit more flexibility than the UN Secretariat, allowing them to offset refunds against unpaid contributions.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe question is whether they will change the rules before the summer break \u2026, or if they drag this into the fall regular budget discussions,\u201d around the time of the UN General Assembly session, Patz explains, noting that under the current discussions, the committee may also choose to align the peacekeeping budget with the same rules as that for funding to the UN secretariat.<\/p>\n<p>China and the US did not respond to Geneva Solutions\u2019 request for comment regarding their contributions.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis is really about the future,\u201d Patz adds. \u201cIt\u2019s about deciding that the situation shouldn\u2019t get worse. Member states are just playing games at the moment, because, obviously, with every day, it\u2019s harder for the UN to plan this year and next year.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Amid warnings that UN funding may run out by mid-summer, a member state finance committee has the option&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":66778,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[7],"tags":[16794,36181,14602,65,2746],"class_list":["post-66777","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-geneva","tag-budget","tag-fifth-committee","tag-funding-crisis","tag-geneva","tag-united-nations"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ch\/116589220661133471","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66777","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=66777"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66777\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66778"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=66777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=66777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=66777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}