{"id":107987,"date":"2026-06-05T07:57:13","date_gmt":"2026-06-05T07:57:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/107987\/"},"modified":"2026-06-05T07:57:13","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T07:57:13","slug":"rusky-banker-vyvraci-optimisticke-predpovedi-kremlu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/107987\/","title":{"rendered":"Rusk\u00fd bank\u00e9\u0159 vyvrac\u00ed optimistick\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi Kremlu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel druh\u00e9 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00e9 banky VTB Andrej Kostin \u0159ekl agentu\u0159e Reuters<\/a>, \u017ee nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s\u00a0r\u016fstem rusk\u00e9 ekonomiky. Neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd r\u016fst o\u00a00,5\u00a0procenta (vl\u00e1da nyn\u00ed uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee by letos m\u011bl dos\u00e1hnout podle revidovan\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f 0,4\u00a0procenta). Domn\u00edv\u00e1 se, \u017ee ekonomika bude stagnovat a\u00a0je prvn\u00edm vysok\u00fdm rusk\u00fdm bank\u00e9\u0159em, kter\u00fd n\u011bco takov\u00e9ho \u0159ekl.<\/p>\n

\u010cek\u00e1 p\u0159itom, \u017ee z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e1 sazba klesne ze sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 14,5\u00a0procenta v\u00a0z\u00e1v\u011bru roku na 11\u00a0a\u017e 12\u00a0procent. P\u0159edseda v\u00fdboru St\u00e1tn\u00ed dumy pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitosti Leonid Sluckij potvrdil, \u017ee banky o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed pozitivn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj \u00fav\u011br\u016f u\u00a0hypot\u00e9k, tedy pokles hypote\u010dn\u00edch sazeb.<\/p>\n

Ani to nepom\u016f\u017ee celkov\u00e9mu v\u00fdkonu ekonomiky, proto\u017ee v\u00a0prvn\u00edch dvou m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch byla v\u00a0recesi.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Inflace je riziko, vysok\u00e9 sazby v\u0161ak brzd\u00ed investice <\/p>\n

Vysok\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby Kostin h\u00e1j\u00ed: \u201eV\u017edycky jsem byl fanou\u0161kem Margaret Thatcherov\u00e9. Poka\u017ed\u00e9 \u0159\u00edkala, \u017ee hlavn\u00edm nep\u0159\u00edtelem ka\u017ed\u00e9 ekonomiky je inflace. A\u00a0mysl\u00edm, \u017ee to plat\u00ed i\u00a0nyn\u00ed, pokud jde o\u00a0ruskou ekonomiku.\u201c<\/p>\n

Bank\u00e9\u0159 uvedl, pro\u010d neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 r\u016fst. Kapit\u00e1lov\u00e9 investice se b\u011bhem prvn\u00edho \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed smrskly i\u00a0kv\u016fli vysok\u00fdm \u00farokov\u00fdm sazb\u00e1m o\u00a014,3\u00a0procenta: \u201eZvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 na kapit\u00e1lov\u00e9m trhu aktu\u00e1ln\u011b chyb\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed investice. Nyn\u00ed ale vid\u00edme zm\u011bnu. Vid\u00edme, \u017ee investo\u0159i z\u00a0\u010c\u00edny a\u00a0arabsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed za\u010dali projevovat velk\u00fd z\u00e1jem o\u00a0investice v\u00a0Rusku.\u201c<\/p>\n

B\u011bhem \u010dty\u0159 let v\u00e1lky byly tyto zem\u011b velmi opatrn\u00e9 ohledn\u011b investov\u00e1n\u00ed do Ruska, i\u00a0kdy\u017e \u010c\u00edna zvy\u0161ovala v\u00fdvoz hotov\u00fdch v\u00fdrobk\u016f do Ruska, co\u017e zat\u011b\u017eovalo rusk\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed zdroje.<\/p>\n

Vykreslov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f<\/p>\n

Ru\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 v\u0161ak ekonomiku vykresluj\u00ed jako \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nou a\u00a0silnou. Z\u00e1stupce \u0161\u00e9fa kancel\u00e1\u0159e rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Maxim Ore\u0161kin na okraj f\u00f3ra podle TASSu ve \u010dtvrtek \u0159ekl, \u017ee za posledn\u00ed t\u0159i roky rusk\u00e1 ekonomika vzrostla o\u00a0deset procent, zat\u00edmco evropsk\u00e1 jen o\u00a0t\u0159i. Zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee nezam\u011bstnanost v\u00a0Rusku je nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b. Podle n\u011bj rusk\u00e1 ekonomika v\u00a0ni\u010dem neselh\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Neuvedl v\u0161ak u\u017e, \u017ee n\u00edzk\u00e1 nezam\u011bstnanost je dan\u00e1 t\u00edm, \u017ee mnoho mu\u017e\u016f v\u00a0produktivn\u00edm v\u011bku bylo vysl\u00e1no na frontu a\u00a0mnoz\u00ed tam i\u00a0padli. Nedostatek pracovn\u00edch sil vede k\u00a0inflaci, proto\u017ee se o\u00a0n\u011b podniky p\u0159etahuj\u00ed a\u00a0sna\u017e\u00ed se je z\u00edskat za ka\u017edou cenu.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd ministr financ\u00ed Anton Siluanov sou\u010dasn\u011b ozn\u00e1mil, jak v\u00fdrazn\u011b rostla re\u00e1ln\u00e1 mzda v\u00a0Rusku (o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00e1 o\u00a0inflaci). Citoval ho TASS<\/a>: \u201eVid\u00edme, \u017ee u\u00a0n\u00e1s rostou re\u00e1ln\u00e9 mzdy, co\u017e je nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Za posledn\u00ed t\u0159i roky stouply o\u00a0v\u00edce ne\u017e 24\u00a0procent.\u201c To vede k\u00a0inflaci.<\/p>\n

Siluanov tak\u00e9 podle TASSu <\/a>uvedl,<\/a> \u017ee Rusko brzo splat\u00ed sv\u016fj vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dluh: \u201eN\u00e1\u0161 vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dluh \u010din\u00ed jen 10\u00a0%, co\u017e brzy splat\u00edme, a\u00a0douf\u00e1m, \u017ee takov\u00e9 dluhy ji\u017e nebudou existovat,\u201c \u0159ekl podle TASSu.<\/p>\n

Rusko se skute\u010dn\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed umo\u0159ovat dluh, ov\u0161em \u010din\u00ed tak s\u00a0pomoc\u00ed vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00edch rezerv a\u00a0prodejem zlata. Deficit rusk\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu za posledn\u00edch p\u011bt m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f dos\u00e1hl 80\u00a0miliard dolar\u016f a\u00a0re\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fddaje u\u017e p\u0159ekro\u010dily v\u00fddaje pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 na cel\u00fd rok.<\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9my s\u00a0palivy<\/p>\n

M\u00edstop\u0159edseda vl\u00e1dy Alexandr Novak podle TASSu<\/a> uvedl, \u017ee rusk\u00fd trh s\u00a0palivy je stabiln\u00ed a\u00a0ceny u\u00a0pump rostou v\u00a0souladu s\u00a0inflac\u00ed. Probl\u00e9my s\u00a0cenami a\u00a0z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00edm dom\u00e1c\u00edho trhu paliva \u0159e\u0161\u00ed Rusko u\u017e od lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho l\u00e9ta, kdy za\u010daly ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fadery na rafin\u00e9rie v\u00a0t\u00fdlu, u\u017e loni byly v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch oblastech zavedena omezen\u00ed na n\u00e1kup benz\u00ednu.<\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u011b stouply jeho ceny. Prodeje se nyn\u00ed neomezuj\u00ed jen v\u00a0okrajov\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech Ruska, jako loni, nebo na Krymu, omezen\u00ed plat\u00ed u\u017e i\u00a0v Moskv\u011b a\u00a0Petrohradu. To oslabuje podporu re\u017eimu.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel druh\u00e9 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00e9 banky VTB Andrej Kostin \u0159ekl agentu\u0159e Reuters, \u017ee nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s\u00a0r\u016fstem rusk\u00e9 ekonomiky. Neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":107988,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[10],"tags":[708,17,21,688,16,15090,61,8494,18,19,22,56,20],"class_list":["post-107987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-zpravy","tag-ekonomika","tag-headlines","tag-hlavni-udalosti","tag-hruby-domaci-produkt-hdp","tag-news","tag-recese","tag-rusko","tag-rust","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-udalosti-dne","tag-valka-rusko-ukrajina","tag-zpravy"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116696438756040359","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107987","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107987"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107987\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107988"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107987"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107987"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107987"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}