{"id":114016,"date":"2026-06-11T03:47:13","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T03:47:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/114016\/"},"modified":"2026-06-11T03:47:13","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T03:47:13","slug":"bitcoin-je-na-ucebnicovem-cenovem-dne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/114016\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin je na u\u010debnicov\u00e9m cenov\u00e9m dn\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"

Skoro jsem si ani nev\u0161iml, \u017ee \u010dist\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta 14 % za minul\u00fd t\u00fdden je pro bitcoin v\u016fbec nejhor\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdsledkem za cel\u00fd sou\u010dasn\u00fd medv\u011bd\u00ed trh<\/a>. To u\u017e nen\u00ed ledajak\u00fd pokles v r\u00e1mci, ale pom\u011brn\u011b hroziv\u00fd v\u00fdplach, kter\u00fd stoj\u00ed je s\u00e1m o sob\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm sign\u00e1l pro budouc\u00ed cenov\u00fd v\u00fdvoj na trhu. <\/p>\n

Naposledy cena bitcoinu odepsala podobn\u011b siln\u00fd pohyb v b\u0159eznu 2025 \u2013 skoro -15 %. V r\u00e1mci aktu\u00e1ln\u00edho klesaj\u00edc\u00edho trendu se posledn\u00edmu close vyrovnaj\u00ed sv\u00edce z listopadu a ledna. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto tento pokles vn\u00edm\u00e1m jako dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd sign\u00e1l, \u017ee se trh dost\u00e1v\u00e1 do mnohem bolestn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze. <\/p>\n

Prodejn\u00ed tlak toti\u017e zase zes\u00edlil a dosavadn\u00ed supporty za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed b\u00fdt pod v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm tlakem. Dobrou zpr\u00e1vou je, \u00fapln\u011b to sam\u00e9 se d\u011bje na konci ka\u017ed\u00e9ho cyklu a pak za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 nov\u00fd r\u016fstov\u00fd trend. Tud\u00ed\u017e se m\u016f\u017eete fakt v\u0161ichni radovat, proto\u017ee konec poklesu je snad ji\u017e vskutku bl\u00edzko. <\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

\t\tBitcoin vytvo\u0159il nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010distou t\u00fddenn\u00ed cenovou ztr\u00e1tu od b\u0159ezna 2025. Zdroj: Jaroslav Jarol\u00edm<\/a><\/p>\n

Podle m\u011b t\u00edm roste pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee se bitcoin v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b pod\u00edv\u00e1 na t\u011bch tolik mnou op\u011bvovan\u00fdch 52 000 USD. Tuto \u00farove\u0148 m\u00e1m v hlav\u011b jako z\u00e1kladn\u00ed cenov\u00fd c\u00edl u\u017e mnoho m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. A pokud se napln\u00ed, budu z pohledu sv\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e v z\u00e1sad\u011b spokojen\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je dobr\u00e9 po\u010d\u00edtat s t\u00edm, \u017ee trh <\/a>se nemus\u00ed zastavit p\u0159esn\u011b na jedn\u00e9 vybran\u00e9 cen\u011b. Vlastn\u011b je blbost n\u011b\u010demu takov\u00e9mu v\u011b\u0159it. Bitcoin m\u00e1 tendenci d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b pod st\u0159elovat, hlavn\u011b ve chv\u00edl\u00edch, kdy se sentiment v\u00fdrazn\u011b zhor\u0161\u00ed. Proto bych se nedivil ani kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9mu pod st\u0159elen\u00ed sm\u011brem na mnohem ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ceny. T\u0159eba a\u017e k 40 000 USD? <\/p>\n

Jsem tedy p\u0159ipraven\u00fd i na sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kdy cena bitcoinu klesne v\u00fdrazn\u011bji pod m\u016fj z\u00e1kladn\u00ed cenov\u00fd c\u00edl. Mus\u00edte ch\u00e1pat, \u017ee moje malov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bch cen je pouze berli\u010dka, kter\u00e1 mi pom\u00e1h\u00e1 se zorientovat, kter\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b jsou z technick\u00e9ho hlediska zhruba zaj\u00edmav\u00e9. <\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd v\u00fdvoj by mi ale ani nijak z\u00e1sadn\u011b nevadil. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pro m\u011b je hlavn\u011b to, aby trh dokon\u010dil strukturu, kterou u\u017e del\u0161\u00ed dobu sleduji, a vytvo\u0159il podm\u00ednky pro kvalitn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno. A pak hur\u00e1 do nov\u00e9ho b\u00fd\u010d\u00edho trendu. <\/p>\n

Bitcoin je na u\u010debnicov\u00e9m cenov\u00e9m dn\u011b, ale to je proces<\/p>\n

Jak se bitcoin minul\u00fd t\u00fdden vypl\u00e1chl pod 60 000 USD, trh se t\u00edm de facto dostal do oblasti, kter\u00e1, dle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru, u\u017e za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 d\u00e1vat smysl pro DCA strategii<\/a>. Po del\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b se tak cena dostala na \u00farovn\u011b, kde m\u016f\u017ee \u010d\u00e1st investor\u016f za\u010d\u00edt postupn\u011b uva\u017eovat o pravideln\u00e9m p\u0159ikupov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Podle m\u011b ale bitcoin zat\u00edm teprve otestoval horn\u00ed hranici cel\u00e9 t\u00e9to oblasti. Polopaticky \u0159e\u010deno, sou\u010dasn\u00e9 ceny u\u017e mohou b\u00fdt mnohem zaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika t\u00fddny, ale neznamen\u00e1 to automaticky, \u017ee jsme na fin\u00e1ln\u00edm dne ceny BTC. Prostor pro dal\u0161\u00ed pokles st\u00e1le existuje, mysl\u00edm si.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

\t\tBitcoin je na u\u010debnicov\u00e9m cenov\u00e9m dn\u011b, ale to je proces na n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto bych s nad\u0161en\u00edm je\u0161t\u011b trochu \u0161et\u0159il. DCA oblast nen\u00ed jedna p\u0159esn\u00e1 cenov\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148, ale \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed p\u00e1smo, ve kter\u00e9m d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl postupn\u011b rozkl\u00e1dat n\u00e1kupy. Pokud investor nakupuje postupn\u011b, nemus\u00ed se tolik stresovat t\u00edm, zda tref\u00ed \u00fapln\u00e9 dno.<\/p>\n

Trh s bitcoinem m\u011bl v minulosti opakovan\u011b tendenci s investory po\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b vydrbat a mysl\u00edm si, \u017ee to ud\u011bl\u00e1 znovu. \u010casto nejd\u0159\u00edve vytvo\u0159il zd\u00e1nliv\u011b jasnou situaci, nal\u00e1kal \u010d\u00e1st trhu zp\u011bt a n\u00e1sledn\u011b p\u0159i\u0161el dal\u0161\u00ed strm\u00fd pohyb dol\u016f. Proto si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce u\u017e nebudou tak jednoduch\u00e9 jako doposud. <\/p>\n

Nedivil bych se ani sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, ve kter\u00e9m by trh vypr\u00e1skal ob\u011b strany. <\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj tedy vn\u00edm\u00e1m jako opravdick\u00fd za\u010d\u00e1tek mnohem zaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze, nikoliv jako \u00fapln\u00e9 potvrzen\u00ed konce medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu. <\/p>\n

Bitcoin se dostal do relevantn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed cenov\u00e9 oblasti, ale st\u00e1le bude rozhodovat struktura trhu, objemy, sentiment a reakce kupc\u016f na ni\u017e\u0161\u00edch \u00farovn\u00edch. Pamatujte toti\u017e, \u017ee tvorba cenov\u00e9ho je proces, kter\u00fd si \u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 mnoho m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. <\/p>\n

Tud\u00ed\u017e osobn\u011b kalkuluji s t\u00edm, \u017ee nov\u00fd b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trh m\u016f\u017ee za\u010d\u00edt p\u0159elomu podzimu a zimy leto\u0161n\u00edho roku. Za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee bude v\u00fdvoj velmi podobn\u00fd p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00fdm cykl\u016fm. A pak si jen u\u017e\u00edvat velk\u00fd cenov\u00fd r\u016fst bitcoinu. <\/p>\n

Kr\u00e1tkodob\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 bitcoinu jsou v ohromn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1t\u011b, zase<\/p>\n

Od cenov\u00e9ho vrcholu bitcoinu na 126 000 USD jde u\u017e o t\u0159et\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpad, kdy pom\u011br nab\u00eddky kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f ve ztr\u00e1t\u011b dos\u00e1hl hranice 95 %. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee naprost\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina investor\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed nakupovali relativn\u011b ned\u00e1vno, je aktu\u00e1ln\u011b v bolestiv\u00e9 k\u0159e\u010di a asi b\u011bhaj\u00ed z jednoho rohu do druh\u00e9ho, proto\u017ee nev\u011bd\u00ed, co maj\u00ed d\u011blat \u2013 v\u00edm, jsem zl\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Jde o opravdu bolestiv\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, kter\u00fd velmi p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 cyklus z roku 2022 \u2013 zase ty d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 podobnosti. Tehdy podobn\u00e9 metriky ukazovaly hlubok\u00fd stres na trhu a siln\u00fd tlak na m\u00e9n\u011b trp\u011bliv\u00e9 dr\u017eitele. Podle m\u011b se nav\u00edc ned\u00e1 vylou\u010dit, \u017ee tato f\u00e1ze m\u016f\u017ee je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou dobu pokra\u010dovat a kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b b\u00fdt je\u0161t\u011b nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\"Od<\/p>\n

\t\tOd cenov\u00e9ho vrcholu BTC na 126 000 USD jde u\u017e o t\u0159et\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpad, kdy pom\u011br nab\u00eddky kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou ve ztr\u00e1t\u011b, dos\u00e1hl hranice 95 %<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b kr\u00e1tkodob\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 b\u00fdvaj\u00ed v podobn\u00fdch situac\u00edch nejzraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Nemaj\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00e9 p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u010dasto nakupovali pozd\u011b a p\u0159i v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm poklesu za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed panika\u0159it. Kdy\u017e se jejich ztr\u00e1ty hromad\u00ed, trh se dost\u00e1v\u00e1 do prost\u0159ed\u00ed, kde roste pravd\u011bpodobnost kapitulace.<\/p>\n

A p\u0159esn\u011b takovou bolest vlastn\u011b chceme na trhu vid\u011bt. Po\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e1 krev toti\u017e \u010dasto znamen\u00e1, \u017ee jsou z trhu postupn\u011b vytla\u010deni ti, kte\u0159\u00ed v n\u011bm nemaj\u00ed co pohled\u00e1vat. Teprve potom m\u016f\u017ee vzniknout zdrav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1klad pro dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1zi cyklu.<\/p>\n

Investujte do bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF na platform\u011b XTB<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Skoro jsem si ani nev\u0161iml, \u017ee \u010dist\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta 14 % za minul\u00fd t\u00fdden je pro bitcoin v\u016fbec nejhor\u0161\u00edm…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":114017,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[10],"tags":[183,3244,15927,17,21,16268,778,16,15929,18,19,22,20],"class_list":["post-114016","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-zpravy","tag-aktuality","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-headlines","tag-hlavni-udalosti","tag-kryptomena","tag-kryptomeny","tag-news","tag-technicka-analyza","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-udalosti-dne","tag-zpravy"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116729429848736315","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114016","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=114016"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114016\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/114017"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=114016"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=114016"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=114016"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}