{"id":114752,"date":"2026-06-11T15:32:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T15:32:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/114752\/"},"modified":"2026-06-11T15:32:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T15:32:12","slug":"banky-i-umela-inteligence-veri-fotbalistum-spanelska-ekonomove-sazi-na-francii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/114752\/","title":{"rendered":"Banky i\u00a0um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence v\u011b\u0159\u00ed fotbalist\u016fm \u0160pan\u011blska. Ekonomov\u00e9 s\u00e1z\u00ed na Francii"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0160pan\u011blsk\u00fd fotbalov\u00fd t\u00fdm nepat\u0159\u00ed na fotbalov\u00e9m mistrovstv\u00ed sv\u011bta<\/a> mezi favority jen podle bookmaker\u016f, ale i\u00a0podle bank\u00e9\u0159\u016f a\u00a0um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence. Na roli v\u00edt\u011bze je toti\u017e pasuje americk\u00fd bankovn\u00ed gigant Goldman Sachs, ale i\u00a0um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence (konkr\u00e9tn\u011b model Copilot od softwarov\u00e9ho kolosu Microsoft), kterou pou\u017eila pro odhad Bank of America. Superpo\u010d\u00edta\u010d Opta pak podle magaz\u00ednu Sports Illustrated odhadl jako v\u00edt\u011bze rovn\u011b\u017e t\u00fdm s\u00a0hv\u011bzdami jako je Lamine Yamal, Pedri nebo Ferm\u00edn L\u00f3pez.<\/p>\n

\u201eNa \u0160pan\u011blsku se shodneme. Nen\u00ed na to ale pot\u0159eba velk\u00fd model ani um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence, na okruhu hlavn\u00edch favorit\u016f se fotbalov\u00e1 ve\u0159ejnost shodne, maj\u00ed prost\u011b skv\u011bl\u00e9 hr\u00e1\u010de. Na\u0161i klienti na rozd\u00edl od bank preferuj\u00ed Portugalsko,\u201c komentuje odhady Ji\u0159\u00ed Hadrava ze s\u00e1zkov\u00e9 kancel\u00e1\u0159e Tipsport<\/a>. V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edzni s\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch je Portugalsko i\u00a0u s\u00e1zkov\u00e9 kancel\u00e1\u0159e Chance.<\/p>\n

Naopak z\u00a0pr\u016fzkumu Bank of America mezi fotbalov\u00fdmi fanou\u0161ky na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee mistrem sv\u011bta se stane Francie. T\u00fdmu galsk\u00e9ho kohouta v\u011b\u0159\u00ed rovn\u011b\u017e ekonomov\u00e9 na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, mezi nimi\u017e zase ud\u011blala pr\u016fzkum agentura Reuters.<\/p>\n

\u201ePo zklam\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00a0fin\u00e1le v\u00a0roce 2022\u00a0vypad\u00e1 Francie tentokr\u00e1t dob\u0159e p\u0159ipraven\u00e1 na to, aby si polep\u0161ila,\u201c sd\u011blil Cathal Kennedy, hlavn\u00ed ekonom lond\u00fdnsk\u00e9 sti RBC Capital Markets. A\u00a0pokra\u010doval: \u201eV k\u00e1dru z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 \u0159ada hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f z\u00a0t\u00fdmu, kter\u00fd se dostal do fin\u00e1le a\u00a0kte\u0159\u00ed nyn\u00ed dosahuj\u00ed vrcholu sv\u00e9 kari\u00e9ry, a\u00a0dopl\u0148uj\u00ed je nov\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di z\u00a0t\u00fdmu Paris Saint-Germain.\u201c V\u00fdhodou by podle n\u011bm m\u011blo b\u00fdt i\u00a0to, \u017ee francouzsk\u00e1 reprezentace by m\u011bla m\u00edt k\u00a0dispozici i\u00a0odpo\u010dat\u00e9ho Kyliana Mbapp\u00e9ho, svou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hv\u011bzdu.<\/p>\n

Francie p\u0159ed \u010dty\u0159mi lety prohr\u00e1la ve fin\u00e1le \u0161ampion\u00e1tu s\u00a0Argentinou v\u00a0\u010dele s\u00a0hv\u011bzdn\u00fdm Lionelem Messim a\u017e na penalty. Nejsou to v\u0161ak jen pr\u016fzkumy, kdo v\u011b\u0159\u00ed francouzsk\u00fdm fotbalist\u016fm. Jejich v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed odhadl tak\u00e9 model brazilsk\u00e9ho makl\u00e9\u0159sk\u00e9ho domu XP.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\u0160pan\u011blsko a\u00a0Francie jsou ostatn\u011b dva nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed favorit\u00e9 i\u00a0podle kurz\u016f s\u00e1zkov\u00fdch kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00ed Tipsport a\u00a0Fortuna, kdy\u017e ale nepatrn\u011b v\u00edc v\u011b\u0159\u00ed \u0161pan\u011blsk\u00e9 reprezentaci. Naopak kurzy u\u00a0SazkaBet (zna\u010dka pro kurzov\u00e9 s\u00e1zky Allwyn <\/a>\u010cesko) m\u00edrn\u011b favorizuj\u00ed Francii p\u0159ed \u0160pan\u011blskem.<\/p>\n

N\u011bmeck\u00fd matematik a\u00a0ekonom Joachim Klement zase v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee usp\u011bje Nizozemsko. Tento odborn\u00edk se p\u0159itom m\u016f\u017ee py\u0161nit u\u017e t\u0159emi \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdmi p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010fmi v\u00a0\u0159ad\u011b.<\/p>\n

Model Goldman Sachs pracuje s\u00a0historickou v\u00fdkonnost\u00ed t\u00fdm\u016f, jejich hodnocen\u00edm ve sv\u011btov\u00e9m \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku, geografi\u00ed nebo nap\u0159\u00edklad se sou\u010dasnou formou jednotliv\u00fdch reprezentac\u00ed. Makl\u00e9\u0159sk\u00fd d\u016fm XP je pak zalo\u017een\u00fd na deseti tis\u00edc\u00edch simulac\u00ed a\u00a0pracuje s\u00a0v\u00fdsledky v\u00edce ne\u017e 3300\u00a0mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch utk\u00e1n\u00edch.<\/p>\n

Ani robustn\u00ed modely pracuj\u00edc\u00ed s\u00a0\u0159adou hodnot a\u00a0prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed des\u00edtky tis\u00edc a\u017e statis\u00edce simulac\u00ed o\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu cel\u00e9ho turnaje ale nezajist\u00ed, \u017ee model bude p\u0159i ur\u010den\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bze \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Sv\u00e9 o\u00a0tom v\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b Goldman Sachs<\/a>. Tato spole\u010dnost se nap\u0159\u00edklad v\u00a0roce 2018\u00a0zapojila do \u201etipov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c a\u017e p\u0159ed semfin\u00e1le, kdy\u017e za v\u00edt\u011bze ozna\u010dila Belgii. P\u0159i p\u0159edchoz\u00edch t\u0159ech \u0161ampion\u00e1tech jej\u00ed experti p\u0159edpov\u00eddali u\u017e na startu v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Braz\u00edlie. Nic z\u00a0toho nevy\u0161lo. Fotbalov\u00e9 t\u00fdmy proto mohou mluvit o \u201eproklet\u00ed Goldman Sachs\u201c.<\/p>\n

Ostatn\u011b ani Klement sv\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty nep\u0159ece\u0148uje. \u201eJe to jako loterie. V\u017edycky \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m, \u017ee pokud n\u011bkdo vsad\u00ed na z\u00e1klad\u011b m\u00e9ho tipu, kdo se stane p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm mistrem sv\u011bta, je to beznad\u011bjn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edpad,\u201c upozor\u0148uje Klement. Modely toti\u017e pracuj\u00ed s\u00a0pravd\u011bpodobnostmi a\u00a0rozd\u00edly nejsou n\u011bkdy p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Nap\u0159\u00edklad brazilsk\u00e1 XP d\u00e1v\u00e1 Francii dev\u00edtiprocentn\u00ed \u0161anci na v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, zat\u00edmco u\u00a0\u0160pan\u011blska je to 6,4\u00a0procenta. Nav\u00edc jak \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 klasik: m\u00ed\u010d je kulat\u00fd (a rozhod\u010d\u00ed nevyzpytateln\u00ed).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u0160pan\u011blsk\u00fd fotbalov\u00fd t\u00fdm nepat\u0159\u00ed na fotbalov\u00e9m mistrovstv\u00ed sv\u011bta mezi favority jen podle bookmaker\u016f, ale i\u00a0podle bank\u00e9\u0159\u016f a\u00a0um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":114753,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[15],"tags":[5001,906,1985,14873,16051,326,3459,32313,1148,94,93,9183],"class_list":["post-114752","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-sport","tag-allwyn","tag-bank-of-america","tag-banky","tag-chance-firma","tag-fortuna","tag-fotbal","tag-goldman-sachs","tag-sazkova-kancelar","tag-sazky","tag-sport","tag-sports","tag-tipsport"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116732201983170042","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114752","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=114752"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114752\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/114753"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=114752"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=114752"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=114752"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}