<\/p>\n
Anketa<\/p>\n
Kter\u00fd \u010dlen vl\u00e1dy by m\u011bl odej\u00edt? M\u00e1te v\u00edce mo\u017enost\u00ed.<\/p>\n
hlasovalo: 2932 lid\u00ed<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\n\tJak vn\u00edm\u00e1te v\u00fdvoj v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b? D\u00e1vno u\u017e nejde o t\u00e9ma, kter\u00e9 by dominovalo titulk\u016fm m\u00e9di\u00ed. Ukrajinci dlouhodob\u011b nemaj\u00ed voj\u00e1ky, fronta se prakticky neh\u00fdbe, ale Ukrajinc\u016fm se da\u0159\u00ed pomoc\u00ed dron\u016f \u00fato\u010dit i na Moskvu, zas\u00e1hnout rafinerie apod. Jak se to m\u016f\u017ee d\u00e1l vyv\u00edjet?<\/p>\n
\n\tKdy\u017e jste \u0159ekl, \u017ee Ukrajina u\u017e nen\u00ed takov\u00e9 medi\u00e1ln\u00ed t\u00e9ma, zm\u00ednil bych n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed v\u011bc. Propagandistick\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st v\u00e1lky, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ze strany Ukrajiny, op\u011bt nar\u016fst\u00e1 a dneska to vypad\u00e1, \u017ee ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed m\u00e1 pocit, \u017ee se to cel\u00e9 obr\u00e1tilo a Ukrajina je na po\u010d\u00e1tku dosa\u017een\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Pova\u017euji to za jedno z dal\u0161\u00edch zbo\u017en\u00fdch p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 zam\u011b\u0148ujeme za realitu.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\n\tDrony a \u00fatoky na \u00fazem\u00ed Rusk\u00e9 federace, o kter\u00fdch jste mluvil, vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed velmi nebezpe\u010dnou eskala\u010dn\u00ed spir\u00e1lu. Vid\u00edme, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 v\u017edy po ukrajinsk\u00e9m n\u011bjak\u00e9m \u00fatoku na jejich energetickou soustavu p\u0159itla\u010d\u00ed a zp\u016fsob\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9 \u0161kody na ukrajinsk\u00e9 energetice, v\u00fdrobn\u00edch prost\u0159edc\u00edch dron\u016f a zab\u00edjej\u00ed i Ukrajince. Tohle je dnes rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed f\u00e1ze konfliktu. Podpora z\u00e1zem\u00ed od Ukrajinc\u016f to v\u0161echno sn\u00e1\u0161et, se drol\u00ed. Nebezpe\u010dn\u011b ta podpora uvad\u00e1 a m\u016f\u017ee to m\u00edt negativn\u00ed vliv na konflikt, proto\u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se na front\u011b br\u00e1n\u00ed relativn\u011b dob\u0159e, relativn\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b a state\u010dn\u011b, ale Rusov\u00e9 p\u0159ece jenom postupuj\u00ed, by\u0165 to nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd velik\u00fd v\u00fdkon.<\/p>\n
\n\tCo ta eskala\u010dn\u00ed spir\u00e1la m\u016f\u017ee zp\u016fsobit?<\/p>\n
\n\tJe tu jej\u00ed velk\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed. Lid\u00e9 jako Sergej Karaganov, se kter\u00fdm jsem ned\u00e1vno sly\u0161el rozhovor, Dugin a dal\u0161\u00ed, zkr\u00e1tka lid\u00e9, co od za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu byli radik\u00e1ln\u00ed a nem\u011bli zpo\u010d\u00e1tku velk\u00e9ho sluchu. Volali po vy\u0159\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159ekro\u010diteln\u00e9 hranice a vyz\u00fdvali k tomu, aby Rusko obnovilo svou odstra\u0161ovac\u00ed roli a provedlo n\u011bjak\u00fd \u00fader na z\u00e1padn\u00ed c\u00edl, nejprve konven\u010dn\u011b a pokud to nebude sta\u010dit, tak taktick\u00fd jadern\u00fd \u00fader. Nejprve je nikdo nebral v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, ale dnes je tento n\u00e1zor pom\u011brn\u011b \u0161iroce respektov\u00e1n a zast\u00e1v\u00e1n. Toto pova\u017euji za velice nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd trend. Rusov\u00e9 jsou p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deni a nepochybn\u011b v tom maj\u00ed pravdu, \u017ee bez z\u00e1padn\u00ed podpory v podob\u011b v\u00fdroby dron\u016f i dod\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00ed\u00a0by ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky zdaleka nebyly tak \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9.<\/p>\n
\n\tPutin podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru st\u00e1le stoj\u00ed za sv\u00fdm a nechce slevit. Do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry je p\u0159esn\u011b informov\u00e1n o stavu na front\u011b, nev\u00edm, ale rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed je, jak\u00e1 je rusk\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna pro pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu a Putin je dosud p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee vojenskou silou m\u016f\u017ee z\u00edskat to, co mu Ukrajinci necht\u011bj\u00ed d\u00e1t sami od sebe, tedy zbytek Donbasu.<\/p>\n
\n\tPokud jde o medi\u00e1ln\u00ed obraz, tak cel\u00e1 \u0159ada m\u00e9di\u00ed a \u201cexpert\u016f\u201d prezentuje nyn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed situaci tak, \u017ee Rusko je na prahu sv\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017eky, za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 obrovskou krizi, Ukrajinci maj\u00ed d\u00edky dron\u016fm p\u0159evahu, likviduj\u00ed Rus\u016fm v\u00edc \u017eiv\u00e9 s\u00edly, ne\u017e je schopno na frontu dodat, a kdy\u017e Z\u00e1pad vydr\u017e\u00ed ve sv\u00e9 podpo\u0159e Ukrajiny, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt Rusko pora\u017eeno. Nebo \u017ee pokud Rusov\u00e9 pou\u017eij\u00ed taktickou jadernou bombu, povede to k jeho zni\u010den\u00ed. Tolik ve zkratce, co jsem posledn\u00ed dny zaznamenal\u2026<\/p>\n
\n\tB\u0159etislav Ture\u010dek ozna\u010dil lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed toto \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, za bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed\u00a0influencery. Jde o lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed uv\u011b\u0159ili narativu, kter\u00fd jste popsal. Co se stane, kdy\u017e Rusko taktick\u00fd jadern\u00fd \u00fatok pou\u017eije? Vzdu\u0161n\u00fd, do p\u011bti kilotun, n\u011bkde na nad n\u011bjakou \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Pobalt\u00ed\u2026 Co se stane? Kdo to v\u00ed? Nem\u00e1me to odzkou\u0161en\u00e9, to zaprv\u00e9. A za druh\u00e9, chce snad n\u011bkdo \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 rozpoutaj\u00ed raketovou jadernou v\u00e1lku s Ruskem? No nerozpoutaj\u00ed. Chce mi n\u011bkdo \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee Francie \u010di Brit\u00e1nie odpov\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00fdm leteck\u00fdm \u00faderem? Neodpov\u00ed.<\/p>\n
\n\tKdyby to skute\u010dn\u011b bylo, jak se \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, tak se pt\u00e1m, pro\u010d cht\u011bj\u00ed Ukrajinci vyjedn\u00e1vat, kdy\u017e tu v\u00e1lku mohou vyhr\u00e1t? Pro\u010d nebudou pokra\u010dovat tak, aby podlomili z\u00e1zem\u00ed a t\u00fdl Rusk\u00e9 federace, v\u010detn\u011b dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed mu\u017e\u016f na frontu, co\u017e by z logiky t\u011bch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch influencer\u016f znamenalo, \u017ee by se zhroutila rusk\u00e1 fronta. Jen\u017ee ta se asi nezhrout\u00ed, \u017ee ano. Jsem pro to, aby se u\u017e kone\u010dn\u011b jednalo, proto\u017ee to je jedin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak p\u0159im\u011bt Rusko k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu kompromisu.\u00a0<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\t\t\t\tFotogalerie: – Pavel na vl\u00e1d\u011b<\/p>\n
\n\tDo v\u011bci se po n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch op\u011bt vkl\u00e1daj\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 a prezident Trump. M\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt tentokr\u00e1t jeho pokus o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd? <\/p>\n
\n\tRusov\u00e9 si podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nad\u011bje s Donaldem Trumpem nespojuj\u00ed. Vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed t\u00fdm Witkoff a Kushner, kter\u00fd jezd\u00ed do Moskvy na jedn\u00e1n\u00ed bez tlumo\u010dn\u00edka a pochybuji, \u017ee ti dva um\u00ed rusky, nen\u00ed podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru za sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho stavu schopen p\u0159ij\u00edt s n\u011b\u010d\u00edm, co by Rusy povzbudilo, aby \u0161li jednat. Podle m\u011b to vy\u017eaduje komplexn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup. Nen\u00ed prost\u011b mo\u017en\u00e9, aby Kushner s Witkoffem n\u011bco dojednali a Zelenskyj s Evropou jim do toho hodili vidle. Takhle se to nikam nem\u016f\u017ee pohnout.<\/p>\n
\n\tCo s t\u00edm tedy?<\/p>\n
\n\tBylo by asi dob\u0159e, aby tomu Evropa \u0161la naproti s racion\u00e1ln\u00edmi p\u0159\u00edstupy a stala se sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed. M\u00e1me snad br\u00e1t v\u00e1\u017en\u011b rozhodnut\u00ed G7 o tom, \u017ee Rusko prohr\u00e1v\u00e1? O tom m\u016f\u017ee rozhodnout jenom n\u011bjak\u00e9 syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by zm\u011bnilo situaci na front\u011b.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\n\tPoj\u010fme si je\u0161t\u011b \u0159\u00edct, co znamen\u00e1 prohra a v\u00fdhra. Ukrajina ur\u010dit\u011b neprohraje v tom duchu, \u017ee by p\u0159i\u0161la o cel\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed. To se nestane. Ukrajina neprohraje v tom duchu, \u017ee by do\u0161lo ke zni\u010den\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda. To se nestane. Ukrajina neprohraje v tom, \u017ee by p\u0159i\u0161la o svoji vlast. To se ur\u010dit\u011b nestane. Ukrajina p\u0159ijde o \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed. Je to por\u00e1\u017eka? Ukrajina m\u00e1 rozbitou velkou \u010d\u00e1st energetick\u00e9ho sektoru a zbrojn\u00edho pr\u016fmyslu. Je to por\u00e1\u017eka. Ukrajinsk\u00fd n\u00e1rod, kter\u00fd se state\u010dn\u011b br\u00e1n\u00ed, je na tom velmi \u0161patn\u011b a to je sp\u00ed\u0161 por\u00e1\u017eka ne\u017e n\u011bjak\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Je ot\u00e1zkou, jak bude prob\u00edhat m\u00edrov\u00e1 obnova Ukrajiny. Jestli\u017ee m\u011bla Ukrajina po rozpadu Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu 52 milion\u016f obyvatel a dneska m\u00e1 28 milion\u016f s t\u00edm, \u017ee do konce stolet\u00ed jich m\u00e1 b\u00fdt asi 15 milion\u016f, tomu j\u00e1 ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1m v\u00fdhra ukrajinsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda.<\/p>\n
\n\tA Rusov\u00e9? Ti ani necht\u011bli dob\u00fdt celou Ukrajinu. Co by koneckonc\u016f d\u011blali na nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed. To si sp\u00ed\u0161 mohou do Kyjeva dosadit vl\u00e1du, kter\u00e1 jim p\u016fjde na ruku. Ale Ukrajinci, kte\u0159\u00ed Rusy bytostn\u011b nen\u00e1vid\u00ed a j\u00e1 se jim nediv\u00edm, ti by Rus\u016fm ka\u017edou noc p\u016fsobili jak\u00e9koli probl\u00e9my. Ukrajinci na z\u00e1pad\u011b zem\u011b jsou v guerillov\u00e9m a partyz\u00e1nsk\u00e9m boji velmi dob\u0159\u00ed. Mo\u017en\u00e1 Rusko nedobude v\u0161echno, co p\u016fvodn\u011b cht\u011blo, je realita. Pokud se jim povedlo dob\u00fdt Od\u011bsu, co\u017e ur\u010dit\u011b nen\u00ed ot\u00e1zka p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho m\u011bs\u00edce, stane se z Ukrajiny suchozemsk\u00fd st\u00e1t a to je pro Ukrajinu velk\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka.<\/p>\n
\n\tKdy\u017e mluv\u00edme o por\u00e1\u017ece a v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si definovat, co t\u00edm vlastn\u011b mysl\u00edme. Ob\u011b strany v z\u00e1sad\u011b prohraj\u00ed a ob\u011b strany vyhraj\u00ed. Takov\u00e1 bude realita. Pokud by do\u0161lo k zamrzl\u00e9mu konfliktu, prohr\u00e1li jsme cel\u00e1 Evropa. P\u0159ijde-li n\u011bjak\u00e1 m\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda, kterou budou Ukrajinci ochotni akceptovat se v\u0161emi v\u011bcmi kolem a za\u010dne se kone\u010dn\u011b v Evrop\u011b uva\u017eovat realisticky, pak jsme vyhr\u00e1li. Jsme toho schopni? Nev\u00edm. Ob\u00e1v\u00e1m se, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup v Evrop\u011b n\u00e1m \u00fapln\u011b neukazuje, \u017ee by sou\u010dasn\u00e1 politick\u00e1 garnitura byla schopna takto komplexn\u011b p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161let.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Psali jsme:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Anketa Kter\u00fd \u010dlen vl\u00e1dy by m\u011bl odej\u00edt? M\u00e1te v\u00edce mo\u017enost\u00ed. hlasovalo: 2932 lid\u00ed Jak vn\u00edm\u00e1te v\u00fdvoj…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":122130,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[11],"tags":[373,9480,6275,61,2353,54,854,110,113,53,52,1174],"class_list":["post-122129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-eu","tag-g7","tag-putin","tag-rusko","tag-sandor","tag-svet","tag-trump","tag-ukrajina","tag-usa","tag-world","tag-world-news","tag-zelenskyj"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116771798610260753","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122129","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=122129"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122129\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/122130"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=122129"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=122129"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=122129"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}