{"id":126633,"date":"2026-06-23T05:50:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T05:50:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/126633\/"},"modified":"2026-06-23T05:50:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T05:50:12","slug":"konec-valky-ropu-nezlevni-hned-persky-zaliv-se-vrati-k-normalu-nejdrive-koncem-roku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/126633\/","title":{"rendered":"Konec v\u00e1lky ropu nezlevn\u00ed hned. Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv se vr\u00e1t\u00ed k\u00a0norm\u00e1lu nejd\u0159\u00edve koncem roku"},"content":{"rendered":"

Pomal\u00fd r\u016fst \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl list The Wall Street Journal<\/a>. Trh p\u0159itom na dohodu reagoval prudk\u00fdm zlevn\u011bn\u00edm. Severomo\u0159sk\u00e1 ropa Brent, kter\u00e1 je celosv\u011btov\u011b nejpou\u017e\u00edvan\u011bj\u0161\u00edm m\u011b\u0159\u00edtkem pro ocen\u011bn\u00ed ropy, spadla z\u00a0vrcholu kolem 126\u00a0dolar\u016f za barel pod hranici 82\u00a0dolar\u016f, st\u00e1le ale z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u011b nad lo\u0148sk\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011brem kolem 69\u00a0dolar\u016f. <\/p>\n

\u201eN\u00e1lada se jednozna\u010dn\u011b zlep\u0161ila. Jen\u017ee n\u00e1lada nen\u00ed tot\u00e9\u017e co dod\u00e1vky,\u201c upozornil pro agenturu AP hlavn\u00ed ekonom spole\u010dnosti Rystad Energy Claudio Galimberti.<\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd export ropy se v\u00a0kv\u011btnu propadl na 260\u00a0tis\u00edc barel\u016f denn\u011b, zat\u00edmco od \u00fanora do dubna \u00cdr\u00e1n nakl\u00e1dal 1,85\u00a0milionu barel\u016f denn\u011b. Prvn\u00ed t\u0159i tankery se 4,8\u00a0miliony barely u\u017e vypluly a\u00a0m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed do jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie, ozn\u00e1mila monitorovac\u00ed spole\u010dnost Vortexa. Teher\u00e1n tak\u00e9 uzav\u0159el dohodu s\u00a0\u010c\u00ednou na prodej deseti milion\u016f barel\u016f. \u201eJe to prvn\u00ed krok k\u00a0obnov\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho exportu,\u201c \u0159ekl mluv\u010d\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 unie v\u00fdvozc\u016f ropy Hamid Hosseini.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9mem je nedostatek tanker\u016f. V\u011bt\u0161ina velk\u00fdch plavidel se p\u0159esunula do Mexick\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, odkud vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed americkou ropu nahrazuj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00fdpadek z\u00a0Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Ne\u017e se vr\u00e1t\u00ed, uplynou t\u00fddny. \u00cdr\u00e1n to p\u0159itom pot\u0159ebuje rychle, jeho z\u00e1sobn\u00edky jsou skoro pln\u00e9 a\u00a0nem\u00e1 kam ukl\u00e1dat vyt\u011b\u017eenou ropu. V\u00a0Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu nav\u00edc podle dat spole\u010dnosti Lloyd’s List p\u0159es sto dn\u00ed uv\u00e1zlo v\u00edce ne\u017e 160\u00a0tanker\u016f, kter\u00e9 se p\u0159es \u00fazk\u00fd pr\u016fliv nemohou v\u0161echny dostat nar\u00e1z.<\/p>\n

T\u011b\u017eba spadla, n\u00e1vrat potrv\u00e1 m\u011bs\u00edce<\/p>\n

Kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce nav\u00edc klesla samotn\u00e1 produkce. V\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu se propadla z\u00a0p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch 3,2\u00a0milionu barel\u016f denn\u011b na 2,3\u00a0milionu, v\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii z\u00a0deseti milion\u016f na 6,9\u00a0milionu. Klesla i\u00a0ve Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tech a\u00a0tak\u00e9 v\u00a0Ir\u00e1ku, tam dokonce o\u00a052\u00a0procent. Zem\u00edm bez mo\u017enosti v\u00fdvozu p\u0159es Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kudy b\u011b\u017en\u011b proud\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st sv\u011btov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy a\u00a0plynu, doch\u00e1zely skladovac\u00ed kapacity a\u00a0musely omezit t\u011b\u017ebu.<\/p>\n

N\u00e1vrat objem\u016f potrv\u00e1. \u201ePole zasa\u017een\u00e1 uzav\u0159en\u00edm pr\u016flivu se mohou do t\u0159\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f vr\u00e1tit na 70\u00a0procent p\u016fvodn\u00ed t\u011b\u017eby a\u00a0do p\u016fl roku na 90\u00a0procent. Posledn\u00ed milion barel\u016f denn\u011b ale potrv\u00e1 d\u00e9le,\u201c odhadli analytici Wood Mackenzie pro agenturu Reuters. Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie a\u00a0Emir\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed i\u00a0jin\u00e9 trasy ne\u017e Hormuz, se vr\u00e1t\u00ed nejrychleji.<\/p>\n

H\u016f\u0159 je na tom Ir\u00e1k. \u201eBude to m\u00edt mnohem t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee omezil t\u011b\u017ebu v\u00fdrazn\u011bji a\u00a0jeho pole jsou slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. M\u016f\u017ee mu trvat rok, ne\u017e se vr\u00e1t\u00ed,\u201c uvedl pro agenturu AP Alan Gelder z\u00a0Wood Mackenzie. Producenti nav\u00edc neza\u010dnou t\u011b\u017eit, dokud si nebudou jist\u00ed, \u017ee je pr\u016fliv trvale otev\u0159en\u00fd a\u00a0\u017ee p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed vydr\u017e\u00ed d\u00e9le ne\u017e 60\u00a0dn\u00ed, doplnil Daniel Sternoff z\u00a0Kolumbijsk\u00e9 univerzity.<\/p>\n

Nejslo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed situaci m\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n. Aby mohl vyv\u00e1\u017eet v\u00edce, mus\u00ed otev\u00edrat uzav\u0159en\u00e9 vrty i\u00a0hloubit nov\u00e9, proto\u017ee \u0159ada jeho pol\u00ed je star\u00e1 a\u00a0t\u011b\u017eba kles\u00e1. Po sankc\u00edch z\u00a0roku 2018\u00a0se nav\u00edc ze zem\u011b st\u00e1hly mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed ropn\u00e9 firmy a\u00a0infrastrukturu udr\u017eovaly m\u00edstn\u00ed podniky bez pen\u011bz a\u00a0technologi\u00ed, upozornil analytik Rystadu Rahul Choudhary.<\/p>\n

Nejist\u00e1 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 i\u00a0bezpe\u010dnost plavby. B\u011bhem konfliktu bylo zasa\u017eeno 38\u00a0lod\u00ed a\u00a0odminov\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u016flivu m\u016f\u017ee trvat m\u011bs\u00edce. \u201eTankery jsou na \u0161patn\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b, t\u011b\u017eba a\u00a0rafinerie se mus\u00ed vr\u00e1tit na plnou kapacitu a\u00a0ot\u00e1zkou z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 cena a\u00a0dostupnost poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed,\u201c uvedl pro list The Guardian hlavn\u00ed ekonom Capital Economics Neil Shearing.<\/p>\n

Plyn i\u00a0ceny se vr\u00e1t\u00ed pomalu<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b del\u0161\u00ed cestu m\u00e1 p\u0159ed sebou zemn\u00ed plyn. Konflikt vy\u0159adil zhruba p\u011btinu sv\u011btov\u00e9 kapacity zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho plynu v\u00a0katarsk\u00e9m komplexu Ras Laffan,\u00a0jeho obnova m\u016f\u017ee trvat a\u017e p\u011bt let. Dopady poc\u00edt\u00ed i\u00a0spot\u0159ebitel\u00e9\u00a0\u2013 inflace podle expert\u016f z\u016fstane ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b velk\u00fdch ekonomik nad c\u00edlem po cel\u00fd leto\u0161ek i\u00a0v prvn\u00ed polovin\u011b p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku. \u201ePotrv\u00e1 m\u011bs\u00edce, ne\u017e se dod\u00e1vky ropy vr\u00e1t\u00ed k\u00a0norm\u00e1lu,\u201c uvedl \u0161\u00e9f n\u011bmeck\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky Joachim Nagel.<\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zkou z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 i\u00a0to, zda dohoda vydr\u017e\u00ed. \u201eJe to krok spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm sm\u011brem, ale nemysl\u00edm, \u017ee z\u00a0memoranda vznikne dlouhodob\u00fd m\u00edr,\u201c varoval pro magaz\u00edn Fortune analytik singapursk\u00e9 univerzity NTU Chen Chien-ming. Trh nav\u00edc euforii brzy p\u0159ehodnot\u00ed. \u201eMus\u00ed si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee podpis dohody je teprve prvn\u00ed krok. Nen\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00e9 \u010dekat, \u017ee ceny v\u00a0nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011b klesnou,\u201c dodal analytik Wood Mackenzie Sushant Gupta.<\/p>\n

Tvrd\u011b p\u0159itom krizi odnesla hlavn\u011b Asie, hlavn\u00ed odb\u011bratel ropy z\u00a0Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. N\u011bkter\u00e9 tamn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy musely kv\u016fli nedostatku paliva zav\u00e9st \u010dty\u0159denn\u00ed pracovn\u00ed t\u00fdden \u010di p\u0159\u00edd\u011blov\u00fd syst\u00e9m na naftu.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Pomal\u00fd r\u016fst \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl list The Wall Street Journal. Trh p\u0159itom na dohodu reagoval prudk\u00fdm zlevn\u011bn\u00edm. Severomo\u0159sk\u00e1…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":126634,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[10],"tags":[2700,17,21,808,16,205,9647,34878,6610,3199,18,19,22,34877,20],"class_list":["post-126633","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-zpravy","tag-export","tag-headlines","tag-hlavni-udalosti","tag-iran","tag-news","tag-ropa","tag-ropna-rafinerie","tag-ropny","tag-saudska-arabie","tag-tezba","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-udalosti-dne","tag-vrty","tag-zpravy"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116797861370746811","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=126633"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126633\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/126634"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=126633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=126633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=126633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}