{"id":13540,"date":"2026-03-04T09:02:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T09:02:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/13540\/"},"modified":"2026-03-04T09:02:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T09:02:12","slug":"v-cesku-jsou-spis-odpurci-iranskeho-rezimu-mohou-celit-hrozbe-mini-expert","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/13540\/","title":{"rendered":"V \u010cesku jsou sp\u00ed\u0161 odp\u016frci \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu. Mohou \u010delit hrozb\u011b, m\u00edn\u00ed expert"},"content":{"rendered":"

Podobn\u011b jako je rozd\u011blen\u00e1 tamn\u00ed spole\u010dnost<\/a>, ani \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 diaspora v\u00a0\u010cesku nen\u00ed jednotn\u00e1. Lednov\u00e1 data<\/a> Ministerstva vnitra ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00a0\u010cesku leg\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159eb\u00fdv\u00e1 necel\u00fdch 1500\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f, mezi kter\u00fdmi mohou b\u00fdt jak podporovatel\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu, tak lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed se k\u00a0situaci stav\u00ed neutr\u00e1ln\u011b, nebo protire\u017eimn\u00ed skupiny.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b odp\u016frci re\u017eimu mohou v\u00a0reakci na americko-izraelsk\u00fd \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n a\u00a0n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 proti\u00fatoky \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f na n\u011bkolik zem\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu \u010delit hrozb\u011b. <\/p>\n

\u201eJsou tady dva hlavn\u00ed c\u00edle, kter\u00e9 mohou b\u00fdt v\u00a0ohro\u017een\u00ed. Prvn\u00ed jsou ty spojen\u00e9 s\u00a0Izraelem, \u017eidovstv\u00edm a\u00a0USA. Kdyby se na\u0161el takov\u00fd c\u00edl, kter\u00fd by byl pro \u00cdr\u00e1nce atraktivn\u00ed, \u010din by mohli sp\u00e1chat i\u00a0nap\u0159\u00edklad lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed by na takovou akci p\u0159ijeli zvenku. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 jsou ohro\u017eeni pr\u00e1v\u011b \u00edr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed opozi\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9, proto\u017ee ti budou nyn\u00ed pod je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm dohledem a\u00a0v hled\u00e1\u010dku \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch prore\u017eimn\u00edch slo\u017eek,\u201c vysv\u011btluje pro Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy expert na politick\u00fd extremismus Miroslav Mare\u0161 z\u00a0Masarykovy univerzity. <\/p>\n

Vedle \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch slo\u017eek ale v\u00a0\u010cesku operuj\u00ed, jak Mare\u0161 upozor\u0148uje, i\u00a0\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9\u00a0tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby a\u00a0nelze ani vylou\u010dit, \u017ee by z\u00a0okoln\u00edch zem\u00ed p\u0159icestovali t\u0159eba operativci al-Kuds, tedy speci\u00e1ln\u00ed slo\u017eky \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

V souvislosti s\u00a0aktu\u00e1ln\u00edm d\u011bn\u00edm je podle experta ve h\u0159e i\u00a0varianta, \u017ee by do\u0161lo ke st\u0159etu obou stran, tedy m\u00edstn\u00edch opozi\u010dn\u00edch sil a\u00a0provl\u00e1dn\u00edch gard. \u201eAle sp\u00ed\u0161 by se jednalo o\u00a0d\u00edl\u010d\u00ed st\u0159et na demonstraci, kter\u00fd nepova\u017euju za tak pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd. Jako re\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 sp\u00ed\u0161 vid\u00edm, \u017ee by byli opozi\u010dn\u00edci vyhled\u00e1ni specifick\u00fdmi agenty, kte\u0159\u00ed by se je mohli pokusit zlikvidovat, jako se to stalo n\u011bkter\u00fdm p\u0159edstavitel\u016fm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 opozice v\u00a0exilu v\u00a0severn\u00ed nebo\u00a0ji\u017en\u00ed a\u00a0z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evrop\u011b v\u00a0posledn\u00edch letech,\u201c uva\u017euje politolog.<\/p>\n

Mezi sympatizanty opozi\u010dn\u00edch uskupen\u00ed v\u00a0\u010cesku, kter\u00e9 mohou b\u00fdt ter\u010dem \u00fatoku prore\u017eimn\u00edch sil, podle Mare\u0161e pat\u0159\u00ed nap\u0159\u00edklad p\u0159\u00edznivci exilov\u00fdch monarchist\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b nov\u011b ustaven\u00e9 Nesmrteln\u00e9 gardy Praha, i\u00a0kontroverzn\u00edch Lidov\u00fdch mud\u017eahed\u00edn\u016f. \u201eD\u00e1le jsou zde podporovatel\u00e9 protire\u017eimn\u00edch kurdsk\u00fdch skupin v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu a\u00a0v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 minulosti se v\u00a0\u010cesku objevily i\u00a0propaga\u010dn\u00ed materi\u00e1ly Azer\u016f vystupuj\u00edc\u00edch proti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu. Nemohu vylou\u010dit ani sympatizanty samostatn\u00e9ho Bal\u00fa\u010dist\u00e1nu, ale nev\u00edm o\u00a0nich,\u201c dod\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Foto: Profimedia.cz<\/p>\n

Miroslav Mare\u0161.<\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da v\u0161ak v\u00a0souvislosti s\u00a0d\u011bn\u00edm na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b nezv\u00fd\u0161ila stupe\u0148 ohro\u017een\u00ed terorismem. A\u00a0nem\u00e1 ani informace o\u00a0mo\u017en\u00e9m ohro\u017een\u00ed \u010ceska, jak popsal po pond\u011bln\u00ed sch\u016fzi kabinetu ministr vnitra Lubom\u00edr Metnar (ANO). Doplnil, \u017ee policie pos\u00edlila ostrahu u\u00a0R\u00e1dia Svobodn\u00e1 Evropa, u\u00a0m\u00edst vytipovan\u00fdch ve spolupr\u00e1ci se\u00a0\u017eidovskou obc\u00ed \u010di u\u00a0diplomatick\u00fdch objekt\u016f USA, Izraele a\u00a0Palestiny. <\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to souvislosti \u0159ad\u00ed Mare\u0161 nap\u0159\u00edklad sou\u010d\u00e1st R\u00e1dia Svobodn\u00e1 Evropa publikuj\u00edc\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy pro \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 publikum\u00a0\u2013 redakci Radia Farda\u00a0\u2013 k\u00a0ohro\u017een\u00e9mu c\u00edli.<\/p>\n

Riziko radikalizace? Pokud lid\u00e9 p\u0159ijdou o\u00a0bl\u00edzk\u00e9<\/p>\n

\u017de by do\u0161lo k\u00a0v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 radikalizaci muslimsk\u00e9 komunity \u010di p\u0159\u00edmo provl\u00e1dn\u00edch \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f v\u00a0\u010cesku, ale podle Mare\u0161e nen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9. \u201eNemohu vylou\u010dit, \u017ee se mezi m\u00edstn\u00edmi \u00cdr\u00e1nci najdou skupinky, kter\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00fd \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u016f\u017ee vybudit k\u00a0aktivit\u011b. Velmi silnou roli m\u016f\u017ee sehr\u00e1t to, pokud t\u0159eba p\u0159ijdou o\u00a0n\u011bkoho z\u00a0p\u0159\u00edbuzn\u00fdch. To m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt inici\u00e1tor dal\u0161\u00ed radikalizace, ale zat\u00edm o\u00a0tom nem\u00e1m informace,\u201c vysv\u011btluje.<\/p>\n

Kdyby doch\u00e1zelo k\u00a0radikalizaci, t\u00fdkala by se podle n\u011bj u\u017e d\u0159\u00edve radikalizovan\u00fdch struktur, a\u00a0ne nutn\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f. \u201eTyto struktury mohou b\u00fdt napojeny na r\u016fzn\u00e9 \u0161\u00editsk\u00e9 organizace, t\u0159eba na teroristick\u00e9 hnut\u00ed Hizball\u00e1h nebo jin\u00e9 sympatizanty subjekt\u016f z\u00a0Osy zla (ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch \u0161\u00editsk\u00fdch milic\u00ed, Ham\u00e1su apod.),\u201c nasti\u0148uje.<\/p>\n

By\u0165 se stoupenci \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu mohou podle Mare\u0161e soust\u0159edit kolem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho velvyslanectv\u00ed v\u00a0Praze a\u00a0mohou b\u00fdt i\u00a0mezi studenty, na \u010desk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed je podle jeho odhad\u016f sp\u00ed\u0161e v\u00edce opozi\u010dn\u00edch aktivist\u016f nebo t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed se k\u00a0situaci stav\u00ed neutr\u00e1ln\u011b. \u201eTo jsou lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou r\u00e1di, \u017ee jsou v\u00a0evropsk\u00e9 zemi, a\u00a0nesna\u017e\u00ed se v\u00edce politicky profilovat,\u201c nasti\u0148uje.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Proto varuje p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 alarmistick\u00fdmi v\u00fdhledy. Nav\u00edc dod\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1nci, kte\u0159\u00ed dosud p\u0159i\u0161li do \u010ceska, z\u00a0nich\u017e jde ve velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti o\u00a0studenty, pro\u0161li mnohdy pom\u011brn\u011b detailn\u00edm prov\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00edm. \u201eLid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed k\u00a0n\u00e1m p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed, mohou b\u00fdt prov\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1ni bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edmi slo\u017ekami. \u010cesko m\u00e1 pom\u011brn\u011b p\u0159\u00edsnou cizineckou politiku. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed z\u00a0nich mohou b\u00fdt nav\u00edc sp\u00ed\u0161 proz\u00e1padn\u011b nalad\u011bn\u00ed nebo jde o\u00a0protire\u017eimn\u011b nalad\u011bn\u00e9 aktivisty. A\u00a0tak\u00e9 tady mohou b\u00fdt zkr\u00e1tka lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed necht\u011bj\u00ed politiku moc \u0159e\u0161it,\u201c vysv\u011btluje Mare\u0161.<\/p>\n

M\u00edru rizika v\u00a0pond\u011bl\u00ed po jedn\u00e1n\u00ed vl\u00e1dy m\u00edrnil i\u00a0premi\u00e9r Andrej Babi\u0161. \u201eNejsou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 informace od slu\u017eeb i\u00a0ze s\u00edt\u00ed t\u011bch komunit, \u017ee by n\u011bco hrozilo. Ale ur\u010dit\u011b pos\u00edl\u00edme bezpe\u010dnost v\u00a0na\u0161ich ulic\u00edch,\u201c sd\u011blil.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 podle experta m\u016f\u017ee masivn\u011bji k\u00a0radikalizaci \u010d\u00e1sti muslimsk\u00e9 komunity doj\u00edt sp\u00ed\u0161 v\u00a0okoln\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch st\u00e1tech ne\u017e v\u00a0\u010cesku. To ostatn\u011b popsal u\u017e i\u00a0vl\u00e1dn\u00ed zmocn\u011bnec pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Hynek Kmon\u00ed\u010dek.<\/p>\n

Foto: Reuters<\/p>\n

V \u010cesku jsou stoupenci \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu i\u00a0odp\u016frci. Mohou se postavit proti sob\u011b, jak vysv\u011btluje expert na extremismus.<\/p>\n

\u201eTakov\u00e9 \u00fatoky v\u017edycky vy\u017eaduj\u00ed aspo\u0148 n\u011bjak\u00e9 logistick\u00e9 z\u00e1zem\u00ed a\u00a0tomu v\u00edce vyhovuj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed komunity, kde se d\u00e1 l\u00e9pe p\u0159ipravit. U\u00a0n\u00e1s jsou tyto komunity slab\u00e9 a\u00a0nemus\u00ed m\u00edt takov\u00fd z\u00e1jem na tom, j\u00edt do konfrontace s\u00a0hostitelskou zem\u00ed. M\u00e1me tady sice nap\u0159\u00edklad speci\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161\u00editsk\u00e9 modlitebny, ale i\u00a0ty jsou podle m\u011b nyn\u00ed klidn\u00e9 a\u00a0pod dohledem,\u201c popisuje Mare\u0161.<\/p>\n

P\u0159ijde uprchlick\u00e1 vlna?<\/p>\n

V odvet\u011b za izraelsko-americk\u00e9 \u00fadery u\u017e o\u00a0v\u00edkendu \u00cdr\u00e1n spustil proti\u00fatok na americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. D\u00edl\u010d\u00ed riziko podle Miroslava Mare\u0161e hroz\u00ed i\u00a0\u010desk\u00fdm velvyslanectv\u00edm v\u00a0regionu. \u201eAle nemysl\u00edm si, \u017ee \u010desk\u00e9 ambas\u00e1dy jsou prioritn\u00edm c\u00edlem. Kdy\u017e si to ale vezmeme ve vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed toho, \u017ee \u010cesko je br\u00e1no jako sou\u010d\u00e1st proizraelsk\u00fdch a\u00a0proamerick\u00fdch sil, ned\u00e1 se to vylou\u010dit,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee by \u0161lo sp\u00ed\u0161e o\u00a0\u00fatok na z\u00e1padn\u00ed c\u00edle v\u00a0\u0161ir\u0161\u00edm kontextu.<\/p>\n

Je podle n\u011bj tedy nam\u00edst\u011b \u201ebd\u011blost a\u00a0bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed\u201c. <\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 Mare\u0161 nep\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee by \u010cesko m\u011blo b\u00fdt hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem pro migraci z\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu. \u201eD\u011blo se to u\u017e d\u0159\u00edve, n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed dost\u00e1vali azyl s\u00a0ohledem na to, \u017ee byli v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu pron\u00e1sledov\u00e1ni. Ale \u010cesko by nebylo prioritn\u00edm c\u00edlem. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nev\u00edme, co se bude v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu d\u00edt. Pokud by tam vznikla nap\u0159\u00edklad ob\u010dansk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka, tak se d\u00e1 spekulovat o\u00a0masivn\u00ed migra\u010dn\u00ed vln\u011b a\u00a0nastala by snaha evropsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f o\u00a0p\u0159erozd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00ed uprchl\u00edk\u016f. Ale zat\u00edm je to spekulace,\u201c odhaduje.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Podobn\u011b jako je rozd\u011blen\u00e1 tamn\u00ed spole\u010dnost, ani \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 diaspora v\u00a0\u010cesku nen\u00ed jednotn\u00e1. Lednov\u00e1 data Ministerstva vnitra ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":13541,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[17,21,808,6559,6133,16,7659,18,19,22,113,20],"class_list":{"0":"post-13540","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-zpravy","8":"tag-headlines","9":"tag-hlavni-udalosti","10":"tag-iran","11":"tag-islam","12":"tag-izraelsko-iransky-konflikt","13":"tag-news","14":"tag-radikalismus","15":"tag-top-news","16":"tag-top-stories","17":"tag-udalosti-dne","18":"tag-usa","19":"tag-zpravy"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116170100439149293","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13540","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13540"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13540\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13541"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13540"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13540"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13540"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}