Rusko zvolilo taktiku, kter\u00e1 zt\u00ed\u017eila obranu. Vyslalo v\u00edce dron\u016f poh\u00e1n\u011bn\u00fdch proudov\u00fdm motorem, kter\u00e9 se kv\u016fli rychlosti a\u017e 500\u00a0km\/h neda\u0159\u00ed ni\u010dit dosud u\u017e\u00edvan\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky proti dron\u016fm. \u00datok veden\u00fd na civiln\u00ed objekty, k\u00a0nim\u017e bylo podle rusk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f pou\u017eito vysoce p\u0159esn\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee Rusko nem\u00e1 skrupule. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto je pot\u0159eba na Moskvu zatla\u010dit.<\/p>\n
Je k\u00a0tomu p\u0159\u00edhodn\u00e1 doba. Rusko \u010del\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9m\u016fm. Kdy\u017e rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin p\u0159ipustil pot\u00ed\u017ee v\u00a0z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed palivy, znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee jsou opravdu velk\u00e9. Jinak se v\u00a0Putinov\u011b imp\u00e9riu o\u00a0probl\u00e9mech nemluv\u00ed. Stejn\u00e9 je to s\u00a0p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00edm, \u017ee na Krymu nen\u00ed benz\u00edn. To neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee p\u00e1r pump nem\u00e1 palivo, ale \u017ee nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1, kde by \u0161lo benz\u00edn na\u010derpat za kup\u00f3ny, na jejich\u017e z\u00e1klad\u011b se p\u0159id\u011bluje. Kde nic nen\u00ed, ani smrt nebere.<\/p>\n
Putin samoz\u0159ejm\u011b sl\u00edbil, \u017ee se v\u0161e brzy vy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed. Tot\u00e9\u017e \u0159ekl Dagest\u00e1nc\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed se po \u00fanorov\u00fdch povodn\u00edch ocitli bez pomoci. Nepomohla ani v\u00fdm\u011bna \u0161pi\u010dek dagest\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed.<\/p>\n
V prvn\u00edch dvou m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch roku 2026\u00a0Rusko zas\u00e1hl siln\u00fd pokles HDP, kdy mnoh\u00e9 podniky nevyr\u00e1b\u011bly v\u016fbec. Neda\u0159ilo se ani firm\u00e1m vyr\u00e1b\u011bj\u00edc\u00edm zbran\u011b. Rusku nepomohlo ani zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed sankc\u00ed. Vyvezlo sice rekordn\u00ed mno\u017estv\u00ed ropy, ov\u0161em p\u0159\u00edjmy p\u0159es r\u016fst jej\u00ed ceny nestouply.<\/p>\n
Kreml m\u00e1 tolik probl\u00e9m\u016f, \u017ee nen\u00ed s\u00a0to v\u0161echny \u0159e\u0161it a\u00a0nem\u016f\u017ee je d\u00e1l tajit, \u010deho\u017e je t\u0159eba vyu\u017e\u00edt. Takov\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost by se nemusela zopakovat.<\/p>\n
Putinovi pomalu p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 sta\u010dit i\u00a0v\u00fdmluva na v\u00e1lku, kter\u00e1 od ka\u017ed\u00e9ho vy\u017eaduje ob\u011bti. Rusov\u00e9 sice jsou zvykl\u00ed se uskrom\u0148ovat, ale nedostatek benz\u00ednu a\u00a0\u00fatoky na Moskvu zas\u00e1hly i (vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed) st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddu, kter\u00e1 je oporou re\u017eimu a\u00a0j\u00ed\u017e se dosud v\u00e1lka nedot\u00fdkala. Odep\u0159\u00edt si cestu na dovolenou, proto\u017ee nen\u00ed benz\u00edn, je nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9, ale d\u00e1 se to p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt. Ho\u0159\u00edc\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00edk ropy u\u00a0Moskvy v\u0161ak uk\u00e1zal zranitelnost Moskvy. Kdy\u017e Rusko u\u017e nedok\u00e1\u017ee uchr\u00e1nit p\u0159ed \u00fatoky ani metropoli, n\u011bkter\u00e9 napadne, jestli n\u011bjak\u00fd Donbas stoj\u00ed za v\u0161echny ty \u00fatrapy.<\/p>\n
Probl\u00e9my nemohly p\u0159ij\u00edt pro Putina v\u00a0m\u00e9n\u011b vhodnou dobu. Rusko na podzim \u010dekaj\u00ed parlamentn\u00ed volby. V\u00fdsledek je p\u0159edem jasn\u00fd, Jednotn\u00e9 Rusko vyhraje. Na tom \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u00fatoky nic nezm\u011bn\u00ed, ale Putin pot\u0159ebuje pro pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky z\u00edskat siln\u00fd mand\u00e1t, co\u017e mu te\u010f svazuje ruce.<\/p>\n
Na front\u011b by rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da pot\u0159ebovala v\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f, mobilizovat p\u0159ed volbami si v\u0161ak ani rusk\u00fd prezident nedovol\u00ed. Za celou dobu v\u00e1lky mobilizoval jen na podzim 2022, co\u017e nikdy nezopakoval. Nezvl\u00e1dnut\u00e1 plo\u0161n\u00e1 mobilizace a\u00a0vysl\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f na frontu bez pat\u0159i\u010dn\u00e9ho vybaven\u00ed a\u00a0v\u00fdcviku vyvolalo velkou kritiku a\u00a0podkop\u00e1valo pozici novodob\u00e9ho rusk\u00e9ho cara.<\/p>\n
Zelenskyj dob\u0159e pochopil, jak dostat Rusko pod tlak a\u00a0m\u00e1 na to i\u00a0prost\u0159edky. Te\u010f jde o\u00a0to, jestli j\u00edm spu\u0161t\u011bnou \u010dty\u0159icetidenn\u00ed operaci, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 Rusko dov\u00e9st k\u00a0jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, Z\u00e1pad podpo\u0159\u00ed a\u00a0pom\u016f\u017ee Ukrajin\u011b dal\u0161\u00edmi zbran\u011bmi pro \u00fatoky v\u00a0rusk\u00e9m t\u00fdlu, tak\u017ee se p\u0159eru\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed Krymu. Kv\u016fli rusk\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm je pot\u0159eba pos\u00edlit i\u00a0protiraketovou obranu, co\u017e zazn\u00edv\u00e1 opakovan\u011b. <\/p>\n
Sou\u010dasn\u011b je pot\u0159eba tla\u010dit na Rusko politicky, aby za\u010dalo jednat o\u00a0skute\u010dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a\u00a0nep\u0159in\u00e1\u0161elo jen n\u00e1vrhy, jak dos\u00e1hnout levn\u011b a\u00a0bezbolestn\u011b sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, kdy je podm\u00ednkou klidu zbran\u00ed odevzd\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se dosud Rus\u016fm nepoda\u0159ilo dob\u00fdt. Kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli sehr\u00e1t u\u017e summit NATO v\u00a0Anka\u0159e, pokud Donald Trump podpo\u0159\u00ed Ukrajinu a\u00a0aliance bude jednotn\u00e1, bude to vzkaz Kremlu. <\/p>\n
Vytou\u017een\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed by p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed na linii fronty ani pro jednu stranu nep\u0159ineslo, ale pro str\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00ed Ukrajince by to \u00fasp\u011bch byl. P\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost se nemus\u00ed zopakovat. Po volb\u00e1ch bude m\u00edt Putin voln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ruce. Myslet je t\u0159eba i\u00a0na hrozbu, \u017ee by Putina mohl vyst\u0159\u00eddat n\u011bkdo radik\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, jako se to stalo v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu, tak\u017ee by se nem\u011blo v\u00e1hat a\u00a0pohrozit Rusku, \u017ee bu\u010f za\u010dne skute\u010dn\u011b jednat, nebo ponese n\u00e1sledky. Alibisticky si myslet, \u017ee v\u0161e vy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed n\u011bjak sami Ukrajinci, by bylo nejen bl\u00e1hov\u00e9, ale hloup\u00e9. Nen\u00ed to jen jejich konflikt, jak nazna\u010duje Babi\u0161, ale hrozba pro n\u00e1s.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Rusko zvolilo taktiku, kter\u00e1 zt\u00ed\u017eila obranu. Vyslalo v\u00edce dron\u016f poh\u00e1n\u011bn\u00fdch proudov\u00fdm motorem, kter\u00e9 se kv\u016fli rychlosti a\u017e 500\u00a0km\/h…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":120456,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[10],"tags":[11452,17,21,138,16,11764,61,18,19,22,56,166,20],"class_list":["post-138022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-zpravy","tag-antiraketa","tag-headlines","tag-hlavni-udalosti","tag-komentare","tag-news","tag-ofenziva","tag-rusko","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-udalosti-dne","tag-valka-rusko-ukrajina","tag-vladimir-putin","tag-zpravy"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116860429521458555","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138022","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=138022"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138022\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/120456"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=138022"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=138022"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=138022"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}