{"id":144564,"date":"2026-07-10T22:19:15","date_gmt":"2026-07-10T22:19:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/144564\/"},"modified":"2026-07-10T22:19:15","modified_gmt":"2026-07-10T22:19:15","slug":"bitcoin-ma-podle-jednoho-z-nejspolehlivejsich-ukazatelu-namireno-jeste-niz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/144564\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin m\u00e1 podle jednoho z nejspolehliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch ukazatel\u016f nam\u00ed\u0159eno je\u0161t\u011b n\u00ed\u017e"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin se moment\u00e1ln\u011b pohybuje nad hranic\u00ed 60 000 dolar\u016f, ale hned n\u011bkolik nez\u00e1visl\u00fdch analytick\u00fdch ukazatel\u016f nazna\u010duje, \u017ee nejhor\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu mo\u017en\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b nep\u0159i\u0161la.<\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd on-chain ukazatel ukazuje je\u0161t\u011b dol\u016f<\/p>\n

Analytick\u00e1 platforma CryptoQuant ned\u00e1vno upozornila na ukazatel NUPL, tedy pom\u011br nerealizovan\u00e9ho zisku a ztr\u00e1ty dr\u017eitel\u016f bitcoinu. Historie mluv\u00ed jasn\u011b. <\/p>\n

Poka\u017ed\u00e9, kdy\u017e 100denn\u00ed klouzav\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br NUPL klesl pod nulu, bitcoin si vytvo\u0159il cyklick\u00e9 dno, a\u0165 u\u017e \u0161lo o konec roku 2011 kolem 2 dolar\u016f, za\u010d\u00e1tek roku 2015 na 182 dolarech, prosinec 2018 na 3 206 dolarech, nebo listopad 2022 na 15 792 dolarech.<\/p>\n

\"V\u00fdvojV\u00fdvoj bitcoinov\u00e9ho ukazatele NUPL nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d cykly. Zdroj: CryptoQuant<\/p>\n

Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b se tento ukazatel pohybuje kolem hodnoty 0,215, tedy po\u0159\u00e1d v kladn\u00fdch \u010d\u00edslech. Aby historie zopakovala sv\u016fj vzorec, musel by bitcoin podle propo\u010dtu spadnout je\u0161t\u011b citeln\u011b n\u00ed\u017e, teoreticky a\u017e pod 55 000 dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n

Jin\u00e9 ukazatele naopak nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee dno je na dosah<\/p>\n

Odli\u0161n\u00fd obr\u00e1zek nab\u00edz\u00ed anal\u00fdza od K33, podle kter\u00e9 je aktu\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159es polovinu ve\u0161ker\u00e9ho bitcoinu v nerealizovan\u00e9 ztr\u00e1t\u011b. \u00darove\u0148 se v minulosti objevovala jen v pozdn\u00edch f\u00e1z\u00edch medv\u011bd\u00edch trh\u016f<\/a>, t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed jejich koncem.<\/p>\n

V roce 2017 p\u0159i\u0161lo dno 31 dn\u00ed po dosa\u017een\u00ed t\u00e9to \u00farovn\u011b, v listopadu 2018 to bylo 23 dn\u00ed a po krachu FTX v roce 2022 dokonce jen 13 dn\u00ed. Jedinou v\u00fdjimkou z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 rok 2014, kdy bitcoin i po tomto sign\u00e1lu je\u0161t\u011b propadl o dal\u0161\u00edch 46 % a na dno do\u0161el a\u017e po 101 dnech.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin se nav\u00edc ned\u00e1vno poprv\u00e9 v tomto cyklu dostal pod sv\u016fj 200t\u00fddenn\u00ed klouzav\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br, hranici, kterou historicky doprov\u00e1zelo \u00fapln\u011b ka\u017ed\u00e9 medv\u011bd\u00ed dno. Soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s t\u00edm klesl i index strachu a chamtivosti na hodnotu 8, tedy do p\u00e1sma extr\u00e9mn\u00edho strachu.<\/p>\n

Ani jeden z t\u011bchto sign\u00e1l\u016f s\u00e1m o sob\u011b nic negarantuje. Spole\u010dn\u011b ale ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee bitcoin se pohybuje v oblasti, kterou historicky prov\u00e1zely posledn\u00ed f\u00e1ze medv\u011bd\u00edch trh\u016f.<\/p>\n

P\u0159idejte si n\u00e1\u0161 web mezi sledovan\u00e9 zdroje na Google News<\/p>\n

A\u0165 v\u00e1m neunikne \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 novinka ze sv\u011bta kryptom\u011bn<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoin se moment\u00e1ln\u011b pohybuje nad hranic\u00ed 60 000 dolar\u016f, ale hned n\u011bkolik nez\u00e1visl\u00fdch analytick\u00fdch ukazatel\u016f nazna\u010duje, \u017ee nejhor\u0161\u00ed…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":144565,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[183,37694,3244,67,68,16268],"class_list":["post-144564","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-byznys","tag-aktuality","tag-bear-market","tag-bitcoin","tag-business","tag-byznys","tag-kryptomena"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116898009374279079","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144564","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=144564"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144564\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/144565"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=144564"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=144564"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=144564"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}