{"id":145494,"date":"2026-07-12T08:14:13","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T08:14:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/145494\/"},"modified":"2026-07-12T08:14:13","modified_gmt":"2026-07-12T08:14:13","slug":"volici-oznamkovali-strany-kterym-dali-hlas-nejhur-dopadli-motoriste","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/145494\/","title":{"rendered":"Voli\u010di ozn\u00e1mkovali strany, kter\u00fdm dali hlas. Nejh\u016f\u0159 dopadli Motorist\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"

Na konci p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho t\u00fddne se poslanci odeberou na sn\u011bmovn\u00ed pr\u00e1zdniny a\u00a0doln\u00ed komora Parlamentu na \u010das p\u0159estane projedn\u00e1vat z\u00e1kony. Voli\u010di proto dostali mo\u017enost vystavit vysv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed stran\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 si v\u00a0\u0159\u00edjnu zvolili. <\/p>\n

Z exkluzivn\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu agentury STEM\/MARK pro Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee si nikdo a\u017e na opozi\u010dn\u00ed Starosty oproti lednu nepolep\u0161il. Hodnocen\u00ed skoro 1400\u00a0respondent\u016f ale ukazuje, \u017ee ve vl\u00e1d\u011b sed\u00ed dva naprosto odli\u0161n\u00ed \u201e\u017e\u00e1ci\u201c.<\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm z\u00a0nich jsou Motorist\u00e9, kter\u00e9 jedni\u010dkou \u010di dvojkou ohodnotilo 35\u00a0procent jejich voli\u010d\u016f. To je nejhor\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledek ze v\u0161ech pozorovan\u00fdch stran. P\u011btina podporovatel\u016f Motorist\u016f dokonce dala stran\u011b Petra Macinky p\u011btku a\u00a011\u00a0procent \u010dty\u0159ku. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 jin\u00e1 strana tak negativn\u00ed hodnocen\u00ed neobdr\u017eela.<\/p>\n

\u201ePravd\u011bpodobn\u011b jsou voli\u010di Motorist\u016f zklaman\u00ed z\u00a0krok\u016f n\u011bkter\u00fdch jejich p\u0159edstavitel\u016f \u010di z\u00a0jejich celkov\u00e9 politiky. M\u011bli p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed heslo, \u017ee pohl\u00eddaj\u00ed premi\u00e9ra Andreje Babi\u0161e. A\u00a0pro n\u011bkter\u00e9 voli\u010de to heslo nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt \u00fapln\u011b napl\u0148ov\u00e1no podle jejich p\u0159edstav,\u201c objas\u0148uje analytik agentury STEM\/MARK Jan Burianec. \u010c\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b to p\u0159ipisuje tak\u00e9 prom\u011bn\u011b jejich voli\u010dsk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00e1st lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed Motoristy volili v\u00a0minul\u00fdch sn\u011bmovn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch, se od strany mohla odklonit. \u201eN\u011bkter\u00e9 voli\u010de ztratili, jin\u00e9 ale mohli sv\u00fdmi kroky a\u00a0vystupov\u00e1n\u00edm naopak z\u00edskat,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk. <\/p>\n

Podle pr\u016fzkumu voli\u010dsk\u00fdch preferenc\u00ed STEM\/MARK z\u00a0poloviny \u010dervna se Motorist\u00e9 pohybuj\u00ed na hran\u011b zvolen\u00ed do Sn\u011bmovny. S\u00a0v\u00fdsledkem 5,3\u00a0procenta by se tak do doln\u00ed komory Parlamentu t\u011bsn\u011b probojovali, s\u00a0p\u0159ihl\u00e9dnut\u00edm ke statistick\u00e9 chyb\u011b to ale nelze tvrdit s\u00a0jistotou. P\u0159edseda Petr Macinka je v\u0161ak p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00fd o\u00a0tom, \u017ee v\u00fdsledky jeho strany jsou v\u00a0pr\u016fzkumech podhodnocen\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Spokojen\u00ed voli\u010di ANO<\/p>\n

Na opa\u010dn\u00e9 stran\u011b \u201et\u0159\u00eddn\u00edho\u201c \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku pak skon\u010dilo hnut\u00ed ANO, jeho\u017e voli\u010di z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed sv\u00fdm politick\u00fdm sv\u011b\u0159enc\u016fm dlouhodob\u011b v\u011brn\u00ed. Skoro t\u0159i \u010dtvrtiny z\u00a0nich hodnot\u00ed v\u00fdkon hnut\u00ed Andreje Babi\u0161e jako v\u00fdborn\u00fd \u010di chvalitebn\u00fd. Zn\u00e1mky \u010dty\u0159i a\u00a0p\u011bt pak ud\u011blilo nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu vl\u00e1dn\u00edmu subjektu jen p\u011bt procent dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch.<\/p>\n

\u201eZ v\u00fdzkum\u016f volebn\u00edch preferenc\u00ed konkuren\u010dn\u00edch agentur vid\u00edme, \u017ee s\u00edla ANO spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00a0jeho z\u00e1kladn\u011b, jej\u00ed\u017e zna\u010dnou \u010d\u00e1st tvo\u0159\u00ed skaln\u00ed nebo j\u00e1drov\u00ed voli\u010di. Tedy ti, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou ke stran\u011b velmi loaj\u00e1ln\u00ed. Tak\u017ee i\u00a0kdyby strana nebo n\u011bkter\u00fd z\u00a0jej\u00edch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f klop\u00fdtli, budou j\u00ed st\u00e1le naklon\u011bni,\u201c vysv\u011btluje Jan Burianec.<\/p>\n

Co dal\u0161\u00edho pr\u016fzkum zjistil:<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee se v\u00fdsledky hnut\u00ed ANO oproti lednu leto\u0161n\u00edho roku o\u00a0n\u011bkolik procentn\u00edch bod\u016f propadly, st\u00e1le se ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0ostatn\u00edmi parlamentn\u00edmi stranami dr\u017e\u00ed na zdaleka nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch hodnot\u00e1ch. V\u00a0posledn\u00edm volebn\u00edm modelu STEM\/MARK z\u00a0poloviny \u010dervna z\u00edskalo ANO 32,2\u00a0procenta, tedy v\u00edce ne\u017e dvojn\u00e1sobn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek oproti druh\u00e9mu hnut\u00ed STAN.<\/p>\n

Podle Buriance je nav\u00edc pokles preferenc\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f po volb\u00e1ch naprosto standardn\u00ed. P\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee voli\u010di \u201evyst\u0159\u00edzliv\u00ed\u201c a\u00a0zjist\u00ed, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 sliby nelze \u00fapln\u011b realizovat.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e klesaj\u00ed preference vl\u00e1dn\u00edm stran\u00e1m, roste podpora opozi\u010dn\u00edch politik\u016f. Takov\u00fd posun je v\u0161ak pozorovateln\u00fd pouze u\u00a0Starost\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed si oproti lednu v\u00a0hodnocen\u00ed sv\u00fdch voli\u010d\u016f jako jedin\u00fd parlamentn\u00ed subjekt lehce polep\u0161ili. D\u016fvod\u016f m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt podle analytika Jana Buriance v\u00edce: Pro voli\u010de opozice mohou b\u00fdt nejviditeln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, kritizuj\u00ed vl\u00e1du, p\u0159edkl\u00e1daj\u00ed vlastn\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Odborn\u00edk ale p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159esnou odpov\u011b\u010f je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 odhadnout.<\/p>\n

Z opozi\u010dn\u00edch \u0159ad jsou nejm\u00e9n\u011b spokojen\u00ed podporovatel\u00e9 Pir\u00e1t\u016f. \u201eJejich voli\u010di jsou sp\u00ed\u0161e mlad\u0161\u00ed lid\u00e9 liber\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00edho my\u0161len\u00ed, \u010dast\u011bji z\u00a0v\u011bt\u0161\u00edch m\u011bst. A\u00a0pr\u00e1v\u011b to jsou jako tak\u00e9 voli\u010di, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou t\u011bkav\u00ed, hodn\u011b reaguj\u00ed na aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed spole\u010denskou situaci a\u00a0pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b maj\u00ed dojem, \u017ee p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 Pir\u00e1t\u016f by mohli b\u00fdt v\u00a0nab\u00edzen\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed nebo kritice vl\u00e1dy o\u00a0n\u011bco aktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed,\u201c dod\u00e1v\u00e1 analytik.<\/p>\n

S p\u0159isp\u011bn\u00edm Zuzany Najvrtov\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Metodika v\u00fdzkumu<\/p>\n

Longitudin\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdzkum agentury STEM\/MARK je reprezentativn\u00ed na voli\u010de, kte\u0159\u00ed volili v\u00a0\u0159\u00edjnov\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch do Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovny Parlamentu \u010cR 2025.\u00a0Data jsou v\u00e1\u017eena dle skute\u010dn\u00e9ho pod\u00edlu skupin: a) vl\u00e1dn\u00edch voli\u010d\u016f, b) opozi\u010dn\u00edch voli\u010d\u016f, c) voli\u010d\u016f neparlamentn\u00edch stran. V\u00a0druh\u00e9 vln\u011b (sb\u011br prob\u00edhal mezi 13.\u00a0kv\u011btnem a\u00a02.\u00a0\u010dervnem 2026) odpov\u011bd\u011blo celkem 1385\u00a0voli\u010d\u016f z\u00a0voleb do Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovny v\u00a0roce 2025.\u00a0Reprezentativita v\u00fdb\u011bru je zaji\u0161t\u011bna prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm kv\u00f3tn\u00edho v\u00fdb\u011bru dle sociodemografick\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f voli\u010d\u016f na z\u00e1klad\u011b povolebn\u00edho v\u00fdzkumu pro Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy. <\/p>\n

Voli\u010di do PS 2025\u00a0ve v\u011bku 18+.<\/p>\n

Neodm\u00edtaj\u00ed sd\u011blit zvolenou stranu do PS 2025.<\/p>\n

Vyplnili kompletn\u011b dotazn\u00edk v\u00a01.\u00a0vln\u011b v\u00fdzkumu (16.\u201327.1. 2026).<\/p>\n

Detaily ter\u00e9nn\u00edho \u0161et\u0159en\u00ed<\/p>\n

Metodika: CAWI dotazov\u00e1n\u00ed | V\u00fdb\u011br: kv\u00f3tn\u00ed<\/p>\n

Po\u010det realizovan\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f:<\/p>\n

V\u0161ichni voli\u010di: n = 1385, z toho:1) Voli\u010di vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran: n = 6802) Voli\u010di opozi\u010dn\u00edch stran: n = 6043) Voli\u010di stran mimo PS: n = 101<\/p>\n

Data: v\u00e1\u017een\u00e1 podle skute\u010dn\u00e9ho pod\u00edlu skupin voli\u010d\u016f vl\u00e1dn\u00edch \/ opozi\u010dn\u00edch \/ mimo PS stran na v\u00fdsledc\u00edch voleb do PS 2025<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Na konci p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho t\u00fddne se poslanci odeberou na sn\u011bmovn\u00ed pr\u00e1zdniny a\u00a0doln\u00ed komora Parlamentu na \u010das p\u0159estane projedn\u00e1vat z\u00e1kony.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":145495,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[11],"tags":[561,647,1193,5431,1005,7295,54,562,1338,53,52],"class_list":["post-145494","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-hnuti-ano","tag-motoriste-sobe","tag-opozice","tag-politicke-strany","tag-pruzkum","tag-stem","tag-svet","tag-vlada-andreje-babise","tag-volici","tag-world","tag-world-news"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116906011468798668","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/145494","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=145494"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/145494\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/145495"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=145494"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=145494"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=145494"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}