{"id":147893,"date":"2026-07-14T18:46:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T18:46:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/147893\/"},"modified":"2026-07-14T18:46:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T18:46:10","slug":"evropa-se-dramaticky-smrstuje-kdo-vydela-na-duchody-ve-hre-jsou-tri-skupiny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/147893\/","title":{"rendered":"Evropa se dramaticky smr\u0161\u0165uje. Kdo vyd\u011bl\u00e1 na d\u016fchody? Ve h\u0159e jsou t\u0159i skupiny"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Po\u010det obyvatel evropsk\u00e9ho bloku dos\u00e1hne sv\u00e9ho vrcholu v roce 2029, pot\u00e9 v\u0161ak za\u010dne nezvratn\u00fd a prudk\u00fd se\u0161up. Nov\u00e1 demografick\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va varuje, \u017ee se do konce stolet\u00ed populace unijn\u00edho bloku zmen\u0161\u00ed o t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 12 procent na necel\u00fdch 400 milion\u016f lid\u00ed, co\u017e n\u00e1s vr\u00e1t\u00ed do 70. let minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed. Kv\u016fli n\u00edzk\u00e9 porodnosti a prodlu\u017euj\u00edc\u00edmu se v\u011bku do\u017eit\u00ed bude do roku 2050 ka\u017ed\u00fd t\u0159et\u00ed Evropan star\u0161\u00ed 65 let, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e trh pr\u00e1ce p\u0159ijde v pr\u016fm\u011bru o 1,2 milionu pracuj\u00edc\u00edch ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00e9n\u011b pracuj\u00edc\u00edch brzy ponese n\u00e1klady na v\u00edce d\u016fchodc\u016f. Po\u010det obyvatel evropsk\u00e9ho bloku dos\u00e1hne vrcholu 453 milion\u016f. Ale do roku 2100 se zmen\u0161\u00ed pod 400 milion\u016f, ukazuje nov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va Evropsk\u00e9 komise. Brusel tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee tato demografick\u00e1 revoluce znamen\u00e1 z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost.<\/p>\n<p>Od roku 2029 pokles<\/p>\n<p>Evropsk\u00e1 komise zve\u0159ejnila u\u017e svou t\u0159et\u00ed demografickou zpr\u00e1vu. Ukazuje, \u017ee po\u010det obyvatel EU bude r\u016fst jen n\u011bkolik let. Vrcholu m\u00e1 po\u010det obyvatel EU dos\u00e1hnout v roce 2029, pak za\u010dne pomal\u00fd pokles. <\/p>\n<p>Na zhruba 445 milion\u016f do roku 2050, pot\u00e9 na 398,8 milionu do roku 2100. To p\u0159edstavuje sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed po\u010dtu obyvatel o 11,7 procenta ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s dne\u0161kem. Unii by to vr\u00e1tilo k velikosti populace, kterou m\u011bla ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b 70. let.<\/p>\n<p>Porodnost st\u00e1le kles\u00e1<\/p>\n<p>M\u00edra porodnosti z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 hlavn\u00edm faktorem. Ani pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed \u010dist\u00e1 migrace nedok\u00e1\u017ee vyrovnat rostouc\u00ed rozd\u00edl mezi porodnost\u00ed a \u00famrtnost\u00ed v cel\u00e9 Unii. Evropan\u00e9 se nav\u00edc do\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed st\u00e1le vy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u011bku. O\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 d\u00e9lka \u017eivota p\u0159i narozen\u00ed dos\u00e1hla p\u0159edloni 81,5 let.<\/p>\n<p> Do roku 2100 by mohla u \u017een p\u0159ekro\u010dit 90 let a u mu\u017e\u016f 86 let. T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ka\u017ed\u00fd t\u0159et\u00ed obyvatel Unie bude do roku 2050 ve v\u011bku 65 let nebo star\u0161\u00ed, oproti dne\u0161n\u00edmu stavu, kdy to je jeden z p\u011bti.<\/p>\n<p>Zmen\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed se kontinent<\/p>\n<p>Trh pr\u00e1ce u\u017e demografick\u00e9 zm\u011bny poci\u0165uje. Projekce Eurostatu ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee populace v produktivn\u00edm v\u011bku, tedy osoby ve v\u011bku 15 a\u017e 64 let, se v letech 2025 a\u017e 2050 zmen\u0161\u00ed v pr\u016fm\u011bru o 1,2 milionu lid\u00ed ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Zpr\u00e1va poukazuje na t\u0159i skupiny, kter\u00e9 by mohly tento deficit zm\u00edrnit. \u017deny tvo\u0159\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed skupinu. Rozd\u00edl v zam\u011bstnanosti \u017een a mu\u017e\u016f v EU \u010din\u00ed n\u011bco m\u00e1lo p\u0159es 10 procentn\u00edch bod\u016f. U \u017een to je 70,8 procenta pracuj\u00edc\u00edch, u mu\u017e\u016f 80,8 procenta.<\/p>\n<p>Star\u0161\u00ed pracovn\u00edci tvo\u0159\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed skupinu. Zam\u011bstnanost mezi lidmi ve v\u011bku 55 a\u017e 64 let ji\u017e prudce vzrostla. Mezi lety 2016 a 2025 o 13,5 procentn\u00edho bodu u \u017een a 12,2 procentn\u00edho bodu u mu\u017e\u016f. Osm milion\u016f mlad\u00fdch lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b nepracuj\u00ed ani nestuduj\u00ed, p\u0159edstavuje t\u0159et\u00ed skupinu nevyu\u017eit\u00e9ho potenci\u00e1lu, pokud z\u00edskaj\u00ed spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 dovednosti.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"819\" height=\"546\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/suica-819x546-1.jpg\" alt=\"Dubravka \u0160uicov\u00e1\" class=\"wp-image-142621\"  \/>Evropsk\u00e1 komisa\u0159ka Dubravka \u0160uicov\u00e1 vn\u00edm\u00e1 demografick\u00e9 zm\u011bny kontinentu jako p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost. Foto: Evropsk\u00e1 komise<\/p>\n<p>Bez migrace to nep\u016fjde<\/p>\n<p>Pomoci m\u016f\u017ee i migrace. Kvalifikovan\u00ed pracovn\u00edci ze t\u0159et\u00edch zem\u00ed ji\u017e nyn\u00ed zapl\u0148uj\u00ed voln\u00e1 m\u00edsta v odv\u011btv\u00edch, kter\u00e1 se pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed s nedostatkem pracovn\u00edk\u016f. Zpr\u00e1va tak\u00e9 zd\u016fraz\u0148uje jednu prioritu. Zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed kvalifikace lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e v Unii \u017eij\u00ed. Nic z toho ale nen\u00ed zadarmo.<\/p>\n<p>Del\u0161\u00ed \u017eivot znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00edce lid\u00ed bude pot\u0159ebovat pomoc ve st\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Po\u010det Evropan\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed dlouhodobou p\u00e9\u010di, by se m\u011bl do roku 2070 zv\u00fd\u0161it ze sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 36 milion\u016f na 48 milion\u016f. Pod\u00edl lid\u00ed ve v\u011bku 80 let a star\u0161\u00edch se ve stejn\u00e9m obdob\u00ed zdvojn\u00e1sob\u00ed, stoupne z 6,2 procenta na 13,3 procenta populace. Zdravotn\u00ed, pe\u010dovatelsk\u00e9 a penzijn\u00ed syst\u00e9my budou v d\u016fsledku toho \u010delit rostouc\u00edmu tlaku.<\/p>\n<p>Prom\u011bna v\u00fdzvy v p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost<\/p>\n<p>Navzdory rizik\u016fm Komise vn\u00edm\u00e1 demografickou transformaci kontinentu sp\u00ed\u0161e jako p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost ne\u017e hrozbu. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee del\u0161\u00ed a zdrav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u017eivoty budou poh\u00e1n\u011bt takzvanou st\u0159\u00edbrnou ekonomiku, trh s produkty a slu\u017ebami p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00fdmi star\u0161\u00edm ob\u010dan\u016fm. A tak\u00e9 podpo\u0159\u00ed pracovn\u00ed m\u00edsta ve zdravotnictv\u00ed, technologi\u00edch a finan\u010dn\u00edch slu\u017eb\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eEvropsk\u00e1 populace se m\u011bn\u00ed a evropsk\u00e9 politiky se s n\u00ed mus\u00ed m\u011bnit,\u201c uvedla evropsk\u00e1 komisa\u0159ka Dubravka \u0160uicov\u00e1 p\u0159i prezentaci zpr\u00e1vy. Dodala, \u017ee demografii ji\u017e nelze pova\u017eovat za samostatn\u00fd probl\u00e9m.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Po\u010det obyvatel evropsk\u00e9ho bloku dos\u00e1hne sv\u00e9ho vrcholu v roce 2029, pot\u00e9 v\u0161ak za\u010dne nezvratn\u00fd a prudk\u00fd se\u0161up. Nov\u00e1&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":147894,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3],"tags":[578,570,9887,109,108,106,249,571,4334,30993,342],"class_list":["post-147893","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-evropa","tag-demografie","tag-dubravka-suicova","tag-duchody","tag-europa","tag-europe","tag-evropa","tag-evropska-komise","tag-evropska-unie","tag-porodnost","tag-socialni-systemy","tag-zdravotnictvi"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116919821135883833","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147893","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=147893"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147893\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/147894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=147893"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=147893"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=147893"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}