{"id":147950,"date":"2026-07-14T20:15:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T20:15:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/147950\/"},"modified":"2026-07-14T20:15:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T20:15:10","slug":"predni-ekonomove-varuji-pred-prekvapivym-scenarem-ai-muze-prinest-bohatstvi-i-chaos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/147950\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u0159edn\u00ed ekonomov\u00e9 varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed p\u0159ekvapiv\u00fdm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em. AI m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159in\u00e9st bohatstv\u00ed i chaos"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ti, kdo v n\u00e1stupu um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence vid\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161 riziko, \u017ee p\u0159iprav\u00ed mnoho lid\u00ed o pr\u00e1ci a ned\u00e1 jim \u010das se p\u0159izp\u016fsobit, se rozch\u00e1zej\u00ed s t\u011bmi, kdo v n\u00ed vid\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k dramaticky rychlej\u0161\u00edmu r\u016fstu bohatstv\u00ed a \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b. Proch\u00e1z\u00edme n\u00e1sobn\u011b nejrychlej\u0161\u00ed technologickou revoluc\u00ed v d\u011bjin\u00e1ch. Na p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00ed se nov\u00fdm podm\u00ednk\u00e1m bude oproti \u00e9\u0159e p\u0159edchoz\u00edch technologick\u00fdch zlom\u016f nesrovnateln\u011b m\u00e9n\u011b \u010dasu. Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky zn\u011bj\u00ed: Kolika lidem vezme AI jejich dosavadn\u00ed pr\u00e1ci? Jak\u00e9 schopnosti pln\u011b nahrad\u00ed? Jak\u00e9 budou naopak nenahraditeln\u00e9? A v jak\u00fdch profes\u00edch nov\u00e1 pracovn\u00ed m\u00edsta vzniknou?\u00a0<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00ed proud strachu a obav<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00edm proudem debaty je zat\u00edm strach ze ztr\u00e1ty p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoha pracovn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed v p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 kr\u00e1tk\u00e9m \u010dase, tak\u017ee se lid\u00e9 nedok\u00e1\u017eou p\u0159izp\u016fsobit a vytvo\u0159it si jin\u00e9 pracovn\u00ed uplatn\u011bn\u00ed. P\u0159edn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00ed ekonomov\u00e9 a v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159i AI v \u010dele se \u0161\u00e9fem Anthropicu Dariem Amodeim varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed masovou nezam\u011bstnanost\u00ed a dramaticky rychl\u00fdm r\u016fstem nerovnosti, kter\u00fd spole\u010dnosti politicky neustoj\u00ed, a t\u00edm z\u00e1sadn\u011b ohroz\u00ed demokracii. Vyz\u00fdvaj\u00ed proto politiky, aby u\u017e nyn\u00ed za\u010dali prom\u00fd\u0161let sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e nov\u00fdch instituc\u00ed pro \u00e9ru AI.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Nov\u00e9 instituce a pojistky AI \u00e9ry<\/p>\n

V pond\u011bl\u00ed vystoupilo n\u011bkolik stovek p\u0159edn\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch ekonom\u016f v \u010dele se \u0161estn\u00e1cti nositeli Nobelovy ceny za ekonomii a technologick\u00fdmi byznysmeny s kr\u00e1tkou a nal\u00e9havou v\u00fdzvou. Jsou mezi nimi t\u0159eba pr\u00e1v\u011b Amodei z\u00a0Anthropicu, nobelist\u00e9 Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson nebo zn\u00e1m\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd historik a\u00a0spisovatel Niall Ferguson. V\u00fdzva je velmi stru\u010dn\u00e1. M\u00e1 v z\u00e1sad\u011b jen \u010dty\u0159i obecn\u00e9 body a velmi nal\u00e9hav\u00fd n\u00e1zev We Must Act Now<\/a> (Mus\u00edme bez odklad\u016f jednat).\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ekonomick\u00e9 a byznysov\u00e9 \u0161pi\u010dky varuj\u00ed, \u017ee n\u00e1stup um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed bezprecedentn\u00ed ekonomickou transformaci, kter\u00e1 je svou rychlost\u00ed a hloubkou nesrovnateln\u00e1 s pr\u016fmyslovou revoluc\u00ed, je\u017e zcela prom\u011bnila zp\u016fsob \u017eivota ve vysp\u011bl\u00fdch zem\u00edch. Varuj\u00ed, \u017ee to p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed rizika v podob\u011b velmi rychl\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty obrovsk\u00e9ho mno\u017estv\u00ed pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 to ale m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159in\u00e9st obrovsk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti, kter\u00e9 mohou dramaticky zv\u00fd\u0161it \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148. Nejbohat\u0161\u00ed mu\u017e sv\u011bta Elon Musk u\u017e p\u0159ed \u010dasem odhadl, \u017ee AI m\u016f\u017ee b\u011bhem velmi kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 doby zv\u00fd\u0161it celkovou \u00farove\u0148 bohatstv\u00ed ve sv\u011bt\u011b a\u017e p\u011btin\u00e1sobn\u011b.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Signat\u00e1\u0159i te\u010f vyz\u00fdvaj\u00ed politiky, technologick\u00e9 a byznysov\u00e9 l\u00eddry, aby za\u010dali prom\u00fd\u0161let nov\u00fd syst\u00e9m pob\u00eddek, pojistek a instituc\u00ed, aby sv\u011bt dok\u00e1zal z um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence co nejv\u00edce profitovat a naopak se vyhnout destruktivn\u00edm sil\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 by mohla p\u0159in\u00e9st.\u00a0<\/p>\n

B\u00fdt p\u0159ipraven a nepodlehnout p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 opatrnosti<\/p>\n

\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e ve v\u00fdzv\u011b nejsou. Jde o presti\u017en\u00ed elitn\u00ed apel na jejich hled\u00e1n\u00ed. Te\u010f je ot\u00e1zka, jak si signat\u00e1\u0159i nov\u00e9 instituce, pob\u00eddky a pojistky p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed. V ekonomick\u00e9 historii zat\u00edm v\u017edy platilo, \u017ee \u0161elmy, tedy tv\u016frci nov\u00fdch technologi\u00ed, b\u00fdvaj\u00ed rychlej\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e lovci \u2013 politici a zakladatel\u00e9 nov\u00fdch instituc\u00ed. Jen tento p\u0159\u00edstup vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed pro skute\u010dn\u00e9 inovace a bohatstv\u00ed. Jin\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka je, jak rychle dok\u00e1\u017eou politici na nov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky reagovat a p\u0159izp\u016fsobit jim spole\u010densk\u00e9 nastaven\u00ed i instituce tak, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm exces\u016fm. Zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 p\u0159i technologick\u00e9 revoluci tak rychl\u00e9, jako je n\u00e1stup AI.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Opa\u010dn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kdy se lovci sna\u017e\u00ed b\u00fdt rychlej\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u0161elmy a br\u00e1nit jim v rozletu, ale nefunguje. Inovace toti\u017e p\u0159edem zab\u00edj\u00ed a brzd\u00ed. Jde o princip p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 opatrnosti. V obav\u00e1ch z mo\u017en\u00fdch rizik se n\u011bkter\u00e9 v\u011bci rad\u011bji p\u0159edem reguluj\u00ed nebo zak\u00e1\u017eou. Tuto strategii u\u017e dlouho praktikuje Evropsk\u00e1 unie, co\u017e je jeden z d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d ji na rozd\u00edl od USA, \u010c\u00edny nebo jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie tato technologick\u00e1 revoluce do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry m\u00edj\u00ed. A pro\u010d je EU z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na objevech a inovac\u00edch jin\u00fdch.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Jako nejrozumn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 se v t\u00e9to chv\u00edli jev\u00ed pe\u010dliv\u011b sledovat v\u00fdvoj a nechat mu co nejv\u00edce voln\u00fd pr\u016fb\u011bh. Paraleln\u011b s t\u00edm p\u0159ipravovat sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, instituce, pob\u00eddky a pojistky pro chv\u00edli, kdy se za\u010dnou napl\u0148ovat. Podobn\u011b jako maj\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e arm\u00e1dy nebo st\u00e1ty pro p\u0159\u00edpady p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch katastrof. Kdo je p\u0159ipraven, b\u00fdv\u00e1 m\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159ekvapen. To je ale n\u011bco \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e v r\u00e1mci p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 opatrnosti podl\u00e9hat panice a regulovat.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ti, kdo nejv\u00edc investuj\u00ed do AI, nab\u00edraj\u00ed nejv\u00edc nov\u00fdch lid\u00ed<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1kladem pro pochopen\u00ed sm\u011bru je pe\u010dliv\u011b sledovat trendy. Zat\u00edm se ukazuje jeden velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00fd, kter\u00fd jde proti dosavadn\u00edm obav\u00e1m z masov\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst. Ekonomov\u00e9 Ara Karzain, Lisa Simon a Ryan Stevens ned\u00e1vno zve\u0159ejnili zaj\u00edmavou studii A New Look at AI`s Impact on Jobs<\/a>.\u00a0Na vzorku 21 559 americk\u00fdch firem r\u016fzn\u00fdch velikost\u00ed dosp\u011bli k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm v\u00edce firmy investuj\u00ed do AI, t\u00edm v\u00edce tak\u00e9 p\u0159ij\u00edmaj\u00ed zam\u011bstnanc\u016f. Ty s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi investicemi do AI p\u0159ijaly o 10 procent v\u00edce nov\u00fdch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f ne\u017e firmy, kter\u00e9 investovaly minim\u00e1ln\u011b.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Velk\u00e1 debata se nyn\u00ed vede hlavn\u011b o ub\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch pracovn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitostech na juniorsk\u00fdch pozic\u00edch pro mlad\u00e9. A pr\u00e1v\u011b tady byl r\u016fst nov\u00fdch pracovn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed u firem masivn\u011b investuj\u00edc\u00edch do AI o 12 procent vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e u t\u011bch, kter\u00e9 investovaly nejm\u00e9n\u011b. Pracovn\u00ed m\u00edsta p\u0159ib\u00fdvala ve v\u0161ech oborech, kter\u00e9 pova\u017eujeme za ohro\u017een\u00e9. U in\u017een\u00fdr\u016f, v obchod\u011b, administrativ\u011b i z\u00e1kaznick\u00e9m servisu.\u00a0\u201eNen\u00ed to p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9. Ti, kdo nejv\u00edce nasazuj\u00ed um\u011blou inteligenci, jsou dnes nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed a nejrychleji rostouc\u00ed. Nejv\u00edce nov\u00fdch m\u00edst se soust\u0159ed\u00ed v oblasti informa\u010dn\u00edch technologi\u00ed, kde se AI roz\u0161i\u0159uje nejv\u00edce. V\u00fdsledky jdou p\u0159\u00edmo proti \u0161iroce sd\u00edlen\u00fdm p\u0159edstav\u00e1m, \u017ee AI p\u0159inese masivn\u00ed ztr\u00e1tu pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst,\u201c p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed auto\u0159i studie.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Rozeb\u00edraj\u00ed pak detailn\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed AI v jednotliv\u00fdch oborech. V informa\u010dn\u00edch technologi\u00edch ji pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 53,7 procenta firem. N\u00e1sleduj\u00ed finance se 43,6 procenta. T\u0159eba v logistice a doprav\u011b je zat\u00edm roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ena jen u 22,5 procenta firem. Ve zdravotnictv\u00ed a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u00e9\u010di jen u 14,3 procenta. P\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9 je, \u017ee v maloobchodu nebo administrativ\u011b zat\u00edm v\u00fdrazn\u011b investuje do AI a pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 ji jen kolem 22 procent firem. P\u0159itom pr\u00e1v\u011b tyto obory maj\u00ed obrovsk\u00fd potenci\u00e1l pro jej\u00ed nasazen\u00ed.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ti, kdo v n\u00e1stupu um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence vid\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161 riziko, \u017ee p\u0159iprav\u00ed mnoho lid\u00ed o pr\u00e1ci a ned\u00e1 jim…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":147951,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[5857,10233,67,68,461,571,441,8283,5486,3153,9344,16738,845],"class_list":["post-147950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-byznys","tag-anthropic","tag-bohatstvi","tag-business","tag-byznys","tag-elon-musk","tag-evropska-unie","tag-historie","tag-nobelova-cena","tag-povolani","tag-revoluce","tag-simon-johnson","tag-trend","tag-umela-inteligence"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116920170976286525","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147950","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=147950"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147950\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/147951"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=147950"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=147950"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=147950"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}