{"id":15124,"date":"2026-03-05T15:54:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T15:54:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/15124\/"},"modified":"2026-03-05T15:54:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T15:54:44","slug":"komentar-nicit-jde-i-bez-raket-budouci-bitvy-budou-o-zdrojich-a-technologiich","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/15124\/","title":{"rendered":"Koment\u00e1\u0159: Ni\u010dit jde i\u00a0bez raket. Budouc\u00ed bitvy budou o\u00a0zdroj\u00edch a\u00a0technologi\u00edch"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed analytici i\u00a0zasv\u011bcen\u00ed novin\u00e1\u0159i se u\u017e p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika t\u00fddny shodovali nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d m\u00e9dii: pokud se \u00fatok americk\u00fdch a\u00a0izraelsk\u00fdch sil na \u00cdr\u00e1n uskute\u010dn\u00ed, bude to o\u00a0v\u00edkendu a\u00a0bude to brzy. V\u00e1lka je d\u011bsivou trag\u00e9di\u00ed, ale by\u0165 je to mo\u017en\u00e1 tvrd\u00e9 \u0159\u00edct, my m\u00e1me to \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed, \u017ee se n\u00e1s t\u00fdkaj\u00ed jen jej\u00ed sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed dopady. To by n\u00e1s ov\u0161em nem\u011blo d\u011bsit o\u00a0nic m\u00e9n\u011b.<\/p>\n

Lety nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d kontinenty a\u00a0oce\u00e1ny se dnes u\u017e asi neobejdou bez ur\u010dit\u00e9 \u00fazkosti. Na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b jsou ji\u017e bu\u010f aktivov\u00e1ny, nebo teprve bublaj\u00ed hork\u00e1 m\u00edsta vojensk\u00fdch konflikt\u016f a\u00a0tenze je c\u00edtit snad v\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m regionu. Sv\u00e9 o\u00a0tom v\u00ed i\u00a0\u010ce\u0161i, kte\u0159\u00ed nyn\u00ed uv\u00edzli ve st\u00e1tech Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu bez snadn\u00e9 cesty dom\u016f.<\/p>\n

To jsou ov\u0161em s\u00a0dovolen\u00edm pom\u011brn\u011b samoz\u0159ejm\u00e9 v\u011bci, kter\u00e9 tyto n\u011bkdy a\u017e doslovn\u00e9 v\u00fdbuchy konflikt\u016f doprov\u00e1zej\u00ed. \u010cesko a\u00a0Evropa obecn\u011b se i\u00a0nyn\u00ed mohou chl\u00e1cholit t\u00edm, \u017ee konflikt je daleko a\u00a0krom kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fdch cenov\u00fdch vzr\u016fst\u016f jim \u201enic moc\u201c nehroz\u00ed (by\u0165 tento p\u0159\u00edstup Evropy sm\u011brem k\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b se n\u011bkdy pohybuje na hranici zdrav\u00e9ho rozumu).<\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka americko-izraelsk\u00e9 koalice s\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem ale poodhaluje jinou hrozbu, jin\u00fd druh konfliktu. Takov\u00fd, kter\u00fd se nevyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 letadly a\u00a0tanky, takov\u00fd, kter\u00fd je m\u00e9n\u011b explicitn\u011b viditeln\u00fd, ale kter\u00fd je mo\u017en\u00e1 sv\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem z\u00e1sadn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed p\u016fdu nejen pro v\u0161echny konflikty sv\u011bta, ale tak\u00e9 do velk\u00e9 m\u00edry pom\u00e1h\u00e1 ur\u010dovat v\u00edt\u011bze a\u00a0pora\u017een\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Je to bitva, ve kter\u00e9 n\u00e1m ani n\u00e1kup nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch st\u00edha\u010dek a\u00a0d\u011bl ned\u00e1v\u00e1 tak optimistickou vizi, jak by si n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed p\u0159\u00e1li. Propojen\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9ho a\u00a0pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho segmentu s\u00a0technologick\u00fdm, v\u011bdeck\u00fdm a\u00a0v\u00fdzkumn\u00fdm pokrokem stav\u00ed a\u00a0por\u00e1\u017e\u00ed velmoci nyn\u00ed a\u00a0bude i\u00a0v budoucnu. Zde sice neprohr\u00e1v\u00e1me, ale v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed je stejn\u011b tak v\u00a0nedohlednu.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Zni\u010dit ekonomiku jde i\u00a0bez raket<\/p>\n

V\u0161echny sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky maj\u00ed nebo budou m\u00edt energetick\u00e9 pozad\u00ed. Ka\u017ed\u00fd st\u00e1t je schopen br\u00e1nit sv\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed a\u00a0stav\u011bt takovou obranu a\u00a0arm\u00e1du, kolik mu dovol\u00ed jeho energetick\u00e1 infrastruktura, p\u0159\u00edsun surovin nebo vysp\u011blost technologi\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Pro \u010cesko v\u00fdkyvy na poli glob\u00e1ln\u00ed stability znamenaj\u00ed v\u017edy riziko vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f v\u00a0doprav\u011b a\u00a0ve v\u00fdrob\u011b, tlak na mar\u017ee a\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b i\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed komplikaci pro inflaci a\u00a0pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed firem. Pokud dojde k\u00a0deeskalaci, \u010d\u00e1st tohoto efektu v\u017edy m\u016f\u017ee rychle odezn\u00edt. Pokud se konflikt prot\u00e1hne, p\u016fjde o\u00a0del\u0161\u00ed obdob\u00ed volatility a\u00a0dra\u017e\u0161\u00edch energi\u00ed. Nejsme proti t\u011bmto vliv\u016fm siln\u011b odoln\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je zjevn\u00e9, \u017ee obranyschopnost nem\u016f\u017eeme ch\u00e1pat jen jako n\u00e1kup tank\u016f a\u00a0letadel. Stejn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je zabezpe\u010den\u00ed spolehliv\u00fdch dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f, energetick\u00e9 a\u00a0logistick\u00e9 odolnosti a\u00a0stabiln\u00edho prost\u0159ed\u00ed pro firmy. V\u00a0krizi se ukazuje, \u017ee i \u201epl\u00e1n B\u201c m\u016f\u017ee selhat, a\u00a0pr\u00e1v\u011b proto mus\u00ed b\u00fdt odolnost ekonomiky sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed strategie. To je ov\u0161em zna\u010dn\u011b slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e n\u00e1kup vojensk\u00e9ho vybaven\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Technologie a\u00a0vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed, dlouhodob\u00e1 achilovka<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed dopad je struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed: tlak na vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u00fddaje na obranu poroste a\u00a0nebude to jen o\u00a0objemu pen\u011bz, ale i\u00a0o tom, do jak\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed p\u016fjdou. Smysl d\u00e1v\u00e1 posun sm\u011brem k\u00a0sofistikovan\u00fdm obrann\u00fdm syst\u00e9m\u016fm a\u00a0technologi\u00edm. P\u0159\u00edklady ze sv\u011bta ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 investuj\u00ed ve velk\u00e9m do obrany a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 do technologick\u00e9ho z\u00e1zem\u00ed, si t\u00edm buduj\u00ed v\u00fdhodu do budoucna.<\/p>\n

Pro \u010cesko z\u00a0toho plyne je\u0161t\u011b jedna v\u011bc: pokud chceme b\u00fdt odoln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a\u00a0konkurenceschopn\u00ed, pot\u0159ebujeme mnohem lep\u0161\u00ed podn\u011bty pro firmy k\u00a0investic\u00edm do v\u00fdzkumu a\u00a0v\u00fdvoje, a\u00a0to nejen v\u00a0obrann\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu. Vl\u00e1da to dlouhodob\u011b slibuje v\u00a0programech a\u00a0strategi\u00edch, ale kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 je dostat podporu do praxe co nejd\u0159\u00edve. Podobn\u00e9 konflikty se ve v\u00fdsledku \u201evyhr\u00e1vaj\u00ed\u201c hlavn\u011b t\u00edm, \u017ee je ekonomicky p\u0159ekon\u00e1me: udr\u017e\u00edme v\u00fdkon, inovace a\u00a0schopnost adaptace firem.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Dnes jsme sv\u011bdky situace, kdy lidsk\u00e9 \u017eivoty i\u00a0ekonomiku chr\u00e1n\u00ed tak pokro\u010dil\u00e9 syst\u00e9my, jako jsou americk\u00fd Patriot, izraelsk\u00fd \u017delezn\u00fd d\u00f3m a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed. Singapur k\u00a0tomu nav\u00edc p\u0159istupuje typicky po sv\u00e9m: dlouhodob\u011b dr\u017e\u00ed obranu zhruba kolem 3\u00a0% HDP a\u00a0stoj\u00ed na principu, \u017ee v\u00a0krizi mu nikdo automaticky nep\u0159ijde na pomoc. I\u00a0proto tu maj\u00ed mu\u017ei povinnou National Service, obvykle kolem 18\u00a0let, \u010dasto je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed univerzitou. A\u00a0nez\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed jen u\u00a0toho.<\/p>\n

Jen n\u00e1kup technologi\u00ed ale nikdy nevytvo\u0159\u00ed technologick\u00fd n\u00e1skok. P\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dil se o\u00a0tom jist\u011b te\u010f i\u00a0Friedrich Merz p\u0159i n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b \u010c\u00edny. Pravda, \u010c\u00edna um\u00ed d\u011blat ok\u00e1zal\u00e9 robotick\u00e9 show a\u00a0jej\u00ed cesta k\u00a0technologi\u00edm je \u010dasto lemovan\u00e1 pochybn\u00fdmi metodami, ale u\u017e se nikdo neodv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee nejde o\u00a0technologick\u00fd powerhouse.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0Singapuru je pom\u011brn\u011b univerz\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup: ka\u017ed\u00fd takov\u00fd vzd\u00e1len\u00fd konflikt je zat\u011b\u017ek\u00e1vac\u00edm testem vlastn\u00ed ekonomiky, vlastn\u00ed infrastruktury, vlastn\u00ed technologick\u00e9 kapacity.<\/p>\n

A co Evropa? St\u00e1le na sv\u00e9 probuzen\u00ed \u010dek\u00e1. Prozat\u00edm hled\u00e1 zp\u016fsoby, jak p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt jen s\u00a0od\u0159en\u00fdma u\u0161ima, ale na vrchol se nedere. \u010cas se j\u00ed ov\u0161em nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u011b kr\u00e1t\u00ed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed analytici i\u00a0zasv\u011bcen\u00ed novin\u00e1\u0159i se u\u017e p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika t\u00fddny shodovali nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d m\u00e9dii: pokud se \u00fatok americk\u00fdch a\u00a0izraelsk\u00fdch sil…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15125,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[106,7825,205,2878,54,882,645,53,52,2280],"class_list":{"0":"post-15124","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-svet","8":"tag-evropa","9":"tag-konflikt-usa-izrael-iran","10":"tag-ropa","11":"tag-suroviny","12":"tag-svet","13":"tag-technologie","14":"tag-valka","15":"tag-world","16":"tag-world-news","17":"tag-zbrojni-prumysl"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116177381973257298","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15124","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15124"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15124\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15125"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}