{"id":156977,"date":"2026-07-24T09:56:47","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T09:56:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/156977\/"},"modified":"2026-07-24T09:56:47","modified_gmt":"2026-07-24T09:56:47","slug":"rekordni-vedra-zasahla-obili-v-nejhorsi-chvili-evropa-bude-vice-zavisla-na-dovozu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/156977\/","title":{"rendered":"Rekordn\u00ed vedra zas\u00e1hla obil\u00ed v nejhor\u0161\u00ed chv\u00edli. Evropa bude v\u00edce z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na dovozu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Evropsk\u00e1 asociace obchodn\u00edk\u016f s\u00a0obil\u00edm Coceral v\u00a0mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u010dervencov\u00e9 progn\u00f3ze<\/a> sn\u00ed\u017eila o\u010dek\u00e1vanou produkci obilovin v EU a Brit\u00e1nii z \u010dervnov\u00fdch 295,5 milionu na 286,6 milionu tun. Ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s lo\u0148skem m\u00e1 b\u00fdt sklize\u0148 ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed o 23,4 milionu tun, tento cel\u00fd meziro\u010dn\u00ed rozd\u00edl ale nelze p\u0159ipsat pouze vedr\u016fm. Bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed revize po \u010dervnov\u00e9 vln\u011b horka \u010dinila p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b dev\u011bt milion\u016f tun.<\/p>\n

Anal\u00fdza\u00a0britsk\u00e9 Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit<\/a> ocenila hrub\u00fd v\u00fdpadek produkce na dv\u011b a\u017e 2,3 miliardy eur. Po zapo\u010dten\u00ed lep\u0161\u00edch vyhl\u00eddek v Bulharsku, Rumunsku, It\u00e1lii a Finsku vych\u00e1z\u00ed \u010dist\u00e1 zm\u011bna proti \u010dervnov\u00e9 progn\u00f3ze p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b na 1,79 miliardy eur.<\/p>\n

Kuku\u0159ice dostala r\u00e1nu b\u011bhem opylov\u00e1n\u00ed <\/p>\n

P\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b polovinu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 progn\u00f3zy tvo\u0159\u00ed kuku\u0159ice. Coceral zredukoval odhad jej\u00ed sklizn\u011b z\u00a057,2 milionu na\u00a052,7 milionu tun. Extr\u00e9mn\u00ed teploty p\u0159i\u0161ly b\u011bhem opylov\u00e1n\u00ed, kdy horko sni\u017euje \u017eivotaschopnost pylu a\u00a0brzd\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj rostliny.<\/p>\n

U\u00a0p\u0161enice se\u00a0o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 produkce sn\u00ed\u017eila ze\u00a0143,7 milionu na\u00a0140,8 milionu tun. Vedra zas\u00e1hla obdob\u00ed nal\u00e9v\u00e1n\u00ed zrna ve\u00a0st\u0159edn\u00ed a\u00a0ji\u017en\u00ed Francii, ji\u017en\u00edm N\u011bmecku, Rakousku, Polsku a\u00a0Ma\u010farsku. V\u00edce ne\u017e ozim\u00fd je\u010dmen utrp\u011bl jarn\u00ed je\u010dmen, kter\u00fd p\u0159i\u00a0n\u00e1stupu vysok\u00fdch teplot je\u0161t\u011b nebyl dostate\u010dn\u011b vyvinut\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed absolutn\u00ed propad p\u0159ipad\u00e1 na\u00a0Francii. Jej\u00ed odhad celkov\u00e9 sklizn\u011b byl sn\u00ed\u017een o\u00a04,1 milionu tun, co\u017e p\u0159i\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00fdch cen\u00e1ch odpov\u00edd\u00e1 zhruba 891 milion\u016fm eur. Samotn\u00e1 progn\u00f3za\u00a0produkce kuku\u0159ice klesla o\u00a03,35 milionu tun na\u00a09,4 milionu tun, tedy pod\u00a0v\u00fdsledek dosa\u017een\u00fd b\u011bhem siln\u00e9ho sucha v\u00a0roce 2022.<\/p>\n

Ma\u010farsk\u00e1 progn\u00f3za\u00a0se\u00a0sn\u00ed\u017eila o\u00a02,4 milionu tun v\u00a0hodnot\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 444 milion\u016f eur. \u0160pan\u011blsko p\u0159i\u0161lo v\u00a0nov\u00e9m odhadu o\u00a01,4 milionu tun za\u00a0276 milion\u016f eur a\u00a0podobn\u00fd objem byl ode\u010dten N\u011bmecku, kde m\u011bla ztracen\u00e1 produkce hodnotu kolem 233 milion\u016f eur.<\/p>\n

\"\u0158eck\u00e1<\/a> Rekordn\u00ed \u010derven vysu\u0161il p\u016fdu i\u00a0\u0159eky <\/p>\n

\u010cerven 2026 byl podle dat unijn\u00ed klimatick\u00e9 slu\u017eby Copernicus<\/a> nejteplej\u0161\u00edm \u010dervnem v historii m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed pro z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropu. Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 teplota v regionu byla 20,74 stupn\u011b, tedy o 3,06 stupn\u011b nad pr\u016fm\u011brem let 1991 a\u017e 2020. Evropa jako celek za\u017eila druh\u00fd nejteplej\u0161\u00ed \u010derven v dostupn\u00e9 datov\u00e9 \u0159ad\u011b.<\/p>\n

Horko doprov\u00e1zelo sucho ve\u00a0velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti z\u00e1padn\u00ed, st\u0159edn\u00ed a\u00a0v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropy. Pr\u016ftoky \u0159ek byly podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 ve\u00a0Francii i\u00a0v\u00a0rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech st\u0159edn\u00ed a\u00a0v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropy, zat\u00edmco vysychaj\u00edc\u00ed p\u016fda d\u00e1le zhor\u0161ovala podm\u00ednky pro\u00a0plodiny.<\/p>\n

Anal\u00fdza\u00a0World Weather Attribution<\/a> dosp\u011bla k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee takto intenzivn\u00ed \u010dervnov\u00e9 teploty by byly v klimatu p\u0159ed pades\u00e1ti lety prakticky nemo\u017en\u00e9. Lidsk\u00e9 emise sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f podle v\u011bdc\u016f pravd\u011bpodobnost i intenzitu podobn\u00fdch vln horka v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ily.<\/p>\n

\"Farm\u00e1\u0159i<\/a> M\u00e9n\u011b kuku\u0159ice m\u016f\u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161it dovoz i\u00a0cenu krmiv <\/p>\n

Slab\u0161\u00ed kuku\u0159i\u010dn\u00e1 sklize\u0148 m\u016f\u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161it evropskou popt\u00e1vku po\u00a0dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch z\u00a0Ukrajiny, Braz\u00edlie a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch v\u00fdvozc\u016f. Evropsk\u00e1 unie se\u00a0v\u00a0hor\u0161\u00edch skliz\u0148ov\u00fdch letech st\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010dist\u00fdm dovozcem kuku\u0159ice, kter\u00e1 slou\u017e\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm jako krmivo pro\u00a0hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 zv\u00ed\u0159ata. Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1klady se\u00a0proto mohou v\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159en\u00e1\u0161et tak\u00e9 na\u00a0chovatele.<\/p>\n

Men\u0161\u00ed francouzsk\u00e1 sklize\u0148 p\u0161enice m\u016f\u017ee omezit mno\u017estv\u00ed dostupn\u00e9 pro\u00a0v\u00fdvoz do\u00a0severn\u00ed a\u00a0z\u00e1padn\u00ed Afriky. Dopad na\u00a0sv\u011btov\u00e9 ceny v\u0161ak bude z\u00e1viset tak\u00e9 na\u00a0sklizn\u00edch v\u00a0ji\u017en\u00ed polokouli na\u00a0konci roku 2026 a\u00a0za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2027.<\/p>\n

Dv\u011b miliardy eur z\u00e1rove\u0148 nelze automaticky ch\u00e1pat jako p\u0159\u00edmou ztr\u00e1tu p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f nebo zisku v\u0161ech evropsk\u00fdch farm\u00e1\u0159\u016f. Jde o\u00a0hodnotu produkce ode\u010dten\u00e9 z\u00a0progn\u00f3z\u00a0p\u0159i\u00a0pou\u017eit\u00ed aktu\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u00fdkupn\u00edch cen. N\u011bkter\u00fdm p\u011bstitel\u016fm m\u016f\u017ee ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed nab\u00eddka p\u0159in\u00e9st vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed cenu za\u00a0\u00farodu, kter\u00e1 vedra p\u0159e\u017eila. Jin\u00ed prodali obil\u00ed dop\u0159edu a\u00a0z\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9ho zdra\u017een\u00ed nebudou t\u011b\u017eit.<\/p>\n

Obzvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 slo\u017eit\u00e1 je situace v\u00a0Ma\u010farsku, kde se\u00a0pokles o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 produkce spojil s\u00a0ni\u017e\u0161\u00edmi dom\u00e1c\u00edmi cenami a\u00a0konkurenc\u00ed levn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho obil\u00ed z\u00a0oblasti \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e. Tamn\u00ed farm\u00e1\u0159i\u00a0tak mohou n\u00e9st objemovou ztr\u00e1tu bez\u00a0kompenzace v\u00a0podob\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch cen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Evropsk\u00e1 asociace obchodn\u00edk\u016f s\u00a0obil\u00edm Coceral v\u00a0mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u010dervencov\u00e9 progn\u00f3ze sn\u00ed\u017eila o\u010dek\u00e1vanou produkci obilovin v EU a Brit\u00e1nii z \u010dervnov\u00fdch…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":156978,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3],"tags":[39631,36993,39625,23267,39630,39632,39629,39626,109,108,106,39624,571,14056,378,35161,23239,39633,39627,796,375,22904,39634,17620,950,39635,1136,33375,39628,39637,36994,39636,590],"class_list":["post-156977","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-evropa","tag-ceny-obili","tag-cerven-2026","tag-coceral","tag-copernicus","tag-devet-milionu-tun","tag-dovoz-kukurice","tag-dve-miliardy-eur","tag-eciu","tag-europa","tag-europe","tag-evropa","tag-evropska-sklizen","tag-evropska-unie","tag-farmari","tag-francie","tag-jecmen","tag-klimaticka-zmena","tag-krmiva","tag-kukurice","tag-madarsko","tag-nemecko","tag-obili","tag-potravinova-bezpecnost","tag-psenice","tag-spanelsko","tag-sucho-v-evrope","tag-velka-britanie","tag-vlna-veder","tag-vypadek-sklizne","tag-vyvoz-psenice","tag-world-weather-attribution","tag-zemedelske-vynosy","tag-zemedelstvi"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":"Validation failed: Text character limit of 500 exceeded"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/156977","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=156977"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/156977\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/156978"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=156977"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=156977"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=156977"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}