{"id":15909,"date":"2026-03-06T10:06:09","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T10:06:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/15909\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T10:06:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T10:06:09","slug":"komentar-rozpad-iranu-neni-v-nasem-zajmu-ucet-by-zaplatila-evropa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/15909\/","title":{"rendered":"Koment\u00e1\u0159: Rozpad \u00cdr\u00e1nu nen\u00ed v\u00a0na\u0161em z\u00e1jmu. \u00da\u010det by zaplatila Evropa"},"content":{"rendered":"

Psal se rok 2014, kdy\u017e jsme ho potkali v\u00a0ir\u00e1ck\u00e9m Kurdist\u00e1nu. M\u011bl americkou zbra\u0148, voln\u00e9 kalhoty lok\u00e1ln\u00edho st\u0159ihu, voj\u00e1ck\u00e9 vystupov\u00e1n\u00ed a\u00a0tou\u017eil po svobod\u011b. Respektive po kurdsk\u00e9 nez\u00e1vislosti na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9m re\u017eimu. S\u00a0novin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdmi kolegy jsme \u017easli nad t\u00edm, jak viz\u00e1\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho dikt\u00e1tora Stalina. A\u00a0za\u010dali jsme mu tak proto mezi s\u00a0sebou \u0159\u00edkat.<\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti se jmenuje Husejn Jazdanpanah, narodil se v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu, je Kurd a\u00a0pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f d\u00fdch\u00e1 probuzenou nad\u011bj\u00ed. Douf\u00e1, \u017ee se s\u00a0vlastn\u00edmi jednotkami vr\u00e1t\u00ed dom\u016f a\u00a0pom\u016f\u017ee porazit isl\u00e1msk\u00fd re\u017eim, kter\u00fd je rozkol\u00edsan\u00fd americk\u00fdmi a\u00a0izraelsk\u00fdmi \u00fadery. Nedosti na tom: \u017eidovsk\u00fd st\u00e1t i\u00a0Washington nyn\u00ed Kurd\u016fm p\u0159i ta\u017een\u00ed na Teher\u00e1n slibuj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmou vojenskou podporu, tedy zbran\u011b. A\u00a0rovn\u011b\u017e nedoceniteln\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 informace. Takov\u00e1 \u0161ance se nemus\u00ed opakovat, dod\u00e1v\u00e1 list The Jerusalem Post<\/a> po odvypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00ed Stalinova\u2026 pardon\u2026 Husejnova p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu. M\u00e1 pravdu.<\/p>\n

Nab\u00edz\u00ed se ot\u00e1zka: prosp\u011bje Bl\u00edzk\u00e9mu v\u00fdchodu a\u00a0Evrop\u011b, kdy\u017e se ot\u0159esen\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n rozsype?<\/p>\n

Pro Kurdy je snadn\u00e9 m\u00edt pochopen\u00ed. V\u00a0etnicky i\u00a0politicky nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9m \u00cdr\u00e1nu jich \u017eije podle r\u016fzn\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f 7\u00a0a\u017e 12\u00a0milion\u016f. V\u00a0Turecku, S\u00fdrii a\u00a0Ir\u00e1ku se celkov\u00e9 odhady pohybuj\u00ed mezi 13\u00a0a\u00a023\u00a0miliony. Pro\u010d ty nejasnosti? N\u011bkudy pro\u0161la v\u00e1lka, jinde chyb\u00ed cenzus, v\u00a0\u0159ad\u011b region\u016f Kurdov\u00e9 o\u00a0identit\u011b pochybuj\u00ed nebo se k\u00a0n\u00ed z\u00a0dobr\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f (rad\u011bji) nehl\u00e1s\u00ed. P\u0159esto: na tradi\u010dn\u00edm kurdsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed rozprost\u0159en\u00e9m ve \u010dty\u0159ech v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch st\u00e1tech pob\u00fdv\u00e1 na 35\u00a0milion\u016f p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f t\u00e9ho\u017e etnika, kte\u0159\u00ed postr\u00e1daj\u00ed vlastn\u00ed zemi.<\/p>\n

Pravda, na severu Ir\u00e1ku disponuj\u00ed Kurdov\u00e9 nez\u00e1vislost\u00ed, kter\u00e1 st\u00e1t p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1. Rovn\u011b\u017e v\u00a0S\u00fdrii zat\u00edm dr\u017e\u00ed autonomii. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b touha po samostatnosti je z\u0159ejm\u00e1 a\u00a0srozumiteln\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Teher\u00e1nu nav\u00edc nevzdoruj\u00ed pouze Kurdov\u00e9. Na v\u00fdchod\u011b se bou\u0159\u00ed Bal\u00fa\u010dov\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed k\u00a0nespokojenosti nespo\u010det d\u016fvod\u016f. \u00cdr\u00e1n – isl\u00e1msk\u00fd re\u017eim nevyj\u00edmaje – jejich kraj v\u017edy zanedb\u00e1val. <\/p>\n

S\u00a0nepatrnou trochou nads\u00e1zky je mo\u017en\u00e9 \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee Per\u0161an\u00e9 zdej\u0161\u00edmi lidmi opovrhuj\u00ed. Chyb\u00ed tu pen\u00edze, perspektiva, stejn\u011b jako soun\u00e1le\u017eitost se zbytkem dominantn\u011b \u0161\u00editsk\u00e9 zem\u011b. Bal\u00fa\u010dov\u00e9 jsou sunnit\u00e9 a\u00a0mnoz\u00ed z\u00a0nich tou\u017e\u00ed po sjednocen\u00ed s\u00a0p\u0159\u00edbuzn\u00fdmi, kte\u0159\u00ed \u017eij\u00ed za hranic\u00ed v\u00a0P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n

St\u00e1tu, jeho\u017e populaci tvo\u0159\u00ed Per\u0161an\u00e9 jen ze t\u0159\u00ed p\u011btin, etnick\u00e9 konflikty zkr\u00e1tka hroz\u00ed. Azerov\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed jazykov\u011b i\u00a0kulturn\u011b bl\u00edzko k\u00a0Turecku, jsou zat\u00edm k\u00a0Teher\u00e1nu loaj\u00e1ln\u00ed. Co\u017e je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9, proto\u017ee podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed a\u017e \u010dtvrtinu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 populace. Jak se ale zachovaj\u00ed v\u00a0situaci, kdy se zd\u00e1nliv\u00e1 jednota zem\u011b za\u010dne t\u0159eba pod n\u00e1porem Kurd\u016f drolit? Co ud\u011blaj\u00ed sunnit\u0161t\u00ed Arabov\u00e9 z\u00a0jihu st\u00e1tu (3\u00a0% populace)? A\u00a0L\u00farov\u00e9 (6\u00a0%), Turkmeni (2\u00a0%) \u010di k\u0159es\u0165an\u0161t\u00ed Arm\u00e9ni (0,2\u00a0%)?<\/p>\n

Foto: Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy, Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy<\/p>\n

D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 n\u00e1rodnostn\u00ed men\u0161iny v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu<\/p>\n

Nemluv\u011b o\u00a0tom, \u017ee nastane-li v\u00a0Persii chaos, mohou se do jej\u00edho porcov\u00e1n\u00ed zapojit okoln\u00ed st\u00e1ty. Nej\u010dast\u011bji se spekuluje o\u00a0Turecku, je\u017e odm\u00edt\u00e1 kurdskou samostatnost a\u00a0c\u00edt\u00ed odpov\u011bdnost za Azery. Po\u0161le Ankara voj\u00e1ky do \u00cdr\u00e1nu, pokud nabyde dojmu, \u017ee to jej\u00ed dominanci v\u00a0oblasti pom\u016f\u017ee? Bezpochyby. Nakonec, u\u010dinila tak i\u00a0v S\u00fdrii, kter\u00e1 je podobn\u011b rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bnou mozaikou men\u0161in. <\/p>\n

Ani P\u00e1kist\u00e1n nestoj\u00ed o\u00a0anarchii za svou hranic\u00ed: dost probl\u00e9m\u016f m\u00e1 s\u00a0vlastn\u00edmi Bal\u00fa\u010di, kte\u0159\u00ed se proti jeho nadvl\u00e1d\u011b bou\u0159\u00ed. Arm\u00e9nie a\u00a0\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n by patrn\u011b byly nuceny p\u0159ij\u00edmat uprchl\u00edky, nejen ty etnicky sp\u0159\u00edzn\u011bn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

To by hrozilo i\u00a0Evrop\u011b. Syrsk\u00e1 ob\u010dansk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka vyhnala za hranice p\u0159es p\u011bt milion\u016f b\u011b\u017eenc\u016f. Hlavn\u00ed n\u00e1por by v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b vnit\u0159n\u00edho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho konfliktu nesly okoln\u00ed vl\u00e1dy, \u010d\u00e1st uprchl\u00edk\u016f by ale ur\u010dit\u011b zam\u00ed\u0159ila d\u00e1l. Na star\u00fd kontinent, do Severn\u00ed Ameriky a\u00a0Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Zmatek by je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc rozh\u00fdbal ceny ropy a\u00a0bitva o\u00a0strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv by byla tak\u0159ka nevyhnuteln\u00e1. Jednodu\u0161e proto, \u017ee tudy za z\u00e1kazn\u00edky putuje nejm\u00e9n\u011b p\u011btina glob\u00e1ln\u011b vyt\u011b\u017een\u00e9 ropy.<\/p>\n

Mus\u00ed katastrofick\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 nastat? Nyn\u00ed u\u017e nem\u00e1 valn\u00fd smysl l\u00e1te\u0159it nad skutky americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa a\u00a0jeho geopolitick\u00e9ho par\u0165\u00e1ka Benjamina Netanjahua, kter\u00fd \u0159\u00edd\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd kabinet. Ostatn\u011b, isl\u00e1msk\u00fd re\u017eim, na kter\u00fd svorn\u011b ude\u0159ili, litovat net\u0159eba. A\u00a0pokud padne, m\u016f\u017ee j\u00edt v\u0161e l\u00e9pe.<\/p>\n

Souvisej\u00edc\u00ed<\/a><\/p>\n

Te\u010f je ale nutn\u00e9 sna\u017eit se zachovat \u00cdr\u00e1n pohromad\u011b, nebo p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm jeho rozpad nepodn\u011bcovat, i\u00a0kdy\u017e Izrael na z\u00e1niku nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 entity pracuje s\u00a0nezm\u011brn\u00fdm \u00fasil\u00edm. Kurd\u016fm bychom jist\u011b m\u011bli p\u0159\u00e1t svobodu a\u00a0suverenitu. T\u00e9 lze ov\u0161em dos\u00e1hnout i\u00a0v odpov\u011bdn\u011b spravovan\u00e9m \u00cdr\u00e1nu a\u00a0na vysn\u011bnou st\u00e1tnost prost\u011b po\u010dkat. <\/p>\n

Netanjahuova vize ne-arabsk\u00e9, ba anti-arabsk\u00e9 bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed osy \u201eIzrael – \u00cdr\u00e1n – Kurdist\u00e1n\u201c op\u00edraj\u00edc\u00ed se o\u00a0USA vyhovuje \u017eidovsk\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu. Kurdov\u00e9 jsou v\u00a0n\u00ed ale jen n\u00e1strojem. O\u00a0to zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm, \u017ee s\u00a0arabsk\u00fdmi sousedy budou muset v\u017edy vych\u00e1zet. Ani Donald Trump nebude americk\u00fdm l\u00eddrem v\u011b\u010dn\u011b, jakkoliv si mysl\u00ed opak. Jak\u00fdm sm\u011brem se vyd\u00e1 washingtonsk\u00e1 administrativa po odchodu nevyzpytateln\u00e9ho realitn\u00edho makl\u00e9\u0159e?<\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n i\u00a0Kurdov\u00e9 si bezpochyby zaslou\u017e\u00ed svobodu. Nejl\u00e9pe nav\u011bky. Ob\u010dansk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka by snad vedla k\u00a0do\u010dasn\u00fdm zisk\u016fm, budouc\u00ed m\u00edr ale ze sv\u00e9 podstaty nep\u0159inese.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Psal se rok 2014, kdy\u017e jsme ho potkali v\u00a0ir\u00e1ck\u00e9m Kurdist\u00e1nu. M\u011bl americkou zbra\u0148, voln\u00e9 kalhoty lok\u00e1ln\u00edho st\u0159ihu, voj\u00e1ck\u00e9…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15910,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1493,212,109,108,106,808,7825,8321,1556,1261],"class_list":{"0":"post-15909","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-evropa","8":"tag-benjamin-netanjahu","9":"tag-donald-trump","10":"tag-europa","11":"tag-europe","12":"tag-evropa","13":"tag-iran","14":"tag-konflikt-usa-izrael-iran","15":"tag-kurdistan","16":"tag-kurdove","17":"tag-uprchlici"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116181675698955218","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15909","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15909"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15909\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15909"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15909"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15909"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}