{"id":160954,"date":"2026-07-28T12:51:16","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T12:51:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/160954\/"},"modified":"2026-07-28T12:51:16","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T12:51:16","slug":"od-estonska-po-rumunsko-trojmori-se-muze-stat-ekonomickym-tahounem-evropy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/160954\/","title":{"rendered":"Od Estonska po Rumunsko. Trojmo\u0159\u00ed se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t ekonomick\u00fdm tahounem Evropy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Intermarium nebo tak\u00e9 Trojmo\u0159\u00ed je geopolitick\u00e1 koncepce bloku st\u00e1t\u016f mezi Baltsk\u00fdm, \u010cern\u00fdm a\u00a0Jadersk\u00fdm mo\u0159em. P\u0159i pohledu na mapu a\u00a0na historii je v\u00fdsledkem logick\u00e9ho uva\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed: na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b N\u011bmecko, na opa\u010dn\u00e9 Rusko\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0mezi nimi kupa mal\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/p>\n

Letn\u00ed koment\u00e1\u0159ov\u00e1 s\u00e9rie<\/p>\n

S invaz\u00ed Ruska na Ukrajinu<\/a> a\u00a0n\u00e1vratem Donalda Trumpa<\/a> k\u00a0moci se mluv\u00ed o\u00a0konci mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du, kter\u00fd se ustavil po roce 1989.\u00a0Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy oslovily\u00a0r\u016fzn\u00e9 osobnosti a\u00a0v s\u00e9rii Sv\u011bt ve varu<\/a> se jich ptaj\u00ed, jak se zm\u011bnila jejich zem\u011b a\u00a0kam se bude v\u00fdvoj ub\u00edrat.<\/p>\n

Nejd\u00e1le se v\u00a0uva\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed o\u00a0spojov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto sil dostal polsk\u00fd mar\u0161\u00e1l Pi\u0142sudski mezi sv\u011btov\u00fdmi v\u00e1lkami. Tehdy to vypadalo jako ide\u00e1ln\u00ed moment pro vznik form\u00e1ln\u00edho spojenectv\u00ed, nebo dokonce federace. Navzdory tomu ale k\u00a0\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu z\u00e1sadn\u00edmu sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed nedo\u0161lo.<\/p>\n

B\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed nad d\u016fvody, pro\u010d to nevy\u0161lo, p\u0159enechme historik\u016fm. M\u00e1lo jich ale ur\u010dit\u011b nebude. Trojmo\u0159\u00ed bylo nakonec v\u017edycky sp\u00ed\u0161 viz\u00ed politick\u00fdch fantast\u016f ne\u017e re\u00e1ln\u00fdm pl\u00e1nem. Pro\u010d jej tedy po sto letech opra\u0161ovat?<\/p>\n

Boj Ukrajiny o\u00a0p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed a\u00a0eroze americk\u00e9ho \u0161t\u00edtu nad Evropou v\u00a0lec\u010dem p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00ed geopolitickou situaci v\u00a0regionu po prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. J\u00e1 jsem ale ekonom a\u00a0hled\u00e1m i\u00a0jin\u00e9 spole\u010dn\u00e9 rysy ne\u017e potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy.<\/p>\n

Tajemstv\u00ed prosperity<\/p>\n

Pohled na dlouhodob\u00e9 makroekonomick\u00e9 statistiky Trojmo\u0159\u00ed by n\u00e1s m\u011bl napl\u0148ovat entuziasmem. A\u010dkoli se najdou i\u00a0opozdilci, ekonomick\u00fd r\u016fst, nezam\u011bstnanost, inflace nebo m\u00edra ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho zadlu\u017een\u00ed v\u00a0regionu u\u017e dnes snesou srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se star\u00fdmi \u010dleny EU. Pol\u00e1ci, Bulha\u0159i, Rumuni, Litevci i\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed se pomalu vracej\u00ed ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed dom\u016f. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u011bsta za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed p\u0159ipom\u00ednat z\u00e1padn\u00ed metropole a\u00a0\u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l v\u00edce p\u0159itahuj\u00ed i\u00a0cizince. Zlep\u0161uj\u00ed se slu\u017eby i\u00a0infrastruktura.<\/p>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b dokonce propadaj\u00ed jist\u00e9 form\u011b ekonomick\u00e9 m\u00e1nie, v\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed rozpo\u010dtovou ostra\u017eitost ve snaze p\u0159idat st\u00e1le\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed kousky bombastick\u00e9 infrastruktury. Mo\u017en\u00e1 je proto vhodn\u00fd \u010das ne snad se zastavit, ale aspo\u0148 zamyslet. Co bylo tajemstv\u00edm \u00fasp\u011bchu zem\u00ed na v\u00fdchod od N\u011bmecka? A\u00a0jak si ten \u00fasp\u011bch zachovat a\u00a0nepokazit?<\/p>\n

V s\u00e9rii Sv\u011bt ve varu u\u017e vy\u0161lo:<\/a><\/p>\n

Ne, nebyl to jen onen prost\u00fd matematick\u00fd fakt, \u017ee tyto st\u00e1ty rostly po roce 1989\u00a0z\u00a0mal\u00fdch z\u00e1klad\u016f. M\u00e1me toti\u017e i\u00a0kontroln\u00ed vzorek\u00a0\u2013 Ukrajina, B\u011blorusko, Moldavsko \u010di Alb\u00e1nie takov\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch neza\u017eily. Odpov\u011bd\u00ed, a\u010d se nab\u00edz\u00ed, nen\u00ed ani \u010dlenstv\u00ed v\u00a0Evropsk\u00e9 unii. Konvergence, tedy ekonomick\u00e9 sbli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed se star\u00fdmi \u010dleny, se rozb\u011bhla u\u017e p\u0159ed vstupem, jakkoli snaha dostat se do EU mohla b\u00fdt jednou z\u00a0motivac\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Co n\u00e1\u0161 \u00fasp\u011bch skute\u010dn\u011b spojuje, je ekonomick\u00e1 transformace: umen\u0161en\u00ed role st\u00e1tu, uvoln\u011bn\u00ed ekonomick\u00fdch svobod, reforma st\u00e1tn\u00ed byrokracie, da\u0148ov\u00fdch, soci\u00e1ln\u00edch a\u00a0zdravotnick\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f. Op\u011bt plat\u00ed\u00a0\u2013 ne v\u0161echno, ne v\u0161ude, ne sou\u010dasn\u011b. Slovensko s\u00a0reformami zaostalo za \u010ceskem i\u00a0Polskem o\u00a0deset let, Ma\u010farsko mnoh\u00e9 reformy neud\u011blalo v\u016fbec. Spole\u010dn\u00fd z\u00e1klad budov\u00e1n\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 prosperity ale existuje.<\/p>\n

Transformaci p\u0159edch\u00e1zelo kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 obdob\u00ed, kdy v\u00a0my\u0161lenkov\u00e9m prostoru nastalo n\u00e1hl\u00e9 vakuum. Katedry marxismu-leninismu ze dne na den skon\u010dily, pl\u00e1novac\u00ed komise byly rozpu\u0161t\u011bny, u\u010debnice \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed podnik\u016f a\u00a0socialistick\u00e9ho \u00fa\u010detnictv\u00ed byly dobr\u00e9 leda na podpal. Toto vakuum pom\u00e1hali zaplnit mision\u00e1\u0159i ekonomick\u00e9ho liberalismu z\u00a0USA a\u00a0Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie. Asistovali u\u00a0zrodu think-tank\u016f, p\u0159iv\u00e1\u017eeli knihy od Hayeka, Friedmana \u010di Misese, d\u011blali vl\u00e1dn\u00ed poradce a\u00a0p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161eli nat\u0159\u00edskan\u00fdm s\u00e1l\u016fm.<\/p>\n

Za doh\u00e1n\u011bn\u00edm Z\u00e1padu st\u00e1lo p\u0159ijet\u00ed zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch z\u00e1kladn\u00edch atribut\u016f ekonomick\u00e9 prosperity. Zhusta v\u0161ak prob\u00edhalo na \u00farovni politick\u00e9ho podv\u011bdom\u00ed, nikoli na \u00farovni v\u011bdom\u00e9ho celospole\u010densk\u00e9ho konsenzu. V\u00a0\u010dase kriz\u00ed 90.\u00a0let byli reform\u00e1to\u0159i jako Balcerowicz, Bokros, Klaus, Miklo\u0161 \u010di Laar \u010dasto jedin\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed m\u011bli v\u00a0ruce p\u0159ipraven\u00fd pl\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

Koalice pro r\u016fst<\/p>\n

Evropa dnes ekonomicky stagnuje. Od automobilov\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu p\u0159es um\u011blou inteligenci a\u017e po zbabranou energetiku. Nam\u00edsto reforem se v\u00a0Berl\u00edn\u011b, Bruselu \u010di Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei s\u00a0v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdmi tv\u00e1\u0159emi diskutuje o\u00a0nepot\u0159ebnosti ekonomick\u00e9ho r\u016fstu. Hv\u011bzdami my\u0161len\u00ed jsou lid\u00e9 jako Thomas Piketty a\u00a0Greta Thunbergov\u00e1. Ekonomick\u00fd r\u016fst je p\u0159e\u017eitek, pot\u0159ebujeme n\u011bco nov\u00e9ho! Jako by to Evropa rovnou vzdala.<\/p>\n

Jestli n\u00e1\u0161 baltsko-karpatsk\u00fd oblouk n\u011bco skute\u010dn\u011b spojuje, je to jist\u00e1 m\u00edra hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho pragmatismu. Na zelenou politiku EU hled\u00edme s\u00a0podez\u0159en\u00edm, neboj\u00edme se j\u00e1dra. Nevych\u00e1z\u00ed od n\u00e1s tolik iniciativ zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fdch proti podnikatel\u016fm, investor\u016fm \u010di cel\u00fdm odv\u011btv\u00edm, jako je AI nebo fintech.<\/p>\n

\u010ct\u011bte tak\u00e9:<\/a><\/p>\n

I ti ner\u016fstov\u00ed aktivist\u00e9 tady slo\u017eit\u011bji hledaj\u00ed nekritick\u00e9 publikum. Ekosyst\u00e9m think-tank\u016f, akademik\u016f i\u00a0nad\u0161enc\u016f vysv\u011btluj\u00edc\u00edch d\u016fle\u017eitost konkurence, smluvn\u00ed svobody, ochrany vlastnick\u00fdch pr\u00e1v a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch atribut\u016f prosperity je v\u00a0Trojmo\u0159\u00ed st\u00e1le \u017eiv\u00fd. V\u00edm to, proto\u017ee jsem jeho sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Je ale pror\u016fstov\u00fd postoj skute\u010dn\u011b hodnotov\u00e1 volba na\u0161ich zem\u00ed? Nen\u00ed to ve skute\u010dnosti jen v\u00fdsledek pragmatismu (je\u0161t\u011b st\u00e1le) chud\u0161\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f a\u00a0jejich vl\u00e1d? Pravdou je, \u017ee Trojmo\u0159\u00ed nen\u00ed geopolitick\u00fd blok v\u00a0\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m funk\u010dn\u00edm ohledu. Je to metafora pro skupinu zem\u00ed ve stejn\u00e9 \u010di podobn\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 a\u00a0historick\u00e9 f\u00e1zi.<\/p>\n

V\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee blok od Estonska po Rumunsko m\u00e1 dnes potenci\u00e1l st\u00e1t se ekonomick\u00fdm tahounem Evropy. Region m\u016f\u017ee vystupovat jako pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd, logistick\u00fd, a\u00a0pokud se mu poda\u0159\u00ed udr\u017eet talenty doma a\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u011b p\u0159it\u00e1hnout expaty, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt i\u00a0technologick\u00fdm a\u00a0byznysov\u00fdm hubem. Pokud se mu jednou poda\u0159\u00ed integrovat Ukrajinu, z\u00edskal by i\u00a0v\u00fdznamnou surovinovou z\u00e1kladnu, kter\u00e1 v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 podob\u011b p\u0159ece jenom chyb\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Na p\u0159evzet\u00ed pomysln\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho \u017eezla v\u00a0Evrop\u011b jsou pot\u0159eba dv\u011b v\u011bci. Prvn\u00ed je hlad po prosperit\u011b a\u00a0upamatov\u00e1n\u00ed se na jej\u00ed p\u016fvod. Nevybudujeme ji dal\u0161\u00edmi regulacemi, nov\u00fdmi dan\u011bmi ani st\u00e1tn\u00edmi podniky. Stagnaci Evropy neporaz\u00edme t\u00edm, \u017ee budeme cht\u00edt b\u00fdt podobn\u00ed Bruselu.<\/p>\n

O deregulaci p\u0159ebyrokratizovan\u00e9 Evropy nesta\u010d\u00ed jen vypr\u00e1v\u011bt, ale je nutn\u00e9 s\u00a0n\u00ed za\u010d\u00edt doma. S\u00a0reformami m\u00e1me relativn\u011b \u010derstvou historickou zku\u0161enost, kter\u00e1 velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropy chyb\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Nejl\u00e9pe se to poda\u0159\u00ed, pokud spln\u00edme i\u00a0druhou podm\u00ednku. Na\u0161e zem\u011b musej\u00ed aktivn\u011bji vystupovat nejen v\u00a0boji o\u00a0evropsk\u00e9 fondy, jako tomu bylo zvykem dosud, ale i\u00a0v ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch tvarov\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politiky. Sice jsme v\u00a0jasn\u00e9 men\u0161in\u011b proti star\u00fdm \u010dlensk\u00fdm zem\u00edm, ale \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edklady t\u00e1hnou.<\/p>\n

Nam\u00edsto dopro\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed se pen\u011bz pi\u0161me pravidla. Ne\u010dekejme, \u017ee zm\u011bnu za\u0159\u00edd\u00ed N\u011bmci nebo Francouzi. Trojmo\u0159\u00ed by se m\u011blo st\u00e1t evropskou koalic\u00ed pro r\u016fst.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Intermarium nebo tak\u00e9 Trojmo\u0159\u00ed je geopolitick\u00e1 koncepce bloku st\u00e1t\u016f mezi Baltsk\u00fdm, \u010cern\u00fdm a\u00a0Jadersk\u00fdm mo\u0159em. P\u0159i pohledu na mapu…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":160955,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3],"tags":[23580,109,108,106,991,18979,5417,39356],"class_list":["post-160954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-evropa","tag-ekonomicky-rust","tag-europa","tag-europe","tag-evropa","tag-evropska-unie-eu","tag-prosperita","tag-reforma","tag-svet-ve-varu"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116997697575447452","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160954","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=160954"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160954\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/160955"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=160954"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=160954"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=160954"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}