{"id":161586,"date":"2026-07-29T05:49:07","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T05:49:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/161586\/"},"modified":"2026-07-29T05:49:07","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T05:49:07","slug":"jak-se-oteplilo-cesko-na-jizni-morave-je-dnes-stejne-jako-driv-u-more","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/161586\/","title":{"rendered":"Jak se oteplilo \u010cesko. Na ji\u017en\u00ed Morav\u011b je dnes stejn\u011b jako d\u0159\u00edv u\u00a0mo\u0159e"},"content":{"rendered":"

Meteorologick\u00e1 stanice<\/a> uprost\u0159ed pol\u00ed za m\u011bstem Str\u00e1\u017enice letos zaznamenala do konce minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne 29\u00a0dn\u00ed s\u00a0maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed teplotou nad 30\u00a0\u00b0C, tedy tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed. Na konci \u010dervna zde bylo nam\u011b\u0159eno rekordn\u00edch 39,2\u00a0\u00b0C a \u201e\u0159et\u011bz\u201c tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed b\u011bhem prvn\u00ed vlny veder trval bez p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed pln\u00fdch 14\u00a0dn\u00ed. B\u011bhem cel\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce mezi 19.\u00a0\u010dervnem 19.\u00a0\u010dervencem nav\u00edc Str\u00e1\u017enice za\u017eila pouh\u00fdch osm dn\u00ed, kdy teplota 30\u00a0\u00b0C nep\u0159es\u00e1hla.<\/p>\n

Cht\u011blo by se \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee takov\u00e9 po\u010das\u00ed u\u017e p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 sp\u00ed\u0161 subtropy ne\u017e m\u00edrn\u00fd p\u00e1s.<\/p>\n

Nejde p\u0159itom jen o\u00a0pocitov\u00e9 p\u0159irovn\u00e1n\u00ed. Data ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee je to realita. Neplat\u00ed to p\u0159itom jen pro leto\u0161n\u00ed mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fd rok, ale i\u00a0pro zcela pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 str\u00e1\u017enick\u00e9 l\u00e9to posledn\u00edch let.<\/p>\n

Str\u00e1\u017enice se kv\u016fli zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu oteplila natolik, \u017ee v\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b zde b\u00fdv\u00e1 podobn\u00fd po\u010det tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed i\u00a0podobn\u00e1 pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 denn\u00ed teplota, jako bylo b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 v\u00a0druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b 20.\u00a0stolet\u00ed na \u0159ad\u011b m\u00edst u\u00a0St\u0159edozemn\u00edho mo\u0159e.<\/p>\n

V\u00edc tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edv Valencie i\u00a0Hvar<\/p>\n

P\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm to plat\u00ed pro 14\u00a0m\u011bst, jejich\u017e srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se Str\u00e1\u017enic\u00ed ukazujeme v\u00a0n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch grafech. Ve skute\u010dnosti jich je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b mnohem v\u00edc, proto\u017ee jsme vyb\u00edrali jen z\u00a0pom\u011brn\u011b \u00fazk\u00e9ho v\u00fdseku stanic, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u011b dlouhou datovou \u0159adu v\u00a0evropsk\u00e9 centralizovan\u00e9 datab\u00e1zi<\/a> ECA.<\/p>\n

P\u0159ejd\u011bme u\u017e ale ke konkr\u00e9tn\u00edm srovn\u00e1n\u00edm.<\/p>\n

V sou\u010dasnosti maj\u00ed vybran\u00e1 m\u011bsta pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b zhruba 40\u00a0a\u017e skoro 100\u00a0tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed za rok, co\u017e je nep\u0159ekvapiv\u011b mnohem v\u00edc ne\u017e Str\u00e1\u017enice.<\/p>\n

Jejich pr\u016fm\u011br z\u00a0let 1961-1990, kdy se zm\u011bna klimatu teprve za\u010d\u00ednala projevovat, je nicm\u00e9n\u011b v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech dokonce i\u00a0v\u00fdrazn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed stav ve Str\u00e1\u017enici.<\/p>\n

A nejde jen o\u00a0metriku tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed. O\u00a0n\u011bco m\u00e9n\u011b, ale po\u0159\u00e1d podobn\u011b, toti\u017e vych\u00e1z\u00ed i\u00a0srovn\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 letn\u00ed denn\u00ed teploty (jde o\u00a0teplotu za 24\u00a0hodin v\u010detn\u011b noci, kter\u00e9 byly ve vybran\u00fdch lokalit\u00e1ch v\u011bt\u0161inou i\u00a0d\u0159\u00edv p\u0159eci jen o\u00a0n\u011bco teplej\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e jsou te\u010f ve Str\u00e1\u017enici).<\/p>\n

Srovn\u00e1n\u00ed plat\u00ed i\u00a0kousek od Afriky<\/p>\n

N\u00ed\u017ee si m\u016f\u017eete prohl\u00e9dnout mapu s\u00a0vybran\u00fdmi m\u011bsty a\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b si je i\u00a0rozkliknout a\u00a0pod\u00edvat se, jak se v\u00a0nich vyv\u00edjel po\u010det tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed rok za rokem.<\/p>\n

Jak m\u016f\u017eete vid\u011bt, do v\u00fdb\u011bru se dostala i\u00a0m\u011bsta jako Valencie, nebo Almer\u00eda, kter\u00e1 le\u017e\u00ed jen 350\u00a0a\u00a0necel\u00fdch 200\u00a0kilometr\u016f od okraje Afriky. Ke geografii je nicm\u00e9n\u011b pot\u0159eba dodat, \u017ee po\u010das\u00ed zdaleka neur\u010duje jen zem\u011bpisn\u00e1 \u0161\u00ed\u0159ka a\u00a0ned\u00e1 se \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee ji\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed poloha automaticky znamen\u00e1 teplej\u0161\u00ed podneb\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Dala by se tak samoz\u0159ejm\u011b naj\u00edt i\u00a0hromada st\u0159edomo\u0159sk\u00fdch m\u00edst a\u00a0m\u011bst, pro kter\u00e1 by srovn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u016fbec nevy\u0161lo, respektive kter\u00e1 byla mnohem teplej\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed Str\u00e1\u017enice u\u017e v\u00a0obdob\u00ed 1961-1990.\u00a0Typicky jde o\u00a0m\u00edsta d\u00e1l od mo\u0159e, a\u00a0t\u0159eba v\u00a0n\u00ed\u017ein\u011b, kde se v\u00edc dr\u017e\u00ed teplo. Za p\u0159\u00edklad m\u016f\u017eeme d\u00e1t t\u0159eba Madrid, kter\u00fd m\u011bl u\u017e v\u00a0obdob\u00ed 1961-1990\u00a0v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru 72\u00a0tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed ro\u010dn\u011b. <\/p>\n

Mo\u0159e v\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed ochlazuje a\u00a0na n\u011bkter\u00fdch m\u00edstech, kde se to laikovi m\u016f\u017ee zd\u00e1t zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed, d\u00edky tomu dokonce nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt ani nyn\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b tepleji ne\u017e ve Str\u00e1\u017enici (plat\u00ed to t\u0159eba pro Barcelonu). Do v\u00fdb\u011bru jsme nicm\u00e9n\u011b za\u0159adili jen m\u011bsta, kter\u00e1 jsou moment\u00e1ln\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u011b teplej\u0161\u00ed a\u00a0reprezentuj\u00ed klasick\u00e9 hork\u00e9 St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jak m\u016f\u017eete vid\u011bt v\u00a0map\u011b, za\u0159adili jsme nav\u00edc i\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00e1 vnitrozemsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta, proti jejich\u017e l\u00e9t\u016fm z\u00a0minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed jsou sou\u010dasn\u00e1 str\u00e1\u017enick\u00e1 l\u00e9ta po\u0159\u00e1d podobn\u011b tepl\u00e1.<\/p>\n

\u201eJen dva stupn\u011b\u201c znamenaj\u00ed ob\u0159\u00ed zm\u011bnu<\/p>\n

Str\u00e1\u017enici jsme vybrali jako reprezentanta jednoho z\u00a0nejteplej\u0161\u00edch m\u00edst v\u00a0\u010cesku mimo tepeln\u00e9 ostrovy m\u011bst. Na ji\u017en\u00ed Morav\u011b je nicm\u00e9n\u011b stanic s\u00a0podobn\u011b tepl\u00fdmi z\u00e1znamy n\u011bkolik. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b jde na pom\u011bry \u010ceska o\u00a0v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u011b tepl\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, ale c\u00edlem tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku nebylo ukazovat, jak daleko jsme se kv\u016fli zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu \u201epohnuli na jih\u201c jako cel\u00fd st\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

Prim\u00e1rn\u00edm c\u00edlem bylo nab\u00eddnout jin\u00fd \u00fahel pohledu na to, jak rychle k\u00a0oteplen\u00ed v\u00a0\u010cesku doch\u00e1z\u00ed, a\u00a0v tomto u\u017e Str\u00e1\u017enice vlastn\u011b ani nen\u00ed v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u00e1. Jin\u00fdmi slovy oblast sice vynik\u00e1 t\u00edm, \u017ee byla u\u017e p\u0159ed zm\u011bnou klimatu dost tepl\u00e1 na to, aby na n\u00ed nyn\u00ed sed\u011blo p\u016fsobiv\u00e9 srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00edm, ale zm\u011bna se tam ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011brem v\u00a0\u010cesku ned\u011bje rychleji.<\/p>\n

\u201eJih Moravy nen\u00ed nejrychleji se otepluj\u00edc\u00edm \u00fazem\u00edm. Nejrychleji teploty vzduchu rostou v\u00a0Praze a\u00a0okol\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na pak v\u00a0jej\u00edm centru vlivem efektu tepeln\u00e9ho ostrova a\u00a0prim\u00e1rn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm no\u010dn\u00edm teplot\u00e1m. Obecn\u011b se d\u00e1 tak\u00e9 \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee rychleji teploty rostou na stanic\u00edch do 600\u00a0metr\u016f nad mo\u0159em (o 0,37\u00a0\u00b0C za dek\u00e1du 10\u00a0let za obdob\u00ed 1961-2019), a\u00a0naopak nad 900\u00a0metr\u016f je trend r\u016fstu ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed (0,27\u00a0\u00b0C za 10\u00a0let v\u00a0obdob\u00ed 1961-2019),\u201c \u0159ekl k\u00a0tomu Seznam Zpr\u00e1v\u00e1m klimatolog Pavel Zahradn\u00ed\u010dek z\u00a0\u00dastavu v\u00fdzkumu glob\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bny AV \u010cR (CzechGlobe).<\/p>\n

Jak jste mohli vid\u011bt v\u00a0grafu v\u00fd\u0161e, pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 ro\u010dn\u00ed teplota se ve Str\u00e1\u017enici od 60.\u00a0let pohnula o\u00a0necel\u00e9 dva stupn\u011b (to je mimochodem m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e pr\u016fm\u011br<\/a> pro cel\u00e9 \u010cesko). I\u00a0kdy\u017e se to pohledem na pouh\u00fd graf m\u016f\u017ee zd\u00e1t jako mal\u00e1 zm\u011bna, po p\u0159e\u010dten\u00ed tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku by m\u011blo b\u00fdt v\u0161em jasn\u00e9, \u017ee ve skute\u010dnosti je zm\u011bna mohutn\u00e1. <\/p>\n

Tropick\u00fdch dn\u016f za stejn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed mimochodem ve Str\u00e1\u017enici p\u0159ibylo trojn\u00e1sobn\u011b:<\/p>\n

Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b je jist\u00e9, \u017ee trend bude je\u0161t\u011b dlouh\u00e9 dek\u00e1dy pokra\u010dovat. Jak moc a\u00a0jak dlouho, p\u0159itom z\u00e1vis\u00ed prim\u00e1rn\u011b na tom, jak se sv\u011btu bude da\u0159it eliminovat emise sklen\u00edkov\u00fdch plyn\u016f.<\/p>\n

O kolik se je\u0161t\u011b otepl\u00ed?<\/p>\n

M\u00edru p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9ho budouc\u00edho oteplen\u00ed dob\u0159e p\u0159ibli\u017euje tato mapa<\/a>, kter\u00e1 je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed projektu ClimRisk od v\u011bdc\u016f z\u00a0CzechGlobe. Pro Str\u00e1\u017enici jako p\u0159edpokl\u00e1danou pr\u016fm\u011brnou ro\u010dn\u00ed teplotu v\u00a0obdob\u00ed 2071-2100\u00a0p\u0159i st\u0159edov\u00e9m emisn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i SSP245\u00a0model uv\u00e1d\u00ed 12,3\u00a0\u00b0C, co\u017e by m\u011blo znamenat, \u017ee jihomoravsk\u00e9 m\u011bste\u010dko pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b \u010dek\u00e1 do konce stolet\u00ed podobn\u00e9 oteplen\u00ed, jak\u00e9 za\u017eila od 60.\u00a0let dosud.<\/p>\n

Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd po\u010det tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed by tam za stejn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed a\u00a0p\u0159i stejn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i m\u011bl vzr\u016fst na necel\u00fdch 46.\u00a0Jak ale m\u016f\u017eete vid\u011bt, tak \u010dty\u0159ic\u00edtku tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed Str\u00e1\u017enice atakovala u\u017e i\u00a0v minulosti, co\u017e n\u00e1m p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee extr\u00e9mn\u00ed roky m\u016fohou b\u00fdt v\u00fdrazn\u011b nad pr\u016fm\u011brem.<\/p>\n

Tento odhad dal\u0161\u00edho oteplen\u00ed p\u0159itom stoj\u00ed na p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed dekarboniza\u010dn\u00ed politiky nesel\u017eou a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 nedojde k\u00a0\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9 reakci klimatick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Meteorologick\u00e1 stanice uprost\u0159ed pol\u00ed za m\u011bstem Str\u00e1\u017enice letos zaznamenala do konce minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne 29\u00a0dn\u00ed s\u00a0maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed teplotou nad 30\u00a0\u00b0C,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":161587,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[7],"tags":[43,42,41,40,35509,10487,159,2994,35300],"class_list":["post-161586","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-cesko","tag-ceska-republika","tag-cesko","tag-czech-republic","tag-czechia","tag-extremni-vedro","tag-globalni-oteplovani","tag-klima","tag-planeta-a-klima","tag-straznice"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117001700601971160","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161586","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=161586"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161586\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/161587"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=161586"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=161586"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=161586"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}