{"id":170385,"date":"2026-08-06T10:12:18","date_gmt":"2026-08-06T10:12:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/170385\/"},"modified":"2026-08-06T10:12:18","modified_gmt":"2026-08-06T10:12:18","slug":"lukas-kovanda-plyn-v-zime-bude-ale-levny-nebude","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/170385\/","title":{"rendered":"Luk\u00e1\u0161 Kovanda: Plyn v zim\u011b bude, ale levn\u00fd nebude"},"content":{"rendered":"

Z\u00e1sobn\u00edky zemn\u00edho plynu v Evropsk\u00e9 unii jsou pro tuto \u010d\u00e1st roku napln\u011bny nejm\u00e9n\u011b minim\u00e1ln\u011b od roku 2009. Podobn\u011b \u0161patn\u011b je na tom i \u010cesko. Nedostatek plynu z\u0159ejm\u011b nehroz\u00ed, dom\u00e1cnosti a firmy ale mohou b\u011bhem zimy \u010delit citeln\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm cen\u00e1m energi\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Evropa vstupuje do rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed f\u00e1ze p\u0159\u00edpravy na topnou sezonu s nezvykle n\u00edzk\u00fdmi z\u00e1sobami zemn\u00edho plynu. Z\u00e1sobn\u00edky v cel\u00e9 Evropsk\u00e9 unii jsou nyn\u00ed napln\u011bny zhruba z 58 procent, zat\u00edmco ve stejn\u00e9m obdob\u00ed lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku byly p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o dvan\u00e1ct procentn\u00edch bod\u016f pln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 napln\u011bnost je pro tuto \u010d\u00e1st roku nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed minim\u00e1ln\u011b od roku 2009, vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 z dat agentury Bloomberg.<\/p>\n

\u010cesk\u00e9 z\u00e1sobn\u00edky jsou na tom obdobn\u011b. Jejich napln\u011bnost \u010din\u00ed k dne\u0161ku podle t\u00e9\u017ee agentury necel\u00fdch 61 procent, co\u017e je p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o sedmn\u00e1ct procentn\u00edch bod\u016f m\u00e9n\u011b, ne\u017e \u010din\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011br pro tuto \u010d\u00e1st roku za posledn\u00edch p\u011bt let.<\/p>\n

\t\t\"\"<\/p>\n

\t\tN\u011bmecko se tr\u00e1p\u00ed s\u00a0energetikou. J\u00e1dro u\u017e nepom\u016f\u017ee, s\u00e1zka na plyn selh\u00e1v\u00e1, vod\u00edk je v\u00a0nedohlednu
\n\t\tN\u00e1zory<\/a><\/p>\n

N\u011bmci p\u0159ed lety zah\u00e1jili velkou energetickou p\u0159em\u011bnu odchodem od j\u00e1dra a tak\u00e9 kancl\u00e9\u0159 Friedrich Merz uzn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee to byla strategick\u00e1 chyba. N\u00e1sleduje \u00fatlum uhl\u00ed. Stabiln\u00ed elektr\u00e1rny jsou v\u0161ak st\u00e1le pot\u0159eba. V\u00a0Berl\u00edn\u011b rozhodli, \u017ee si koup\u00ed \u010das budov\u00e1n\u00edm plynov\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, kter\u00e9 pozd\u011bji p\u0159ejdou na zelen\u00fd vod\u00edk. Jen\u017ee vod\u00edkov\u00e9 technologie jsou v\u00a0nedohlednu a plynov\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny se v\u00fdrazn\u011b redukuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jan \u017di\u017eka<\/p>\n

\tP\u0159e\u010d\u00edst \u010dl\u00e1nek<\/a><\/p>\n

N\u00edzk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby mohou rozh\u00fdbat ceny<\/p>\n

Takto n\u00edzk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby zvy\u0161uj\u00ed riziko v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch cenov\u00fdch v\u00fdkyv\u016f b\u011bhem nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed zimy. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho po\u010das\u00ed, dal\u0161\u00edho omezen\u00ed dod\u00e1vek nebo zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 konkurence ze strany Asie p\u0159i n\u00e1kupech zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu (LNG) m\u016f\u017ee cena plynu op\u011bt prudce r\u016fst.<\/p>\n

To by se n\u00e1sledn\u011b prom\u00edtlo nejen do \u00fa\u010dt\u016f dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed za energie, ale tak\u00e9 do n\u00e1klad\u016f pr\u016fmyslu a p\u0159es ceny elekt\u0159iny i do \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed inflace.<\/p>\n

\t\t\"\"<\/p>\n

\t\tElektr\u00e1rny nebo bomby? Trumpova dohoda se Sa\u00fady p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed nov\u00e9 hrozby nejen pro Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod
\n\t\tN\u00e1zory<\/a><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump si nemohl vybrat m\u00e9n\u011b vhodn\u00fd moment. Ohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e1 dohoda se Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed o rozvoji jadern\u00e9 energetiky vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00a0dob\u011b pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00e9 obavy. Korunn\u00ed princ Muhammad bin Salm\u00e1n v\u00a0minulosti nevylou\u010dil snahu z\u00edskat jadernou zbra\u0148. Hroz\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed sv\u00e1ry v\u00a0regionu, kter\u00fd po\u0159\u00e1d siln\u011b ovliv\u0148uje sv\u011btov\u00fd trh s\u00a0ropou a plynem.<\/p>\n

Jan \u017di\u017eka<\/p>\n

\tP\u0159e\u010d\u00edst \u010dl\u00e1nek<\/a><\/p>\n

Chladn\u00e1 zima a nap\u011bt\u00ed v Hormuzu<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00ed\u010din sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho stavu je n\u011bkolik. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm leto\u0161n\u00ed zima byla v\u00fdrazn\u011b chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159edchoz\u00ed dv\u011b, tak\u017ee Evropa spot\u0159ebovala podstatn\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st z\u00e1sob.<\/p>\n

Geopolitick\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a naru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek LNG p\u0159es Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv nav\u00edc zkomplikovaly dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f pr\u00e1v\u011b v letn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch, kdy se plyn tradi\u010dn\u011b nakupuje na zimu.<\/p>\n

Evropa sou\u010dasn\u011b po odst\u0159i\u017een\u00ed od v\u011bt\u0161iny rusk\u00e9ho potrubn\u00edho plynu mnohem v\u00edce spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na LNG, jeho\u017e cena i dostupnost jsou v\u00fdrazn\u011b citliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed na v\u00fdvoj sv\u011btov\u00e9 popt\u00e1vky.<\/p>\n

\t\t\"\"<\/p>\n

\t\tLekce od Putina i Trumpa: Evropa mus\u00ed urychlen\u011b omezovat dovoz plynu
\n\t\tN\u00e1zory<\/a><\/p>\n

Nekon\u010d\u00edc\u00ed hormuzsk\u00e1 krize je pro Evropu dal\u0161\u00edm siln\u00fdm varov\u00e1n\u00edm. V\u00e1lka na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b zat\u00edm zp\u016fsobila v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9my jin\u00fdm oblastem sv\u011bta, ale hrozba, \u017ee se Evropan\u016fm p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed zima prodra\u017e\u00ed, stoup\u00e1. D\u011bsiv\u00fd je i (snad) do\u010dasn\u00fd n\u00e1vrat k\u00a0rusk\u00e9mu plynu. Lekce od Vladimira Putina i Donalda Trumpa ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee Evropa mus\u00ed dovoz plynu co nejrychleji omezovat.<\/p>\n

Jan \u017di\u017eka<\/p>\n

\tP\u0159e\u010d\u00edst \u010dl\u00e1nek<\/a><\/p>\n

Brusel zm\u00edrnil pravidla pro pln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f<\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e1 unie proto letos zm\u00edrnila pravidla pro pln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f. Zat\u00edmco d\u0159\u00edve platil prakticky pevn\u00fd c\u00edl dos\u00e1hnout p\u0159ed zimou napln\u011bnosti 90 procent, nov\u011b maj\u00ed \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed flexibilitu.<\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e1 komise p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed, \u017ee za mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fdch tr\u017en\u00edch podm\u00ednek m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt realistick\u00fdm minimem napln\u011bnost kolem 80 procent. D\u016fvod je jednoduch\u00fd: p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 agresivn\u00ed n\u00e1kupy plynu b\u011bhem l\u00e9ta by samy o sob\u011b vyhnaly ceny vzh\u016fru a situaci je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161ily.<\/p>\n

Trh reaguje na ka\u017edou \u0161patnou zpr\u00e1vu<\/p>\n

V\u00fdznam sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho deficitu p\u0159esto nelze podce\u0148ovat. Ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1soby znamenaj\u00ed men\u0161\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed pol\u0161t\u00e1\u0159 pro p\u0159\u00edpad ne\u010dekan\u00fdch v\u00fdpadk\u016f dod\u00e1vek.<\/p>\n

Trh je proto citliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed na ka\u017edou zpr\u00e1vu o geopolitick\u00e9m v\u00fdvoji, odst\u00e1vk\u00e1ch norsk\u00fdch nalezi\u0161\u0165 nebo v\u00fdvoji po\u010das\u00ed. To vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d cena plynu letos reaguje mnohem prud\u010deji ne\u017e v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech.<\/p>\n

Plyn z\u0159ejm\u011b nedojde. Probl\u00e9mem bude jeho cena<\/p>\n

Pro \u010ceskou republiku nep\u0159edstavuje sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed riziko nedostatku plynu. Tuzemsko m\u00e1 diverzifikovan\u00e9 dovozn\u00ed cesty a je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed propojen\u00e9ho evropsk\u00e9ho trhu.<\/p>\n

Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je v\u0161ak sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, v n\u011bm\u017e budou dom\u00e1cnosti i podniky b\u011bhem zimy \u010delit dra\u017e\u0161\u00edm energi\u00edm, ne\u017e se je\u0161t\u011b na za\u010d\u00e1tku leto\u0161n\u00edho roku o\u010dek\u00e1valo.<\/p>\n

Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hrozbou tak nen\u00ed fyzick\u00fd nedostatek plynu, ale jeho cena.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed koment\u00e1\u0159e ekonoma Luk\u00e1\u0161e Kovandy<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Z\u00e1sobn\u00edky zemn\u00edho plynu v Evropsk\u00e9 unii jsou pro tuto \u010d\u00e1st roku napln\u011bny nejm\u00e9n\u011b minim\u00e1ln\u011b od roku 2009. Podobn\u011b…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":170386,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3],"tags":[150,491,109,108,106,138,9502,492,41768],"class_list":["post-170385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-evropa","tag-energetika","tag-energie","tag-europa","tag-europe","tag-evropa","tag-komentare","tag-lukas-kovanda","tag-plyn","tag-plynove-zasobniky"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117048033209303284","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170385","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=170385"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170385\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/170386"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=170385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=170385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=170385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}