Polsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Rados\u0142aw Sikorski otev\u0159el debatu, kter\u00e1 by je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed rokem zn\u011bla jako \u010dist\u00e9 sci-fi: zachyt\u00e1vat rusk\u00e9 rakety je\u0161t\u011b nad ukrajinsk\u00fdm vzdu\u0161n\u00fdm prostorem, tedy d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e se v\u016fbec dostanou k hranic\u00edm Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance (NATO). <\/p>\n
Incident z konce \u010dervence, kdy rusk\u00e1 st\u0159ela p\u0159elet\u011bla t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 sto kilometr\u016f nad polsk\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm, z tohoto t\u00e9matu ud\u011blal nal\u00e9havou realitu.<\/p>\n
Raketa, kter\u00e1 p\u0159ist\u00e1la v poli \u2014 a v politice<\/p>\n
Bylo to t\u0159ic\u00e1t\u00e9ho \u010dervence. Rusk\u00e1 \u0159\u00edzen\u00e1 st\u0159ela Kh-101 naru\u0161ila polsk\u00fd vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor, p\u0159elet\u011bla p\u0159es Lublinsk\u00fd region a dopadla v poli u obce Tarnawa-Kolonia. Polsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 letouny okam\u017eit\u011b vzl\u00e9tly, ale st\u0159ela zmizela z radar\u016f \u0161est minut po vstupu do polsk\u00e9ho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru. Nikdo nebyl zran\u011bn \u2014 alespo\u0148 tentokr\u00e1t.<\/p>\n
Incident potvrdil jak polsk\u00fd, tak ukrajinsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Kyjev p\u0159itom dal jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee ud\u00e1lost ukazuje, pro\u010d je pos\u00edlen\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany v\u011bc\u00ed cel\u00e9ho euroatlantick\u00e9ho spole\u010denstv\u00ed. Co ohro\u017euje Kyjev, ohro\u017euje i Var\u0161avu \u2014 a tato logika se st\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bji zpochybnitelnou.<\/p>\n
Sikorsk\u00e9ho ot\u00e1zka bez snadn\u00e9 odpov\u011bdi<\/p>\n
Sikorski to formuloval zcela p\u0159esn\u011b: \u201eOt\u00e1zka, zda si m\u016f\u017eeme b\u00fdt jisti, \u017ee by bylo lep\u0161\u00ed sest\u0159elovat tyto rusk\u00e9 rakety nad Ukrajinou, ne\u017e t\u0159eba pozd\u011bji nad Polskem, je p\u0159edm\u011btem velmi v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 diskuse, kter\u00e1 by nem\u011bla b\u00fdt rukojm\u00edm stranick\u00e9 rivality.\u201c<\/p>\n
Jde o v\u011btu, kter\u00e1 v sob\u011b skr\u00fdv\u00e1 celou dilemati\u010dnost situace. Technicky vzato je zachycen\u00ed rakety nad ciz\u00edm \u00fazem\u00edm mo\u017en\u00e9 \u2014 Polsko m\u00e1 k dispozici syst\u00e9my Patriot. Politicky a pr\u00e1vn\u011b je to ale zcela jin\u00e1 kategorie. Ot\u00e1zky svrchovanosti vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru, rizika eskalace a reakce Moskvy nejsou jen akademick\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed.<\/p>\n
P\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm stejn\u011b z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e1 je situace na samotn\u00e9 Ukrajin\u011b. Kyjev \u010del\u00ed v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm balistick\u00fdmi raketami a podle dostupn\u00fdch informac\u00ed nezachytil ani jedinou ze \u010dty\u0159iadvaceti balistick\u00fdch st\u0159el, kter\u00e9 na n\u011bj Rusko vyp\u00e1lilo v jedin\u00e9m dni za\u010d\u00e1tkem srpna. Z\u00e1soby interceptor\u016f pro syst\u00e9my Patriot p\u0159itom klesly v prvn\u00ed polovin\u011b roku na t\u0159etinu \u00farovn\u011b p\u0159edchoz\u00edho roku.<\/p>\n
Obrana, kter\u00e1 nesta\u010d\u00ed<\/p>\n
Rusko svou taktiku v\u011bdom\u011b p\u0159izp\u016fsobuje. Kombinuje balistick\u00e9 rakety, \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 st\u0159ely, drony a klamn\u00e9 c\u00edle \u2014 c\u00edlem je toti\u017e ukrajinskou obranu zahltit, ne ji p\u0159ekonat jedn\u00edm \u00faderem. V\u00fdsledkem je asymetrie, kter\u00e1 se neust\u00e1le prohlubuje: Ukrajina spot\u0159ebov\u00e1v\u00e1 interceptory rychleji, ne\u017e je dost\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/p>\n
Polsko na tuto situaci reaguje na v\u00edce front\u00e1ch. Posiluje vlastn\u00ed protivzdu\u0161nou obranu, p\u0159ipravuje mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed a zva\u017euje dal\u0161\u00ed formy podpory Ukrajiny. Premi\u00e9r Donald Tusk mezit\u00edm deklaroval jasnou linii: Polsko sest\u0159el\u00ed jak\u00fdkoli objekt, kter\u00fd naru\u0161\u00ed jeho vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor a bude p\u0159edstavovat hrozbu. Srozumiteln\u00fd sign\u00e1l. Ale co s raketami, kter\u00e9 k polsk\u00e9mu vzdu\u0161n\u00e9mu prostoru teprve m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed?<\/p>\n
Debata o zachyt\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed st\u0159el nad Ukrajinou nen\u00ed jen vojensko-technick\u00e1 \u00favaha. Je to ot\u00e1zka, jak daleko je NATO ochotno j\u00edt v kolektivn\u00ed obran\u011b \u2014 a zda je levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zaplatit politickou cenu preventivn\u00edho z\u00e1sahu, nebo fyzickou cenu dal\u0161\u00edho v\u00fdbuchu v polsk\u00e9m poli. Nebo ve m\u011bst\u011b.<\/p>\n
Zdroj info: united24media<\/p>\n
Autor: Marek H\u00e1jek <\/p>\n
Foto: Vytvo\u0159eno um\u011blou inteligenc\u00ed v\u00a0ChatGPT<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Polsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Rados\u0142aw Sikorski otev\u0159el debatu, kter\u00e1 by je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed rokem zn\u011bla jako \u010dist\u00e9 sci-fi: zachyt\u00e1vat rusk\u00e9…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":173248,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[11],"tags":[117,61,54,110,53,52,1436],"class_list":["post-173247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-polsko","tag-rusko","tag-svet","tag-ukrajina","tag-world","tag-world-news","tag-zbrane"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117063124405035636","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=173247"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173247\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/173248"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=173247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=173247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=173247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}