{"id":176570,"date":"2026-08-12T04:36:08","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T04:36:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/176570\/"},"modified":"2026-08-12T04:36:08","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T04:36:08","slug":"pruzkum-pruzkumu-babis-se-blizi-svemu-snu-pad-partnera-mu-jde-na-ruku-drti-i-jine-aktualne-cz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/176570\/","title":{"rendered":"Pr\u016fzkum pr\u016fzkum\u016f: Babi\u0161 se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed sv\u00e9mu snu. P\u00e1d partnera mu jde na ruku, drt\u00ed i jin\u00e9 \u2013 Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b.cz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.median.eu\/cs\/?p=3748\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">volebn\u00ed model agentury Median<\/a> potvrdil dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00ed trendy. ODS p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 b\u00fdt druhou nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed politickou stranou v\u00a0zemi a kles\u00e1 ve prosp\u011bch Starost\u016f. Jestli\u017ee na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku vedli ob\u010dan\u0161t\u00ed demokrat\u00e9 nad STAN o 1,5 procentn\u00edho bodu, nyn\u00ed na hnut\u00ed veden\u00e9 V\u00edtem Raku\u0161anem 0,6 procentn\u00edho bodu ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Zbyl\u00ed dva b\u00fdval\u00ed partne\u0159i ODS v\u00a0doned\u00e1vna nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed koalici Spolu jsou na tom ov\u0161em je\u0161t\u011b h\u016f\u0159. Jak lidovci, tak TOP 09 se u\u017e od poloviny \u00fanora pot\u00e1cej\u00ed kolem pouh\u00fdch t\u0159\u00ed procent. KDU-\u010cSL nepomohla ani genera\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bna veden\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Kdy\u017e kope ka\u017ed\u00fd s\u00e1m za sebe<\/p>\n<p>V\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovn\u011b sed\u00ed z\u00e1stupci b\u00fdval\u00e9 koalice Spolu na 52 k\u0159eslech. V\u00a0t\u00e9 nov\u00e9 by jich obsadili jen 36. P\u0159itom p\u0159i zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed preferenc\u00ed hnut\u00ed Na\u0161e \u010cesko, kter\u00e9 vzniklo odtr\u017een\u00edm od ODS, maj\u00ed zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 \u010dty\u0159i strany dohromady d\u016fv\u011bru 23,2 procenta voli\u010d\u016f. To je prakticky stejn\u011b, kolik z\u00edskala koalice Spolu v\u00a0podzimn\u00edch sn\u011bmovn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch. Voli\u010di tedy sou\u010dasn\u00e9 opozici nezmizeli, dopl\u00e1c\u00ed v\u0161ak na svou neochotu se spojit.<\/p>\n<p>Ob\u010dan\u0161t\u00ed demokrat\u00e9 se mohou ut\u011b\u0161ovat alespo\u0148 t\u00edm, \u017ee maj\u00ed po hnut\u00ed ANO druh\u00e9 nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed voli\u010dsk\u00e9 j\u00e1dro. Podle zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9ho volebn\u00edho modelu agentury Median si je svou \u00fa\u010dast\u00ed ve volb\u00e1ch i v\u00fdb\u011brem strany jisto 63 procent p\u0159\u00edznivc\u016f ODS. V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Starost\u016f je to pouh\u00fdch 44 procent, u Pir\u00e1t\u016f dokonce jen 36 procent.<\/p>\n<p>Babi\u0161\u016fv sen se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed<\/p>\n<p>Druhou povzbudivou zpr\u00e1vou pro n\u011b m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pomal\u00e9, ov\u0161em rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed Motorist\u016f. Ti sice v\u00a0aktu\u00e1ln\u00edm pr\u016fzkumu pr\u016fzkum\u016f maj\u00ed rovn\u00fdch p\u011bt procent stejn\u011b jako p\u0159ed m\u011bs\u00edcem, jen\u017ee to jsou \u010d\u00edsla po zaokrouhlen\u00ed. S\u00a0p\u0159esnost\u00ed na dv\u011b desetinn\u00e1 m\u00edsta to pro nejmen\u0161\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed stranu vypad\u00e1 takto: P\u0159ed m\u011bs\u00edcem 5,02 procenta, nyn\u00ed 4,96 procenta.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud Motorist\u00e9 ve volb\u00e1ch nep\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed p\u011btiprocentn\u00ed hranici, \u201ejejich\u201c mand\u00e1ty si rozeberou hlavn\u011b t\u0159i nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed strany. Pro hnut\u00ed ANO by to znamenalo bonus \u0161esti k\u0159esel, celkem by tak m\u011bl Andrej Babi\u0161 94 poslanc\u016f nam\u00edsto st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch 80. K\u00a0sestaven\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy by mu tak sta\u010dil jeden mal\u00fd koali\u010dn\u00ed partner nam\u00edsto st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch dvou, respektive p\u011bti (pokud zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me poslance jin\u00fdch subjekt\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed se do sn\u011bmovny dostali z kandid\u00e1tky SPD). Babi\u0161 se t\u00edm dost\u00e1v\u00e1 bl\u00ed\u017ee k\u00a0napln\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9ho snu o jednobarevn\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Jak pr\u016fzkum pr\u016fzkum\u016f po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1<\/p>\n<p>Volebn\u00ed model <a href=\"http:\/\/Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b.cz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b.cz<\/a> pat\u0159\u00ed, stejn\u011b jako nap\u0159\u00edklad projekt <a href=\"http:\/\/Mand\u00e1ty.cz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mand\u00e1ty.cz<\/a>, mezi takzvan\u00e9 poll of polls, tedy pr\u016fzkumy pr\u016fzkum\u016f. Jeho vstupem jsou v\u0161echny letos zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9 volebn\u00ed modely dom\u00e1c\u00edch agentur sdru\u017een\u00fdch v <a href=\"https:\/\/simar.cz\/agentury\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">profesn\u00ed organizaci Simar<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00fdsledky t\u011bchto model\u016f jsou pak v\u00e1\u017eeny podle data zji\u0161\u0165ov\u00e1n\u00ed a po\u010dtu respondent\u016f: \u010d\u00edm nov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je dan\u00fd pr\u016fzkum a \u010d\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed m\u00e1 po\u010det respondent\u016f, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1hu mu pr\u016fzkum pr\u016fzkum\u016f p\u0159isuzuje.<\/p>\n<p>Vypo\u010d\u00edtan\u00fd volebn\u00ed zisk pak p\u0159epo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1v\u00e1 na poslaneck\u00e9 mand\u00e1ty s p\u0159edpokladem, \u017ee v jednotliv\u00fdch kraj\u00edch bude hlasovat stejn\u00fd po\u010det voli\u010d\u016f jako v roce 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Do leto\u0161n\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu pr\u016fzkum\u016f <a href=\"http:\/\/Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b.cz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b.cz<\/a> byly dosud za\u0159azeny pr\u016fzkumy t\u011bchto agentur:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed volebn\u00ed model agentury Median potvrdil dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00ed trendy. ODS p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 b\u00fdt druhou nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed politickou stranou v\u00a0zemi a kles\u00e1&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":176571,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[10],"tags":[2405,17,21,16,18,19,22,42589,9314,20],"class_list":["post-176570","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-zpravy","tag-datavize","tag-headlines","tag-hlavni-udalosti","tag-news","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-udalosti-dne","tag-volby-2026","tag-volebni-model-aktualne","tag-zpravy"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117080685648953600","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/176570","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=176570"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/176570\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/176571"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=176570"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=176570"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=176570"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}