{"id":177287,"date":"2026-08-12T17:06:13","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T17:06:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/177287\/"},"modified":"2026-08-12T17:06:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T17:06:13","slug":"kov-ktery-predpovida-valky-trha-rekordy-evropa-ma-vazny-problem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/177287\/","title":{"rendered":"Kov, kter\u00fd p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 v\u00e1lky, trh\u00e1 rekordy. Evropa m\u00e1 v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd probl\u00e9m"},"content":{"rendered":"

Je tvrd\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v\u011bt\u0161ina kov\u016f, vydr\u017e\u00ed extr\u00e9mn\u00ed teploty a bez jeho hustoty se neobejdou zbroja\u0159i ani t\u011b\u017ek\u00fd pr\u016fmysl. Ceny wolframu vylet\u011bly za dva roky na p\u011btin\u00e1sobek a po t\u0159iceti letech se o\u017eivuj\u00ed i zakonzervovan\u00e9 doly. R\u016fst popt\u00e1vky po kritick\u00e9 surovin\u011b signalizuje zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 riziko glob\u00e1ln\u00edch konflikt\u016f. Situaci nav\u00edc komplikuje \u010c\u00edna.<\/p>\n

Existuje kov, kter\u00fd ti\u0161e sleduje pravd\u011bpodobnost v\u00e1lky ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e stolet\u00ed. Nen\u00ed to zlato, ani ropa, ani uran. Je to wolfram. Hust\u00fd a tvrd\u00fd. S bodem t\u00e1n\u00ed nad 3 400 stup\u0148\u016f Celsia, co\u017e je nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed bod ze v\u0161ech kov\u016f. V dob\u011b m\u00edru ho pr\u016fmysl pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na vrt\u00e1ky a \u0159ezn\u00e9 n\u00e1stroje. Za v\u00e1lky se st\u00e1v\u00e1 nenahraditeln\u00fdm. Arm\u00e1dy ho pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed pro pr\u016fbojn\u00e9 projektily, do kazetov\u00e9 munice a do komponent\u016f raket. Jeho cena nyn\u00ed na sv\u011btov\u00fdch trz\u00edch roste.<\/p>\n

Parawolframan amonn\u00fd \u2013 standardn\u00ed obchodovateln\u00e1 forma kovu \u2013 st\u00e1l v roce 2024 m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 400 dolar\u016f za tunu. V prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2026 se u\u017e prod\u00e1val<\/a> v pr\u016fm\u011bru za v\u00edce ne\u017e 2 200 dolar\u016f. To je v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u011btin\u00e1sobn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst za m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e dva roky.<\/p>\n

Pamatuje si ka\u017edou v\u00e1lku<\/p>\n

Sloupka\u0159 agentury Bloomberg David Fickling za\u010d\u00e1tkem roku informoval o znovuotev\u0159en\u00ed tasm\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho wolframov\u00e9ho dolu po t\u0159ech desetilet\u00edch ne\u010dinnosti. \u201eM\u016f\u017eete se na to d\u00edvat trochu jako na jak\u00fdsi stolet\u00fd trh s p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010fmi v\u00e1lky,\u201c napsal. Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee popt\u00e1vka po tomto kovu mezi zbroja\u0159i prudce roste. Znamen\u00e1 to mimo jin\u00e9, \u017ee pravd\u011bpodobnost ozbrojen\u00fdch konflikt\u016f ve sv\u011bt\u011b nar\u016fst\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Historie tasm\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho dolu Dolphin se \u010dte jako shrnut\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch konflikt\u016f 20. stolet\u00ed. Byl otev\u0159en v roce 1917, b\u011bhem prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. A uzav\u0159en, kdy\u017e v\u00e1lka skon\u010dila. Znovuotev\u0159el se v roce 1938, p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Pot\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eil d\u00edky popt\u00e1vce kv\u016fli korejsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Uzav\u0159en byl nakonec s koncem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v roce 1990. Nyn\u00ed se znovu otev\u00edr\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Fyzik\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fvody vojensk\u00e9 hodnoty wolframu jsou jednoduch\u00e9. Jeho hustota<\/a> (19,25 gram\u016f na centimetr krychlov\u00fd, co\u017e je zhruba stejn\u00e1 hustota jako zlato) koncentruje kinetickou energii. Jeho bod t\u00e1n\u00ed znamen\u00e1, \u017ee si zachov\u00e1v\u00e1 sv\u016fj tvar i p\u0159i extr\u00e9mn\u00edm nam\u00e1h\u00e1n\u00ed. \u201ePokud se sna\u017e\u00edte vyrobit projektil, kter\u00fd projde panc\u00e9\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00edm tanku, udr\u017e\u00ed si sv\u016fj tvar,\u201c vysv\u011btlil Fickling<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Wolfram v dob\u011b m\u00edru<\/p>\n

V dob\u011b m\u00edru se v\u00edce ne\u017e 80 procent wolframu pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 na v\u00fdrobu karbidu tohoto kovu. To znamen\u00e1 na vrt\u00e1ky, \u0159ezn\u00e9 n\u00e1stroje a ot\u011bruvzdorn\u00e9 sou\u010d\u00e1sti pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 v automobilov\u00fdch z\u00e1vodech, dolech a ropn\u00fdch vrtech. Lopatky turb\u00edn pro proudov\u00e9 motory a plynov\u00e9 turb\u00edny mohou ve slo\u017een\u00ed slitiny obsahovat a\u017e 10 procent wolframu.<\/p>\n

To jsou nen\u00e1padn\u00e9 aplikace. Vysv\u011btluj\u00ed, pro\u010d tento kov za norm\u00e1ln\u00edch okolnost\u00ed p\u0159itahuje jen malou pozornost a m\u00e9n\u011b investic.<\/p>\n

Mohlo by v\u00e1s zaj\u00edmat<\/p>\n


\n \"Sandro
\n <\/a><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 sev\u0159en\u00ed<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna produkuje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 80 procent sv\u011btov\u00e9 t\u011b\u017eby wolframov\u00e9ho koncentr\u00e1tu a rafinuje p\u0159es 90 procent celosv\u011btov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek parawolframanu amonn\u00e9ho. Severn\u00ed Korea a Rusko se pod\u00edlej\u00ed na dal\u0161\u00edch p\u011bti procentech. Zbytek sv\u011bta soupe\u0159\u00ed o zhruba 15 procent ro\u010dn\u00ed produkce. Celkem se jedn\u00e1 o 85 tis\u00edc tun.<\/p>\n

Dominance \u010c\u00edny nen\u00ed jen v\u00fdsledkem politick\u00fdch man\u00e9vr\u016f. Jej\u00ed lo\u017eiska jsou nejlep\u0161\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b. Jak poznamenal Fickling: \u201e\u010c\u00edna dominovala glob\u00e1ln\u00edm dod\u00e1vk\u00e1m wolframu. Jejich doly jsou t\u011bmi nejkvalitn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi a je ho tam prost\u011b v\u00edc.\u201c<\/p>\n

\"wolframit\"Miner\u00e1l wolframit z Portugalska. Ilustra\u010dn\u00ed foto: Alchemist-hp\/ CC BY-SA 2.0 de<\/p>\n

Peking zavedl kontroly v\u00fdvozn\u00edch licenc\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b v dob\u011b, kdy se americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump vr\u00e1til do \u00fa\u0159adu na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2025. Objem exportu od t\u00e9 doby klesl o 40 procent<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Panick\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy zes\u00edlily cenov\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst. Do roku 2030 se p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 p\u0159evis popt\u00e1vky nad nab\u00eddkou ve v\u00fd\u0161i nejm\u00e9n\u011b 16 tis\u00edc tun. A to i v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee se otev\u0159ou v\u0161echny ozn\u00e1men\u00e9 ne\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 t\u011b\u017eebn\u00ed projekty. Na rozd\u00edl od m\u011bdi nebo ropy nem\u00e1 wolfram \u017e\u00e1dnou burzu. Fickling to ozna\u010dil za kritick\u00fd nedostatek: \u201eV tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd futures trh, proto\u017ee se jedn\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161inou o mal\u00fd trh.\u201c<\/p>\n

Zraniteln\u00e1 Evropa<\/p>\n

Pro Evropskou unii jsou d\u016fsledky akutn\u00ed. Blok dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 80 procent zpracovan\u00e9ho wolframu a kolem 21 procent rudy. \u010c\u00edna v\u00fdrazn\u011b p\u0159ekra\u010duje 65% limit na jednoho dodavatele stanoven\u00fd na\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm o kritick\u00fdch surovin\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n

Obr\u00e1b\u011bc\u00ed, automobilov\u00fd, leteck\u00fd a obrann\u00fd sektor jsou z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00fdch dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch. Kombinace hustoty a tepeln\u00e9 odolnosti wolframu nem\u00e1 praktick\u00fd ekvivalent pro produkci pr\u016fbojn\u00e9 munice.<\/p>\n

Strategick\u00fd probl\u00e9m<\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm ka\u017ed\u00e1 odp\u00e1len\u00e1 st\u0159ela s plochou dr\u00e1hou letu a ka\u017ed\u00fd sest\u0159elen\u00fd dron v aktivn\u00edch konfliktech spot\u0159ebov\u00e1v\u00e1 wolfram, kter\u00fd EU nem\u016f\u017ee snadno nahradit. Jen konflikt Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f s \u00cdr\u00e1nem zv\u00fd\u0161il ceny b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f o 550 procent. Je to uk\u00e1zka toho, jak v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 spot\u0159eba okam\u017eit\u011b p\u0159evy\u0161uje recykla\u010dn\u00ed kapacity.<\/p>\n

Recept Ficklinga je jednozna\u010dn\u00fd. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy mus\u00ed nab\u00eddnout minim\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny na definovan\u00e9 obdob\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u011b dlouh\u00e9 na to, aby si t\u011b\u017ea\u0159i mohli p\u016fj\u010dovat proti garantovan\u00e9mu p\u0159\u00edjmu. Minim\u00e1ln\u011b na t\u0159i a\u017e p\u011bt let. \u201eJedin\u00e1 v\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1soba wolframu je v \u010c\u00edn\u011b. Skute\u010dn\u011b pot\u0159ebujete mechanismus, kter\u00fd bude podporovat dod\u00e1vky, je\u017e nepoch\u00e1zej\u00ed z \u010c\u00edny,\u201c varoval koment\u00e1tor Bloombergu.<\/p>\n

Evropa, kter\u00e1 \u010del\u00ed vy\u0161\u0161\u00edmu riziku vzhledem ke sv\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti k aktivn\u00edmu konfliktu a z\u00e1vislosti na p\u0159ezbrojen\u00ed Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance, zat\u00edm nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd ekvivalentn\u00ed n\u00e1stroj pro nahrazen\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Je tvrd\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v\u011bt\u0161ina kov\u016f, vydr\u017e\u00ed extr\u00e9mn\u00ed teploty a bez jeho hustoty se neobejdou zbroja\u0159i ani t\u011b\u017ek\u00fd pr\u016fmysl.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":177288,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3],"tags":[1014,202,212,708,109,108,106,571,14084,2459,895,1640,645,20508,4933,2280],"class_list":["post-177287","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-evropa","tag-bezpecnost","tag-cina","tag-donald-trump","tag-ekonomika","tag-europa","tag-europe","tag-evropa","tag-evropska-unie","tag-kriticke-suroviny","tag-munice","tag-nato","tag-nerostne-suroviny","tag-valka","tag-wolfram","tag-zbrojeni","tag-zbrojni-prumysl"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117083634583188691","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/177287","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=177287"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/177287\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/177288"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=177287"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=177287"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=177287"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}