{"id":179556,"date":"2026-08-14T15:07:13","date_gmt":"2026-08-14T15:07:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/179556\/"},"modified":"2026-08-14T15:07:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-14T15:07:13","slug":"za-letni-sucha-v-evrope-mohou-i-menici-se-povetrnostni-podminky-zjistila-studie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/179556\/","title":{"rendered":"Za letn\u00ed sucha v\u00a0Evrop\u011b mohou i\u00a0m\u011bn\u00edc\u00ed se pov\u011btrnostn\u00ed podm\u00ednky, zjistila studie"},"content":{"rendered":"

Studie publikovan\u00e1 v\u00a0Nature Geoscience<\/a> ukazuje, \u017ee v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 letn\u00ed vysych\u00e1n\u00ed Evropy od 80.\u00a0let nen\u00ed zp\u016fsobeno jen r\u016fstem teplot, ale z\u00a0velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti tak\u00e9 zm\u011bnami atmosf\u00e9rick\u00e9 cirkulace. Nad Evropou jsou st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji tlakov\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161e, kter\u00e9 jsou spojeny se slune\u010dn\u00fdm a\u00a0tepl\u00fdm po\u010das\u00edm. Naopak situac\u00ed s\u00a0cyklon\u00e1ln\u00edm proud\u011bn\u00edm, kter\u00e9 p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed v\u00edce sr\u00e1\u017eek a\u00a0obla\u010dnosti, ub\u00fdv\u00e1. <\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e je \u010dast\u011bji jasn\u00e1 obloha a\u00a0vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed teploty, zvy\u0161uje se v\u00fdpar vody z\u00a0krajiny. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je tak\u00e9 m\u00e9n\u011b sr\u00e1\u017eek, co\u017e v\u00a0kombinaci zp\u016fsobuje dlouhodob\u00e1 sucha v\u00a0Evrop\u011b. <\/p>\n

\u201eNa\u0161e studie ukazuje, \u017ee tyto zm\u011bny v\u00a0atmosf\u00e9rick\u00e9 cirkulaci podstatn\u011b p\u0159isp\u00edvaj\u00ed k\u00a0letn\u00edmu suchu. V\u00fdslednou v\u011bdeckou v\u00fdzvou je, \u017ee zav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed vysokou m\u00edru nejistoty do projekc\u00ed budouc\u00edho sucha v\u00a0Evrop\u011b. Zat\u00edmco mechanismy p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch \u00fa\u010dink\u016f glob\u00e1ln\u00edho oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed jsou dob\u0159e pochopeny, st\u00e1le existuje zna\u010dn\u00e1 nejistota ohledn\u011b toho, co tyto zm\u011bny v\u00a0atmosf\u00e9rick\u00e9 cirkulaci poh\u00e1n\u00ed,\u201c objasnil<\/a> hlavn\u00ed autor studie Istv\u00e1n Dunkl z\u00a0Meteorologick\u00e9ho \u00fastavu Univerzity v\u00a0Lipsku.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Z v\u00fdsledk\u016f studie vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee zm\u011bny cirkulace vysv\u011btluj\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 55\u00a0% poklesu letn\u00ed p\u016fdn\u00ed vlhkosti ve st\u0159edn\u00edch zem\u011bpisn\u00fdch \u0161\u00ed\u0159k\u00e1ch Evropy. Jasn\u00e1 obloha a\u00a0vysu\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u016fdy pak tak\u00e9 p\u0159isp\u00edvaj\u00ed k\u00a0rychlej\u0161\u00edmu oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed. <\/p>\n

Foto: Istv\u00e1n Dunkl\/phys.org<\/p>\n

Pokles letn\u00ed vlhkosti p\u016fdy v\u00a0Evrop\u011b v\u00a0letech 1980\u20132024\u00a0a (dole) jeho rozklad na slo\u017eky souvisej\u00edc\u00ed se vzr\u016fstem teploty souvisej\u00edc\u00ed s\u00a0klimatickou zm\u011bnou (thermodynamic) a\u00a0atmosf\u00e9rickou cirkulac\u00ed (dynamic)<\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed z\u0159ejm\u00e9, jestli jsou zm\u011bny proud\u011bn\u00ed d\u016fsledkem klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn, nebo jde o\u00a0p\u0159irozenou variabilitu klimatu. <\/p>\n

Je v\u0161ak jist\u00e9, \u017ee oba mechanismy se mohou podporovat. Kombinac\u00ed vlivu glob\u00e1ln\u00edho zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed teplot a\u00a0p\u0159\u00edhodn\u00fdch synoptick\u00fdch situac\u00ed tak mohou b\u00fdt teploty v\u00a0Evrop\u011b je\u0161t\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e kdyby zde hr\u00e1l roli jen jeden z\u00a0t\u011bchto faktor\u016f. <\/p>\n

\u201eZjistili jsme tak\u00e9, \u017ee dopad zm\u011bny klimatu na vlhkost evropsk\u00e9 p\u016fdy se rok od roku li\u0161\u00ed. V\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b s\u00a0mal\u00fdm mno\u017estv\u00edm sr\u00e1\u017eek m\u00e1 zm\u011bna klimatu obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b siln\u00fd vliv na vysych\u00e1n\u00ed p\u016fdy,\u201c uzav\u0159el Dunkl.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Studie publikovan\u00e1 v\u00a0Nature Geoscience ukazuje, \u017ee v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 letn\u00ed vysych\u00e1n\u00ed Evropy od 80.\u00a0let nen\u00ed zp\u016fsobeno jen r\u016fstem teplot, ale…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":179557,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[10],"tags":[17,21,159,1507,16,255,2812,7031,18,19,22,20],"class_list":["post-179556","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-zpravy","tag-headlines","tag-hlavni-udalosti","tag-klima","tag-klimaticke-zmeny","tag-news","tag-pocasi","tag-studie","tag-sucho","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-udalosti-dne","tag-zpravy"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117094491544055445","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179556","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=179556"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/179556\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/179557"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=179556"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=179556"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=179556"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}