V\u00e1lka p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 b\u00fdt vzd\u00e1len\u00fdm konfliktem<\/p>\n
Ukrajina si p\u0159ipsala mno\u017estv\u00ed \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch dronov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na rusk\u00e9 rafin\u00e9rie a\u00a0energetickou infrastrukturu. Mluv\u00ed se i\u00a0o tom, \u017ee Kyjev c\u00edl\u00ed na sklady nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho online tr\u017ei\u0161t\u011b Wildberries. V\u00fdsledkem jsou mimo jin\u00e9 v\u00fdpadky pohonn\u00fdch hmot a\u00a0probl\u00e9my s\u00a0dod\u00e1vkami. A\u00a0Rusov\u00e9 to poci\u0165uj\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Rusk\u00e1 ekonomika sice st\u00e1le funguje a\u00a0rozhodn\u011b nen\u00ed p\u0159ed okam\u017eit\u00fdm kolapsem, ale r\u016fst zpomaluje, inflace z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 probl\u00e9mem a\u00a0v\u00e1lka vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1klady. Toho si Rusov\u00e9 takt\u00e9\u017e v\u0161\u00edmaj\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Putinovi ub\u00fdv\u00e1 podpora. Rusov\u00e9 ale ml\u010d\u00ed<\/p>\n
U\u00a0rusk\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f kles\u00e1 podpora Putina. V\u00a0\u010dervnu a\u00a0\u010dervenci klesala Putinova podpora podle v\u00edce rusk\u00fdch pr\u016fzkumn\u00fdch instituc\u00ed. VTsIOM i\u00a0Kremlu bl\u00edzk\u00fd FOM se dostaly zhruba k\u00a066\u00a0%, zat\u00edmco Levada v\u00a0\u010dervnu zaznamenala pokles Putinova hodnocen\u00ed ze 79\u00a0na 74\u00a0% a\u00a0pod\u00edl lid\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00fdch, \u017ee zem\u011b jde spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm sm\u011brem, klesl z\u00a061\u00a0na 52\u00a0%.<\/p>\n
Je ale d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 tato \u010d\u00edsla nebrat zas tak v\u00e1\u017en\u011b. Mus\u00edme zohlednit, \u017ee rusk\u00fd politick\u00fd syst\u00e9m stoj\u00ed na autorit\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed, a\u00a0proto se mnoho lid\u00ed jist\u011b boj\u00ed \u0159\u00edkat sv\u016fj skute\u010dn\u00fd n\u00e1zor. To, \u017ee zem\u011b jde spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm sm\u011brem, si mo\u017en\u00e1 nemysl\u00ed 52\u00a0% dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch. Mo\u017en\u00e1 jenom 30\u00a0%. Vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed strachu je na rusk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed o\u010dividn\u011b mocn\u00e9 a\u00a0d\u011bl\u00e1 sv\u00e9.<\/p>\n
Ale trend je zaj\u00edmav\u00fd pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee se objevuje v\u00a0pr\u016fzkumech instituc\u00ed napojen\u00fdch na st\u00e1t.<\/p>\n
Putin chce uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee je\u0161t\u011b nen\u00ed unaven\u00fd<\/p>\n
Pak je tady i\u00a0n\u011bco psychologick\u00e9ho. \u201eU\u017e od jara vid\u00edme to, co jsme dote\u010f nevid\u011bli: Lid\u00e9 se najednou ptaj\u00ed, jestli Vladimir Putin u\u017e nen\u00ed tak trochu unaven\u00fd, jestli t\u011bch 26\u00a0let u\u017e nen\u00ed krapet moc,\u201c sd\u011bluje rusista Karel Svoboda. <\/p>\n
Rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin si mus\u00ed b\u00fdt poklesu popularity v\u011bdom, proto\u017ee posledn\u00ed dobou cestuje do r\u016fzn\u00fdch oblast\u00ed za lidmi. Nav\u0161t\u00edvil Kaza\u0148, Omsk, Novosibirsk, Krasnojarsk, Irkutsk nebo Ulan-Ude\u2026 <\/p>\n
\u201eVid\u00edme z\u00a0toho, \u017ee se sna\u017e\u00ed d\u00e1vat najevo, \u017ee je st\u00e1le v\u00a0po\u0159\u00e1dku, \u017ee v\u00ed o\u00a0v\u0161em, \u017ee v\u0161echno \u0159\u00edd\u00ed, \u017ee v\u0161echno m\u00e1 perfektn\u011b pod kontrolou,\u201c komentuje tyto aktivity Svoboda.<\/p>\n
M\u016fj n\u00e1zor: Putin m\u016f\u017ee ztr\u00e1cet podporu. Moc si ale vz\u00edt nenech\u00e1<\/p>\n
Mysl\u00edm si, \u017ee v\u0161ichni Rusov\u00e9 nejsou hloup\u00ed. T\u011bm chyt\u0159ej\u0161\u00edm ur\u010dit\u011b doch\u00e1z\u00ed (resp. do\u0161lo u\u017e d\u0159\u00edve), \u017ee nen\u00ed demokratick\u00e9, aby se jeden \u010dlov\u011bk dr\u017eel u\u00a0moci p\u0159es dv\u011b desetilet\u00ed.<\/p>\n
V\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee takov\u00fdch Rus\u016f je nem\u00e1lo. Ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 se domn\u00edv\u00e1m, \u017ee jsou zde p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky, kter\u00e9 jim br\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0projeven\u00ed se. Z\u00e1hadn\u00e9 vypadnut\u00ed z\u00a0okna, zast\u0159elen\u00ed, otr\u00e1ven\u00ed\u2026 to jsou osudy, kter\u00e9 b\u011b\u017en\u011b potk\u00e1vaj\u00ed ty, kte\u0159\u00ed si dovol\u00ed s\u00a0Putinem ve\u0159ejn\u011b nesouhlasit.<\/p>\n
Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee mnoho b\u011b\u017en\u00fdch Rus\u016f u\u017e v\u00e1lka unavuje. \u201ePro\u010d vlastn\u011b trv\u00e1 tak dlouho? To asi nejsme tak velk\u00e1 velmoc, jak se Putin sna\u017e\u00ed tvrdit, ne?\u201c Tohle si mo\u017en\u00e1 n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed. <\/p>\n
Pov\u011bzme si ale na rovinu, \u017ee pokles Putinovy popularity neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed konec jeho re\u017eimu. To ani zdaleka. To bude je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou (mo\u017en\u00e1 dlouhou) dobu trvat.<\/p>\n
Putin m\u00e1 st\u00e1le obrovskou moc. Opozice je systematicky likvidov\u00e1na, m\u00e9dia jsou kontrolov\u00e1na, protest je nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd a\u00a0nyn\u00ed byla z\u00a0parlamentn\u00edch voleb vy\u0159azena i\u00a0Jabloko.<\/p>\n
V\u00a0Rusku bylo \u0159e\u010deno, \u017ee touto stranou hl\u00e1san\u00fd odpor proti v\u00e1lce napl\u0148uje zn\u00e1mky extremismu.<\/p>\n
To je na hlavu, \u017ee?<\/p>\n
Karel Svoboda si mysl\u00ed, \u017ee ve zd\u00e1nliv\u011b zmaten\u00e9m postupu \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f – kter\u00e9 stranu nejd\u0159\u00edve registrovaly do voleb, aby ji z\u00a0nich posl\u00e9ze vylou\u010dily – mohl zkr\u00e1tka hr\u00e1t roli chaos na stran\u011b rusk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu.<\/p>\n
Parlamentn\u00ed volby se budou konat ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Volit se bude 450\u00a0k\u0159esel St\u00e1tn\u00ed dumy, doln\u00ed komory rusk\u00e9ho parlamentu. (Horn\u00ed komorou je Rada federace, tam v\u0161ak plat\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 volby. Nevol\u00ed lid\u00e9, ale lok\u00e1ln\u00ed politici.)<\/p>\n
Vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed strana Jednotn\u00e9 Rusko vyhraje. To bezesporu.<\/p>\n
Ale p\u0159ejme si, a\u0165 oslabuj\u00edc\u00ed trend podpory Putina d\u00e1l pokra\u010duje.<\/p>\n
On nepat\u0159\u00ed k\u00a0moci.<\/p>\n
On pat\u0159\u00ed do Haagu.<\/p>\n
Zdroje:<\/p>\n
Federation Council (Russia) – Wiki – odkaz<\/a> <\/p>\n Rusov\u00e9 za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed o\u00a0Putinov\u011b vl\u00e1d\u011b poprv\u00e9 pochybovat, popisuje expert – odkaz<\/a><\/p>\n Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 3, 2026\u00a0– odkaz<\/a><\/p>\n Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 17, 2026\u00a0– odkaz<\/a><\/p>\n State Duma – Wiki – odkaz<\/a><\/p>\n 2026\u00a0Russian legislative election – Wiki – odkaz<\/a><\/p>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/foto.jpeg\")
<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 b\u00fdt vzd\u00e1len\u00fdm konfliktem Ukrajina si p\u0159ipsala mno\u017estv\u00ed \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch dronov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na rusk\u00e9 rafin\u00e9rie a\u00a0energetickou infrastrukturu. Mluv\u00ed…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":185730,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[11],"tags":[3170,650,1016,7065,174,1005,61,9149,649,824,54,56,166,53,52],"class_list":["post-185729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-jednotne-rusko","tag-lide","tag-nazor","tag-obyvatele","tag-politika","tag-pruzkum","tag-rusko","tag-rusove","tag-spolecnost","tag-statni-duma","tag-svet","tag-valka-rusko-ukrajina","tag-vladimir-putin","tag-world","tag-world-news"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117127033940313147","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/185729","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=185729"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/185729\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/185730"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=185729"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=185729"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=185729"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}