{"id":186013,"date":"2026-08-20T13:22:11","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T13:22:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/186013\/"},"modified":"2026-08-20T13:22:11","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T13:22:11","slug":"zazracne-dite-ai-vybral-miliardy-dolaru-a-o-vetsinu-z-nich-prisel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/186013\/","title":{"rendered":"Z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00e9 d\u00edt\u011b AI. Vybral miliardy dolar\u016f a\u00a0o v\u011bt\u0161inu z\u00a0nich p\u0159i\u0161el"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"e_bX\">V minulosti pracoval \u010dty\u0159iadvacetilet\u00fd Leopold Aschenbrenner pro pr\u016fkopn\u00edka um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence\u00a0\u2013 spole\u010dnost OpenAI &#8211; i\u00a0pro filantropickou odno\u017e padl\u00e9 kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9 firmy FTX Sama\u00a0Bankmana Frieda. P\u0159ed dv\u011bma lety pak vyvolal pozdvi\u017een\u00ed svou esej\u00ed Situational Awareness, kter\u00e1 se stala povinnou \u010detbou v\u00a0Silicon Valley. S\u00e1m se pak profiloval jako prorok p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edho v\u011bku um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">V roce 2024\u00a0pak Aschenbrenner, kter\u00e9mu se p\u0159ezd\u00edv\u00e1 i\u00a0Nostradamus AI, rozjel vlastn\u00ed hedgeov\u00fd fond se s\u00eddlem v\u00a0San Francisku. Ten s\u00e1zel ve velk\u00e9m na spole\u010dnosti spojen\u00e9 s\u00a0um\u011blou inteligenc\u00ed, kdy\u017e v\u00a0portfoliu m\u011bl velk\u00e9 pozice ve firm\u00e1ch jako v\u00fdrobce pam\u011bt\u00ed Sandisk \u010di SK Hynix, Bloom Energy nebo nap\u0159\u00edklad CoreWeave.<\/p>\n<p>Spekulace na \u00fav\u011br<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Aschenbrenner se trefil do r\u016fstu polovodi\u010dov\u00fdch akci\u00ed a\u00a0rovn\u011b\u017e do vzestupu firem buduj\u00edc\u00edch datov\u00e1 centra \u010di dodavatel\u016f energi\u00ed. Na vrcholu nav\u00edc nev\u00e1hal investovat s\u00a0obrovsk\u00fdmi p\u016fj\u010dkami ve v\u00fd\u0161i a\u017e 400\u00a0procent &#8211; na jeden dolar ve fondu si tak p\u016fj\u010dil dal\u0161\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i dolary od bank.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">N\u00e1lada na trz\u00edch mu p\u0159\u00e1la, kdy\u017e zisky fondu dos\u00e1hly ke konci leto\u0161n\u00edho \u010dervna 1551\u00a0procent od sv\u00e9ho zalo\u017een\u00ed. Za prvn\u00edch \u0161est m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f byl zisk 439\u00a0procent. U\u017e tehdy ale kritici podle CNBC upozor\u0148ovali, \u017ee Aschenbrenner nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti se spr\u00e1vou pen\u011bz a\u00a0tvrdili, \u017ee m\u00e1 v\u00edc \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed ne\u017e rozumu.<\/p>\n<p><a data-dot=\"mol-article-card-media\" aria-hidden=\"true\" tabindex=\"-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.seznamzpravy.cz\/clanek\/ekonomika-finance-akcie-fondy-norsky-statni-fond-vydelal-na-boomu-ai-pres-devet-procent-312956\" class=\"e_n f_l8\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"2706\"   width=\"4811\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1787232129_567_wall-street.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_aa e_Z\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Na vrcholu spravoval Aschenbrenner majetek v\u00a0hodnot\u011b 45\u00a0miliard dolar\u016f (936\u00a0miliard korun). V\u00a0\u010dervenci ale za\u017eily polovodi\u010de tvrdou r\u00e1nu. \u201eV polovin\u011b \u010dervence za\u010dal trh prudce klesat a\u00a0fond dostal od banky Goldman Sachs margin call,\u201c l\u00ed\u010d\u00ed v\u00fdvoj Boris Tom\u010diak, analytik Finlord. <\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Banka Goldman Sachs toti\u017e p\u016fj\u010dila Situational Awareness oproti z\u00e1stav\u011b akci\u00ed, kter\u00e9 fond koupil. P\u0159i propadu cen akci\u00ed pak spustila takzvan\u00fd margin call, kdy v\u011b\u0159itel po\u017eaduje po dlu\u017en\u00edkovi doplnit kapit\u00e1l, nebo prod\u00e1 akcie, aby z\u00a0prodeje pokryl sv\u00e9 p\u016fj\u010dky. Ke Goldman Sachs se p\u0159ipojily i\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed v\u011b\u0159itelsk\u00e9 banky.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Fond tak musel prod\u00e1vat, co\u017e v\u00fdrazn\u011b ovlivnilo cel\u00fd trh. Po zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed siln\u00fdch v\u00fdsledk\u016f v\u00fdrobce \u010dip\u016f Intel ostatn\u011b jeho akcie klesaly, co\u017e vyvolalo spekulace, \u017ee n\u011bkdo agresivn\u011b prod\u00e1v\u00e1. Prodejcem byl podle n\u011bkolika zdroj\u016f Financial Times obezn\u00e1men\u00fdch s\u00a0celou z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b Aschenbrenner. \u201ePokou\u0161el se pokr\u00fdt sv\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty. M\u011bl iluzi, \u017ee m\u00e1 st\u00e1le v\u0161e pod kontrolou\u2026 ve skute\u010dnosti u\u017e v\u0161ak nem\u011bl \u017e\u00e1dnou kontrolu,\u201c uvedl jeden z\u00a0nich.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Ve sv\u011btle toho, \u017ee fond byl mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b siln\u011b za\u00fav\u011brovan\u00fd, nebyl jeho kolaps pro b\u00fdval\u00e9 tradery z\u00a0glob\u00e1ln\u00edch investi\u010dn\u00edch bank \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm. Probl\u00e9m fondu nav\u00edc spo\u010d\u00edval i\u00a0v tom, \u017ee jeho pozice byly obrovsk\u00e9 a\u00a0p\u0159i v\u00fdprodeji dal\u0161\u00edch akci\u00ed by stahoval jejich cenu dol\u016f. Nemohl tak prod\u00e1vat p\u0159\u00edmo na burze.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">\u201eS pomoc\u00ed Goldman Sachs rozeslali proto nab\u00eddku jin\u00fdm fond\u016fm na odkup akci\u00ed, co\u017e byla chyba. Fondy toti\u017e za\u010daly spekulovat na propad cen akci\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edc,\u201c dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Tom\u010diak.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Propad technologick\u00fdch akci\u00ed tak nep\u0159est\u00e1val, co\u017e zvy\u0161ovalo tlak na fond. Investo\u0159i si dokonce st\u011b\u017eovali, \u017ee v\u00a0z\u00e1v\u011bru minul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce se u\u017e nemohli do fondu dovolat. \u201eLeopold jednodu\u0161e p\u0159estal br\u00e1t hovory,\u201c popsal pro Financial Times jeden z\u00a0investor\u016f do fondu.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Hodnota portfolia fondu se propadla podle listu The Wall Street Journal b\u011bhem \u010dervence o\u00a067\u00a0procent. Tlak v\u011b\u0159itel\u016f z\u00a0\u0159ad bank a\u00a0snaha prodat v\u011bt\u0161inu jeho portfolia vedly nakonec k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee na konci \u010dervence se zbavil v\u011bt\u0161iny sv\u00fdch investic ve ve\u0159ejn\u011b obchodovan\u00fdch akci\u00edch. Od Aschenbrennera je koupil hedgeov\u00fd kolos Citadel Kena Griffina, kter\u00fd pat\u0159\u00ed mezi nejob\u00e1van\u011bj\u0161\u00ed investory na Wall Street.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, do nich\u017e se v\u00fdrazn\u011b zapojil samotn\u00fd Griffin, za\u010dala ve st\u0159edu 29.\u00a0\u010dervence a\u00a0skon\u010dila po sv\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edho dne. V\u00fdsledkem byl odkup v\u011bt\u0161iny akciov\u00e9ho portfolia burzovn\u00edch titul\u016f se slevou p\u0159es deset procent oproti posledn\u00ed burzovn\u00ed cen\u011b. Aschenbrenner\u016fv fond si ponechal mal\u00e9 akciov\u00e9 pozice, kter\u00e9 nebyly po\u0159\u00edzeny s\u00a0dluhem, a\u00a0rovn\u011b\u017e priv\u00e1tn\u00ed investice, nap\u0159\u00edklad do firmy Anthropic, kter\u00e1 pat\u0159\u00ed mezi l\u00eddry um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Cena fondu Situational Awareness se tak dostala na \u00farove\u0148 okolo deseti miliard dolar\u016f. Ztr\u00e1ta z\u00a0obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed se b\u011bhem p\u00e1r dn\u00ed vy\u0161plhala na 35\u00a0miliard dolar\u016f, co\u017e je podle \u00fadaj\u016f Financial Times historick\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta z\u00a0obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed na finan\u010dn\u00edch a\u00a0komoditn\u00edch trz\u00edch.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">\u201eJe to dvojn\u00e1sobek oproti druh\u00e9 nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1t\u011b,\u201c srovn\u00e1v\u00e1 Tom\u010diak. Druhou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed utrp\u011bla banka Morgan Stanley b\u011bhem finan\u010dn\u00ed krize 2008\u00a0ve v\u00fd\u0161i 13,8\u00a0miliardy dolar\u016f po p\u0159epo\u010dtu na dne\u0161n\u00ed ceny. Z\u00a0hedgeov\u00fdch fond\u016f m\u011bl nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1tu Archegos Capital Management, a\u00a0to 12,6\u00a0miliardy, co\u017e je ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0Aschenbrennerov\u00fdm fondem t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 t\u0159ikr\u00e1t m\u00e9n\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Bez zku\u0161enost\u00ed i\u00a0infrastruktury<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Na cel\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu je v\u0161ak krom\u011b rekordn\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty zar\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed i\u00a0bohorovnost investor\u016f a\u00a0bank\u00e9\u0159\u016f. \u201eSkute\u010dnou ot\u00e1zkou je, jak mohl n\u011bkdo investovat tolik pen\u011bz a\u00a0n\u00e1sledn\u011b p\u016fj\u010dit takov\u00e9 pen\u00edze d\u011bcku, kter\u00e9 nem\u011blo \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti ani pot\u0159ebnou infrastrukturu,\u201c uvedl jeden z\u00a0\u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Investo\u0159i nyn\u00ed po\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty, a\u00a0to v\u010detn\u011b glob\u00e1ln\u00ed obchodn\u00ed firmy Jane Street Capital.<\/p>\n<p><a data-dot=\"mol-article-card-media\" aria-hidden=\"true\" tabindex=\"-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.seznamzpravy.cz\/clanek\/ekonomika-finance-akcie-fondy-vyrobci-cipu-stahuji-akcie-dolu-investori-se-boji-bubliny-311221\" class=\"e_n f_l8\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img height=\"1536\"   width=\"2730\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/burza-propad.png\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_aa e_Z\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Rychl\u00fd p\u00e1d t\u00e9to firmy je zn\u00e1m\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhem, kdy Silicon Valley a\u00a0Wall Street op\u011bt vsadily na nad\u0161en\u00e9ho, ale nevyzkou\u0161en\u00e9ho investora, kter\u00fd sliboval, \u017ee tentokr\u00e1t to bude jin\u00e9. \u201eV\u0161ichni v\u017edycky cht\u011bj\u00ed naj\u00edt dal\u0161\u00edho z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00e9ho chlapce,\u201c sd\u011blil Financial Times jeden dlouholet\u00fd mana\u017eer hedgeov\u00e9ho fondu. \u201eSt\u00e1v\u00e1 se to po\u0159\u00e1d dokola.\u201c<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_bX\">Fond toti\u017e m\u011bl nap\u0159\u00edklad podle Tom\u010diaka uzav\u0159\u00edt \u010d\u00e1st pozic s\u00a0obrovsk\u00fdm ziskem. Na n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy na trhu by pak u\u017e nemusel reagovat pod tlakem, proto\u017ee jeho dluhy a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 objem investic v\u00a0jednotliv\u00fdch titulech by byly ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed. \u0158\u00edzen\u00ed rizika ale ve fondu evidentn\u011b selhalo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"V minulosti pracoval \u010dty\u0159iadvacetilet\u00fd Leopold Aschenbrenner pro pr\u016fkopn\u00edka um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence\u00a0\u2013 spole\u010dnost OpenAI &#8211; i\u00a0pro filantropickou odno\u017e padl\u00e9 kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":186014,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[412,623,67,68,43865,18131,41262,643,43864,43863,126],"class_list":["post-186013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-byznys","tag-akcie","tag-burza","tag-business","tag-byznys","tag-ftx","tag-hedge-fondy","tag-leopold-aschenbrenner","tag-new-york-stock-exchange-nyse","tag-samuel-bankman-fried-sbf","tag-situational-awareness","tag-umela-inteligence-ai"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117128053162617173","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=186013"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186013\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/186014"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=186013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=186013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=186013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}