{"id":186099,"date":"2026-08-20T14:52:12","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T14:52:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/186099\/"},"modified":"2026-08-20T14:52:12","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T14:52:12","slug":"ministerstvo-financi-zhorsilo-vyhled-ekonomiky-hospodarsky-rust-bude-jen-19-procenta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/186099\/","title":{"rendered":"Ministerstvo financ\u00ed zhor\u0161ilo v\u00fdhled ekonomiky. Hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst bude jen 1,9\u00a0procenta"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ministerstvo financ\u00ed ve \u010dtvrtek v\u00a0nov\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 progn\u00f3ze zhor\u0161ilo v\u00fdhled leto\u0161n\u00edho hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu \u010ceska na 1,9\u00a0procenta. V\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00ed predikci z\u00a0dubna o\u010dek\u00e1valo pro leto\u0161ek r\u016fst hrub\u00e9ho dom\u00e1c\u00edho produktu (HDP) o\u00a02,1\u00a0procenta. D\u016fvodem pro zhor\u0161en\u00ed jsou dopady pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edho konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Pro p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok ministerstvo ponechalo o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst 2,4\u00a0procenta.<\/p>\n

Hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst letos t\u00e1hnou spot\u0159eba dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by se m\u011bla zv\u00fd\u0161it o\u00a02,7\u00a0procenta, a\u00a0investice, kter\u00e9 vzrostou o\u00a04,7\u00a0procenta. Dom\u00e1c\u00ed popt\u00e1vku nicm\u00e9n\u011b podle predikce brzd\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 nejistota a\u00a0n\u00e1r\u016fst cen energi\u00ed kv\u016fli konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. V\u00fdvoz sice bude t\u011b\u017eit z\u00a0rostouc\u00edho objemu pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch zak\u00e1zek, budou ho ale brzdit obchodn\u00ed bari\u00e9ry a\u00a0v\u00fdpadky dod\u00e1vek vstup\u016f.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Dom\u00e1c\u00ed popt\u00e1vka bude hlavn\u00edm tahounem hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu i\u00a0v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce, kdy\u017e by se spot\u0159eba dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed m\u011bla zv\u00fd\u0161it o\u00a02,6\u00a0procenta a\u00a0investice o\u00a02,7\u00a0procenta. \u201eSaldo zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu by m\u011blo k\u00a0dynamice HDP i\u00a0p\u0159es zrychlen\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu hlavn\u00edch obchodn\u00edch partner\u016f nad\u00e1le p\u0159isp\u00edvat negativn\u011b, a\u00a0to vlivem o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9ho dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed skladov\u00fdch z\u00e1sob,\u201c uvedlo ministerstvo.<\/p>\n

Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 inflace by letos podle ministerstva m\u011bla b\u00fdt 2,2\u00a0procenta, proti dubnov\u00e9 predikci je ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed o\u00a00,3\u00a0procentn\u00edho bodu. Ministerstvo uvedlo, \u017ee k\u00a0pomalej\u0161\u00edmu r\u016fstu spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch cen p\u0159isp\u00edvaj\u00ed p\u0159eveden\u00ed plateb za obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje na st\u00e1tn\u00ed rozpo\u010det, levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed potraviny a\u00a0siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kurz koruny.<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok ministerstvo \u010dek\u00e1 zrychlen\u00ed inflace na 2,7\u00a0procenta. P\u0159isp\u011bt by k\u00a0tomu m\u011blo zdra\u017een\u00ed elekt\u0159iny a\u00a0plynu \u010di pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed r\u016fst n\u00e1klad\u016f vlastnick\u00e9ho bydlen\u00ed. Do zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen se tak\u00e9 prom\u00edtne siln\u00fd r\u016fst mezd.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Ministerstvo financ\u00ed je v\u00a0hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9m v\u00fdhledu pesimisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u010cesk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed banka (\u010cNB). Centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka letos \u010dek\u00e1 r\u016fst HDP o\u00a02,2\u00a0procenta a\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok zrychlen\u00ed r\u016fstu na 2,7\u00a0procenta. Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 inflace podle \u010cNB letos bude asi dv\u011b procenta, p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok 2,5\u00a0procenta.<\/p>\n

Mzdy a\u00a0platy by se podle predikce m\u011bly zvy\u0161ovat rychleji ne\u017e inflace, tak\u017ee bude pokra\u010dovat jejich re\u00e1ln\u00fd r\u016fst. V\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edm roce se objem mezd a\u00a0plat\u016f zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed o\u00a07,8\u00a0procenta, p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok r\u016fst zpomal\u00ed na 6,2\u00a0procenta.<\/p>\n

Nezam\u011bstnanost v\u00a0mezin\u00e1rodn\u011b porovnateln\u00e9 metodice se letos podle predikce zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed na t\u0159i procenta z\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00fdch 2,8\u00a0procenta. Ministerstvo z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch profes\u00edch bude p\u0159etrv\u00e1vat nedostatek pracovn\u00edk\u016f. V\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce by se m\u011bla nezam\u011bstnanost sn\u00ed\u017eit zp\u011bt na 2,8\u00a0procenta.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Ministerstvo p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edm roce bude schodek hospoda\u0159en\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00edch instituc\u00ed 2,7\u00a0procenta HDP po lo\u0148sk\u00fdch 2,1\u00a0procenta HDP. K\u00a0meziro\u010dn\u00edmu prohlouben\u00ed schodku p\u0159isp\u011bj\u00ed vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed investice a\u00a0ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed tempo r\u016fstu rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f. Zpomalilo ho ukon\u010den\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinnosti dan\u011b z\u00a0neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch zisk\u016f, do\u010dasn\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed spot\u0159ebn\u00ed dan\u011b na naftu a\u00a0p\u0159eveden\u00ed plateb za obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje energi\u00ed ze spot\u0159ebitel\u016f na st\u00e1t. O\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 saldo ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f pro p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok predikce neuv\u00e1d\u00ed, bude z\u00e1viset na p\u0159ipravovan\u00e9m st\u00e1tn\u00edm rozpo\u010dtu.<\/p>\n

Srpnov\u00e1 predikce ministerstva financ\u00ed je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 pro p\u0159\u00edpravu st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu na p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok. Na jej\u00edm z\u00e1klad\u011b se p\u0159ipravuje odhad da\u0148ov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f st\u00e1tu. Prvn\u00ed n\u00e1vrh st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu mus\u00ed ministerstvo p\u0159edat vl\u00e1d\u011b do konce srpna.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ministerstvo financ\u00ed ve \u010dtvrtek v\u00a0nov\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 progn\u00f3ze zhor\u0161ilo v\u00fdhled leto\u0161n\u00edho hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu \u010ceska na 1,9\u00a0procenta. V\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00ed predikci z\u00a0dubna…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":186100,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[7],"tags":[43,42,41,40,23580,708,7825,1384,10596],"class_list":["post-186099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-cesko","tag-ceska-republika","tag-cesko","tag-czech-republic","tag-czechia","tag-ekonomicky-rust","tag-ekonomika","tag-konflikt-usa-izrael-iran","tag-ministerstvo-financi-mfcr","tag-prognoza"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117128406788096908","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186099","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=186099"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186099\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/186100"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=186099"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=186099"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=186099"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}