{"id":194139,"date":"2026-08-28T06:47:18","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T06:47:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/194139\/"},"modified":"2026-08-28T06:47:18","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T06:47:18","slug":"psenice-zdrazuje-slaba-uroda-muze-otocit-ceny-jidla","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/194139\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u0161enice zdra\u017euje. Slab\u00e1 \u00faroda m\u016f\u017ee oto\u010dit ceny j\u00eddla"},"content":{"rendered":"

V kontextu uplynul\u00fdch \u201einfla\u010dn\u00edch\u201c rok\u016f nebylo b\u011b\u017en\u00e9, aby potraviny v\u00a0\u010desk\u00fdch obchodech zlev\u0148ovaly. Letos u\u017e ale cena j\u00eddla meziro\u010dn\u011b kles\u00e1 p\u011bt m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Trend se ov\u0161em m\u016f\u017ee brzy obr\u00e1tit kv\u016fli v\u00fdvoji glob\u00e1ln\u00edch trh\u016f.<\/p>\n

P\u0161enice, jej\u00ed\u017e cena se prom\u00edt\u00e1 do mouky, pe\u010diva a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch potravin, na burz\u00e1ch prudce zdra\u017euje. \u010c\u00e1st hlavn\u00edch p\u011bstitelsk\u00fdch oblast\u00ed zas\u00e1hlo sucho a\u00a0vedra, jinde produkci sni\u017euj\u00ed men\u0161\u00ed osevn\u00ed plochy.<\/p>\n

Prosincov\u00fd kontrakt na p\u0161enici na pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 burze Euronext meziro\u010dn\u011b zdra\u017eil o\u00a022\u00a0procent. Roste tak\u00e9 cena kuku\u0159ice, kter\u00e1 pat\u0159\u00ed mezi v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 krmiva nap\u0159\u00edklad p\u0159i v\u00fdkrmu prasat. Listopadov\u00fd kontrakt se za rok zv\u00fd\u0161il ze 190\u00a0eur za tunu na 261\u00a0eur, tedy o\u00a037,5\u00a0procenta.<\/p>\n

Rostouc\u00ed ceny p\u0161enice jsou pro zem\u011bd\u011blce dobrou zpr\u00e1vou, proto\u017ee rostlinn\u00e1 v\u00fdroba se v\u00a0posledn\u00edch letech p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 vypl\u00e1cet, jen\u017ee o\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed obavy z\u00a0n\u00e1vratu potravinov\u00e9 inflace. Sama \u010cNB 11.\u00a0srpna nazna\u010dila, \u017ee zlev\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed potravin kon\u010d\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u201eKomoditn\u00ed burzy nazna\u010duj\u00ed obrat a\u00a0vliv m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt i\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00ed \u0161patn\u00e1 \u00faroda. Ceny potravin by tak m\u011bly postupn\u011b p\u0159estat inflaci tlumit a\u00a0od konce roku 2026\u00a0a\u00a0za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2027\u00a0by m\u011bly za\u010d\u00edt p\u0159isp\u00edvat k\u00a0vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed inflaci,\u201c o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka.<\/p>\n

\u010cesk\u00fd statistick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad 7.\u00a0srpna uvedl, \u017ee leto\u0161n\u00ed sklize\u0148 z\u00e1kladn\u00edch obilovin m\u00e1 dos\u00e1hnout 6,39\u00a0milionu tun, co\u017e je o\u00a016,9\u00a0procenta m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e loni a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 nejm\u00e9n\u011b za posledn\u00edch 14\u00a0let.<\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed to v\u0161ak jen \u010desk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh. Tuzem\u0161t\u00ed zem\u011bd\u011blci p\u0159itom cenu obil\u00ed sami neur\u010duj\u00ed. \u010cesk\u00fd trh je nav\u00e1zan\u00fd na evropsk\u00e9 a\u00a0sv\u011btov\u00e9 ceny, kter\u00e9 odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed pesimismus z\u00a0nov\u00e9 sklizn\u011b.<\/p>\n

Sv\u011btov\u00e9 obiln\u00e9 velmoci v\u00a0\u010dele s\u00a0Evropskou uni\u00ed, USA, Kanadou \u010di Austr\u00e1li\u00ed hl\u00e1s\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u00fd pokles sklizn\u011b a\u017e v\u00a0des\u00edtk\u00e1ch procent. Ukrajina m\u011bla podle americk\u00e9ho ministerstva zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed USDA letos lep\u0161\u00ed sklize\u0148, jenom\u017ee pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na \u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00ed termin\u00e1ly dus\u00ed export a\u00a0p\u0159isp\u00edvaj\u00ed k\u00a0nervozit\u011b na trz\u00edch.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201eDoprava po mo\u0159i je nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a\u00a0dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed. Mus\u00edme se ohl\u00ed\u017eet po suchozemsk\u00e9 p\u0159eprav\u011b po \u017eeleznici a\u00a0to p\u0159edstavuje dodate\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Petr Krogman, \u010desk\u00fd zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fd podnikatel na Ukrajin\u011b. Podle n\u011bj doprava po zemi tvo\u0159\u00ed u\u00a0kuku\u0159ice a\u017e 40\u00a0procent a\u00a0to u\u017e je na hran\u011b rentability.<\/p>\n

Ukrajina u\u017e kv\u016fli \u00fatok\u016fm sn\u00ed\u017eila odhad v\u00fdvozu obil\u00ed v\u00a0sezon\u011b 2026\/2027\u00a0ze\u00a043\u00a0milion\u016f tun na 38\u00a0a\u017e 40\u00a0milion\u016f tun.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto je Ukrajina z\u00a0hlediska mo\u017enost\u00ed v\u00fdvozu v\u00a0lep\u0161\u00ed pozici ne\u017e po za\u010d\u00e1tku invaze v\u00a0roce 2022.\u00a0M\u00e1 funguj\u00edc\u00ed vlastn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed koridor, pod\u00edl n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dopravy na exportu se t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 vr\u00e1til na p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dnou \u00farove\u0148 a\u00a0k dispozici jsou i\u00a0n\u00e1hradn\u00ed trasy p\u0159es Dunaj a\u00a0EU.<\/p>\n

Velk\u00fd propad ve sklizni hl\u00e1s\u00ed Amerika. Kv\u016fli dlouhodob\u00e9mu \u00fabytku osevn\u00edch ploch a\u00a0rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9mu suchu v\u00a0hlavn\u00edm p\u011bstitelsk\u00e9m p\u00e1smu \u201eVelk\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c, zasahuj\u00edc\u00edm do n\u011bkolika st\u00e1t\u016f v\u00a0centr\u00e1ln\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti, m\u00e1 nejslab\u0161\u00ed \u00farodu od roku 1970.\u00a0Na burze v\u00a0Kansas City se to projevilo zdra\u017een\u00edm p\u0161enice o\u00a038\u00a0procent.<\/p>\n

Rusko je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm sv\u011btov\u00fdm export\u00e9rem p\u0161enice. Jeho sklize\u0148 podle USDA v\u00fdrazn\u011b nepropad\u00e1, ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na \u010dernomo\u0159skou infrastrukturu ale v\u00a0posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech \u010d\u00e1st dod\u00e1vek zpozdily nebo vedly k\u00a0jejich zru\u0161en\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Podle listu The New York Times sou\u010dasn\u00e9 probl\u00e9my odhaluj\u00ed rizika, kter\u00e1 mohou ovliv\u0148ovat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed potravinov\u00fd syst\u00e9m. Trhu se zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdmi komoditami vl\u00e1dne relativn\u011b m\u00e1lo sv\u011btov\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed a\u00a0jejich z\u00e1kazn\u00edky jsou p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm zem\u011b s\u00a0n\u00edzk\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edjmy.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201eSyst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd v\u00a0sou\u010dasnosti m\u00e1me, z\u00e1vis\u00ed na t\u0159ech v\u011bcech: bezprobl\u00e9mov\u00e9m obchodu, levn\u00e9 energii a\u00a0stabiln\u00edm klimatu,\u201c \u0159ekl Evan Fraser, profesor, kter\u00fd se v\u011bnuje glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu potravinov\u00e9mu syst\u00e9mu na University of Guelph v\u00a0Ontariu. \u201eDnes se zd\u00e1, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z\u00a0t\u011bchto p\u0159edpoklad\u016f nen\u00ed spln\u011bn,\u201c dodal. Sv\u011bt podle n\u011bj mus\u00ed do budoucna p\u0159ehodnotit, jak se u\u017eivit.<\/p>\n

Roste cena hnojiva<\/p>\n

Drah\u00e9 energie ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed cenu hnojiv a\u00a0ta jsou z\u00e1kladn\u00edm vstupem zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 v\u00fdroby a\u00a0kl\u00ed\u010dem k\u00a0vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdnos\u016fm z\u00a0pole. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed zem\u011bd\u011blci omezuj\u00ed d\u00e1vky hnojiv, nebo o\u00a0tomto kroku uva\u017euj\u00ed. Agentura Reuters zm\u00ednila, \u017ee na hnojivech \u0161et\u0159\u00ed farm\u00e1\u0159i v\u00a0Austr\u00e1lii, kter\u00e1 pat\u0159\u00ed k\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm export\u00e9r\u016fm p\u0161enice. V\u00a0\u010cesku podle kv\u011btnov\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu zva\u017euj\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed hnojen\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 t\u0159i \u010dtvrtiny zem\u011bd\u011blc\u016f.<\/p>\n

\u201eSituace v\u00a0zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed je v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me nejhor\u0161\u00ed rok od vstupu \u010cR do EU, jde o\u00a0p\u0159eklenut\u00ed obdob\u00ed do dal\u0161\u00ed sklizn\u011b a\u00a0o udr\u017een\u00ed norm\u00e1ln\u00edho provozu farem,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 \u0161\u00e9f Zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9ho svazu Martin P\u00fdcha. Svaz proto vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1 s\u00a0ministerstvem o\u00a0mo\u017enosti p\u0159esunu pen\u011bz na garance \u00fav\u011br\u016f pro farm\u00e1\u0159e ze strany Podp\u016frn\u00e9ho a\u00a0garan\u010dn\u00edho rolnick\u00e9ho a\u00a0lesnick\u00e9ho fondu.<\/p>\n

\u010cesk\u00e9 farm\u00e1\u0159e tr\u00e1p\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed v\u011bci\u00a0\u2013 n\u00edzk\u00e9 ceny ml\u00e9ka, nedostatek hotovosti, \u0161kody z\u00a0jarn\u00edch mraz\u016f a\u00a0p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm sucho, kter\u00e9 zp\u016fsobilo nedostatek krmiv pro hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 zv\u00ed\u0159ata.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Martin P\u00fdcha p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed, \u017ee rostouc\u00ed ceny komodit na burz\u00e1ch mohou v\u00a0t\u00e9to situaci farm\u00e1\u0159\u016fm pomoci. Je v\u0161ak obez\u0159etn\u00fd, proto\u017ee je\u0161t\u011b nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda je to trend nebo jen tr\u017en\u00ed v\u00fdkyv.<\/p>\n

\u201eNelze tak\u00e9 p\u0159ehl\u00e9dnout, \u017ee na sv\u011btov\u00e9m i\u00a0evropsk\u00e9m trhu st\u00e1le z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 z\u00e1soby z\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00ed sez\u00f3ny,\u201c dodal. Evropsk\u00e1 komise nap\u0159\u00edklad pro za\u010d\u00e1tek sez\u00f3ny po\u010d\u00edtala u\u00a0obilovin se z\u00e1sobami kolem 43\u00a0milion\u016f tun, v\u00fdrazn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi ne\u017e o\u00a0rok d\u0159\u00edve.<\/p>\n

I on v\u0161ak p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee obdob\u00ed, kdy ceny potravin brzdily inflaci, kon\u010d\u00ed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"V kontextu uplynul\u00fdch \u201einfla\u010dn\u00edch\u201c rok\u016f nebylo b\u011b\u017en\u00e9, aby potraviny v\u00a0\u010desk\u00fdch obchodech zlev\u0148ovaly. Letos u\u017e ale cena j\u00eddla meziro\u010dn\u011b…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":194140,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[11],"tags":[1517,686,22904,850,17620,54,53,52,590],"class_list":["post-194139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-ceny","tag-inflace","tag-obili","tag-potraviny","tag-psenice","tag-svet","tag-world","tag-world-news","tag-zemedelstvi"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117171798080968098","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/194139","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=194139"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/194139\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/194140"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=194139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=194139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=194139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}