{"id":197566,"date":"2026-08-31T16:10:09","date_gmt":"2026-08-31T16:10:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/197566\/"},"modified":"2026-08-31T16:10:09","modified_gmt":"2026-08-31T16:10:09","slug":"cena-plynu-pro-evropsky-trh-je-nejvyse-od-brezna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/197566\/","title":{"rendered":"Cena plynu pro evropsk\u00fd trh je nejv\u00fd\u0161e od b\u0159ezna"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cena term\u00ednov\u00e9ho kontraktu na zemn\u00ed plyn s\u00a0dod\u00e1n\u00edm v\u00a0\u0159\u00edjnu ve virtu\u00e1ln\u00edm obchodn\u00edm uzlu Title Transfer Facility<\/a> (TTF) v\u00a0Nizozemsku se odpoledne zv\u00fd\u0161ila a\u017e nad 70,60\u00a0eura za MWh a\u00a0p\u0159ipisovala si tak zhruba p\u011bt procent. Kolem 15:15\u00a0SEL\u010c r\u016fst zm\u00edrnil a\u00a0cena se nach\u00e1zela t\u011bsn\u011b pod 70\u00a0eur za MWh.<\/p>\n

Americk\u00e9 s\u00edly v\u00a0ned\u011bli za\u00fato\u010dily raketomety pobl\u00ed\u017e Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, co\u017e p\u0159im\u011blo \u00cdr\u00e1n k\u00a0odvetn\u00e9mu \u00fatoku v\u00a0podob\u011b odp\u00e1len\u00ed raket na americk\u00e9 s\u00edly v\u00a0Jord\u00e1nsku. Kv\u016fli t\u00e9to eskalaci hroz\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed naru\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fdvozu LNG, proto\u017ee Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fdm obvykle proch\u00e1z\u00ed zhruba p\u011btina celosv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu s\u00a0LNG, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 fakticky uzav\u0159en.<\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e1 unie dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed relativn\u011b m\u00e1lo plynu z\u00a0Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu, Katar v\u00a0roce 2025\u00a0m\u011bl na celkov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch do regionu pod\u00edl 3,7\u00a0procenta. Naru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek ale m\u016f\u017ee tla\u010dit ceny v\u00a0Evrop\u011b vzh\u016fru a\u00a0p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy jsou dod\u00e1vky LNG pro EU d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, proto\u017ee p\u0159ed zimou si dopl\u0148uje z\u00e1sobn\u00edky plynu.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1sobn\u00edky jsou te\u010f v\u00a0EU podle \u00fadaj\u016f organizace Gas Infrastructure Europe (GIE) napln\u011bny na m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 65\u00a0procent, co\u017e je rekordn\u00ed minimum pro toto ro\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Proces dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1sob v\u00a0mnoha zem\u00edch zpomalily vysok\u00e9 tr\u017en\u00ed ceny plynu. Panuj\u00ed obavy, \u017ee Nizozemsko a\u00a0N\u011bmecko do 1.\u00a0listopadu nespln\u00ed sv\u00e9 c\u00edle napln\u011bn\u00ed z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f. Rozd\u00edl mezi sou\u010dasn\u00fdmi a\u00a0zimn\u00edmi cenami je \u010dasto p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mal\u00fd nebo i\u00a0z\u00e1porn\u00fd a\u00a0nepokryje tak n\u00e1klady a\u00a0rizika spojen\u00e1 se skladov\u00e1n\u00edm plynu. Obvykle dodavatel\u00e9 nakupuj\u00ed plyn v\u00a0l\u00e9t\u011b za ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ceny, skladuj\u00ed ho a\u00a0prod\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00a0zim\u011b za vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ceny.<\/p>\n

N\u00edzk\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148 z\u00e1sob nemus\u00ed nutn\u011b znamenat, \u017ee zem\u011b nebude m\u00edt na zimu dostatek plynu. M\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt ale zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159i kol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed cen \u010di p\u0159i naru\u0161en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edch dod\u00e1vek.<\/p>\n

Analytici varuj\u00ed, \u017ee ceny zemn\u00edho plynu v\u00a0Evrop\u011b by se v\u00a0zim\u011b kv\u016fli n\u00edzk\u00fdm z\u00e1sob\u00e1m mohly poprv\u00e9 od energetick\u00e9 krize p\u0159ed \u010dty\u0159mi lety vy\u0161plhat nad 100\u00a0eur za MWh. P\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b se nach\u00e1zely nedaleko 30\u00a0eur za MWh.<\/p>\n

Analytik Tancrede Fulop ze spole\u010dnosti Morningstar p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee by kombinace omezen\u00fdch z\u00e1sob a\u00a0chladn\u00e9 zimy mohla v\u00e9st k\u00a0r\u016fstu cen plynu na 90\u00a0a\u017e 120\u00a0eur za MWh. Analytici americk\u00e9 banky Goldman Sachs uvedli, \u017ee pokud se v\u00fdvoz LNG z\u00a0Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu bude v\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce jen postupn\u011b normalizovat, budou muset ceny stoupnout nad 100\u00a0eur za MWh, aby se omezila popt\u00e1vka v\u00a0Asii a\u00a0zajistil se dostatek plynu pro Evropu.<\/p>\n

Pokud bude sou\u010dasn\u00e1 cenov\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148 kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e1, m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt tento n\u00e1r\u016fst podle analytik\u016f jen mal\u00fd dopad na \u00fa\u010dty dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed. Pokud se ale neobjev\u00ed jasn\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky uvoln\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed, mohl by se dlouhodob\u00fd r\u016fst cen postupn\u011b prom\u00edtnout do \u00fa\u010dt\u016f za energii dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed po cel\u00e9 Evrop\u011b.<\/p>\n

Podle d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edho odhadu spole\u010dnosti Oxford Economics trv\u00e1 v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011bru asi \u0161est m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, ne\u017e se zm\u011bny velkoobchodn\u00edch cen pln\u011b prom\u00edtnou do cen spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch; na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed se ale v\u00a0jednotliv\u00fdch zem\u00edch EU zna\u010dn\u011b li\u0161\u00ed. Ve Francii, It\u00e1lii a\u00a0ve \u0160pan\u011blsku mohou ceny reagovat v\u00a0\u0159\u00e1du m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, v\u00a0Nizozemsku t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 okam\u017eit\u011b. V\u00a0N\u011bmecku a\u00a0Rakousku m\u016f\u017ee trvat rok, ne\u017e ceny stoupnou na maxima.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Cena term\u00ednov\u00e9ho kontraktu na zemn\u00ed plyn s\u00a0dod\u00e1n\u00edm v\u00a0\u0159\u00edjnu ve virtu\u00e1ln\u00edm obchodn\u00edm uzlu Title Transfer Facility (TTF) v\u00a0Nizozemsku se…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":197567,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[64,623,67,68,1517,991,808,7825,492],"class_list":["post-197566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-byznys","tag-boje","tag-burza","tag-business","tag-byznys","tag-ceny","tag-evropska-unie-eu","tag-iran","tag-konflikt-usa-izrael-iran","tag-plyn"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117190999047910595","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197566","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=197566"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197566\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/197567"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=197566"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=197566"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=197566"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}