{"id":199288,"date":"2026-09-02T04:29:15","date_gmt":"2026-09-02T04:29:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/199288\/"},"modified":"2026-09-02T04:29:15","modified_gmt":"2026-09-02T04:29:15","slug":"pet-procent-bez-ohledu-na-kauzy-motoriste-maji-prekvapive-silne-jadro-rika-analytik","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/199288\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u011bt procent bez ohledu na kauzy. Motorist\u00e9 maj\u00ed p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b siln\u00e9 j\u00e1dro, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 analytik"},"content":{"rendered":"

V lednu p\u011bt procent, na ja\u0159e p\u011bt procent, po pr\u00e1zdnin\u00e1ch p\u011bt procent. P\u0159esto\u017ee se kolem Motorist\u016f neust\u00e1le n\u011bco d\u011bje, jejich preference z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed stabiln\u00ed. Vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 to z\u00a0pr\u016fzkum\u016f agentury Kantar<\/a> pro \u010ceskou televizi.<\/p>\n

\u201eVysv\u011btlen\u00ed se hled\u00e1 t\u011b\u017eko. Po t\u011bch turbulenc\u00edch, kter\u00e9 se t\u00fdkaj\u00ed nejen Filipa Turka, ale i\u00a0Petra Macinky a\u00a0koneckonc\u016f i\u00a0Oty Klemp\u00ed\u0159e, je s\u00a0podivem, \u017ee se po\u0159\u00e1d dr\u017e\u00ed na p\u011bti procentech,\u201c uvedl pro Novinky politolog Josef Mlejnek z\u00a0Fakulty soci\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u011bd Univerzity Karlovy.<\/p>\n

Motorist\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u011b za\u017eili velmi divok\u00e9 l\u00e9to. V\u00a0\u010dervenci prob\u011bhl summit NATO v\u00a0Anka\u0159e, kter\u00e9ho se z\u00fa\u010dastnil i\u00a0prezident Petr Pavel, a\u010dkoli \u0161\u00e9f Motorist\u016f a\u00a0ministr zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed Petr Macinka proti jeho \u00fa\u010dasti siln\u011b bojoval.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u00e1 tv\u00e1\u0159 strany, poslanec Filip Turek, 13.\u00a0\u010dervence v\u00a0Sokolsk\u00e9 ulici naboural do proj\u00ed\u017ed\u011bj\u00edc\u00edho zdravotnick\u00e9ho vozu, kter\u00fd m\u011bl zapnut\u00e9 v\u00fdstra\u017en\u00e9 modr\u00e9 maj\u00e1ky. Policie jeho nehodu st\u00e1le \u0161et\u0159\u00ed a\u00a0minul\u00fd t\u00fdden za jej\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinu ozna\u010dila \u201ebezohlednou, agresivn\u00ed a\u00a0neohleduplnou j\u00edzdu\u201c. <\/p>\n

Medi\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1kon ministra kultury Oty Klemp\u00ed\u0159e pak na konci kv\u011btna skon\u010dil ostudou, kdy\u017e se j\u00edm vl\u00e1da po vln\u011b kritiky odm\u00edtla zab\u00fdvat.<\/p>\n

\u201eBylo by logick\u00e9, kdyby se d\u00e1vno propadli na dv\u011b procenta. Jedin\u00e9 vysv\u011btlen\u00ed je, \u017ee jejich voli\u010dsk\u00e9 j\u00e1dro je siln\u00e9,\u201c doplnil Mlejnek.<\/p>\n

Ze srpnov\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu spole\u010dnosti Kantar vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee z\u00a0voli\u010d\u016f Motorist\u016f si pouze 20\u00a0procent dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch nen\u00ed jejich volbou jist\u00fdch. Zbyl\u00fdch osmdes\u00e1t procent tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee jsou si zcela jist\u00ed, nebo by se muselo st\u00e1t n\u011bco neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9ho, aby svou preferenci p\u0159ehodnotili. Za ka\u017edou cenu pak hodl\u00e1 Motoristy volit 37\u00a0procent jejich skaln\u00edch p\u0159\u00edznivc\u016f. Tato zcela p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00e1 skupina je siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pouze u\u00a0hnut\u00ed ANO, kde ji tvo\u0159\u00ed 59\u00a0procent podporovatel\u016f.<\/p>\n

Preference jsou a\u017e extr\u00e9mn\u011b stabiln\u00ed<\/p>\n

\u201eNa to, \u017ee je to nov\u00e1 strana, je j\u00e1dro\u00a0Motorist\u016f a\u017e p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b siln\u00e9. U\u00a0sv\u00fdch voli\u010d\u016f se z\u0159ejm\u011b strana u\u017e etablovala a\u00a0k velk\u00fdm p\u0159esun\u016fm u\u00a0nich proto nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed,\u201c uvedl pro Novinky Pavel Ranocha, analytik spole\u010dnosti Kantar k\u00a0v\u00fdsledk\u016fm srpnov\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu.<\/p>\n

Upozornil nicm\u00e9n\u011b, \u017ee Motorist\u00e9 u\u017e o\u00a0\u010d\u00e1st voli\u010d\u016f v\u00a0minulosti p\u0159i\u0161li. V\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00fdch \u0159\u00edjnov\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch do Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovny z\u00edskala strana sedm\u00a0procent hlas\u016f. Na p\u0159elomu roku se ale jejich preference propadly na p\u011bt\u00a0procent.<\/p>\n

\u201eOd t\u00e9 doby jsou nicm\u00e9n\u011b jejich preference a\u017e extr\u00e9mn\u011b stabiln\u00ed. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed voli\u010di sice odpadli, co ale z\u016fstalo, to je tvrd\u00e9 j\u00e1dro. S\u00a0t\u011bmito voli\u010di kauzy bu\u010f nezah\u00fdbaj\u00ed, nebo je to n\u011bco, co je tematicky tak \u00fapln\u011b nezaj\u00edm\u00e1,\u201c popsal Ranocha.<\/p>\n

Voli\u010di, kte\u0159\u00ed se od Motorist\u016f odvr\u00e1tili, jsou podle Ranochy zejm\u00e9na ti, kte\u0159\u00ed si stranu vybrali na posledn\u00ed chv\u00edli, posl\u00e9ze ale zjistili, \u017ee jim nevyhovuje politika strany, zp\u016fsob povolebn\u00edho vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed nebo chov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010deln\u00edch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f.<\/p>\n

Kantar nen\u00ed jedin\u00e1 agentura, kter\u00e1 Motorist\u016fm p\u0159isuzuje podporu okolo p\u011bti procent hlas\u016f. Podle agentury STEM by v\u00a0\u010dervnu z\u00edskali 5,3\u00a0procenta hlas\u016f, podle agentury NMS dokonce 5,8\u00a0procenta.<\/p>\n

Naopak m\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky jim p\u0159ed pr\u00e1zdninami progn\u00f3zovala agentura Median. V\u00a0kv\u011btnu jej\u00ed pr\u016fzkum ukazoval 3,5\u00a0procenta hlas\u016f, v\u00a0\u010dervenci 4,5\u00a0procenta. Odhad pod p\u011bti procenty zve\u0159ejnil v\u00a0kv\u011btnu tak\u00e9 Ipsos, kter\u00fd u\u00a0Motorist\u016f uv\u00e1d\u011bl podporu 4,4\u00a0procenta.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"V lednu p\u011bt procent, na ja\u0159e p\u011bt procent, po pr\u00e1zdnin\u00e1ch p\u011bt procent. P\u0159esto\u017ee se kolem Motorist\u016f neust\u00e1le n\u011bco…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":199289,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[10],"tags":[17,21,19036,647,16,418,3817,18,19,22,20],"class_list":["post-199288","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-zpravy","tag-headlines","tag-hlavni-udalosti","tag-kantar","tag-motoriste-sobe","tag-news","tag-petr-macinka","tag-preference","tag-top-news","tag-top-stories","tag-udalosti-dne","tag-zpravy"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117199567598014283","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/199288","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=199288"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/199288\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/199289"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=199288"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=199288"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=199288"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}