{"id":205025,"date":"2026-09-06T20:01:24","date_gmt":"2026-09-06T20:01:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/205025\/"},"modified":"2026-09-06T20:01:24","modified_gmt":"2026-09-06T20:01:24","slug":"pri-utoku-na-nemeckou-sit-stala-elektrina-7250-e-pomohlo-i-cesko","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/205025\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u0159i \u00fatoku na n\u011bmeckou s\u00ed\u0165 st\u00e1la elekt\u0159ina 7250\u00a0\u20ac. Pomohlo i\u00a0\u010cesko"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"e_cz\">Kdy\u017e jsem v\u00e1m tu <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/medium.seznam.cz\/clanek\/petr-dusek-nemecko-resilo-nejvetsi-prebytek-elektriny-v-historii-hrozil-blackout-315416\" class=\"e_w\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">minule<\/a> o\u00a0N\u011bmecku vypr\u00e1v\u011bl poh\u00e1dku plnou krupicov\u00e9 ka\u0161e a\u00a0v\u00fdst\u0159edn\u00edho humoru, nem\u011bl jsem ani tu\u0161en\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00a0ten sam\u00fd den se v\u00a0t\u00e9 sam\u00e9 zemi odehraje horor. Tak\u017ee dneska \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 poh\u00e1dky, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 ka\u0161e a\u00a0\u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd humor (no dob\u0159e, to posledn\u00ed asi nedodr\u017e\u00edm).<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">V \u00fater\u00fd 1.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2026\u00a0do\u0161lo <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.welt.de\/regionales\/berlin\/article6a96c8422a6051ae2e13f765\/50-hertz-spricht-von-leitungsunterbrechung-bei-jaenschwalde.html\" class=\"e_w\">kolem 7:30<\/a>\u00a0na veden\u00edch vysok\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed v\u00a0okol\u00ed rozvodny Turnow-Preilack u\u00a0Chot\u011bbuzi ke dv\u011bma zkrat\u016fm. Automatick\u00e9 ochrany kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b odpojily posti\u017een\u00e9 linky a\u00a0blok B p\u0159ilehl\u00e9 hn\u011bdouheln\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny J\u00e4nschwalde zaznamenal technick\u00fd v\u00fdpadek. P\u0159enosov\u00e1 soustava tak p\u0159i\u0161la o\u00a0500\u00a0MW.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Proto\u017ee zkratovat linku 380\u00a0kV, a\u00a0vykopnout t\u00edm velk\u00fd elektr\u00e1rensk\u00fd blok, to nen\u00ed jako ol\u00edznout kontakty placat\u00e9 baterky, provozovatel u\u017e v\u00a08:00\u00a0ohl\u00e1sil incident na policii. Na m\u00edst\u011b se na\u0161lo p\u0159es dvacet (!) podom\u00e1cku vyroben\u00fdch l\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f podobn\u00fdch silvestrovsk\u00fdm raket\u00e1m, autonomn\u00ed odpalovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a\u00a0vodiv\u00fd materi\u00e1l. N\u011bkter\u00e9 prvky se ji\u017e nach\u00e1zely ve stavu poz\u016fstatk\u016f, n\u011bkter\u00e9 ve stavu \u010dek\u00e1n\u00ed na aktivaci.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Odbo\u010dka typu disclaimer: Jak konkr\u00e9tn\u011b nastaly zkraty, to s\u00a0dovolen\u00edm nebudu rozeb\u00edrat. Jednak se na to nec\u00edt\u00edm dostate\u010dn\u011b odborn\u011b zp\u016fsobil\u00fd a\u00a0jednak m\u00e1m pocit, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm m\u00e9n\u011b bude ve ve\u0159ejn\u00e9m prostoru n\u00e1vod\u016f, t\u00edm ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed bude \u0161ance, \u017ee se ze \u201est\u0159elby vodiv\u00fdm materi\u00e1lem\u201c stane popul\u00e1rn\u00ed sportovn\u00ed discipl\u00edna.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Navzdory v\u00fdpadku v\u00fdrobn\u00edho zdroje z\u016fstaly dod\u00e1vky elekt\u0159iny v\u00a0dot\u010den\u00e9 lokalit\u011b zachov\u00e1ny a\u00a0brzy se poda\u0159ilo i\u00a0znovu p\u0159ipojit posti\u017een\u00fd blok.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\"><a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rwe.com\/en\/press\/rwe-power\/2026-09-02-rwe-power-plants-in-the-rhenish-region-affected-by-an-incident-near-a-substation\/\" class=\"e_w\">O p\u016fl dne pozd\u011bji<\/a> drn\u010del telefon na policii znovu a\u00a0oper\u00e1torovi v\u00a0prvn\u00ed chv\u00edli muselo b\u011b\u017eet hlavou cosi jako: Co\u017ee? Tam u\u017e jsme byli, pro\u010d n\u00e1m to znovu hl\u00e1s\u00edte? Jenom\u017ee \u0161lo o\u00a0druh\u00fd incident, kter\u00fd se odehr\u00e1l kousek p\u0159ed 20:00\u00a0skoro 550\u00a0km vzdu\u0161nou \u010darou d\u00e1le na z\u00e1pad.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Nedaleko rozvodny Rommerskirchen u\u00a0Kol\u00edna nad R\u00fdnem sv\u011bdci sly\u0161eli r\u00e1ny a\u00a0spat\u0159ili z\u00e1blesky. Policist\u00e9 n\u00e1sledn\u011b zjistili, \u017ee bou\u0159ka to vskutku nebyla. V\u00a0kuku\u0159i\u010dn\u00e9m poli objevili \u0161est odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a\u00a0v okol\u00ed veden\u00ed poz\u016fstatky vodiv\u00e9ho materi\u00e1lu.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">P\u0159esto\u017ee to ve vztahu k\u00a0prvn\u00edmu incidentu na prvn\u00ed pohled vypad\u00e1 jako d\u00edlo mlad\u0161\u00edho, m\u00e9n\u011b zku\u0161en\u00e9ho bratra, energetick\u00e1 spou\u0161\u0165 byla \u0159\u00e1dov\u011b drtiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Ochrany vy\u0159adily dohromady p\u011bt hn\u011bdouheln\u00fdch blok\u016f\u00a0\u2013 dva z\u00a0elektr\u00e1rny Neurath (F a\u00a0G) a\u00a0t\u0159i z\u00a0elektr\u00e1rny Niederau\u00dfem (G, H, K).<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Navzdory masivn\u00edmu v\u00fdpadku 3000\u00a0MW stabiln\u00edho v\u00fdkonu (!) z\u016fstaly i\u00a0v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b dod\u00e1vky elekt\u0159iny v\u00a0p\u0159ilehl\u00e9 lokalit\u011b zachov\u00e1ny, jen s\u00a0t\u00edm op\u011btovn\u00fdm p\u0159ipojov\u00e1n\u00edm posti\u017een\u00fdch blok\u016f to bylo trochu slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Dva se vr\u00e1tily dal\u0161\u00ed den dopoledne, jeden ve\u010der a\u00a0posledn\u00ed dva se do\u010dkaj\u00ed teprve v\u00a0t\u011bchto dnech.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka zn\u00ed: Vejdou se tyto dva incidenty po\u0159\u00e1d do kategorie \u201eto m\u00e1te furt n\u011bco\u201c, nebo jde o\u00a0v evropsk\u00e9m kontextu nov\u00fd, dosud nepoznan\u00fd druh energetick\u00e9ho terorismu? Lze se na to zeptat AI, man\u017eelky a\u00a0nebo t\u0159eba k\u00e1mo\u0161e z\u00a0fotbalu, kter\u00fd rozum\u00ed tak n\u011bjak v\u0161emu. J\u00e1 d\u00e1v\u00e1m p\u0159ednost vlastn\u00ed datov\u00e9 anal\u00fdze (\u010d\u00edm\u017e nepop\u00edr\u00e1m, \u017ee se \u010dlov\u011bk ob\u010das do\u010dk\u00e1 lep\u0161\u00ed odpov\u011bdi z\u00a0v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00fdch alternativn\u00edch zdroj\u016f).<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Incident \u010d. 1: Turnow-Preilack (Braniborsko)<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Rozvodna Turnow-Preilack pat\u0159\u00ed k\u00a0nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm uzl\u016fm p\u0159enosov\u00e9 soustavy 50Hertz. Je do n\u00ed za\u00fast\u011bno sedm dvojit\u00fdch okruh\u016f veden\u00ed 380\u00a0kV (celkem 14\u00a0obvod\u016f) a\u00a0dv\u011b veden\u00ed 110\u00a0kV. P\u0159esto\u017ee nev\u00edme, kde p\u0159esn\u011b do\u0161lo k\u00a0p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed linek, a\u00a0u\u017e v\u016fbec ne, kde k\u00a0n\u011bmu je\u0161t\u011b m\u011blo doj\u00edt (a d\u00edkybohu nedo\u0161lo), z\u00a0topologie i\u00a0laik snadno vy\u010dte, co t\u00edm cht\u011bl b\u00e1sn\u00edk, toti\u017e terorista \u0159\u00edct. M\u011bl rozhodn\u011b za lubem \u201esundat\u201c minim\u00e1ln\u011b celou elektr\u00e1rnu J\u00e4nschwalde! Toho \u010dasu <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/de.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Kraftwerk_J%C3%A4nschwalde\" class=\"e_w\">\u010dtvrt\u00fd nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed zdroj<\/a> v\u00a0N\u011bmecku s\u00a0instalovan\u00fdm v\u00fdkonem 2000\u00a0MW (z toho 500\u00a0MW je s\u00ed\u0165ov\u00e9 rezerv\u011b).<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"1031\"   width=\"1916\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/rozvodna-v-braniborsku.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: Open Infrastructure Map<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Rozvodna v\u00a0Braniborsku<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\"><a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/energy-charts.info\/charts\/power\/chart.htm?l=en&amp;c=DE&amp;source=public&amp;legendItems=my4yl&amp;week=36&amp;min=109&amp;max=136&amp;timeslider=1\" class=\"e_w\">Dal\u0161\u00ed graf<\/a> dokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00a0d\u016fsledku \u00fatoku skute\u010dn\u011b zmizelo z\u00a0n\u011bmeck\u00e9 v\u00fdroby cca 500\u00a0MW, a\u00a0to v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy to soustava nejm\u00e9n\u011b pot\u0159ebuje. Pr\u00e1v\u011b mezi 7:00\u00a0a\u00a08:00\u00a0toti\u017e v\u00a0N\u011bmecku vrchol\u00ed rann\u00ed odb\u011brov\u00e1 \u0161pi\u010dka (viz \u010derven\u00e1 linka ilustruj\u00edc\u00ed ceny na denn\u00edm trhu) a\u00a0tvrd\u00e9 zdroje v\u010detn\u011b uhelek b\u011b\u017en\u011b dr\u017e\u00ed v\u00fdkon a\u017e do jej\u00edho konce.<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"666\"   width=\"1358\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/vyroba-elektriny-z-hnedeho-uhli-rano.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: energy-charts.info<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">V\u00fdroba elekt\u0159iny z\u00a0hn\u011bd\u00e9ho uhl\u00ed (r\u00e1no)<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">P\u0159esto jsou regula\u010dn\u00ed data vztahuj\u00edc\u00ed se k\u00a0prvn\u00edmu incidentu trochu nuda. Nikde \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 prudk\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy ani extr\u00e9my. A\u017e na jednu docela p\u0159ekvapivou v\u00fdjimku. V\u00a0\u010cesku pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0intervalu 7:15-7:30\u00a0vylezla <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ceps.cz\/cs\/data#OdhadovanaCenaOdchylky\" class=\"e_w\">cena za syst\u00e9movou odchylku<\/a> k\u00a09000\u00a0K\u010d\/MWh. Dlouho p\u0159edt\u00edm i\u00a0dlouho potom to byla nula. N\u00e1hoda? Nemysl\u00edm si. \u010c\u00e1stka v\u0161ak i\u00a0tak spad\u00e1 sp\u00ed\u0161 do kategorie statistick\u00e1 zaj\u00edmavost ne\u017e drama.<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"746\"   width=\"1186\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/odhadovana-cena-systemove-odchylky-v-cr.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: \u010cEPS<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Odhadovan\u00e1 cena syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 odchylky v\u00a0\u010cR (r\u00e1no)<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Nezapom\u00ednejme v\u0161ak, \u017ee tento \u00fatok se z\u00a0v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti nepovedl\u00a0\u2013 mnoho odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed se poda\u0159ilo zlikvidovat p\u0159ed aktivac\u00ed. Bude to co by kdyby, ale pokud by zhasla cel\u00e1 elektr\u00e1rna J\u00e4nschwalde a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 i\u00a0jedna z\u00a0kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch k\u0159i\u017eovatek p\u0159enosov\u00e9 soustavy 50Hertz, mohli za\u017e\u00edt dispe\u010de\u0159i t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 chv\u00edle u\u017e r\u00e1no\u2026 Nakonec m\u016f\u017eeme rann\u00ed incident zp\u011btn\u011b interpretovat jako prvn\u00ed varov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Incident \u010d. 2: Rommerskirchen (Severn\u00ed Por\u00fdn\u00ed-Vestf\u00e1lsko)<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Skute\u010dn\u00fd z\u00e1t\u011b\u017eov\u00fd test pro\u017eila n\u011bmeck\u00e1 energetika a\u017e ve\u010der. <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/energy-charts.info\/charts\/power\/chart.htm?l=en&amp;c=DE&amp;source=public&amp;legendItems=my4yl&amp;interval=week&amp;week=36&amp;min=150&amp;max=231&amp;timeslider=1\" class=\"e_w\">Mezi 19:45\u00a0a\u00a021:00<\/a>\u00a0p\u0159i\u0161la o\u00a03\u00a0371\u00a0MW (kde se vzalo t\u011bch 371\u00a0MW nav\u00edc oproti ofici\u00e1ln\u00edmu \u010d\u00edslu up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b netu\u0161\u00edm), a\u00a0to v\u00a0tu nejm\u00e9n\u011b vhodnou dobu, kdy ceny na denn\u00edm trhu stoupaly k\u00a0maximu (237\u00a0eur\/MWh). Fun fact? Tato v\u00fd\u0161e v\u00fdpadku u\u017e p\u0159ekra\u010duje <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.regelleistung.net\/en-us\/Market-information\/Dimensioning-of-balancing-services\" class=\"e_w\">referen\u010dn\u00ed hodnotu 3000\u00a0MW<\/a> definovanou ENTSO-E. Jin\u00fdmi slovy tohle u\u017e opravdu zav\u00e1n\u011blo pr\u016f\u0161vihem\u2026<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b knock-out rozvodny Rommerskirchen (kter\u00e1 je je\u0161t\u011b robustn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm uzlem ne\u017e Turnow-Preilack) odrovnal v\u0161ech 4200\u00a0MW instalovan\u00e9 kapacity, kter\u00fdmi disponuj\u00ed lokality Neurath a\u00a0Niederau\u00dfem (v\u010detn\u011b blok\u016f, kter\u00e9 zrovna nebyly v\u00a0provozu). V\u00a0p\u0159enosov\u00e9 soustav\u011b Amprion vznikl ve ve\u010dern\u00ed \u0161pi\u010dce, tedy nejcitliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti dne, v\u00fdznamn\u00fd v\u00fdkonov\u00fd i\u00a0topologick\u00fd probl\u00e9m a\u00a0dispe\u010der\u016fm trvalo 90\u00a0minut, ne\u017e se jim ho poda\u0159ilo vy\u0159e\u0161it.<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"1027\"   width=\"1905\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/rozvodna-v-severnim-poryni-vestfalsku.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: Open Infrastructure Map<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Rozvodna v\u00a0Severn\u00edm Por\u00fdn\u00ed-Vestf\u00e1lsku<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">A te\u010f sledujte tu j\u00edzdu.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\"><a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MontelAnalytics\/status\/2095190854444945502\" class=\"e_w\">Vnitrodenn\u00ed<\/a> obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed r\u00e1zem vyst\u0159elilo na vysok\u00e9 tis\u00edce eur. Nejdra\u017e\u0161\u00ed obchod m\u011bl cenovku 7250\u00a0eur\/MWh. To je 174\u00a0K\u010d\/kWh! Jen pro ilustraci: Sl\u00e9v\u00e1rna s\u00a0odb\u011brem 6\u00a0MW z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na s\u00edti a\u00a0doh\u00e1n\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 manko ve v\u00fdrob\u011b by p\u0159i dokupov\u00e1n\u00ed chyb\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed elekt\u0159iny za \u010dtvrthodinu mohla p\u0159epl\u00e1cet a\u017e stovky tis\u00edc korun\u2026<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"1115\"   width=\"905\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/vnitrodenni-trh-v-nemecku.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: Montel<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Vnitrodenn\u00ed trh v\u00a0N\u011bmecku<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">To ale je\u0161t\u011b nic nebylo. V\u00a0doslova horskou dr\u00e1hu se prom\u011bnily <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.netztransparenz.de\/de-de\/Regelenergie\/Daten-Regelreserve\/Aktivierte-Regelleistung\" class=\"e_w\">vyrovn\u00e1vac\u00ed trhy<\/a>. Nap\u0159ed sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed aFRR, tedy dispe\u010dinkem automaticky \u0159\u00edzen\u00e1 regulace\u2026<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"583\"   width=\"1685\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/afrr.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: netztransparenz.de<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">aFRR<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">\u2026a kdy\u017e to nesta\u010dilo, tak i\u00a0terci\u00e1ln\u00ed mFRR, tedy dispe\u010dinkem manu\u00e1ln\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00e1 regulace.<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"495\"   width=\"1661\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/mfrr.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: netztransparenz.de<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">mFRR<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">A te\u010f pointa, z\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e v\u00e1m spadne brada. Zat\u00edmco aFRR se vy\u010derpala tak z\u00a0poloviny, z\u00e1sobn\u00edk mFRR zdroj\u016f byl u\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 u\u00a0konce s\u00a0dechem! Margin\u00e1ln\u00ed cena dos\u00e1hla a\u017e maxim\u00e1ln\u00edch 15\u00a0000\u00a0eur\/MWh. Jin\u00fdmi slovy syst\u00e9m byl <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/montelnews.com\/news\/d1d4d7f3-ee02-4e30-8617-f0e36490540e\" class=\"e_w\">tot\u00e1ln\u011b na hran\u011b<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"1126\"   width=\"955\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/regulace-afrr-mfrr.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: Montel<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Regulace aFRR, mFRR<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Mimochodem je kouzeln\u00e9, \u017ee jedinou dostupnou importn\u00ed kapacitu v\u00a0tu dobu tvo\u0159ily p\u0159eshrani\u010dn\u00ed trasy z\u00a0\u010ceska, kter\u00e9 u\u017e n\u011bjakou dobu sd\u00edl\u00ed se sousedy regula\u010dn\u00ed energii v\u00a0r\u00e1mci platforem PICASSO (aFRR) a\u00a0MARI (mFRR). O\u00a0v\u00fd\u0161i a\u00a0povaze v\u00fdpomoci nechci spekulovat (z agregovan\u00fdch dat se to ned\u00e1 spolehliv\u011b ode\u010d\u00edst a\u00a0data z\u00a0mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch platforem v\u00a0dob\u011b vyd\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto textu dosud nebyla publikov\u00e1na), ale vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee cena \u010desk\u00e9 odchylky vyst\u0159elila p\u0159ed dev\u00e1tou ve\u010dern\u00ed kamsi do stratosf\u00e9ry, tipnul bych si, \u017ee jsme N\u011bmc\u016fm trochu \u201ehelfli\u201c.<\/p>\n<p><img height=\"700\"   width=\"1343\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/odhadovana-cena-odchylky-v-cr.jpeg\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\" class=\"e_ah e_af\"\/>Foto: \u010cEPS<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Odhadovan\u00e1 cena odchylky v\u00a0\u010cR (ve\u010der)<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Z v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00fdch dat lze vyvodit smutn\u00fd, ale jednozna\u010dn\u00fd a\u00a0d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br. Je nade v\u0161\u00ed pochybnost, \u017ee v\u00a0\u00fater\u00fd 1.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2026\u00a0ne\u0159\u00e1dili v\u00a0N\u011bmecku puber\u0165\u00e1ci ani opil\u00ed fanou\u0161ci Schalke 04, ale n\u011bkdo, kdo setsakramentsky v\u011bd\u011bl, co chce ud\u011blat. A\u00a0\u017ee to n\u011bco bylo shodit celou n\u011bmeckou, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b st\u0159edoevropskou s\u00ed\u0165!<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Plat\u00ed to t\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161, \u017ee p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 rakety byly <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/KJRfZi9q1cg?si=bHoleCxd_zJYD_ce\" class=\"e_w\">pozd\u011bji<\/a> nalezeny v\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch t\u0159ech lokalit\u00e1ch a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed dva projekty tohoto typu byly je\u0161t\u011b v\u00a0pl\u00e1nu! Celkov\u011b se tedy bav\u00edme o (nejsp\u00ed\u0161 koordinovan\u00e9m) \u00fatoku na sedmi m\u00edstech.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">Ud\u00e1losti jsou zat\u00edm dost \u010derstv\u00e9, spoustu informac\u00ed dosud nezn\u00e1me (by\u0165 <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.novinky.cz\/clanek\/zahranicni-evropa-policie-v-braniborsku-proveruje-dopis-v-nemz-se-kdosi-hlasi-k-utoku-na-rozvodnu-40595973\" class=\"e_w\">zde<\/a> se u\u017e kdosi k\u00a0jednomu z\u00a0\u00fatok\u016f koresponden\u010dn\u011b dozn\u00e1v\u00e1, ale to bych bral s\u00a0rezervou). Za dan\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed pova\u017euji za vhodn\u00e9 formulovat n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch deset bod\u016f:<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">1) V\u00a0prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b v\u00e1m dlu\u017e\u00edm odpov\u011b\u010f na kl\u00ed\u010dovou ot\u00e1zku: Pod dojmem v\u0161ech dostupn\u00fdch informac\u00ed bych incidenty rozhodn\u011b ne\u0159adil do kategorie \u201eto m\u00e1te furt n\u011bco\u201c. V\u00a0evropsk\u00e9m kontextu jde vskutku o\u00a0nov\u00fd, dosud nepoznan\u00fd druh energetick\u00e9ho terorismu.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">2) Z\u00a0tohoto d\u016fvodu navrhuji kone\u010dn\u011b za\u010d\u00edt naz\u00fdvat pachatele prav\u00fdmi jm\u00e9ny. Byli to energeti\u010dt\u00ed terorist\u00e9 a\u00a0podle toho by s\u00a0nimi m\u011blo b\u00fdt taky nakl\u00e1d\u00e1no.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">3) M\u00e1lokdo si to uv\u011bdomuje, ale pokud by se \u00fatok zda\u0159il v\u00a0maximalistick\u00e9 variant\u011b a\u00a0n\u011bmeck\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 by \u0161la opravdu do tmy, bez n\u011bkolika vy\u0159azen\u00fdch syst\u00e9mov\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren by bylo docela slo\u017eit\u00e9 ji d\u00e1vat znovu dohromady.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">4) Br\u00e1t ud\u00e1losti z\u00a01.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed jako trofejn\u00ed argument pro decentralizaci je \u00fapln\u011b mimo. I\u00a0v\u011btrn\u00e9 farmy a\u00a0pozemn\u00ed fotovoltaick\u00e9 parky pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed rozvodny (akor\u00e1t jsou b\u011b\u017en\u011b zapojen\u00e9 do distribuce a\u00a0ne do p\u0159enosovky). Bav\u00edme-li se o\u00a0v\u00fdrob\u011b do vlastn\u00ed spot\u0159eby (tedy st\u0159e\u0161n\u00edch FVE), pak do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry souhlas\u00edm, \u017ee to m\u016f\u017ee trochu pomoct. Ale zaprv\u00e9 t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem t\u011b\u017eko m\u016f\u017eeme rychle prom\u011bnit cel\u00fd energetick\u00fd syst\u00e9m a\u00a0za druh\u00e9 p\u0159i d\u00e9le trvaj\u00edc\u00ed Dunkelflaute n\u00e1m to bude platn\u00e9 jako sol\u00e1rn\u00ed panel v\u00a0noci.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">5) Asi bude obecn\u011b nezbytn\u00e9 dramaticky pos\u00edlit ochranu nejcitliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch s\u00ed\u0165ov\u00fdch uzl\u016f a\u00a0prvk\u016f infrastruktury. Experti nap\u0159\u00edklad volaj\u00ed po dal\u0161\u00edm roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed <a data-dot=\"atm-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"ugc noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.maz-online.de\/brandenburg\/anschlag-auf-umspannwerk-jaenschwalde-hochspannungs-experte-ordnet-sabotage-risiko-ein-OHPGXKW7NVB6RL7NDIG4FQYL3Q.html\" class=\"e_w\">kamerov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">6) Z\u00e1rove\u0148 bychom si v\u0161ak m\u011bli poctiv\u011b p\u0159iznat, \u017ee zcela spolehliv\u011b zabr\u00e1nit v\u0161em podobn\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm prakticky nelze. Nezb\u00fdv\u00e1 n\u00e1m tedy ne\u017e vr\u00e1tit se k\u00a0paradigmatu star\u00fdch energetik\u016f: redundance a\u00a0diverzifikace. A\u00a0to nejen na \u00farovni zdroj\u016f, ale i\u00a0s\u00edt\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">7) Energetick\u00fd terorismus je v\u00a0Evrop\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u011b na vzestupu. Jen v\u00a0N\u011bmecku napo\u010d\u00edtali za posledn\u00edch 5\u00a0let p\u0159es 12\u00a0potvrzen\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f a\u00a0stovky podez\u0159en\u00ed a\u00a0pokus\u016f. Mo\u017en\u00e1 by st\u00e1lo za to p\u0159iznat si i\u00a0to, \u017ee jsme des\u00edtky let budovali syst\u00e9m pro kr\u00e1sn\u00fd sv\u011bt bez konflikt\u016f a\u00a0\u017ee je na \u010dase to p\u0159ehodnotit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">8) Jsme sv\u011bdky pon\u011bkud morbidn\u00edho d\u016fkazu, \u017ee energetika je naprost\u00fdm z\u00e1kladem pro fungov\u00e1n\u00ed na\u0161\u00ed spole\u010dnosti. Ve v\u0161ech modern\u00edch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch se st\u00e1v\u00e1 prvn\u00edm a\u00a0v\u011bt\u0161inou i\u00a0nej\u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00edm ter\u010dem.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">9) Budu se opakovat: Za\u010dn\u011bme op\u011bt ve velk\u00fdch m\u011bstech a\u00a0firm\u00e1ch cvi\u010dit na blackouty a\u00a0nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed krizov\u00e9 situace.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e_cz\">10) Na z\u00e1v\u011br n\u011bco pozitivn\u00edho. Nepropadejme panice. P\u0159esto\u017ee situace byla v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1, N\u011bmecko ji ust\u00e1lo! Berme to jako dal\u0161\u00ed varov\u00e1n\u00ed a\u00a0p\u0159ipravme se na to, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt i\u00a0h\u016f\u0159.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Kdy\u017e jsem v\u00e1m tu minule o\u00a0N\u011bmecku vypr\u00e1v\u011bl poh\u00e1dku plnou krupicov\u00e9 ka\u0161e a\u00a0v\u00fdst\u0159edn\u00edho humoru, nem\u011bl jsem ani tu\u0161en\u00ed, \u017ee&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":205026,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[11],"tags":[12204,1705,11931,18336,1697,150,383,375,45718,17678,54,4109,155,53,52],"class_list":["post-205025","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-blackout","tag-ceny-energii","tag-dekarbonizace","tag-elektricke-vedeni","tag-elektrina","tag-energetika","tag-green-deal","tag-nemecko","tag-rozvodna","tag-sabotaz","tag-svet","tag-terorismus","tag-uhelna-elektrarna","tag-world","tag-world-news"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/117225880585491926","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205025","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=205025"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205025\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/205026"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=205025"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=205025"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=205025"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}