{"id":20690,"date":"2026-03-11T08:26:09","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T08:26:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/20690\/"},"modified":"2026-03-11T08:26:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T08:26:09","slug":"komentar-islamske-revolucni-gardy-vsadily-na-jednu-kartu-alex-svamberk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/20690\/","title":{"rendered":"KOMENT\u00c1\u0158: Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy vsadily na jednu kartu – Alex \u0160vamberk"},"content":{"rendered":"

Volba je z\u00a0n\u011bkolika ohled\u016f symbolick\u00e1. Jde o\u00a0veter\u00e1na z\u00a0krvav\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky z\u00a0osmdes\u00e1t\u00fdch let, kter\u00fd se jako teenager se zbran\u00ed v\u00a0ruce postavil na obranu zem\u011b a\u00a0nyn\u00ed ji m\u00e1 v\u00e9st v\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lce.<\/p>\n

Je to v\u0161ak i\u00a0uk\u00e1zka vzdoru. I\u00a0kdy\u017e byl hned prvn\u00ed den zabit p\u0159edchoz\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed duchovn\u00ed v\u016fdce Al\u00ed Chamene\u00ed, \u00cdr\u00e1n st\u00e1le vede Chamene\u00ed, by\u0165 je to jeho syn Mod\u017etaba. Po volb\u011b na to neopomn\u011bl upozornit jeden ze \u010dlen\u016f 88\u010dlenn\u00e9ho Shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed znalc\u016f, kter\u00e9 nov\u00e9ho v\u016fdce volilo. Zm\u00ednil i\u00a0to, \u017ee ho p\u0159edem odm\u00edtl akceptovat americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump.<\/p>\n

Jeho volba ov\u0161em komplikuje cestu k\u00a0urovn\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu.<\/p>\n

Donutit \u00cdr\u00e1n k\u00a0bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9 kapitulaci, jak by to cht\u011bl americk\u00fd prezident Trump, je p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00a0\u0159\u00ed\u0161e sn\u016f. Zem\u011b obvykle bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u011b nekapituluje, pokud nen\u00ed obsazen\u00e1. Japonsko sice podepsalo 2.\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 1945\u00a0akt bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9 kapitulace, ani\u017e by se na tzv. dom\u00e1c\u00edch ostrovech vylodil jedin\u00fd americk\u00fd voj\u00e1k, ale a\u017e po shozen\u00ed druh\u00e9 atomov\u00e9 bomby. Nav\u00edc ta kapitulace zas tak \u00fapln\u011b bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e1 nebyla, vyjednava\u010di vymohli zachov\u00e1n\u00ed c\u00edsa\u0159stv\u00ed a\u00a0imunitu pro c\u00edsa\u0159e, tak\u017ee nikdy nebyl st\u00edh\u00e1n za p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 zlo\u010diny.<\/p>\n

V takov\u00e9 situaci nyn\u00ed rozhodn\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1n nen\u00ed. V\u00edkendov\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch Isl\u00e1msk\u00fdch revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard, \u017ee zem\u011b m\u00e1 s\u00edlu v\u00e1l\u010dit ve st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed intenzit\u011b je\u0161t\u011b p\u016fl roku, je sice propaga\u010dn\u00ed a\u00a0ur\u010dit\u011b nadnesen\u00e9, ale zem\u011b nen\u00ed zlomen\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Zemi se zhruba 86\u00a0miliony obyvatel lze za takov\u00e9 situace t\u011b\u017eko kl\u00e1st podm\u00ednku, \u017ee jej\u00ed nov\u011b zvolen\u00fd v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd v\u016fdce mus\u00ed odej\u00edt ze sv\u00e9ho postu a\u00a0do \u010dela zem\u011b m\u00e1 b\u00fdt dosazen n\u011bjak\u00fd americk\u00fd protektor. To by bylo mo\u017en\u00e9, kdy\u017e by se zhroutil cel\u00fd syst\u00e9m, lid cht\u011bl konec isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky a\u00a0m\u011bl s\u00edlu p\u0159evz\u00edt moc a\u00a0nahradit sv\u00e9 v\u016fdce. Nic z\u00a0toho neplat\u00ed a\u00a0hned tak ani nebude. V\u00edkendov\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fadery na z\u00e1sobn\u00edky ropy byly sice bolestn\u00e9, ale na Ukrajin\u011b m\u016f\u017eeme vid\u011bt, co v\u0161echno jsou lid\u00e9 schopni vydr\u017eet.<\/p>\n

Volba \u010dlov\u011bka spojen\u00e9ho s\u00a0Isl\u00e1msk\u00fdmi revolu\u010dn\u00edmi gardami ov\u0161em omezuje mo\u017enosti kompromisu, kter\u00fdm bude muset cht\u011b necht\u011b v\u00e1lka skon\u010dit. Pro USA a\u00a0Izrael bude t\u011b\u017eko p\u0159ijateln\u00e9, \u017ee v\u00a0\u010dele \u00cdr\u00e1nu stoj\u00ed \u010dlov\u011bk t\u011bsn\u011b spojen\u00fd s\u00a0Isl\u00e1msk\u00fdmi revolu\u010dn\u00edmi gardami, kter\u00e9 jsou po pr\u00e1vu ozna\u010dovan\u00e9 za teroristick\u00e9. Vyv\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed \u201eisl\u00e1mskou revoluci\u201c a\u00a0klidn\u011b masakruj\u00ed nespokojen\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1nce.<\/p>\n

Gardy vsadily na jednu kartu. Na to, \u017ee se \u00cdr\u00e1n dok\u00e1\u017ee br\u00e1nit tak dlouho, a\u017e se Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 unav\u00ed a\u00a0p\u0159estanou s\u00a0\u00fatoky. Mod\u017etaba t\u00edm prok\u00e1\u017ee sv\u00e9 schopnosti, a\u00a0tak nemus\u00ed ani tolik vadit, \u017ee jeho volba je sporn\u00e1. Nespl\u0148uje toti\u017e jednu ze z\u00e1kladn\u00edch podm\u00ednek pro \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho duchovn\u00edho v\u016fdce – nen\u00ed ani ajatoll\u00e1hem, co\u017e je v\u00a0teokratick\u00e9m re\u017eimu ajatoll\u00e1h\u016f probl\u00e9m. P\u0159echod funkce z\u00a0otce na syna nav\u00edc p\u016fsob\u00ed dynasticky, co\u017e v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu, kde kdysi svrhli \u0161\u00e1ha, vad\u00ed. Nespokojen\u00ed mohou b\u00fdt nejen odp\u016frci vysloven\u011b tvrd\u00e9 linie reprezentovan\u00e9 revolu\u010dn\u00edmi gardami, ale i\u00a0ajatoll\u00e1hov\u00e9 a\u00a0taky arm\u00e1da. Budou m\u00edt pocit, \u017ee si gardy uzurpuj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velkou moc. A\u00a0tento pocit nezmiz\u00ed. V\u00a0dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu m\u016f\u017ee rychl\u00e1 volba Mod\u017etaby za nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho duchovn\u00edho v\u016fdce isl\u00e1mskou republiku oslabit.<\/p>\n

Prohlubuje u\u017e existuj\u00edc\u00ed trhliny mezi jednotliv\u00fdmi mocensk\u00fdmi slo\u017ekami. Ty vy\u0161ly n\u00e1zorn\u011b najevo u\u017e v\u00a0sobotu, kdy se prezident Mas\u00fad Peze\u0161kj\u00e1n omluvil arabsk\u00fdm zem\u00edm v\u00a0Z\u00e1livu, \u017ee na n\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1n \u00fato\u010dil, a\u00a0sl\u00edbil, \u017ee tyto \u00fatoky nebudou pokra\u010dovat. A\u00a0jen p\u00e1r hodin na to op\u011bt let\u011bly rakety nejen na Izrael, ale pr\u00e1v\u011b i\u00a0na ony arabsk\u00e9 zem\u011b. Bojechtiv\u00e9 Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy pokra\u010dovaly ve vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch. Um\u00edrn\u011bn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdci byli odsunuti stranou a\u00a0prezident \u0159ekl, \u017ee jeho slova byla dezinterpretov\u00e1na nep\u0159\u00e1teli \u00cdr\u00e1nu. <\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee zast\u00e1nci tvrd\u00e9 linie vyhr\u00e1li, v\u00e1lka z\u00e1hy neskon\u010d\u00ed, co\u017e nen\u00ed pro oby\u010dejn\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1nce dobr\u00e9.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Volba je z\u00a0n\u011bkolika ohled\u016f symbolick\u00e1. Jde o\u00a0veter\u00e1na z\u00a0krvav\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky z\u00a0osmdes\u00e1t\u00fdch let, kter\u00fd se jako teenager se zbran\u00ed…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2542,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[17,21,808,7681,7668,16,10100,18,19,22,20],"class_list":{"0":"post-20690","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-zpravy","8":"tag-headlines","9":"tag-hlavni-udalosti","10":"tag-iran","11":"tag-islamske-iranske-revolucni-gardy","12":"tag-modztaba-chamenei","13":"tag-news","14":"tag-revolucni-gardy","15":"tag-top-news","16":"tag-top-stories","17":"tag-udalosti-dne","18":"tag-zpravy"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116209594438750712","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20690","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20690"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20690\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2542"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20690"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20690"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20690"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}