{"id":21603,"date":"2026-03-12T04:41:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T04:41:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/21603\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T04:41:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T04:41:46","slug":"edward-lucas-evropa-musi-prestat-delat-z-trumpa-stredobod-sve-pozornosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/21603\/","title":{"rendered":"Edward Lucas: Evropa mus\u00ed p\u0159estat d\u011blat z\u00a0Trumpa st\u0159edobod sv\u00e9 pozornosti"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u010cl\u00e1nek si tak\u00e9 m\u016f\u017eete poslechnout v\u00a0audioverzi.<\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump vystoupil ve st\u0159edu na Sv\u011btov\u00e9m ekonomick\u00e9m f\u00f3ru v\u00a0Davosu, kde p\u0159ed sv\u011btov\u00fdmi l\u00eddry, politiky a\u00a0investory zopakoval svou hlavn\u00ed my\u0161lenku: Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty jsou \u201eekonomick\u00fd motor planety\u201c a\u00a0Evropa \u201enejde spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm sm\u011brem\u201c. <\/p>\n

\u0160\u00e9f B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu tak\u00e9 kritizoval evropsk\u00e9 spojence v\u00a0NATO a\u00a0zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee Evropa mus\u00ed v\u00edc investovat do sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti a\u00a0ekonomiky. Ve sv\u00e9m projevu se nav\u00edc znovu vr\u00e1til k\u00a0t\u00e9matu Gr\u00f3nska, kdy\u017e nazna\u010dil, \u017ee USA by o\u00a0jeho budoucnost m\u011bly jednat okam\u017eit\u011b. Pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly ale podle sv\u00fdch slov nepl\u00e1nuje. <\/p>\n

Britsk\u00fd spisovatel a\u00a0analytik Edward Lucas v\u00a0reakci na projev upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee Evropa by nem\u011bla p\u0159ece\u0148ovat v\u00fdznam Trumpov\u00fdch v\u00fdrok\u016f a\u00a0m\u011bla by se soust\u0159edit na vlastn\u00ed s\u00edlu. \u201eM\u00e1 vlastn\u00ed mo\u017enosti\u00a0\u2013 m\u00e1me rozhodovac\u00ed pravomoci, pen\u00edze, lidi i\u00a0vojensk\u00e9 kapacity,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 v\u00a0rozhovoru pro Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy. <\/p>\n

Podle n\u011bj jde o \u201epsychologickou operaci\u201c v\u016f\u010di evropsk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 za c\u00edl uk\u00e1zat Trumpa jako \u201eslune\u010dn\u00edho kr\u00e1le\u201c a\u00a0Evropu jako z\u00e1vislou. <\/p>\n

Lucas zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee Evropa m\u00e1 dostatek zdroj\u016f, aby pos\u00edlila obranu, pokra\u010dovala v\u00a0podpo\u0159e Ukrajiny a\u00a0budovala siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed strategick\u00e1 spojenectv\u00ed. A\u00a0\u017ee m\u00edsto neust\u00e1l\u00e9ho sledov\u00e1n\u00ed Trumpov\u00fdch v\u00fdpad\u016f by m\u011bla za\u010d\u00edt \u0159e\u0161it vlastn\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed v\u00fdzvy.<\/p>\n

Co zazn\u011blo v\u00a0Davosu:<\/a><\/p>\n

Jak\u00e1 byla va\u0161e prvn\u00ed reakce na projev americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa?<\/p>\n

Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee bychom m\u011bli Donaldu Trumpovi p\u0159estat dovolovat, aby n\u00e1m neust\u00e1le zab\u00edral m\u00edsto v\u00a0hlav\u011b. Neust\u00e1le mluv\u00ed a\u00a0my pak tr\u00e1v\u00edme ve\u0161ker\u00fd \u010das t\u00edm, \u017ee se roz\u010dilujeme nad t\u00edm, co \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, m\u00edsto abychom se soust\u0159edili na v\u011bci, kter\u00e9 sami pot\u0159ebujeme ud\u011blat.<\/p>\n

Evropa m\u00e1 vlastn\u00ed mo\u017enosti\u00a0\u2013 m\u00e1me rozhodovac\u00ed pravomoci, pen\u00edze, lidi i\u00a0vojensk\u00e9 kapacity a\u00a0st\u00e1le je\u0161t\u011b m\u00e1me \u010das. Nem\u011bli bychom d\u00e1l \u010dekat, zda Trump \u201edostane rozum\u201c, ani se ob\u00e1vat, \u017ee \u0159ekne n\u011bco je\u0161t\u011b extr\u00e9mn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho. M\u00edsto toho bychom se m\u011bli soust\u0159edit na vlastn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost, pokra\u010dovat v\u00a0podpo\u0159e Ukrajiny, budovat spojenectv\u00ed a\u00a0oslabovat v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd apar\u00e1t Vladimira Putina.<\/p>\n

Zazn\u011blo v\u00a0tom projevu n\u011bco, co byste pova\u017eoval za varovn\u00fd sign\u00e1l, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b sd\u011blen\u00ed, jemu\u017e by m\u011bla Evropa v\u011bnovat zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed pozornost?<\/p>\n

Nehodl\u00e1m Trumpovu \u0159e\u010d povy\u0161ovat detailn\u00edm hodnocen\u00edm. Sv\u016fj politick\u00fd styl u\u017e d\u00e1vno uk\u00e1zal a\u00a0ostatn\u011b u\u017e z\u00a0jeho prvn\u00edho prezidentsk\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed v\u00edme, jak\u00fd je. Ve sv\u00e9m druh\u00e9m mand\u00e1tu se chov\u00e1 stejn\u011b a\u00a0jeho vystoupen\u00ed p\u016fsob\u00ed chaoticky – jeden den zazn\u00ed n\u011bco pozitivn\u00edho, dal\u0161\u00ed den n\u011bco negativn\u00edho, pak n\u011bco absurdn\u00edho a\u00a0ob\u010das i\u00a0n\u011bco relativn\u011b rozumn\u00e9ho.<\/p>\n

Odm\u00edt\u00e1m ale p\u0159edstavu, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b jeho projevy maj\u00ed b\u00fdt t\u00edm nejz\u00e1sadn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm faktorem transatlantick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti. Z\u00a0tohoto d\u016fvodu se t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem jeho \u0159e\u010d\u00ed jednodu\u0161e odm\u00edt\u00e1m zab\u00fdvat.<\/p>\n

Foto: Archiv Edwarda Lucase, Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy<\/p>\n

Edward Lucas.<\/p>\n

Trump nicm\u00e9n\u011b \u0159ekl, \u017ee bez USA Evropa nic nen\u00ed. A\u00a0\u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b by bez Ameriky v\u016fbec neexistovaly. M\u016f\u017eeme n\u011bco takov\u00e9ho ignorovat, kdy\u017e to \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 americk\u00fd prezident?<\/p>\n

Evropa je sama o\u00a0sob\u011b. Je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm obchodn\u00edm partnerem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 jedn\u00edm z\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch, ne-li nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm investorem do americk\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch dluhopis\u016f. Jsme v\u00fdznamn\u00ed odb\u011bratel\u00e9 jejich dluhopis\u016f, jejich produkt\u016f a\u00a0slu\u017eeb. A\u00a0nav\u00edc m\u00e1me kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 postaven\u00ed v\u00a0glob\u00e1ln\u00ed strategii Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, nap\u0159\u00edklad v\u00a0Africe a\u00a0na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/p>\n

Trump si m\u016f\u017ee \u0159\u00edkat, co chce, ale Evropa m\u00e1 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed v\u00fdznam. Pokud se rozhodne n\u00e1s ve\u0159ejn\u011b zneva\u017eovat, podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 t\u00edm d\u016fv\u011bru, na kter\u00e9 je postaven\u00e1 transatlantick\u00e1 spolupr\u00e1ce, a\u00a0m\u011bn\u00ed ji v\u00a0\u010dist\u011b transak\u010dn\u00ed vztah. Pokud se vztah stane transak\u010dn\u00edm, m\u016f\u017eeme si dovolit v\u00e9st tvrd\u00fd vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed styl, a\u00a0klidn\u011b si \u201evydupeme\u201c v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky.<\/p>\n

Mysl\u00edm si, \u017ee jde o\u00a0masivn\u00ed psychologickou operaci v\u016f\u010di evropsk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti. Trump se sna\u017e\u00ed vytvo\u0159it dojem, \u017ee je \u201eslune\u010dn\u00edm kr\u00e1lem\u201c a\u00a0my v\u0161ichni jen sed\u00edme a\u00a0\u010dek\u00e1me, co ud\u011bl\u00e1 d\u00e1l, jako by byl Caligula nebo n\u011bjak\u00fd mocn\u00fd c\u00edsa\u0159. To podle m\u011b nen\u00ed spr\u00e1vn\u00e9. On by m\u011bl ka\u017ed\u00e9 r\u00e1no p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161let, co d\u011blaj\u00ed Evropan\u00e9, ne naopak.<\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee podle v\u00e1s Evropa p\u0159ece\u0148uje, co Trump \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, a\u00a0m\u011bla by se p\u0159estat t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem tr\u00e1pit?<\/p>\n

Ano. Je to hrozn\u00e9, ale je to hrozn\u00e9 u\u017e dlouho, a\u00a0my bychom se s\u00a0t\u00edm m\u011bli p\u0159estat zab\u00fdvat. Je to jako v\u00a0dom\u00e1cnosti, kde se v\u0161ichni boj\u00ed, jestli otec ve\u010der nep\u0159ijde opil\u00fd a\u00a0nevyvol\u00e1 konflikt. Lid\u00e9 se mohou prost\u011b odst\u011bhovat, mohou ho zav\u0159\u00edt p\u0159ed dve\u0159mi, mohou ud\u011blat n\u011bco jin\u00e9ho. Stejn\u011b tak Evropa mus\u00ed p\u0159estat d\u011blat z\u00a0Trumpa st\u0159edobod sv\u00e9 pozornosti. Je tu spousta v\u011bc\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je pot\u0159eba \u0159e\u0161it, a\u00a0my bychom se m\u011bli soust\u0159edit na n\u011b.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Finsk\u00fd prezident Alexander Stubb ned\u00e1vno \u0159ekl n\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho jako vy – \u017ee se Evropa o\u00a0sebe dok\u00e1\u017ee postarat a\u00a0ubr\u00e1nit se p\u0159ed jakoukoli agres\u00ed. Jste o\u00a0tom opravdu p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00fd? P\u0159eci jen na Ameriku dlouho spol\u00e9h\u00e1me jako na bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho garanta.<\/p>\n

M\u016f\u017ee to b\u00fdt velmi obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 docela nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9. A\u00a0mus\u00edm \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee jsme s\u00a0t\u00edm p\u0159i\u0161li pozd\u011b. Kdybychom to za\u010dali \u0159e\u0161it p\u0159ed 28\u00a0lety, bylo by to mnohem snaz\u0161\u00ed a\u00a0dnes bychom nebyli v\u00a0t\u00e9to situaci. Te\u010f u\u017e jsme to odkl\u00e1dali p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 dlouho, tak\u017ee to bude velmi n\u00e1kladn\u00e9 a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 velmi rizikov\u00e9.<\/p>\n

M\u00e1m obavy, \u017ee by to mohlo v\u00e9st i\u00a0k v\u00e1lce a\u00a0\u017ee ji nemus\u00edme vyhr\u00e1t. P\u0159esto si ale mysl\u00edm, \u017ee je st\u00e1le lep\u0161\u00ed za\u010d\u00edt dnes ne\u017e z\u00edtra.<\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee bychom mohli klidn\u011b \u0159\u00edct \u201esbohem\u201c?<\/p>\n

D\u016fv\u011bra mezi na\u0161imi velmocemi u\u017e dnes prakticky neexistuje. Je pry\u010d. Vztah se posunul do f\u00e1ze tvrd\u00e9ho vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

A j\u00e1 bych r\u00e1d vid\u011bl sp\u00ed\u0161e \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 sta\u017een\u00ed americk\u00fdch sil z\u00a0Evropy ne\u017e chaotick\u00fd odchod. Pr\u00e1v\u011b na to bychom m\u011bli vyjedn\u00e1vat. Nap\u0159\u00edklad bychom mohli \u0159\u00edct: \u201ePokud n\u00e1s nebudete d\u00e1l podporovat v\u00a0ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 sami hned vy\u0159e\u0161it nem\u016f\u017eeme, budeme muset p\u0159ehodnotit, jestli v\u00e1m budeme d\u00e1l nakupovat va\u0161e st\u00e1tn\u00ed dluhopisy.\u201c Evropa m\u00e1 v\u00a0tomto rozhodn\u011b vlastn\u00ed prostor. Nejsme bezmocn\u00ed div\u00e1ci.<\/p>\n

M\u016f\u017eeme si ale dovolit rozb\u00edjet vztahy se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, kdy\u017e sou\u010dasn\u011b \u010del\u00edme p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 hrozb\u011b, \u017ee Trump otev\u0159en\u011b mluv\u00ed o\u00a0tom, \u017ee chce Gr\u00f3nsko a\u00a0tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee ho \u201epot\u0159ebuje\u201c?<\/p>\n

P\u0159ed n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edci cht\u011bl Panamu, cht\u011bl Kanadu a\u00a0te\u010f chce Gr\u00f3nsko. Odm\u00edt\u00e1m my\u0161lenku, \u017ee bychom m\u011bli hr\u00e1t podle jeho not. M\u011bli bychom tvo\u0159it vlastn\u00ed agendu. M\u011bli bychom se obr\u00e1tit na Gr\u00f3nsko a\u00a0zeptat se: \u201eCht\u011bli byste znovu vstoupit do Evropsk\u00e9 unie?\u201c To by bylo uk\u00e1z\u00e1n\u00ed iniciativy z\u00a0na\u0161\u00ed strany.<\/p>\n

Ale i\u00a0tak – co kdy\u017e opravdu p\u0159istane v\u00a0Gr\u00f3nsku a \u201evezme si ho\u201c, jako to ud\u011blal ve Venezuele? Ostatn\u011b ve sv\u00e9 \u0159e\u010di opakoval hned n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t, \u017ee Amerika m\u00e1 takovou s\u00edlu, jakou si nikdo nedok\u00e1\u017ee p\u0159edstavit.<\/p>\n

M\u011bli bychom naprosto jasn\u011b \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee pokud to ud\u011bl\u00e1, budou z\u00a0toho pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty velmi v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 negativn\u00ed d\u016fsledky. Zat\u00edm je to ale jenom \u0159e\u010d. My mu to dovolujeme, stejn\u011b jako v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Panamy nebo Kanady. A\u00a0jak jsem \u0159\u00edkal, te\u010f je to Gr\u00f3nsko. <\/p>\n

Trump m\u00e1 pozornost t\u0159\u00edlet\u00e9ho d\u00edt\u011bte. Je pot\u0159eba to zablokovat v\u00a0procesu. \u0158\u00edct: \u201eAno, dejte sv\u00e9 pr\u00e1vn\u00edky, a\u0165 mluv\u00ed s\u00a0na\u0161imi pr\u00e1vn\u00edky.\u201c A\u00a0nab\u00eddnout mu n\u011bco leskl\u00e9ho, t\u0159eba p\u0159ejmenovat americkou z\u00e1kladnu na \u201eTrumpovu z\u00e1kladnu\u201c, a\u00a0po\u010dkat, a\u017e se mu to omrz\u00ed a\u00a0p\u0159ejde na n\u011bco jin\u00e9ho.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n

Pro\u010d tedy podle v\u00e1s evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b vol\u00ed strategii \u00fastupk\u016f\u00a0\u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm protokol\u00e1rn\u00edch gest\u00a0\u2013 m\u00edsto toho, aby na Trumpa tla\u010dily tvrd\u0161\u00edmi kroky? Nehroz\u00ed, \u017ee t\u00edm jen maskuj\u00ed dlouhodobou slabost v\u00a0oblasti obrany a\u00a0bezpe\u010dnosti?<\/p>\n

Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee to d\u011blaj\u00ed proto, \u017ee kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 efekty funguj\u00ed a\u00a0stoj\u00ed to m\u00e1lo. Pokud se n\u00e1m poda\u0159\u00ed vyhnout se nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm situac\u00edm t\u00edm, \u017ee mu d\u00e1me nap\u0159\u00edklad ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu nebo jakousi druhou Nobelovu cenu m\u00edru, je to v\u00a0po\u0159\u00e1dku. Jedn\u00e1 se o\u00a0\u010dlov\u011bka, kter\u00fd nen\u00ed racion\u00e1ln\u00ed dosp\u011bl\u00fd, a\u00a0proto je n\u011bkdy pot\u0159eba pou\u017e\u00edt iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed prost\u0159edky, aby se uklidnil. Ale to by m\u011blo b\u00fdt jen na povrchu.<\/p>\n

D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je, co se d\u011bje pod povrchem. My bychom m\u011bli d\u011blat to, co jsme m\u011bli d\u011blat u\u017e p\u0159ed 15\u00a0lety: v\u00edce investovat do obrany, l\u00e9pe tyto prost\u0159edky vyu\u017e\u00edvat, v\u00edce pom\u00e1hat Ukrajin\u011b a\u00a0vyv\u00edjet tlak na Rusko.<\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee bychom m\u011bli uk\u00e1zat s\u00edlu, uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee jsme mocn\u00ed, a\u00a0neb\u00e1t se?<\/p>\n

Ano. M\u00e1me mo\u017enosti na v\u0161ech front\u00e1ch – ekonomick\u00e9, vojensk\u00e9, m\u011bkk\u00e9 i\u00a0tvrd\u00e9 s\u00edly. N\u011bkter\u00e9 kroky vy\u017eaduj\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, jin\u00e9 s\u00a0jin\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi. Ale mus\u00edme p\u0159estat Trumpa takhle obsesivn\u011b sledovat a\u00a0za\u010d\u00edt d\u011blat v\u011bci, kter\u00e9 u\u017e 15\u00a0let v\u00edme, \u017ee je t\u0159eba ud\u011blat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u010cl\u00e1nek si tak\u00e9 m\u016f\u017eete poslechnout v\u00a0audioverzi. Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump vystoupil ve st\u0159edu na Sv\u011btov\u00e9m ekonomick\u00e9m f\u00f3ru v\u00a0Davosu,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":21604,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3],"tags":[1116,1014,5096,212,109,108,106,1819,113,56],"class_list":["post-21603","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-evropa","tag-amerika","tag-bezpecnost","tag-davos","tag-donald-trump","tag-europa","tag-europe","tag-evropa","tag-rozhovory","tag-usa","tag-valka-rusko-ukrajina"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116214372049947901","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21603","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21603"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21603\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21604"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21603"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21603"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21603"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}