{"id":21642,"date":"2026-03-12T06:13:09","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T06:13:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/21642\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T06:13:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T06:13:09","slug":"cina-tlaci-eu-vaha-nova-zprava-vyzyva-brusel-aby-konecne-sahl-po-obchodni-bazuce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/21642\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010c\u00edna tla\u010d\u00ed, EU v\u00e1h\u00e1. Nov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 Brusel, aby kone\u010dn\u011b s\u00e1hl po \u201eobchodn\u00ed bazuce\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"

P\u0159esn\u011b tak ostr\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed nov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va Evropsk\u00e9ho institutu bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch studi\u00ed<\/a>, tedy think tanku napojen\u00e9ho na\u00a0unijn\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku. Auto\u0159i\u00a0textu tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee konfrontace s\u00a0Pekingem je s\u00a0velkou pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed nevyhnuteln\u00e1. M\u00edsto opatrn\u00e9ho p\u0159e\u0161lapov\u00e1n\u00ed proto doporu\u010duj\u00ed strategii \u201eeskalovat, aby bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 deeskalovat\u201c. Jin\u00fdmi slovy: EU m\u00e1 b\u00fdt p\u0159ipravena pou\u017e\u00edt nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obchodn\u011b-defenzivn\u00ed n\u00e1stroj d\u0159\u00edv\u00a0a\u00a0rozhodn\u011bji, ne\u017e bylo dosud zvykem.<\/p>\n

Obchodn\u00ed bazuka, kterou Brusel nechce vyt\u00e1hnout <\/p>\n

V\u00a0centru doporu\u010den\u00ed stoj\u00ed Anti-Coercion Instrument<\/a>, tedy n\u00e1stroj proti ekonomick\u00e9mu n\u00e1tlaku. V\u00a0bruselsk\u00e9m slovn\u00edku\u00a0si vyslou\u017eil p\u0159ezd\u00edvku \u201etrade bazooka\u201c \u2013 obchodn\u00ed bazuka. Umo\u017e\u0148uje Evropsk\u00e9 komisi s\u00e1hnout k\u00a0tvrd\u00fdm opat\u0159en\u00edm ve\u00a0chv\u00edli, kdy t\u0159et\u00ed zem\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 ekonomick\u00fd tlak proti \u010dlensk\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm nebo cel\u00e9 Unii.<\/p>\n

Spektrum mo\u017en\u00fdch krok\u016f je \u0161irok\u00e9: od\u00a0exportn\u00edch omezen\u00ed p\u0159es\u00a0restrikce v\u00a0oblasti licenc\u00ed a\u00a0pr\u00e1v\u00a0du\u0161evn\u00edho vlastnictv\u00ed a\u017e\u00a0po\u00a0omezen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupu k\u00a0ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm zak\u00e1zk\u00e1m. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto jde o\u00a0n\u00e1stroj, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 vypadat odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edm dojmem je\u0161t\u011b d\u0159\u00edv, ne\u017e se\u00a0skute\u010dn\u011b pou\u017eije.<\/p>\n

Jen\u017ee\u00a0pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0tom je probl\u00e9m. Zpr\u00e1va p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee EU v\u00a0roce 2025 tento mechanismus nenasadila. Ne proto, \u017ee by chyb\u011bl d\u016fvod, ale proto\u017ee\u00a0jeho aktivace je pomal\u00e1, politicky k\u0159ehk\u00e1 a\u00a0snadno zablokovateln\u00e1 \u010dlensk\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty. N\u00e1stroj, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 budit respekt, tak zat\u00edm p\u016fsob\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161 jako zbra\u0148 zam\u010den\u00e1 ve\u00a0vitr\u00edn\u011b.<\/p>\n

\"\u010ce\u0161t\u00ed<\/a> \u010c\u00ednsk\u00fd tlak a\u00a0rostouc\u00ed cena evropsk\u00e9 z\u00e1vislosti <\/p>\n

Anal\u00fdza\u00a0p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed po\u00a0roce, v\u00a0n\u011bm\u017e \u010c\u00edna\u00a0d\u00e1l vyu\u017e\u00edvala evropskou z\u00e1vislost na\u00a0vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin\u00e1ch a\u00a0\u010dipech prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm exportn\u00edch kontrol. Sou\u010dasn\u011b obchodn\u00ed p\u0159ebytek Pekingu v\u016f\u010di\u00a0EU narostl na\u00a0359,3 miliardy eur. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tato kombinace je podle autor\u016f varov\u00e1n\u00edm: Evropa u\u017e nen\u00ed v\u00a0situaci, kdy by si mohla dovolit spol\u00e9hat na\u00a0to, \u017ee otev\u0159enost sama o\u00a0sob\u011b povede k\u00a0rovnov\u00e1ze.<\/p>\n

EU m\u00e1 podle studie p\u0159ijmout podobn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup, jak\u00fd u\u017e del\u0161\u00ed dobu pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty i\u00a0samotn\u00e1 \u010c\u00edna. Mus\u00ed b\u00fdt schopna nasadit sv\u016fj nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1stroj na\u00a0obranu kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f. A\u00a0pokud p\u0159ijde odveta? I\u00a0s\u00a0n\u00ed je t\u0159eba po\u010d\u00edtat. Auto\u0159i\u00a0ale dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee n\u00e1klady p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 do\u010dasn\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lky by byly ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e cena ne\u010dinnosti.<\/p>\n

Tato logika je tvrd\u00e1, ale srozumiteln\u00e1. Do\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt by byl bolestiv\u00fd, jen\u017ee\u00a0z\u00a0pohledu zpr\u00e1vy st\u00e1le p\u0159ijateln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, v\u00a0n\u011bm\u017e Evropa d\u00e1l oslabuje vlastn\u00ed pr\u016fmyslovou z\u00e1kladnu. \u010clensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty i\u00a0samotn\u00e1 Unie podle autor\u016f mus\u00ed tuto realitu um\u011bt otev\u0159en\u011b vysv\u011btlit sv\u00fdm ob\u010dan\u016fm.<\/p>\n

Jak zrychlit reakci Bruselu <\/p>\n

Think tank proto nenavrhuje jen politick\u00e9 p\u0159itvrzen\u00ed, ale i\u00a0technickou \u00fapravu pravidel. Evropsk\u00e1 komise by podle n\u011bj<\/a> m\u011bla m\u00edt mo\u017enost n\u00e1stroj proti n\u00e1tlaku provizorn\u011b pou\u017e\u00edt u\u017e b\u011bhem povinn\u00e9 \u010dty\u0159m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed vy\u0161et\u0159ovac\u00ed f\u00e1ze. To by v\u00fdrazn\u011b zkr\u00e1tilo reak\u010dn\u00ed dobu ve chv\u00edli, kdy je pot\u0159eba odpov\u011bd\u011bt rychle.<\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1va z\u00e1rove\u0148 doporu\u010duje obr\u00e1tit sou\u010dasnou hlasovac\u00ed logiku. Nam\u00edsto toho, aby byla pot\u0159eba kvalifikovan\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina pro\u00a0schv\u00e1len\u00ed pou\u017eit\u00ed n\u00e1stroje, m\u011bla by b\u00fdt kvalifikovan\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina nutn\u00e1 k\u00a0jeho zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed. Praktick\u00fd dopad by byl z\u00e1sadn\u00ed: z\u00a0brzdy by se\u00a0stal akceler\u00e1tor.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b zde je dob\u0159e vid\u011bt, \u017ee nejde jen o\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed varovn\u00fd dokument do\u00a0bruselsk\u00e9ho archivu. Auto\u0159i\u00a0se\u00a0sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159eps<\/a>at samotn\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak\u00fdm EU obchodn\u00ed moc pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1. Nejen co si mysl\u00ed, ale jak rychle a\u00a0jak rozhodn\u011b dok\u00e1\u017ee jednat.<\/p>\n

\"Unie<\/a> Hr\u00e1t na\u00a0slabiny Pekingu <\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1va je pozoruhodn\u00e1 i\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee vedle obrany otev\u0159en\u011b mluv\u00ed o\u00a0vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch slabin. Jmenuje slabou dom\u00e1c\u00ed popt\u00e1vku, z\u00e1vislost na\u00a0evropsk\u00e9m trhu a\u00a0spol\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed na\u00a0evropsk\u00e9 technologie a\u00a0v\u00fdzkum. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tam m\u00e1 Brusel podle autor\u016f hledat p\u00e1ky.<\/p>\n

Doporu\u010den\u00ed sahaj\u00ed od\u00a0udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed a\u00a0vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed \u201etechnologick\u00fdch \u00fazk\u00fdch hrdel\u201c p\u0159es\u00a0c\u00edlenou pr\u016fmyslovou politiku a\u017e\u00a0po\u00a0exportn\u00ed kontroly a\u00a0screening odchoz\u00edch investic. Sou\u010dasn\u011b m\u00e1 EU diverzifikovat dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce i\u00a0exportn\u00ed trhy, aby sn\u00ed\u017eila vlastn\u00ed zranitelnost.<\/p>\n

Teprve v\u00a0kombinaci s\u00a0d\u016fv\u011bryhodnou hrozbou eskalace m\u016f\u017ee podle dokumentu fungovat takzvan\u00e1 diplomacy based on leverage, tedy diplomacie op\u0159en\u00e1 o\u00a0skute\u010dnou vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed s\u00edlu. Pointa je z\u0159ejm\u00e1: Brusel se\u00a0m\u00e1 p\u0159estat tv\u00e1\u0159it, \u017ee diplomacie je c\u00edl s\u00e1m o\u00a0sob\u011b. Nejd\u0159\u00edv\u00a0si vybudovat pozici, pak jednat.<\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledkem m\u00e1 b\u00fdt realisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vztah s\u00a0Pekingem. EU si m\u00e1 stanovit smyslupln\u00e9 po\u017eadavky, kter\u00e9 odpov\u00eddaj\u00ed jej\u00edm kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm, a\u00a0pokud nedojde k\u00a0dohod\u011b, b\u00fdt p\u0159ipravena na\u00a0jednostrann\u00e9 kroky. T\u00f3n zpr\u00e1vy tak odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed posun evropsk\u00e9ho uva\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed: z\u00a0v\u00edry v\u00a0samoregula\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edlu obchodu k\u00a0p\u0159edstav\u011b, \u017ee bez\u00a0tvrd\u00e9 moci u\u017e se\u00a0velk\u00e1 ekonomika neobejde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"P\u0159esn\u011b tak ostr\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed nov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va Evropsk\u00e9ho institutu bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch studi\u00ed, tedy think tanku napojen\u00e9ho na\u00a0unijn\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":21643,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[10401,10400,10408,10427,10407,2472,10425,3678,10484,10463,202,10435,10460,10481,605,10423,10394,10444,10445,10462,10440,10406,10415,10446,10474,10405,10418,10417,373,10392,10420,10396,109,108,106,10455,10414,10428,10459,249,10452,10412,10482,10449,571,10473,10465,10471,10469,10433,10395,6179,10477,10434,10404,10438,10458,10468,10424,10429,10439,10447,10422,10476,10410,10398,10461,10457,10421,10450,10399,10475,1821,10393,10464,10411,10453,10483,10470,10441,10443,2140,10472,10478,10451,10403,10479,10426,10442,10436,10456,10416,10419,10432,10431,10413,10448,10409,10480,10467,10454,10397,1000,836,10430,10402,10466,10437],"class_list":{"0":"post-21642","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-evropa","8":"tag-3-miliardy-eur","9":"tag-10400","10":"tag-aci","11":"tag-aktivace-aci","12":"tag-anti-coercion-instrument","13":"tag-antonio-costa","14":"tag-blokace-aci","15":"tag-brusel","16":"tag-budoucnost-obchodu-eu-cina","17":"tag-cena-necinnosti","18":"tag-cina","19":"tag-cinska-domaci-poptavka","20":"tag-cinsko-evropske-vztahy","21":"tag-cinsky-vliv-v-evrope","22":"tag-cipy","23":"tag-clenske-staty-eu","24":"tag-deindustrializace-evropy","25":"tag-diverzifikace-dodavatelskych-retezcu","26":"tag-diverzifikace-exportnich-trhu","27":"tag-docasna-obchodni-valka","28":"tag-dusevni-vlastnictvi","29":"tag-economic-coercion","30":"tag-ekonomicka-bezpecnost-eu","31":"tag-ekonomicka-strategie-ciny","32":"tag-ekonomicke-zbrane","33":"tag-ekonomicky-natlak","34":"tag-escalate-to-de-escalate","35":"tag-eskalovat-aby-bylo-mozne-deeskalovat","36":"tag-eu","37":"tag-eu-a-cina","38":"tag-eu-china-summit","39":"tag-eu-institute-for-security-studies","40":"tag-europa","41":"tag-europe","42":"tag-evropa","43":"tag-evropska-autonomie","44":"tag-evropska-bezpecnost","45":"tag-evropska-diplomacie-vuci-cine","46":"tag-evropska-ekonomika","47":"tag-evropska-komise","48":"tag-evropska-konkurenceschopnost","49":"tag-evropska-prumyslova-politika","50":"tag-evropska-prumyslova-zakladna","51":"tag-evropska-reakce-na-cinu","52":"tag-evropska-unie","53":"tag-evropska-zavislost-na-cine","54":"tag-evropske-dodavatelske-retezce","55":"tag-evropske-exportni-kontroly","56":"tag-evropske-obchodni-sankce","57":"tag-evropske-technologie","58":"tag-evropsky-institut-bezpecnostnich-studii","59":"tag-evropsky-prumysl","60":"tag-evropsky-trh-a-cina","61":"tag-evropsky-vyzkum","62":"tag-exportni-kontroly","63":"tag-exportni-omezeni","64":"tag-geopolitika-obchodu","65":"tag-hospodarska-politika-eu","66":"tag-kvalifikovana-vetsina","67":"tag-leverage-based-diplomacy","68":"tag-licence","69":"tag-nacionalisticka-ekonomicka-strategie","70":"tag-nastroje-obchodni-ochrany","71":"tag-obchodni-asymetrie","72":"tag-obchodni-bazuka","73":"tag-obchodni-deficit-eu","74":"tag-obchodni-konflikt-s-cinou","75":"tag-obchodni-nastroje-bruselu","76":"tag-obchodni-obrana-eu","77":"tag-obchodni-politika-eu","78":"tag-obchodni-prebytek-ciny","79":"tag-obchodni-tlak","80":"tag-obchodni-valka","81":"tag-obchodni-vztahy-eu-cina","82":"tag-obrana-evropskeho-prumyslu","83":"tag-obrana-evropskeho-trhu","84":"tag-ochrana-klicovych-zajmu-eu","85":"tag-ochrana-trhu-eu","86":"tag-ochranna-opatreni-eu","87":"tag-omezeni-pristupu-na-trh","88":"tag-outbound-investment-screening","89":"tag-peking","90":"tag-politika-vuci-pekingu","91":"tag-pristup-eu-k-cine","92":"tag-prumyslova-budoucnost-evropy","93":"tag-rare-earths","94":"tag-realisticka-diplomacie","95":"tag-reforma-aci","96":"tag-screening-investic","97":"tag-slabiny-cinske-ekonomiky","98":"tag-strategicka-autonomie-eu","99":"tag-strategie-eu-vuci-cine","100":"tag-summit-eu-cina","101":"tag-technological-chokepoints","102":"tag-technologicka-uzka-hrdla","103":"tag-technologicka-zavislost-evropy","104":"tag-tlak-ciny-na-evropu","105":"tag-trade-bazooka","106":"tag-tvrda-obchodni-politika","107":"tag-tvrdsi-kurz-vuci-cine","108":"tag-unijni-reakce-na-exportni-kontroly","109":"tag-unijni-think-tank","110":"tag-ursula-von-der-leyen","111":"tag-verejne-zakazky","112":"tag-vyjednavaci-sila-eu","113":"tag-vzacne-zeminy","114":"tag-vztahy-brusel-peking","115":"tag-zavislost-ciny-na-eu-trhu"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":"Validation 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