{"id":37004,"date":"2026-03-27T06:49:10","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T06:49:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/37004\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T06:49:10","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T06:49:10","slug":"cina-meni-taktiku-misto-planu-na-invazi-saha-po-vydirani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/37004\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010c\u00edna m\u011bn\u00ed taktiku. M\u00edsto pl\u00e1n\u016f na invazi sah\u00e1 po \u201evyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 invaze na Tchaj-wan do roku 2027\u00a0pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nehroz\u00ed, alespo\u0148 podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edho reportu<\/a> americk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb. <\/p>\n

P\u0159ehodnocen\u00ed rizik Ameri\u010dany v\u0161ak neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee by Peking od sv\u00e9ho c\u00edle ostrov z\u00edskat upustil. M\u00edsto otev\u0159en\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se jen st\u00e1le v\u00edce soust\u0159ed\u00ed na jin\u00e9 formy n\u00e1tlaku – od ekonomick\u00e9ho p\u0159es propagandu a\u017e po vojensk\u00e9 aktivity v\u00a0takzvan\u00e9 \u0161ed\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b. <\/p>\n

Ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed Tchaj-wanu pova\u017euje \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed za sou\u010d\u00e1st projektu \u201en\u00e1rodn\u00edho omlazen\u00ed\u201c, jeho\u017e chce dos\u00e1hnout do roku 2049, kdy \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 lidov\u00e1 republika oslav\u00ed sto let od zalo\u017een\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u017de by \u010c\u00edna mohla ji\u017e v\u00a0nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch letech podniknout vojensk\u00fd \u00fatok na samospr\u00e1vn\u00fd ostrov, bylo p\u0159edm\u011btem obav bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch analytik\u016f od roku 2021.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Admir\u00e1l Philip Davidson, tehdej\u0161\u00ed velitel americk\u00e9ho Indo-pacifick\u00e9ho velitelstv\u00ed, uvedl, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna chce b\u00fdt p\u0159ipravena na invazi na Tchaj-wan b\u011bhem n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch \u0161esti let. Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 se stal zn\u00e1m\u00fdm jako takzvan\u00e9 Davidsonovo okno a\u00a0v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161il tlak na modernizaci tchajwansk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

U\u017e ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 stranick\u00e9 \u010distky<\/a> v\u00a0nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch arm\u00e1dn\u00edch kruz\u00edch kolem prezidenta Si \u0164in-pchinga ale nazna\u010dovaly, \u017ee se \u010c\u00edna stavu, kdy by byla schopn\u00e1 \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b napadnout hornat\u00fd ostrov, vzdaluje. <\/p>\n

To ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00ed report americk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b potvrzuje – oboj\u017eiveln\u00e1 invaze na Tchaj-wan by byla pro \u010d\u00ednskou arm\u00e1du mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b slo\u017eit\u00e1 a\u00a0nesla velk\u00e9 riziko ne\u00fasp\u011bchu, zejm\u00e9na pokud by do konfliktu zas\u00e1hly Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. <\/p>\n

Ty jsou v\u0161ak pln\u011b zam\u011bstn\u00e1ny v\u00e1lkou proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a\u00a0Tchaj-wan na jejich pomoc nem\u016f\u017ee spol\u00e9hat, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b ne v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy situaci komplikuje prom\u011b\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed se americk\u00e1 politika. <\/p>\n

\u201eK\u0159em\u00edkov\u00fd \u0161t\u00edt\u201c<\/p>\n

Des\u00edtky let fungoval nepsan\u00fd princip, \u017ee USA stoj\u00ed za bezpe\u010dnost\u00ed strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9ho Tchaj-wanu. Prezident Donald Trump v\u0161ak tento model st\u00e1le v\u00edce posouv\u00e1 k\u00a0transak\u010dn\u00edmu vztahu, v\u00a0n\u011bm\u017e podpora nen\u00ed \u201ezadarmo\u201c.<\/p>\n

Foto: Tingshu Wang, Reuters<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci b\u011bhem v\u00fdro\u010dn\u00edho zased\u00e1n\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho parlamentu.<\/p>\n

U\u017e b\u011bhem volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b obvinil<\/a> Tchaj-wan, \u017ee \u201ekrade\u201c americk\u00fd \u010dipov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, a\u00a0prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee by ostrov m\u011bl Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm platit za obranu. \u201eV\u00edte, nejsme o\u00a0nic jin\u00ed ne\u017e poji\u0161\u0165ovna,\u201c \u0159ekl<\/a> podle agentury AP a\u00a0kr\u00e1tce po n\u00e1stupu do \u00fa\u0159adu dokonce pohrozil cly a\u017e ve v\u00fd\u0161i 100\u00a0procent na dovoz tchajwansk\u00fdch \u010dip\u016f.<\/p>\n

Tchaj-pej se proto sna\u017e\u00ed upevnit sv\u00e9 vztahy s\u00a0Washingtonem p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ekonomicky. Podle listu Wall Street Journal<\/a> hraje v\u00a0t\u00e9to strategii kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdrobce pokro\u010dil\u00fdch \u010dip\u016f na sv\u011bt\u011b – spole\u010dnost Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC).<\/p>\n

Firma ji\u017e od roku 2020\u00a0pl\u00e1nuje investovat ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech 65\u00a0miliard dolar\u016f a\u00a0v souvislosti s\u00a0boomem um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence se rozhodla roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it svou p\u0159\u00edtomnost v\u00a0USA a\u017e na \u0161est tov\u00e1ren na v\u00fdrobu \u010dip\u016f. <\/p>\n

Tchaj-wan se pod tlakem americk\u00e9 administrativy sna\u017e\u00ed Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm nab\u00eddnout ekonomickou spolupr\u00e1ci v\u00a0dosud nev\u00eddan\u00e9m rozsahu – mimo v\u00fdstavby \u010dipov\u00fdch tov\u00e1ren v\u00a0USA tak\u00e9 investice ve v\u00fd\u0161i a\u017e 500\u00a0miliard dolar\u016f \u010di rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Taiwan Relations Act<\/p>\n

A\u010dkoli je Tchaj-wan ofici\u00e1ln\u011b uzn\u00e1n jen hrstkou n\u00e1rod\u016f, jeho demokraticky zvolen\u00e1 vl\u00e1da udr\u017euje siln\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed a\u00a0neform\u00e1ln\u00ed vztahy s\u00a0mnoha sv\u011btov\u00fdmi mocnostmi. Diplomatick\u00e9 styky mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a\u00a0Tchaj-wanem neprob\u00edhaj\u00ed po ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed linii. Americk\u00fd z\u00e1kon<\/a>, Taiwan Relations Act, v\u0161ak zaji\u0161\u0165uje ostrovu ochranu a\u00a0poskytuje prost\u0159edky k\u00a0jeho obran\u011b.<\/p>\n

Touto strategi\u00ed v\u0161ak ohro\u017euje jednu ze sv\u00fdch hlavn\u00edch geopolitick\u00fdch v\u00fdhod – takzvan\u00fd k\u0159em\u00edkov\u00fd \u0161t\u00edt, tedy p\u0159edpoklad, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1vislost na tchajwansk\u00fdch polovodi\u010d\u00edch \u010din\u00ed ostrov p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 cenn\u00fdm na to, aby sv\u011bt dopustil jeho zni\u010den\u00ed nebo obsazen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Pokud by se v\u00fdroba nejpokro\u010dilej\u0161\u00edch \u010dip\u016f ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e p\u0159esunula do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, mohla by tato strategick\u00e1 v\u00fdhoda Tchaj-wanu postupn\u011b sl\u00e1bnout. <\/p>\n

\u201eHrozba je re\u00e1ln\u00e1\u201c<\/p>\n

Na klidu ostrovan\u016fm nep\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 ani pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Donaldem Trumpem a\u00a0Si \u0164in-pchingem. Peking u\u017e d\u0159\u00edve vyzval Washington, aby omezil prodej<\/a> zbran\u00ed Tchaj-wanu a\u00a0zm\u00edrnil svou r\u00e9toriku ohledn\u011b nez\u00e1vislosti ostrova.<\/p>\n

D\u016fsledky p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9ho konfliktu o\u00a0Tchaj-wan by v\u0161ak poc\u00edtily i\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, bez ohledu na to, jak se na n\u011bm budou pod\u00edlet. <\/p>\n

\u201eI bez zapojen\u00ed Washingtonu by americk\u00e9 a\u00a0glob\u00e1ln\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 a\u00a0bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy \u010delily z\u00e1va\u017en\u00fdm a\u00a0n\u00e1kladn\u00fdm d\u016fsledk\u016fm, v\u010detn\u011b naru\u0161en\u00ed technologick\u00fdch dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f a\u00a0obav investor\u016f nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d trhy,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed zpr\u00e1va americk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb.<\/p>\n

Peking podle n\u00ed nad\u00e1le pova\u017euje n\u00e1klady na invazi v\u00a0bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti za p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00e9, proto\u017ee by mohly naru\u0161it ekonomick\u00fd rozvoj zem\u011b, kter\u00fd z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 pro \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed prioritou.<\/p>\n

Rok 2027\u00a0tak dle nov\u00e9ho reportu z\u0159ejm\u011b pro Tchajwanskou \u00fa\u017einu kritick\u00fd nebude, to v\u0161ak neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee by ostrov mohl polevit v\u00a0zocelov\u00e1n\u00ed vlastn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f. U\u017e prodlou\u017eil povinnou vojenskou slu\u017ebu, zv\u00fd\u0161il v\u00fddaje na obranu a\u00a0pustil se do modernizace arm\u00e1dy. <\/p>\n

Foto: Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy<\/p>\n

P\u0159ehled z\u00f3n kon\u00e1n\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch man\u00e9vr\u016f mezi lety 2022-2024\u00a0zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00fdch Pekingem. Loni se p\u0159idala dal\u0161\u00ed dv\u011b obdobn\u00e1 velk\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u201eHrozba je re\u00e1ln\u00e1. Je skute\u010dn\u00e1. A\u00a0Tchaj-wan ud\u011bl\u00e1 v\u0161e, co je v\u00a0jeho sil\u00e1ch, aby disponoval co nej\u00fa\u010dinn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edm prost\u0159edkem,\u201c uvedl velvyslanec Tchaj-wanu v\u00a0USA Alexander Yui.<\/p>\n

Peking mezit\u00edm st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji sah\u00e1 po \u201etaktice \u0161ed\u00e9 z\u00f3ny\u201c, tedy kroc\u00edch, kter\u00e9 nep\u0159ekra\u010duj\u00ed pr\u00e1h otev\u0159en\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, ale postupn\u011b zvy\u0161uj\u00ed tlak na protivn\u00edka.<\/p>\n

\u0160ed\u00e1 z\u00f3na<\/p>\n

Tchaj-wan na sv\u00e9 stran\u011b \u00fa\u017einy tak\u0159ka denn\u011b hl\u00e1s\u00ed \u010d\u00ednskou vojenskou aktivitu, kv\u016fli n\u00ed\u017e z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed jeho ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly v\u00a0permanentn\u00ed pohotovosti. <\/p>\n

Neobvykl\u00e9 aktivity se posledn\u00ed t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce d\u011bj\u00ed tak\u00e9 ve V\u00fdchodo\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i, kde se dle satelitn\u00edch sn\u00edmk\u016f shrom\u00e1\u017edily tis\u00edce \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch ryb\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch lod\u00ed do pravideln\u00fdch geometrick\u00fdch formac\u00ed. Odborn\u00edci soud\u00ed, \u017ee nejde o\u00a0b\u011b\u017en\u00fd rybolov, ale pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b o\u00a0koordinovanou st\u00e1tn\u00ed operaci.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Na vysv\u011btlenou: v\u00a0oblasti se pohybovalo p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b dva tis\u00edce lod\u00ed vzd\u00e1len\u00fdch od sebe zhruba 500\u00a0metr\u016f, kter\u00e9 vytv\u00e1\u0159ely neobvykl\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 linie. Peking tak m\u016f\u017ee testovat schopnost rychle soust\u0159edit velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed civiln\u00edch plavidel pro p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 budouc\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace.<\/p>\n

Vedle vojensk\u00e9ho tlaku se \u010c\u00edna sna\u017e\u00ed Tchaj-wan oslabovat tak\u00e9 politicky a\u00a0ekonomicky. Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden nap\u0159\u00edklad nab\u00eddla ostrovu perspektivu stabiln\u00edch dod\u00e1vek energie v\u00fdm\u011bnou za p\u0159ijet\u00ed sjednocen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Mluv\u010d\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho \u00da\u0159adu pro z\u00e1le\u017eitosti Tchaj-wanu Chen Binhua uvedl, \u017ee hlub\u0161\u00ed integrace s\u00a0pevninskou \u010c\u00ednou by mohla pomoci vy\u0159e\u0161it energetick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my ostrova, zejm\u00e9na jeho z\u00e1vislost na dovozu zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu a\u00a0ropy ze St\u0159edn\u00edho v\u00fdchodu. Podle n\u011bj by \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9 sjednocen\u00ed\u201c zajistilo Tchaj-wanu lep\u0161\u00ed energetickou bezpe\u010dnost d\u00edky podpo\u0159e \u201esiln\u00e9 vlasti\u201c.<\/p>\n

Tchajwansk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da nab\u00eddku odm\u00edtla<\/a>. \u201eTo je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nemo\u017en\u00e9. Je to sou\u010d\u00e1st kognitivn\u00ed v\u00e1lky,\u201c uvedl n\u00e1m\u011bstek ministra hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed Ho Chin-tsang. Podle n\u011bj jde o\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed formu psychologick\u00e9ho tlaku Pekingu, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je p\u0159im\u011bt Tchaj-wan k\u00a0p\u0159ipojen\u00ed k\u00a0pevninsk\u00e9 \u010c\u00edn\u011b.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 komunistick\u00e1 strana na Tchaj-wanu nikdy nevl\u00e1dlaV\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b a\u00a0na Tchaj-wanu funguj\u00ed od konce ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v\u00a0roce 1949\u00a0dv\u011b samostatn\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy. \u010c\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed komunist\u00e9 nikdy nem\u011bli ostrov pod kontrolou, Tchaj-wan b\u011bhem cel\u00e9 ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky i po n\u00ed kontrolovali nacionalist\u00e9 veden\u00ed \u010cankaj\u0161kem. V 90. letech se ostrov demokratizoval.Peking ostrov pova\u017euje za svou vzbou\u0159eneckou provincii a\u00a0dlouhodob\u011b se sna\u017e\u00ed omezit jeho mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed aktivity. S Tchaj-wanem soupe\u0159\u00ed o\u00a0vliv v\u00a0tichomo\u0159sk\u00e9 oblasti.Nap\u011bt\u00ed v\u00a0posledn\u00edch letech opakovan\u011b eskaluje a\u00a0Peking nevylou\u010dil mo\u017enost pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly k z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed ostrova. A\u010dkoli je Tchaj-wan ofici\u00e1ln\u011b uzn\u00e1n jen hrstkou n\u00e1rod\u016f, jeho demokraticky zvolen\u00e1 vl\u00e1da udr\u017euje siln\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed a\u00a0neform\u00e1ln\u00ed vztahy s\u00a0mnoha sv\u011btov\u00fdmi mocnostmi. Diplomatick\u00e9 styky mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a\u00a0Tchaj-wanem neprob\u00edhaj\u00ed po ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed linii. Americk\u00fd z\u00e1kon<\/a> Taiwan Relations Act v\u0161ak zaji\u0161\u0165uje ostrovu ochranu a\u00a0poskytuje prost\u0159edky k\u00a0jeho obran\u011b.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 invaze na Tchaj-wan do roku 2027\u00a0pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nehroz\u00ed, alespo\u0148 podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edho reportu americk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb. P\u0159ehodnocen\u00ed rizik…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":37005,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[4495,202,605,212,150,808,15217,2140,998,54,5019,53,52],"class_list":{"0":"post-37004","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-svet","8":"tag-blizky-vychod","9":"tag-cina","10":"tag-cipy","11":"tag-donald-trump","12":"tag-energetika","13":"tag-iran","14":"tag-kremik","15":"tag-peking","16":"tag-si-tin-pching","17":"tag-svet","18":"tag-tchaj-wan","19":"tag-world","20":"tag-world-news"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116299809783404145","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37004","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37004"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37004\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37005"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37004"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37004"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37004"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}