{"id":39144,"date":"2026-03-29T12:29:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-29T12:29:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/39144\/"},"modified":"2026-03-29T12:29:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-29T12:29:08","slug":"ajatollahove-rozstrileli-byznysplany-cestovek-i-predstavy-cechu-o-levne-exotice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/39144\/","title":{"rendered":"Ajatoll\u00e1hov\u00e9 rozst\u0159\u00edleli byznyspl\u00e1ny cestovek i p\u0159edstavy \u010cech\u016f o levn\u00e9 exotice"},"content":{"rendered":"

Americko-izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky neprom\u011bnily v prach jen \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu, ale tak\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny cestovn\u00edch kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00ed a individu\u00e1ln\u00edch dobrodruh\u016f z \u010ceska. Tradi\u010dn\u00ed r\u00e9torika cestovek<\/a> sklo\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed rekordn\u00ed prodeje a je\u0161t\u011b optimisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed trhu \u0161la k ledu. Odborn\u00edci z bran\u017ee naopak p\u0159izn\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00fd dopad na popt\u00e1vku, a to nejen v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch destinac\u00ed typu Dubaj \u010di Ab\u00fa Dhab\u00ed, ale i u t\u011bch, kter\u00e9 le\u017e\u00ed v dalek\u00e9 Asii nebo v Africe.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Jen v prvn\u00edch dvou t\u00fddnech v\u00e1lky zru\u0161ily aerolinky t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 23 tis\u00edc let\u016f. V\u00fdpadek kapacit v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu tak okam\u017eit\u011b vedl k masivn\u00edmu p\u0159ev\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed popt\u00e1vky nad nab\u00eddkou. Ceny letenek z Asie do Evropy nez\u0159\u00eddkakdy dosahovaly vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch des\u00edtek tis\u00edc korun.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ceny ropy jako gamechanger<\/p>\n

Z extr\u00e9mn\u00edch v\u00fd\u0161in sice postupn\u011b klesaj\u00ed, jejich n\u00e1vratu na p\u016fvodn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b v\u0161ak br\u00e1n\u00ed nejen kapacity dopravc\u016f, ale i mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed cena ropy<\/a>. P\u0159ed konfliktem se barel ropy Brent obchodoval za zhruba sedmdes\u00e1t dolar\u016f, nyn\u00ed za v\u00edce ne\u017e sto dolar\u016f. To se prom\u00edt\u00e1 do cen leteck\u00e9ho paliva. V polovin\u011b b\u0159ezna se galon prod\u00e1val za 4,6 dolaru, tedy nejdr\u00e1\u017ee od rusk\u00e9ho vp\u00e1du na Ukrajinu, uv\u00e1d\u00ed organizace Eurocontrol.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201ePalivo tvo\u0159\u00ed 20 a\u017e 30 procent provozn\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f na let a dopravci bez efektivn\u00edho hedgingu mus\u00ed zdra\u017eovat v \u0159\u00e1du dn\u016f. Vid\u00edme to nap\u0159\u00edklad u jihoamerick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti LATAM, kter\u00e1 okam\u017eit\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ila palivov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edplatek o 50 a\u017e 100 dolar\u016f na letenku. V Evrop\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee se toto zdra\u017een\u00ed pln\u011b prom\u00edtne do cen letn\u00edch dovolen\u00fdch a d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch tras v rozmez\u00ed 15 a\u017e 25 procent,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 \u0159editel port\u00e1lu Zale\u0165si Ji\u0159\u00ed Spolek. Skupina Air France-KLM u\u017e nap\u0159\u00edklad zdra\u017eila d\u00e1lkov\u00e9 lety o pades\u00e1t eur, Cathay Pacific zase od dubna o t\u0159etinu zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed palivov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edplatek, kter\u00fd bude p\u0159ehodnocovat ka\u017ed\u00e9 dva t\u00fddny.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Aerolinky p\u0159itom pracuj\u00ed s relativn\u011b tenk\u00fdmi mar\u017eemi, kter\u00e9 vypl\u00fdvaj\u00ed z tvrd\u00e9 konkurence v odv\u011btv\u00ed. Sdru\u017een\u00ed dopravc\u016f IATA loni odhadovalo, \u017ee by se m\u011bly \u010dist\u00e9 mar\u017ee letos pohybovat kolem necel\u00fdch \u010dty\u0159 procent, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje \u010dist\u00fd zisk asi sedmi dolar\u016f na cestuj\u00edc\u00edho. \u201eTahle situace nem\u00e1 v\u00edt\u011bz\u016f,\u201c komentoval d\u016fsledky \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u0161\u00e9f IATA Willie Walsh.<\/p>\n

Mnoho lid\u00ed se p\u0159irozen\u011b boj\u00ed cestovat. A\u0165 u\u017e z obav o vlastn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost, nebo ze zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00fdch let\u016f a n\u00e1sledn\u011b ohro\u017een\u00fdch p\u0159estup\u016f na autobusy \u010di vlaky. \u201eDopad na popt\u00e1vku po cest\u00e1ch na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod je fat\u00e1ln\u00ed \u2013 spoustu cest v\u016fbec nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 uskute\u010dnit. Podobn\u00e9 je to v Asii, letenky jsou tak drah\u00e9, \u017ee to velkou \u010d\u00e1st populace \u00fapln\u011b vylu\u010duje z dovolen\u00e9,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 m\u00edstop\u0159edseda Asociace cestovn\u00edch kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00ed Jan Pape\u017e. Upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee \u010dasto miz\u00ed z\u00e1ruky aerolinek na n\u011bkter\u00e9 slu\u017eby: nap\u0159\u00edklad to plat\u00ed pro v\u00fdb\u011br konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch seda\u010dek nebo pokrm\u016f.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201eV\u00e1lka za\u010dala je\u0161t\u011b ve vysok\u00e9 turistick\u00e9 sezon\u011b. Z\u00e1jem o Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty, Katar \u010di Bahrajn je pro cestovn\u00ed kancel\u00e1\u0159e obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 nahradit, a to i za sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho p\u0159esunu popt\u00e1vky do evropsk\u00fdch destinac\u00ed a d\u00e1le na Kapverdy, do Egypta a Turecka,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 v\u00fdkonn\u00e1 \u0159editelka Asociace \u010desk\u00fdch cestovn\u00edch kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00ed a agentur Kate\u0159ina Chaloupkov\u00e1.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Dod\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fd palivov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edplatek roste u jednosm\u011brn\u00fdch d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch letenek na asi \u0161est set korun za osobu. U krat\u0161\u00edch let\u016f po Evrop\u011b to jsou asi dv\u011b stovky. \u201eCeny ji\u017e zakoupen\u00fdch dovolen\u00fdch se v tuto chv\u00edli zdra\u017eovat nebudou. Pokud bude konflikt pokra\u010dovat i nad\u00e1le, nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen leteck\u00fdch p\u0159epravc\u016f se m\u016f\u017ee v budoucnu do cen prom\u00edtnout,\u201c konstatuje mluv\u010d\u00ed CK Blue Style Simona Fischerov\u00e1.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Nov\u00e1 p\u00e1te\u0159 spojen\u00ed s Asi\u00ed<\/p>\n

Jedna z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch cestovek na \u010desk\u00e9m trhu kalkuluje se sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em, kdy bude ve st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9m horizontu s\u00edlit popt\u00e1vka po destinac\u00edch s p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdmi lety, tedy bez \u201eriskantn\u00edch\u201c p\u0159estup\u016f. Situace tak\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee donutit cestovn\u00ed kancel\u00e1\u0159e k v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed diverzifikaci nab\u00eddky, aby si na nabl\u00fdskan\u00e9 Dubaji a podobn\u00fdch lokalit\u00e1ch nevyp\u011bstovaly nezdravou z\u00e1vislost.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Aerolinky z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu obnovuj\u00ed nab\u00eddku let\u016f nerovnom\u011brn\u011b. Zat\u00edmco Emirates se ji\u017e dok\u00e1zaly vr\u00e1tit na t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 sedmdes\u00e1t procent p\u016fvodn\u00ed kapacity, Qatar Airways jsou st\u00e1le pouze na p\u011btin\u011b. Individu\u00e1ln\u00ed cestovatel\u00e9 se tak u\u010d\u00ed aktivn\u011b vyhled\u00e1vat alternativn\u00ed trasy, na co\u017e pru\u017en\u011b reaguj\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed dopravci.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201eVid\u00edme masivn\u00ed p\u0159esun k evropsk\u00fdm dopravc\u016fm, jejich\u017e trasy p\u0159es jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed novou p\u00e1te\u0159\u00ed spojen\u00ed s D\u00e1ln\u00fdm v\u00fdchodem i Austr\u00e1li\u00ed. Strategickou reakci vid\u00edme u kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f: British Airways p\u0159idaj\u00ed od ledna 2027 Melbourne p\u0159es Kuala Lumpur. Dal\u0161\u00ed novinkou je pak vstup Finnairu, kter\u00fd od \u0159\u00edjna spust\u00ed linku z Helsinek do Melbourne s mezip\u0159ist\u00e1n\u00edm v Bangkoku. Tyto trasy s p\u0159estupem v bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii nab\u00edzej\u00ed cestuj\u00edc\u00edm stabilitu, kterou moment\u00e1ln\u011b v z\u00e1livu postr\u00e1daj\u00ed, a trh se na tyto nov\u00e9 koridory adaptuje neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u011b rychle,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Spolek. P\u0159\u00edkladem jsou i Austrian Airlines, kter\u00e9 nab\u00edzej\u00ed linku z V\u00eddn\u011b do Bangkoku a\u017e t\u0159ikr\u00e1t denn\u011b.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Aerolinky t\u00edm \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b riskuj\u00ed. Pokud by do\u0161lo k naru\u0161en\u00ed dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f paliva, jejich letadla by v Asii uv\u00edzla a dopravci by drasticky prod\u011bl\u00e1vali. D\u016fsledkem zm\u011bn je i p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch koridor\u016f nad Gruzi\u00ed \u010di St\u0159edn\u00ed Asi\u00ed, do kter\u00fdch se zkoncentrovaly lety z nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdch oblast\u00ed, hlavn\u011b z \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Toto \u00fazk\u00e9 hrdlo prodlu\u017euje dobu let\u016f, n\u00e1klady na palivo i opot\u0159eben\u00ed techniky.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Cestovatele se d\u00edvaj\u00ed v\u00edce na z\u00e1pad<\/p>\n

\u0158ada cestovatel\u016f tak obr\u00e1tila svou pozornost z v\u00fdchodu na z\u00e1pad. \u201eZ toho t\u011b\u017e\u00ed Dominik\u00e1nsk\u00e1 republika, Mexiko nebo m\u016fj osobn\u00ed tip Salvador. Nab\u00edzej\u00ed vynikaj\u00edc\u00ed pom\u011br ceny a v\u00fdkonu pr\u00e1v\u011b v dob\u011b, kdy je v\u00fdchodn\u00ed cesta logisticky komplikovan\u00e1,\u201c dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Spolek.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Rychlej\u0161\u00ed dopad by konflikt mohl m\u00edt i na Singapur, kam se ji\u017e p\u0159esouv\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st kapit\u00e1lu, domn\u00edv\u00e1 se provozn\u00ed \u0159editel CK Elite Voyage \u0160t\u011bp\u00e1n Borovec: \u201eAsijsk\u00fd tygr l\u00e1k\u00e1 na bezpe\u010d\u00ed, vysokou \u00farove\u0148 slu\u017eeb, skv\u011bl\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 spojen\u00ed se Singapore Airlines i bl\u00edzkost navazuj\u00edc\u00edch destinac\u00ed. A to nejen letecky, ale i po zemi \u2013 zm\u00ednit mus\u00edme nap\u0159\u00edklad Desaru Coast s resortem Mandarin Oriental nebo resort Bawah. Oblast Singapuru by z konfliktu m\u011bla turisticky i ekonomicky t\u011b\u017eit.\u201c\u00a0<\/p>\n

Celkem by tak mohly destinace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b p\u0159ij\u00edt jen letos o 23 a\u017e 38 milion\u016f n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvn\u00edk\u016f oproti p\u016fvodn\u00edm o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm. To je v\u00fdpadek turistick\u00fdch \u00fatrat v objemu 34 a\u017e 56 miliard dolar\u016f, odhadla konzulta\u010dn\u00ed spole\u010dnost Tourism Economics. Dosud kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd dopad boj\u016f p\u0159itom m\u016f\u017ee snadno p\u0159er\u016fst v dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jev, kter\u00fd by tlumil z\u00e1jem o d\u0159\u00edve \u201edokonalou\u201c Dubaj a dal\u0161\u00ed destinace regionu. St\u00e1ty z\u00e1livu p\u0159itom do l\u00e1k\u00e1n\u00ed turist\u016f masivn\u011b investovaly, z cestovn\u00edho ruchu dlouhodob\u011b buduj\u00ed jeden z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch zdroj\u016f p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f, aby jejich ekonomiky nez\u00e1visely v\u00fdhradn\u011b na rop\u011b.\u00a0<\/p>\n

To je i d\u016fvod k velmi opatrn\u00e9mu optimismu n\u011bkter\u00fdch odborn\u00edk\u016f z bran\u017ee. Pokud by se konflikt v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b uklidnil, lze p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee se dopravci z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu pust\u00ed do cenov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Budou disponovat v\u00fdznamn\u00fdmi kapacitami sv\u00fdch nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch letadel, je\u017e budou muset naplnit. Tahle snaha by mohla kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b stla\u010dit ceny zp\u011bt k historick\u00fdm minim\u016fm, a to i na letech z \u010desk\u00e9 metropole. \u201eA\u010dkoliv provoz na link\u00e1ch z Prahy na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod zat\u00edm nen\u00ed pln\u011b ve standardn\u00edm re\u017eimu, situace se postupn\u011b stabilizuje,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed mluv\u010d\u00ed Leti\u0161t\u011b Praha Ji\u0159\u00ed Hannich.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Americko-izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky neprom\u011bnily v prach jen \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu, ale tak\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny cestovn\u00edch kancel\u00e1\u0159\u00ed a individu\u00e1ln\u00edch…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":39145,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[6626,7468,2734,514,5314,17,21,808,6527,2622,16,469,205,7138,18,19,22,113,645,20],"class_list":{"0":"post-39144","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-zpravy","8":"tag-abu-dhabi","9":"tag-cestovni-kancelare","10":"tag-dauha","11":"tag-doprava","12":"tag-dubaj","13":"tag-headlines","14":"tag-hlavni-udalosti","15":"tag-iran","16":"tag-katar","17":"tag-nafta","18":"tag-news","19":"tag-pohonne-hmoty","20":"tag-ropa","21":"tag-spojene-arabske-emiraty","22":"tag-top-news","23":"tag-top-stories","24":"tag-udalosti-dne","25":"tag-usa","26":"tag-valka","27":"tag-zpravy"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116312471174969675","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39144","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39144"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39144\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39145"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39144"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39144"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39144"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}