{"id":39742,"date":"2026-03-30T05:18:10","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T05:18:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/39742\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T05:18:10","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T05:18:10","slug":"fronta-zezelenala-ukrajinci-usilovne-buduji-opevneni-rusove-maji-dva-cile","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/39742\/","title":{"rendered":"Fronta zezelenala. Ukrajinci usilovn\u011b buduj\u00ed opevn\u011bn\u00ed, Rusov\u00e9 maj\u00ed dva c\u00edle"},"content":{"rendered":"

Stromy na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed nasazovat list\u00ed. Listnat\u00e9 koruny poskytuj\u00ed postupuj\u00edc\u00edm voj\u00e1k\u016fm kryt\u00ed p\u0159ed drony, vysu\u0161en\u00e1 p\u016fda umo\u017e\u0148uje pohyb techniky i\u00a0p\u011bchoty. Pokud se potvrd\u00ed vzorec p\u0159edchoz\u00edch let, v\u00a0dubnu a\u017e kv\u011btnu by m\u011bla p\u0159ij\u00edt eskalace boj\u016f a\u00a0za\u010d\u00edt obvykl\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 jarn\u00ed ofenz\u00edva (obvykle ov\u0161em zasahuj\u00edc\u00ed a\u017e do podzimu).<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edpravy jsou viditeln\u00e9 u\u017e te\u010f. Rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly podle analytick\u00e9ho projektu DeepState<\/a> posiluj\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 \u00faseky fronty, p\u0159eskupuj\u00ed z\u00e1lohy a\u00a0dopl\u0148uj\u00ed z\u00e1soby. Nap\u0159\u00edklad jen 17.\u00a0b\u0159ezna zaznamenal ukrajinsk\u00fd gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b<\/a> do \u010dty\u0159 hodin odpoledne 217\u00a0rusk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f\u00a0\u2013 nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00edslo<\/a> v\u00a0tomto obdob\u00ed za celou v\u00e1lku. B\u0159eznov\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br p\u0159itom \u010dinil kolem 142\u00a0\u00fatok\u016f denn\u011b. Jen\u017ee jedno rekordn\u00ed \u010d\u00edslo zat\u00edm nezakl\u00e1d\u00e1 trend, v\u00a0datech<\/a> za n\u011bkolik posledn\u00edch t\u00fddn\u016f jednozna\u010dn\u00fd vzestup je\u0161t\u011b vid\u011bt nen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Dodejme, \u017ee podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch nem\u00e1 smysl mluvit o \u201eza\u010d\u00e1tku\u201c ofenzivy. Ukrajinsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd kan\u00e1l Oficer<\/a> upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 akce nep\u0159estaly ani v\u00a0zim\u011b, ani na podzim. Intenzita kol\u00eds\u00e1, ale setrval\u00fd tlak definuje tuto v\u00e1lku p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm od konce roku 2023.\u00a0Takzvan\u00e1 jarn\u00ed ofenz\u00edva pak nen\u00ed nov\u00e1 f\u00e1ze, ale vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed vlna v\u00a0nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edboji.<\/p>\n

Eskalace se d\u00e1 \u010dekat i\u00a0proto, \u017ee sou\u010dasnost je na front\u011b\u00a0\u2013 relativn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno\u00a0\u2013 pom\u011brn\u011b \u201eklidn\u00e1\u201c. B\u0159ezen 2026\u00a0byl paradoxn\u011b z\u00a0hlediska rusk\u00e9ho postupu jedn\u00edm z\u00a0nejslab\u0161\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f od jara 2024.\u00a0Analytik Cl\u00e9ment Molin uv\u00e1d\u00ed<\/a>, \u017ee Rusko v\u00a0sou\u010dasnosti dr\u017e\u00ed 19,5\u00a0% ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed oproti 18,12\u00a0% v\u00a0lednu 2023\u00a0\u2013 p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e 89\u00a0% nov\u011b okupovan\u00e9 p\u016fdy zabralo je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed t\u00edmto datem. Zrychlen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 \u0159ada koment\u00e1tor\u016f p\u0159edpov\u00eddala, se zat\u00edm nedostavilo.<\/p>\n

Co se tedy zm\u011bn\u00ed, a\u017e se stromy pln\u011b zazelenaj\u00ed?<\/p>\n

P\u011bt arm\u00e1d, dva c\u00edle<\/p>\n

Odpov\u011b\u010f z\u00e1vis\u00ed mimo jin\u00e9 na tom, kam rusk\u00e9 velen\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed. Na front\u011b dnes operuje p\u011bt rusk\u00fdch arm\u00e1dn\u00edch skupin a\u00a0jedna severn\u00ed kryc\u00ed formace, jej\u00edm\u017e \u00fa\u010delem je v\u00e1zat ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly u\u00a0hranic. Hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem leto\u0161n\u00ed kampan\u011b by se podle analytik\u016f<\/a> m\u011bla st\u00e1t oblast Kramatorsku a\u00a0Slovjansku\u00a0\u2013 posledn\u00edch dvou velk\u00fdch m\u011bst v\u00a0Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti bezpe\u010dn\u011b pod ukrajinskou kontrolou. T\u0159i ze zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch p\u011bti arm\u00e1dn\u00edch skupin maj\u00ed podle dostupn\u00fdch informac\u00ed konvergovat pr\u00e1v\u011b k\u00a0tomuto c\u00edli.<\/p>\n

Cesta k\u00a0n\u011bmu ov\u0161em vede p\u0159es \u0159adu \u201emezistup\u0148\u016f\u201c. Arm\u00e1dn\u00ed skupina Jih, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 tvo\u0159it hlavn\u00ed \u00fadernou s\u00edlu, mus\u00ed nejprve dob\u00fdt Kos\u0165antynivku a\u00a0dokon\u010dit ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed \u010casiv Jaru\u00a0\u2013 ob\u011b m\u011bsta kryj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupy ke Kramatorsku. Skupina Centrum tla\u010d\u00ed od ned\u00e1vno obsazen\u00e9ho Pokrovsku severov\u00fdchodn\u00edm sm\u011brem. A\u00a0skupina Z\u00e1pad stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed nejt\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00edm \u00fakolem: mus\u00ed p\u0159ekro\u010dit \u0159eku Seversk\u00fd Donec, ne\u017e bude moci ohrozit Slovjansk ze severu.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 p\u0159itom je, jak rusk\u00e9 velen\u00ed zach\u00e1z\u00ed s\u00a0prioritami. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee se smi\u0159uje s\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00fdm tlakem na severu u\u00a0Kupjansku, aby mohlo soust\u0159edit v\u00edce sil na Siversk. Ob\u011btuje tedy stabilitu na jednom \u00faseku ve prosp\u011bch opera\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdhody na sm\u011bru relevantn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm pro osu Slovjansk\u2013Kramatorsk. Takov\u00e9 rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed nazna\u010duje, \u017ee opera\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1n<\/a> existuje a\u00a0m\u00e1 svou logiku.<\/p>\n

Pozornost si zaslou\u017e\u00ed tak\u00e9 sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed c\u00edl. Dv\u011b arm\u00e1dn\u00ed skupiny pokra\u010duj\u00ed v\u00a0tlaku v\u00a0z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9m sm\u011bru. Pokud by Rusov\u00e9 dok\u00e1zali zopakovat tempo postupu z\u00a0konce roku 2025, mohlo by se do ohro\u017een\u00ed dostat samotn\u00e9 m\u011bsto Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed se 700\u00a0tis\u00edci obyvateli. To by dramaticky zm\u011bnilo politiku konfliktu\u00a0\u2013 v\u010detn\u011b vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00edch pozic obou stran. Ukrajinsk\u00fd proti\u00fatok na jihu v\u00a0\u00fanoru a\u00a0b\u0159eznu m\u011bl podle anal\u00fdzy Kyiv Independent<\/a> mimo jin\u00e9 pr\u00e1v\u011b za c\u00edl naru\u0161it rusk\u00e9 ofenzivn\u00ed pl\u00e1ny v\u00a0tomto prostoru a\u00a0stabilizovat linii p\u0159ed jarem.<\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b velk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, jin\u00e9 n\u00e1stroje<\/p>\n

C\u00edle jsou tedy ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed. Ot\u00e1zka je, jak\u00e9 n\u00e1stroje m\u00e1 Rusko k\u00a0jejich napln\u011bn\u00ed. V\u00a0kv\u011btnu 2025\u00a0m\u011bla rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da na Ukrajin\u011b kolem 695\u00a0tis\u00edc voj\u00e1k\u016f. Odhady pro leto\u0161n\u00ed kv\u011bten se v\u00fdrazn\u011b neli\u0161\u00ed<\/a>. V\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech arm\u00e1da p\u0159ed ka\u017edou ofenzivou narostla\u00a0\u2013 ze 175\u00a0tis\u00edc v\u00a0kv\u011btnu 2022\u00a0na 400\u00a0tis\u00edc o\u00a0rok pozd\u011bji, pak na 515\u00a0tis\u00edc a\u00a0kone\u010dn\u011b na zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch 695\u00a0tis\u00edc.<\/p>\n

Letos k\u00a0v\u00fdrazn\u00e9mu n\u00e1r\u016fstu z\u0159ejm\u011b nedo\u0161lo: n\u00e1bor sta\u010d\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b vyrovn\u00e1vat ztr\u00e1ty, ale ne v\u00fdrazn\u011b v\u00edce. Moskvu ov\u0161em v\u00a0posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech pos\u00edlily p\u0159\u00edjmy z\u00a0vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch cen ropy a (patrn\u011b do\u010dasn\u00e9) zru\u0161en\u00ed americk\u00e9ho embarga na jej\u00ed ropu v\u00a0d\u016fsledku konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, co\u017e d\u00e1v\u00e1 Kremlu nov\u00fd finan\u010dn\u00ed pol\u0161t\u00e1\u0159.<\/p>\n

Na druhou stranu ani pen\u00edze nezajist\u00ed voj\u00e1ky, pokud na trhu pr\u00e1ce s\u00a0prakticky nulovou nezam\u011bstnanost\u00ed prost\u011b nejsou. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 m\u00edra ztr\u00e1t je p\u0159itom mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b vysok\u00e1 a\u00a0\u010d\u00e1st analytik\u016f se domn\u00edv\u00e1<\/a>, \u017ee vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed mal\u00fdch p\u011bchotn\u00edch skupin v\u00a0nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00fdch vln\u00e1ch je z\u00a0hlediska lidsk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f dlouhodob\u011b neudr\u017eiteln\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Ilustraci nab\u00edz\u00ed 17.\u00a0a\u00a018.\u00a0b\u0159ezen, kdy rusk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 skupiny postupovaly sou\u010dasn\u011b na \u0161irok\u00e9m \u00faseku od Pokrovsku po Huljajpole\u00a0\u2013 p\u011bchotou, obrn\u011bn\u00fdmi vozidly, \u010dty\u0159kolkami, v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch sektorech i\u00a0na kon\u00edch. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 414.\u00a0brig\u00e1da Ma\u010farovci a\u00a0spojeneck\u00e9 dronov\u00e9 jednotky \u00fato\u010dn\u00edky zas\u00e1hly<\/a> je\u0161t\u011b na p\u0159\u00edstupu. Za den a\u00a0p\u016fl vyk\u00e1zaly p\u0159es 900\u00a0rusk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t a\u00a0Rusov\u00e9 nez\u00edskali jedinou pozici.<\/p>\n

O den pozd\u011bji dopadl mechanizovan\u00fd \u00fatok<\/a> u\u00a0Lymanu podobn\u011b: Ukrajinci zni\u010dili dva tanky, deset obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel a\u00a0v\u00edce ne\u017e \u010dty\u0159icet \u010dty\u0159kolek.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Ztr\u00e1ty vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed tlak ke zm\u011bn\u011b taktiky, ale nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jestli ho rusk\u00e9 velen\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1 jako dostate\u010dn\u00fd. \u010c\u00e1st pozorovatel\u016f<\/a> p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko se bude muset vr\u00e1tit k\u00a0mechanizovan\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm\u00a0\u2013 pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, aby sn\u00ed\u017eilo ztr\u00e1ty p\u011bchoty. Americk\u00fd analytik Michael Kofman je v\u00a0tomto sm\u011bru skeptick\u00fd<\/a>: ukrajinsk\u00e1 obrana je optimalizovan\u00e1 pr\u00e1v\u011b proti nim. Protitankov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edkopy, magnetick\u00e9 miny, p\u0159esn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9 drony. Ka\u017ed\u00e9 jaro p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed pokusy o\u00a0pr\u016flom obrn\u011bnou technikou a\u00a0v\u00fdsledek je zpravidla stejn\u00fd\u00a0\u2013 vysok\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty bez odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edho zisku.<\/p>\n

Co se ale oproti lo\u0148sku prokazateln\u011b zm\u011bnilo, jsou dronov\u00e9 kapacity. Velitel ukrajinsk\u00fdch bezpilotn\u00edch sil, d\u016fstojn\u00edk zn\u00e1m\u00fd pod p\u0159ezd\u00edvkou Ma\u010far, v\u00a0polovin\u011b b\u0159ezna varoval<\/a>, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 dronov\u00e9 jednotky do dubna dos\u00e1hnou stavu 100\u00a0tis\u00edc p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f\u00a0\u2013 v\u00a0\u00fanoru jich m\u011bly p\u0159es 86\u00a0tis\u00edc. Sou\u010dasn\u011b rusk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady zvy\u0161uj\u00ed tlak<\/a> na neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed dobrovolnick\u00e9 struktury, kter\u00e9 dosud zaji\u0161\u0165ovaly podstatnou \u010d\u00e1st v\u00fdcviku pilot\u016f i\u00a0dod\u00e1vek techniky na frontu. C\u00edlem je z\u0159ejm\u011b pod\u0159\u00eddit tyto kapacity vojensk\u00e9mu velen\u00ed. Kreml chce z\u00a0dron\u016f ud\u011blat pevnou sou\u010d\u00e1st arm\u00e1dn\u00edch struktur, ne dobrovolnick\u00fd \u201ep\u0159\u00edv\u011b\u0161ek\u201c.<\/p>\n

Ob\u011b strany tak dnes operuj\u00ed s\u00a0drony v\u00a0m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku, kter\u00e9 si p\u0159ed dv\u011bma lety dok\u00e1zal p\u0159edstavit m\u00e1lokdo\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0pr\u00e1v\u011b proto by drony a\u00a0zp\u016fsob jejich nasazen\u00ed mohly b\u00fdt hlavn\u00ed prom\u011bnnou leto\u0161n\u00ed kampan\u011b.<\/p>\n

Kofman pozoruje<\/a> od Kupjansku po Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpady, kdy dronov\u00e9 \u00fadern\u00e9 jednotky \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b podporuj\u00ed men\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky, n\u011bkdy i\u00a0mechanizovan\u00e9. Princip je jednoduch\u00fd: \u00fato\u010dn\u00edk nejprve potla\u010d\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 dronov\u00e9 t\u00fdmy a\u00a0teprve pak vy\u0161le techniku.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edm jde o\u00a0experimenty v\u00a0mal\u00e9m m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku, ale s\u00a0dolo\u017eiteln\u00fdmi v\u00fdsledky a\u00a0s p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm pom\u011brem ztr\u00e1t, ne\u017e jak\u00fd p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ely dosavadn\u00ed postupy. Podobn\u00fd princip ostatn\u011b funguje i\u00a0na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b\u00a0\u2013 ukrajinsk\u00fd proti\u00fatok v\u00a0Z\u00e1poro\u017esk\u00e9 oblasti uk\u00e1zal<\/a>, \u017ee za p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fdch podm\u00ednek lze potla\u010dit nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 drony a\u00a0prov\u00e9st \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd pozemn\u00ed v\u00fdpad. Chce to ov\u0161em propracovanou metodiku a\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpravu<\/a>.<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edkopy, dr\u00e1t a\u00a0palebn\u00e9 z\u00f3ny<\/p>\n

U obr\u00e1nc\u016f se tak\u00e9 leccos zm\u011bnilo. Od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku Ukrajina vybudovala v\u00edce ne\u017e 1250\u00a0kilometr\u016f obrann\u00fdch lini\u00ed v\u00a0t\u00fdlov\u00fdch prostorech fronty. Takzvan\u00e1 \u201em\u0159\u00ed\u017eka palebn\u00fdch z\u00f3n\u201c kolem Nov\u00e9 donbask\u00e9 linie se rychle roz\u0161i\u0159uje<\/a>. Kolem kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch m\u011bst\u00a0\u2013 Pokrovsku, Vasilkivky, Pavlohradu, \u0160achtarsk\u00e9ho\u00a0\u2013 vznikaj\u00ed prstencov\u00e1 opevn\u011bn\u00ed navr\u017een\u00e1 tak, aby ka\u017ed\u00e9 z\u00a0nich fungovalo jako op\u011brn\u00fd bod. Jen za deset dn\u00ed<\/a> v\u00a0b\u0159eznu p\u0159ibylo 22\u00a0nov\u00fdch z\u00e1kopov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 186\u00a0kilometr\u016f p\u0159\u00edkop\u016f a\u00a0p\u0159es sto kilometr\u016f ostnat\u00e9ho dr\u00e1tu.<\/p>\n

Foto: \u0160imon, Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy<\/p>\n

Jak vypadaj\u00ed nov\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 linie<\/p>\n

Nejde p\u0159itom jen o\u00a0z\u00e1kopy a\u00a0bunkry. Nov\u00e1 obrann\u00e1 koncepce spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00a0budov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eek\u00a0\u2013 p\u0159\u00edkop\u016f, dr\u00e1t\u011bn\u00fdch z\u00e1taras\u016f, protitankov\u00fdch bari\u00e9r\u00a0\u2013, jejich\u017e smyslem je zpomalit postupuj\u00edc\u00ed ruskou p\u011bchotu a\u00a0techniku a\u00a0vytvo\u0159it z\u00f3ny, ve kter\u00fdch ji dronov\u00e1 a\u00a0d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e1 palba vykrv\u00e1c\u00ed d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e dos\u00e1hne obrann\u00fdch pozic. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 velen\u00ed v\u00a0podstat\u011b s\u00e1z\u00ed na to, \u017ee zp\u016fsob\u00ed protivn\u00edkovi ztr\u00e1ty v\u00a0takov\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e, aby jednodu\u0161e nem\u011bl kdo pokra\u010dovat v\u00a0\u00fatoku.<\/p>\n

Co takov\u00e1 kombinace dok\u00e1\u017ee i\u00a0v primitivn\u00ed podob\u011b, ukazuje oblast u\u00a0vesnice Bojkivka pobl\u00ed\u017e \u0159eky Kazannyj Torec, kde na 700\u00a0metrech silnice le\u017e\u00ed t\u011bla p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 60\u00a0rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f. Nedaleko, u\u00a0vesnice Novotorecke, ostnat\u00fd dr\u00e1t s\u00a0jedin\u00fdm pr\u016fchodem a\u00a0protitankov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edkop zp\u016fsobily<\/a> des\u00edtky dal\u0161\u00edch ztr\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

Foto: \u0160imon, Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy<\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e9 opevn\u011bn\u00ed v\u00a0praxi<\/p>\n

P\u0159itom\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0to je podstatn\u00e9\u00a0\u2013 jde o\u00a0opevn\u011bn\u00ed z\u00a0roku 2024, kter\u00e1 jsou ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0nov\u00fdmi liniemi velmi jednoduch\u00e1. Nov\u00e1 opevn\u011bn\u00ed se buduj\u00ed ve voln\u00e9m ter\u00e9nu, kde byly pok\u00e1ceny stromy, aby se \u00fato\u010dn\u00edci nem\u011bli kde skr\u00fdt. Zahrnuj\u00ed vodn\u00ed toky a\u00a0lesn\u00ed porosty a\u00a0vz\u00e1jemn\u011b se propojuj\u00ed do hloubky.<\/p>\n

Samotn\u00e9 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky ov\u0161em ruskou p\u011bchotu nezastav\u00ed. Zastav\u00ed ji kombinace p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eek a\u00a0palby\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0to vy\u017eaduje dostate\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det obr\u00e1nc\u016f vyzbrojen\u00fdch drony a\u00a0podporovan\u00fdch d\u011blost\u0159electvem. Pr\u00e1v\u011b lid\u00e9 z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed nejslab\u0161\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nkem ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany. Tis\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f opou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed jednotky bez povolen\u00ed, nov\u00fdch mobilizovan\u00fdch p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b, ne\u017e by arm\u00e1da pot\u0159ebovala. Sebelep\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1kopy bez mu\u017e\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed je obsad\u00ed, jsou jen r\u00fdhy v\u00a0zemi.<\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 strategie se proto neomezuje na samotnou linii dotyku. C\u00edlem je roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it palebnou z\u00f3nu o\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed des\u00edtky kilometr\u016f do hloubky a\u00a0rozb\u00edjet ruskou logistiku a\u00a0p\u0159ipravovan\u00e9 \u00fatoky je\u0161t\u011b d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e se dostanou k\u00a0front\u011b.<\/p>\n

Konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad nab\u00edz\u00ed lymansk\u00fd sm\u011br, kde prapor bezpilotn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f Mara z\u00a066.\u00a0mechanizovan\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy zm\u011bnil p\u0159\u00edstup: p\u0159estal se soust\u0159edit na ruskou p\u011bchotu a\u00a0za\u010dal systematicky ni\u010dit dronov\u00e9 pozice, logistick\u00e9 trasy a\u00a0\u00fakryty protivn\u00edka. V\u00fdsledkem jsou m\u00e9n\u011b \u010dast\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky a\u00a0postupn\u00e9 znovuz\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed<\/a>. Logika za t\u00edm je prost\u00e1: Rusko m\u00e1 p\u011bchotu, kterou je ochotno ob\u011btovat, ale chr\u00e1n\u00ed si techniku, logistiku a\u00a0vy\u0161kolen\u00e9 specialisty. Pokud obr\u00e1nce ni\u010d\u00ed jen p\u011bchotu, zasahuje to, \u010deho si protivn\u00edk cen\u00ed nejm\u00e9n\u011b. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale ukrajinsk\u00e1 taktika v\u00a0dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b bude nepochybn\u011b do velk\u00e9 m\u00edry soust\u0159ed\u011bna na \u00fatoky dron\u016f proti p\u011bchot\u011b, proto\u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b ta je hlavn\u00ed \u00fato\u010dnou zbran\u00ed invazn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Nejlep\u0161\u00ed jednotky na obou stran\u00e1ch\u00a0\u2013 v\u010detn\u011b rusk\u00e9ho Rubikonu\u00a0\u2013 praktikuj\u00ed kombinaci obrany fronty a\u00a0\u00faderu do hloubky des\u00edtek kilometr\u016f za frontu (i kdy\u017e priority mohou b\u00fdt r\u016fzn\u00e9). V\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edm roce se velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st velen\u00ed obou arm\u00e1d soust\u0159ed\u00ed z\u0159ejm\u011b na to, aby tyto schopnosti roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ily i\u00a0mimo elitn\u00ed \u00fatvary, nazna\u010duj\u00ed kroky Kyjeva i\u00a0Moskvy z\u00a0posledn\u00ed doby.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Co z\u00a0toho plyne<\/p>\n

Ob\u011b strany v\u00a0podstat\u011b s\u00e1zej\u00ed na tot\u00e9\u017e: \u017ee technologick\u00e1 zm\u011bna\u00a0\u2013 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm drony\u00a0\u2013 p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nad nedostatkem mu\u017e\u016f. Jaro a\u00a0l\u00e9to 2026\u00a0bude testem obou p\u0159\u00edstup\u016f. Pokud se potvrd\u00ed vzorec z\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00edch let, nejtvrd\u0161\u00ed boje p\u0159ijdou v\u00a0kv\u011btnu a\u017e srpnu.<\/p>\n

To ale neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee je jednoduch\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bt, jak\u00fd bude jejich pr\u016fb\u011bh. Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da v\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu v\u00e1lky opakovan\u011b inovovala\u00a0\u2013 od prvn\u00edch ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch pokus\u016f o\u00a0bleskovou v\u00e1lku p\u0159es masov\u00e9 nasazen\u00ed p\u011bchoty a\u017e po sou\u010dasn\u00fd d\u016fraz na drony. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da zase od roku 2022\u00a0pro\u0161la n\u011bkolika z\u00e1sadn\u00edmi prom\u011bnami ve zp\u016fsobu, jak\u00fdm bojuje.<\/p>\n

To, co dnes vid\u00edme\u00a0\u2013 opevn\u011bn\u00ed, palebn\u00e9 z\u00f3ny, opatrn\u00e9 \u00fatoky zalo\u017een\u00e9 na vyu\u017eit\u00ed vlastn\u00edch dron\u016f a\u00a0potla\u010den\u00ed protivn\u00edkov\u00fdch\u00a0\u2013, je dal\u0161\u00ed kapitolou v\u00e1lky, jej\u00ed\u017e konec bohu\u017eel st\u00e1le nen\u00ed na dohled.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Stromy na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed nasazovat list\u00ed. Listnat\u00e9 koruny poskytuj\u00ed postupuj\u00edc\u00edm voj\u00e1k\u016fm kryt\u00ed p\u0159ed drony, vysu\u0161en\u00e1 p\u016fda umo\u017e\u0148uje…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":39743,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[15932,464,11764,15931,54,56,53,52],"class_list":{"0":"post-39742","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-svet","8":"tag-casiv-jar","9":"tag-drony","10":"tag-ofenziva","11":"tag-opevneni","12":"tag-svet","13":"tag-valka-rusko-ukrajina","14":"tag-world","15":"tag-world-news"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116316438727547817","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39742","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39742"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39742\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39743"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39742"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39742"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}