{"id":41032,"date":"2026-03-31T08:51:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T08:51:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/41032\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T08:51:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T08:51:12","slug":"akcie-a-bitcoin-jsou-ve-velkem-nebezpeci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/41032\/","title":{"rendered":"Akcie a bitcoin jsou ve velk\u00e9m nebezpe\u010d\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"

Akciov\u00e9 trhy a bitcoin \u010del\u00ed moment\u00e1ln\u011b st\u00e1le siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hrozb\u011b ze strany nab\u00eddkov\u011b ta\u017een\u00e9 inflace<\/a>, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 sv\u016fj p\u016fvod v aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed krizi na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. \u010c\u00edm d\u00e1l v\u00edce se toti\u017e \u0161ermuje s obnoven\u00fdm r\u016fstem v \u00farokov\u00fdch sazb\u00e1ch, co\u017e m\u00e1 tak trochu \u0083sv\u00e9 \u201evibes\u201c jako ze stagfla\u010dn\u00edho <\/a>obdob\u00ed v 70. letech minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed.<\/p>\n

P\u0159edpoklad o nutnosti r\u016fstu v \u00farokov\u00fdch sazb\u00e1ch jsou proto hodn\u011b bolestiv\u00e9. Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b nyn\u00ed, proto\u017ee v p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00fdch dvou letech se situace s inflac\u00ed zd\u00e1la jako v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00e1. Te\u010f je inflace op\u011btovn\u011b na stole se v\u0161emi sv\u00fdmi negativn\u00edmi d\u016fsledky pro trhy<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\u017de akciov\u00fd trh \u010dek\u00e1 v\u00fdplach, tento n\u00e1zor v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m v\u00edce jak p\u016fl roku. Vlastn\u011b u bitcoinu jsem \u0159\u00edkal to sam\u00e9, co\u017e se ji\u017e jistou dobu napl\u0148uje. Mus\u00edm ale \u0159\u00edct a zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee se probl\u00e9m s inflac\u00ed nyn\u00ed pro bitcoin v\u016fbec nehod\u00ed. Jeliko\u017e jsme samoz\u0159ejm\u011b pl\u00e1novali, \u017ee v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch \u0161esti m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch vytvo\u0159\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno klesaj\u00edc\u00edho trendu.<\/p>\n

Jak moc se t\u00edm mohou na\u0161e pl\u00e1ny zhatit? Nedok\u00e1\u017eu p\u0159esn\u011b \u0159\u00edct. V\u00edm ale s naprostou jistotou, \u017ee pro bitcoin a tak\u00e9 akciov\u00fd <\/a>trh jde o velk\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed. Zat\u00edm bych se ale dr\u017eel toho, co zn\u00e1me z minulosti.<\/p>\n

Z\u00edskejte jednu akcii zadarmo za registraci<\/p>\n

Klikn\u011bte na otev\u0159\u00edt \u00fa\u010det a vlo\u017ete k\u00f3d KRYPTOMAGAZIN do pol\u00ed\u010dka pro referen\u010dn\u00ed k\u00f3d. Pak klikn\u011bte na SAVE a dokon\u010dete registraci. Podm\u00ednky akce: https:\/\/link-pso.xtb.com\/pso\/4Zs2Q
POZOR: Investov\u00e1n\u00ed je rizikov\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin zat\u00edm zcela opakuje historii<\/p>\n

Bitcoin zat\u00edm n\u00e1sleduje t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 do punt\u00edku vzorec cenov\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje z p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00e9ho cyklu, co\u017e si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee je skv\u011bl\u00e9, proto\u017ee pro n\u00e1s je to p\u0159irozen\u00e1 v\u00fdhoda. Pro \u010dlov\u011bka cenov\u00fd graf potom funguje jako takov\u00e1 mapa, podle kter\u00e9 se m\u016f\u017ee orientovat a tud\u00ed\u017e pl\u00e1novat. <\/p>\n

Pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed je v investov\u00e1n\u00ed naprosto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9, proto\u017ee pokud nejedete tzv. podle n\u011bjak\u00e9ho playbooku, nem\u016f\u017eete reagovat spr\u00e1vn\u011b a v\u010das. Nem\u00e1m nic proti diskre\u010dn\u00edmu p\u0159\u00edstupu, proto\u017ee ho s\u00e1m pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1m. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 jsem si ale v\u011bdom, \u017ee bez alespo\u0148 hrub\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu se nikdo rozhodn\u011b neobejde.<\/p>\n

\"Kdy\u017e<\/p>\n

\t\tKdy\u017e bitcoin v roce 2022 prorazil pod neckline patternu hlava a ramena, n\u00e1sledoval pokles o 56 %. Dnes by to znamenalo propad pod 40 000 USD<\/p>\n

Jestli n\u00e1s tedy trh ni\u010d\u00edm nemil\u00fdm nep\u0159ekvap\u00ed, cenov\u00e9 dno bitcoinu by se m\u011blo za\u010d\u00edt v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b tvo\u0159it a b\u011bhem n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f by m\u011blo b\u00fdt \u00fapln\u011b hotovo. <\/p>\n

Cenov\u00e9 dno osobn\u011b odhaduji zhruba mezi 50 000 a\u017e 35 000 USD. Mysl\u00edm samoz\u0159ejm\u011b na fakt, \u017ee trh je na tom struktur\u00e1ln\u011b dost odli\u0161n\u011b oproti roku 2022. Jenom\u017ee se nem\u00e1m moc \u010deho chytit, jak p\u0159esn\u011b se t\u00edm chov\u00e1n\u00ed trhu m\u016f\u017ee zm\u011bnit. Proto jako ur\u010dit\u00fd r\u00e1mec mi to p\u0159ijde dostate\u010dn\u011b u\u017eite\u010dn\u00e9 pro zvolen\u00ed \u201espr\u00e1vn\u00e9\u201c strategie. <\/p>\n

Nesm\u00edm opomenout tradi\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159ipom\u00ednku, \u017ee bitcoin je st\u00e1le vskutku mlad\u00fd trh. Kdo tohle nech\u00e1pe, m\u016f\u017ee ho to potrestat. Pokud si nejste jist\u00ed, co t\u00edm mysl\u00ed, klidn\u011b se zeptejte. <\/p>\n

Kdy se cena bitcoinu odraz\u00ed? <\/p>\n

Ji\u017e v\u00fd\u0161e jsme si uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee bitcoin prov\u00e1d\u00ed v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b stejn\u00fd cenov\u00fd v\u00fdvoj. Jako v p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00fdch cyklech. Co\u017e konkr\u00e9tn\u011b znamen\u00e1 hlubok\u00fd pokles, d\u00e9le trvaj\u00edc\u00ed tvorba cenov\u00e9ho dna a pak vzh\u016fru do nov\u00e9ho b\u00fd\u010d\u00edho trendu.<\/p>\n

Proto si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee n\u00e1s dal\u0161\u00ed pokles ceny BTC je\u0161t\u011b \u010dek\u00e1. Neexistuje zat\u00edm dost technick\u00fdch a fundament\u00e1ln\u00edch argument\u016f, kter\u00e9 by podpo\u0159ily tezi, \u017ee cenov\u00e9 dno se vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e nyn\u00ed. Na onu zm\u011bnu pr\u00e1v\u011b \u010dek\u00e1me, co\u017e se m\u016f\u017ee v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch velmi rychle propsat pozitivn\u011b do ceny bitcoinu.<\/p>\n

\"Akumulace<\/p>\n

\t\tAkumulace bitcoinu bude m\u00edt podobu kulat\u00e9ho dna \u2013 obr\u00e1cen\u00fd oblouk. Tak\u017ee n\u00e1s je\u0161t\u011b prvn\u011b \u010dek\u00e1 hlub\u0161\u00ed cenov\u00fd propad<\/p>\n

Jinak \u00fapln\u00e9 potvrzen\u00ed pro zm\u011bnu trendu je reakumula\u010dn\u00ed proces, kter\u00fd se vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed a\u017e po vytvo\u0159en\u00ed cenov\u00e9ho dna (\u00favodn\u00ed proces akumulace). Graficky m\u00e1 podobu stranov\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje po prvn\u00edm impulsn\u00edm r\u016fstu.<\/p>\n

T\u00edm p\u00e1dem jde o del\u0161\u00ed \u010das trvaj\u00edc\u00ed proces, jak je neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u011b na trhu zvykem. Proto si rad\u011bji nemalujte, \u017ee k cenov\u00e9mu odrazu dojde n\u00e1hle a pak se najednou octneme v b\u00fd\u010d\u00edm trendu. Takhle to nefunguje, ale bu\u010fme r\u00e1di. Cenov\u00fd v\u00fdvoj se d\u00edky tomu d\u00e1 mnohem l\u00e9pe \u201ep\u0159edv\u00eddat\u201c. <\/p>\n

Z\u00e1v\u011brem: M\u00fdlit se je norm\u00e1ln\u00ed<\/p>\n

V r\u00e1mci na\u0161\u00ed obl\u00edben\u00e9 discipl\u00edny technick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza, co\u017e je takov\u00e1 astrologie pro dosp\u011bl\u00e9 mu\u017ee, je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zcela legitimn\u00ed uva\u017eovat nad t\u00edm, zda bitcoin nem\u00e1 cenov\u00e9 dno u\u017e t\u0159eba za sebou.<\/p>\n

Jenom\u017ee osobn\u011b s t\u00edmto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em v\u016fbec nesouzn\u00edm. Jestli je ale n\u011bkdo opa\u010dn\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru a jde tzv. s k\u016f\u017e\u00ed na trh, pro\u010d ne. Za p\u0159edpokladu dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00fdch argument\u016f nevid\u00edm probl\u00e9m v tom j\u00edt si za sv\u00fdm. <\/p>\n

\"Mo\u017en\u00e1<\/p>\n

\t\tMo\u017en\u00e1 se ale pleteme a cena bitcoinu brzy vyst\u0159el\u00ed nahoru<\/p>\n

Mus\u00edme si ov\u0161em v\u0161ichni uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee medv\u011bd\u00ed trhy na BTC trvaly historicky v\u017edy mnohem d\u00e9le a m\u011bly jistou strukturu, kter\u00e1 se tvo\u0159ila po mnoho m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Nemluv\u011b o cenov\u00e9m dnu, co\u017e je t\u00e9\u017e proces trvaj\u00edc\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce. Nav\u00edc chyb\u00ed objemy jako potvrzen\u00ed pro cenov\u00fd odraz.<\/p>\n

Proto v\u0161echny varuji k opatrnosti a vyb\u00edz\u00edm k opatrnosti. <\/p>\n

Investujte do bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF na platform\u011b XTB<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Akciov\u00e9 trhy a bitcoin \u010del\u00ed moment\u00e1ln\u011b st\u00e1le siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hrozb\u011b ze strany nab\u00eddkov\u011b ta\u017een\u00e9 inflace, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 sv\u016fj p\u016fvod…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":41033,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[183,3244,15927,67,68,16268,778,15929],"class_list":{"0":"post-41032","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-byznys","8":"tag-aktuality","9":"tag-bitcoin","10":"tag-btc","11":"tag-business","12":"tag-byznys","13":"tag-kryptomena","14":"tag-kryptomeny","15":"tag-technicka-analyza"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116322938819259144","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41032","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41032"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41032\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41033"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}