{"id":41036,"date":"2026-03-31T08:53:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T08:53:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/41036\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T08:53:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T08:53:12","slug":"hlavne-nezavirat-skolky-narodilo-se-nejmene-deti-v-moderni-historii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/41036\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201eHlavn\u011b nezav\u00edrat \u0161kolky.\u201c Narodilo se nejm\u00e9n\u011b d\u011bt\u00ed v\u00a0modern\u00ed historii"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ka\u017ed\u00fd rok je\u0161t\u011b o\u00a0n\u011bco hor\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledek. Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch dat se loni narodilo 77\u00a0636\u00a0d\u011bt\u00ed. To je o\u00a06,7\u00a0tis\u00edce m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e v\u00a0roce 2024.\u00a0P\u0159itom u\u017e p\u0159edlo\u0148sk\u00fd rok\u00a0byl nejhor\u0161\u00ed v\u00a0cel\u00e9 historii statistick\u00fdch dat.<\/p>\n

A nejde jen o\u00a0nov\u011b narozen\u00e9 v\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce, co\u017e jako samostatn\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo nem\u00e1 zas tak z\u00e1sadn\u00ed vypov\u00eddac\u00ed hodnotu. P\u0159evaha zem\u0159el\u00fdch nad \u017eiv\u011b narozen\u00fdmi je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed od roku 1919.\u00a0Po\u010det d\u011bt\u00ed klesal ve v\u0161ech po\u0159ad\u00edch, tedy jak u\u00a0prvorozen\u00fdch, tak druh\u00fdch a\u00a0t\u0159et\u00edch d\u011bt\u00ed v\u00a0rodin\u011b. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se propadl i\u00a0po\u010det s\u0148atk\u016f.<\/p>\n

\u201eV roce 2025\u00a0poklesl t\u0159et\u00edm rokem v\u00a0\u0159ad\u011b. Do man\u017eelstv\u00ed vstoupilo 42,5\u00a0tis\u00edce p\u00e1r\u016f snoubenc\u016f, o\u00a01,9\u00a0tis\u00edce m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e o\u00a0rok d\u0159\u00edve a\u00a0v\u016fbec nejm\u00e9n\u011b od konce prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Michaela N\u011bme\u010dkov\u00e1 z\u00a0odd\u011blen\u00ed demografick\u00e9 statistiky \u010cesk\u00e9ho statistick\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu.<\/p>\n

Co se t\u00fd\u010de narozen\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed, probl\u00e9m je, \u017ee se jejich po\u010det propad\u00e1 daleko dramati\u010dt\u011bji, ne\u017e statistici o\u010dek\u00e1vali. Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b je sice v\u00a0nejplodn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u011bku nejslab\u0161\u00ed generace z\u00a0poloviny devades\u00e1t\u00fdch let, stejn\u011b by se ale podle odhad\u016f m\u011blo rodit d\u011bt\u00ed v\u00edce. Klesl i\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd po\u010det d\u011bt\u00ed narozen\u00fdch jedn\u00e9 \u017een\u011b, a\u00a0to z\u00a01,37\u00a0v\u00a0roce 2024\u00a0na 1,28\u00a0v\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce.<\/p>\n

\u201eRoli tedy hraj\u00ed i\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed faktory. Jednak ekonomick\u00e9, kter\u00e9 vyvolaly nejistotu. P\u0159eci jen n\u011bkolik let jsme m\u011bli vysokou inflaci, jakou jsme opravdu dlouho neza\u017eili. K\u00a0tomu p\u0159ipo\u010dt\u011bme pandemickou krizi nebo v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b. A\u00a0nakonec je t\u0159eba br\u00e1t v\u00a0\u00favahu i\u00a0zm\u011bnu \u017eivotn\u00edch hodnot nov\u00e9 generace,\u201c popisuje ekonomka Kl\u00e1ra Kal\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed dan\u011b, pozd\u011bji do d\u016fchodu?<\/p>\n

Kdyby nav\u00edc \u0161lo jen o\u00a0\u010d\u00edsla, byla by klesaj\u00edc\u00ed porodnost pouze nov\u00fdm a\u00a0\u201epozoruhodn\u00fdm\u201c spole\u010densk\u00fdm fenom\u00e9nem. Jen\u017ee \u00fabytek t\u0159etiny d\u011bt\u00ed b\u011bhem pouh\u00fdch \u010dty\u0159 let znamen\u00e1, \u017ee se kompletn\u011b prom\u011bn\u00ed \u010desk\u00e1 ekonomika a\u00a0v\u00fdznamn\u011b naru\u0161\u00ed za\u017eit\u00e9 fungov\u00e1n\u00ed cel\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu.<\/p>\n

\u201eMlad\u00ed tak budou t\u0159eba do budoucna muset platit vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed dan\u011b. Naopak dal\u0161\u00ed generace, kter\u00e1 odejde do penze, bude dost\u00e1vat ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed d\u016fchod, mo\u017en\u00e1 se bude muset odch\u00e1zet pozd\u011bji. Budou se muset zkr\u00e1tka hledat nejm\u00e9n\u011b \u201a\u0161patn\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed\u2018, ale samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nejde jenom o\u00a0d\u016fchody,\u201c nazna\u010duje budouc\u00ed ot\u00e1zky Kal\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m nastane ve zdravotnictv\u00ed a\u00a0soci\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u00e9\u010di, kde se akutn\u011b nebude dost\u00e1vat pracovn\u00edch sil.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

V\u00edce lid\u00ed ne\u017e dnes toti\u017e v\u00a0\u010cesku u\u017e nikdy pracovat nebude. A\u00a0i kdy\u017e se samoz\u0159ejm\u011b d\u00e1 o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee d\u00edky modernizaci nebude v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch sektorech ekonomiky pot\u0159eba tolik zam\u011bstnanc\u016f jako dnes, l\u00e9ka\u0159e u\u00a0zdravotn\u00edch v\u00fdkon\u016f nebo pracovn\u00edky v\u00a0soci\u00e1ln\u00edch slu\u017eb\u00e1ch p\u016fjde nahradit jen t\u011b\u017eko.<\/p>\n

\u201eB\u011bhem p\u011bti a\u017e deseti let extr\u00e9mn\u011b p\u0159ibude senior\u016f a\u00a0stejn\u011b jako rodi\u010d\u016fm je pot\u0159eba i\u00a0potomk\u016fm p\u0159i p\u00e9\u010di o\u00a0rodi\u010de a\u00a0prarodi\u010de d\u00e1t na v\u00fdb\u011br, jestli o\u00a0n\u011b budou cht\u00edt pe\u010dovat sami, nebo vyu\u017eij\u00ed syst\u00e9m slu\u017eeb, kter\u00fd na n\u011bco takov\u00e9ho ale nen\u00ed absolutn\u011b p\u0159ipraven\u00fd,\u201c popisuje demograf Petr Mazouch.<\/p>\n

10\u00a0miliard od matek<\/p>\n

Jestli ale v\u00a0\u010cesku p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v\u00a0\u00favahu n\u011bjak\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed skupina, kter\u00e1 by mohla doplnit pracovn\u00ed trh, pak jsou to krom\u011b pracovn\u00edk\u016f ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed \u017eeny s\u00a0mal\u00fdmi d\u011btmi. Jak pro Institut pro demokracii a\u00a0ekonomickou anal\u00fdzu vypo\u010d\u00edtala<\/a> pr\u00e1v\u011b Kal\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1, jen z\u00a0pohledu p\u0159\u00edjmu do st\u00e1tn\u00ed kasy by potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed dan\u011b a\u00a0odvody od matek mohly p\u0159in\u00e9st 10\u00a0miliard korun.<\/p>\n

A pr\u00e1v\u011b pokles porodnosti k\u00a0tomu nab\u00edz\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost. Pokud \u010cesko udr\u017e\u00ed kapacity mate\u0159sk\u00fdch \u0161kol a\u00a0d\u011btsk\u00fdch skupin, mohla by za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed kone\u010dn\u011b za\u010d\u00edt ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm mno\u017estv\u00ed p\u0159ij\u00edmat i\u00a0dvoulet\u00e9 d\u011bti.<\/p>\n

\u201eM\u00e1me p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost z\u00a0toho ud\u011blat standard,\u201c dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Mazouch.<\/p>\n

Z devades\u00e1t\u00fdch let m\u00e1me ale co do reakce na propad porodnosti sp\u00ed\u0161 negativn\u00ed zku\u0161enost. Tehdy se zd\u00e1nliv\u011b nadbyte\u010dn\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed p\u0159ed\u0161koln\u00ed p\u00e9\u010de zav\u00edrala.<\/p>\n

\u201eB\u011bhem n\u011bjak\u00fdch t\u0159\u00ed let jsme zlikvidovali kompletn\u011b s\u00ed\u0165 jesl\u00ed. A\u00a0te\u010f u\u00a0n\u00e1s od roku 2014\u00a0stav\u00edme d\u011btsk\u00e9 skupiny a\u00a0je\u0161t\u011b nejsme ani na po\u010dtu m\u00edst, kolik m\u011bly jesle na za\u010d\u00e1tku devades\u00e1t\u00fdch let,\u201c varuje Kal\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1, aby se tato situace neopakovala.<\/p>\n

Jen od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku zav\u0159elo 24\u00a0d\u011btsk\u00fdch skupin a\u00a0kdy\u017e jsme u\u00a0statistick\u00fdch dat, tak s\u00a0polovinou roku kon\u010d\u00ed t\u0159eba i\u00a0d\u011btsk\u00e1 skupina Sta\u0165\u00e1\u010dek \u010cesk\u00e9ho statistick\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu.<\/p>\n

N\u011bkde r\u016fst, jinde p\u00e1d<\/p>\n

N\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9 pro st\u00e1t ale bude, aby se vyrovnal s\u00a0velmi rozd\u00edln\u00fdm v\u00fdvojem v\u00a0jednotliv\u00fdch regionech. Zat\u00edmco t\u0159eba v\u00a0Praze a\u00a0jej\u00edm okol\u00ed je zna\u010dn\u00fd nedostatek m\u00edst pro d\u011bti ve \u0161kolk\u00e1ch i\u00a0\u0161kol\u00e1ch, v\u00a0periferi\u00edch budou m\u00edt v\u00a0n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch letech co d\u011blat, aby v\u016fbec \u0161koly udr\u017eeli.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

Jak Seznam Zpr\u00e1vy psaly<\/a> v\u00a0ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku, v\u00a0okrese Nymburk se v\u00a0roce 2024\u00a0narodilo jen o\u00a0deset procent m\u00e9n\u011b d\u011bt\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159ed p\u011bti lety, v\u00a0okrese Rokycany to byl ale p\u00e1d o\u00a0pln\u00fdch 35\u00a0procent. Je\u0161t\u011b rozpolcen\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jsou data, kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na obce s\u00a0roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159enou p\u016fsobnost\u00ed. Ve st\u0159edo\u010desk\u00e9 Lys\u00e9 nad Labem se narodilo o\u00a0skoro 10\u00a0procent d\u011bt\u00ed v\u00edc ne\u017e p\u0159ed p\u011bti lety, v\u00a0Ostrov\u011b na Karlovarsku naopak o\u00a047\u00a0procent m\u00e9n\u011b.<\/p>\n

\u201e\u010cesk\u00e1 republika se postupn\u011b rozd\u011bluje na prosperuj\u00edc\u00ed centra a\u00a0upadaj\u00edc\u00ed periferie. Metropolitn\u00ed oblasti, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm Praha, t\u00e1hnou ekonomiku, zat\u00edmco jin\u00e9 regiony \u010del\u00ed kumulaci probl\u00e9m\u016f: slab\u0161\u00edmu trhu pr\u00e1ce, hor\u0161\u00ed dostupnosti vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed \u010di zdravotn\u00ed p\u00e9\u010de a\u00a0tak\u00e9 vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e politick\u00e9 frustrace,\u201c upozor\u0148uje Lucie Coufalov\u00e1, kter\u00e1 vede na Masarykov\u011b univerzit\u011b t\u00fdm zkoumaj\u00edc\u00ed, pro\u010d n\u011bkter\u00e9 regiony dlouhodob\u011b zaost\u00e1vaj\u00ed a\u00a0jin\u00e9, ale jinak velmi podobn\u00e9, prosperuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jestli\u017ee ale nedok\u00e1\u017eou odlehlej\u0161\u00ed oblasti \u010ceska nab\u00eddnout mlad\u00fdm rodin\u00e1m z\u00e1zem\u00ed a\u00a0z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti, ned\u00e1 se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee by se jejich vylid\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed mohlo zastavit.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ka\u017ed\u00fd rok je\u0161t\u011b o\u00a0n\u011bco hor\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledek. Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch dat se loni narodilo 77\u00a0636\u00a0d\u011bt\u00ed. To je o\u00a06,7\u00a0tis\u00edce m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":41037,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[7],"tags":[43,42,41,40,444,16273,4242,4243,13057,13631,442,2574],"class_list":["post-41036","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-cesko","tag-ceska-republika","tag-cesko","tag-czech-republic","tag-czechia","tag-deti","tag-detska-skupina","tag-ministerstvo-skolstvi","tag-mladeze-a-telovychovy-msmt","tag-narozeni","tag-populace","tag-skolstvi","tag-skoly"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@cz\/116322946502389852","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41036","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41036"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41036\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41037"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41036"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41036"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/cz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41036"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}