Nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed americkou letadlovou lo\u010f USS Gerald R. Ford zas\u00e1hl po\u017e\u00e1r, se kter\u00fdm pos\u00e1dka bojovala 30\u00a0hodin. \u0160lo o\u00a0po\u0161kozen\u00ed vpravd\u011b nebojov\u00e9\u00a0\u2013 za\u010dalo ho\u0159et v\u00a0pr\u00e1deln\u011b. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 se sice pokou\u0161eli v\u00a0operac\u00edch pokra\u010dovat, ale nakonec museli uznat, \u017ee nechat \u0161est set n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edk\u016f sp\u00e1t na chodb\u00e1ch je jen pozv\u00e1nkou k\u00a0je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed katastrof\u011b. V\u00fdsledek? P\u00fdcha americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva musela potupn\u011b odplout do Evropy na opravy.<\/p>\n
Na zapalov\u00e1n\u00ed vlastn\u00edch letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed jsou sice experty p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm Rusov\u00e9, dalo by se v\u0161ak nam\u00edtnout, \u017ee podobn\u00e1 nehoda se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t ka\u017ed\u00e9mu. Jen\u017ee tato katastrofa nespadla z\u00a0\u010dist\u00e9ho nebe. USS Gerald R. Ford br\u00e1zd\u00ed oce\u00e1ny u\u017e deset m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, a\u010dkoliv americk\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed doktr\u00edna po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s\u00a0maxim\u00e1ln\u011b \u0161esti\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0to jde o\u00a0jeho v\u016fbec prvn\u00ed ostrou plavbu.<\/p>\n
Jak si uk\u00e1\u017eeme, hlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem je extr\u00e9mn\u00ed p\u0159ep\u011bt\u00ed americk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil pod taktovkou Donalda Trumpa a\u00a0fakt, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, \u010dasto posm\u011b\u0161n\u011b ozna\u010dovan\u00e9 jako \u201eamerick\u00e1 arm\u00e1da B\u201c, po Trumpov\u00fdch v\u00fdpadech proti NATO omezili svou pomoc.<\/p>\n
Americk\u00e1 z\u00e1vislost na Evrop\u011b (a naopak)<\/p>\n
Je nutn\u00e9 pochopit, \u017ee po skon\u010den\u00ed studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky do\u0161lo v\u00a0americk\u00e9 obran\u011b k\u00a0tot\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bn\u011b paradigmatu. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed politici u\u017e ne\u0159e\u0161ili izolovan\u00e9 \u201eschopnosti arm\u00e1dy USA\u201c, ale za\u010dali uva\u017eovat v\u00a0intenc\u00edch \u201eschopnost\u00ed arm\u00e1d NATO\u201c. K\u00a0tomuto strategick\u00e9mu proz\u0159en\u00ed je ov\u0161em nedohnal n\u00e1hl\u00fd optimismus, ale p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ne\u00faprosn\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 realita.<\/p>\n
Pokud ode\u010dteme pen\u00edze na podporu veter\u00e1n\u016f, obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed naprosto zbyte\u010dn\u00fdch dom\u00e1c\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00ed polo\u017eky, kter\u00e9 funguj\u00ed v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b jako vnitrost\u00e1tn\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed programy, klesly vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje USA po konci studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky z\u00a0p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 5\u00a0% HDP na pouh\u00e1 2\u00a0%. N\u00e1sledn\u011b sice vzrostly kv\u016fli v\u00e1lk\u00e1m v\u00a0Ir\u00e1ku a\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, \u0161lo v\u0161ak o\u00a0\u010dist\u00e9 v\u00fddaje na veden\u00ed boj\u016f\u00a0\u2013 re\u00e1ln\u00fd vojensk\u00fd rozpo\u010det se i\u00a0nad\u00e1le dr\u017eel kolem dvou procent.<\/p>\n
Kongres nikdy nedovolil s\u00e1hnout na arm\u00e1dn\u00ed \u201esoci\u00e1ln\u00ed programy\u201c. A\u00a0pojmem \u201esoci\u00e1ln\u00ed program\u201c mysl\u00edme i\u00a0v\u011bci jako je bitevn\u00edk A-10\u00a0Thunderbolt. Tyto stroje u\u017e se sice v\u00edce ne\u017e 30\u00a0let pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed de facto jen jako nosi\u010de p\u0159esn\u00e9 munice (co\u017e drony zvl\u00e1dnou l\u00e9pe a\u00a0za zlomek ceny), a\u00a0z jejich slavn\u00e9ho 30\u00a0mm rota\u010dn\u00edho kan\u00f3nu se v\u00a0podstat\u011b p\u0159estalo st\u0159\u00edlet u\u017e b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky v\u00a0Z\u00e1livu kv\u016fli a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 \u010dast\u00fdm z\u00e1sah\u016fm vlastn\u00edch jednotek. Jen\u017ee \u00fadr\u017eba t\u011bchto relativn\u011b primitivn\u00edch stroj\u016f zam\u011bstn\u00e1v\u00e1 obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed levn\u00e9 pracovn\u00ed s\u00edly\u00a0\u2013 tedy voli\u010d\u016f\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0udr\u017euje p\u0159i \u017eivot\u011b des\u00edtky vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen po cel\u00fdch St\u00e1tech.<\/p>\n
Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b Atlantiku to bylo je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed\u00a0\u2013 evropsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 rozpo\u010dty se propadly je\u0161t\u011b hloub\u011bji. Po prvn\u00ed v\u00e1lce v\u00a0Z\u00e1livu, kdy se \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO ujistili, \u017ee si pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 kapacity pro ofenzivn\u00ed operace v\u017edycky od n\u011bkoho \u201ep\u016fj\u010d\u00ed\u201c, se transatlantick\u00e1 symbi\u00f3za rozjela naplno. Tento trend se d\u00e1le prohloubil po druh\u00e9 v\u00e1lce v\u00a0Z\u00e1livu \u010di intervenci v\u00a0Libyi. USA i\u00a0Evropa se za\u010daly zbavovat velk\u00e9ho mno\u017estv\u00ed sv\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch kapacit s\u00a0 klidem, \u017ee je m\u00e1 v\u00a0invent\u00e1\u0159i n\u011bkdo jin\u00fd z\u00a0Aliance.<\/p>\n
My m\u00e1me st\u00edhac\u00ed bombard\u00e9ry, a\u00a0co vy?<\/p>\n
Na v\u00e1lce v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu je n\u00e1dhern\u011b vid\u011bt, kde konkr\u00e9tn\u011b evropsk\u00e1 ne\u00fa\u010dast tak citeln\u011b chyb\u00ed. Pokud by n\u011bkoho zaj\u00edmaly specifick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my dan\u00e9 operace z\u00a0\u010dist\u011b vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska (toto je prim\u00e1rn\u011b blog o\u00a0vojenstv\u00ed, tak\u017ee absenci politick\u00e9 strategie zde ne\u0159e\u0161\u00edm), rozepsal jsem je v\u00a0tomto<\/a> \u010dl\u00e1nku. Poj\u010fme se ale pod\u00edvat na prvn\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpad.<\/p>\n Jedn\u00edm z\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1drhel\u016f je fakt, \u017ee st\u00e1ty Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu neumo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u016fm operovat ze sv\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen<\/a>. Ve\u0161ker\u00e9 vzlety tak mus\u00ed prob\u00edhat z\u00a0Izraele \u010di Jord\u00e1nska. Pro skute\u010dn\u00e9 masov\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed lze tedy v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b pou\u017e\u00edt jen st\u00edhac\u00ed bombard\u00e9ry. Pot\u00e9, co USA bez n\u00e1hrady vy\u0159adily F-111\u00a0Aardvark, jim v\u00a0arzen\u00e1lu zb\u00fdv\u00e1 pouh\u00fdch 219\u00a0stroj\u016f F-15E Strike Eagle. Z\u00a0tohoto po\u010dtu jich v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu nasadily 72\u00a0\u2013 co\u017e p\u0159esn\u011b odpov\u00edd\u00e1 vojensk\u00e9 matematice, podle n\u00ed\u017e jste schopni mimo vlastn\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed nar\u00e1z operovat zhruba s\u00a0t\u0159etinou techniky. Dal\u0161\u00edch 25\u00a0kus\u016f pak do banku p\u0159ihodil Izrael.<\/p>\n Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161inu bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed zaji\u0161\u0165uje pouh\u00fdch 90\u00a0letadel, znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u00fatoky jsou sice vytrval\u00e9, ale cel\u00e9 operaci zoufale chyb\u00ed \u00fadernost. Div\u00edte se, pro\u010d maj\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 takov\u00fd nedostatek d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch letoun\u016f? D\u016fvod je prost\u00fd: spol\u00e9hali na 200\u00a0evropsk\u00fdch stroj\u016f Panavia Tornado, 500\u00a0Eurofighter\u016f Typhoon a\u00a0200\u00a0letoun\u016f Dassault Rafale, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed dolet, nosnost i\u00a0vybaven\u00ed na to, aby mohli fungovat v\u00a0roli st\u00edhac\u00edch bombard\u00e9r\u016f.<\/p>\n Tady se v\u00a0pln\u00e9 kr\u00e1se ukazuje ona symbi\u00f3za. Zat\u00edmco Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 provozuj\u00ed strategick\u00e9 bombard\u00e9ry, kter\u00e9 Evropa t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 postr\u00e1d\u00e1 (Francie a\u00a0Brit\u00e1nie mus\u00ed v\u00a0t\u00e9to roli pon\u011bkud kuri\u00f3zn\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edvat sv\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed hl\u00eddkov\u00e9 letouny), Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se pro zm\u011bnu spolehly na Evropu v\u00a0situac\u00edch, kdy je pot\u0159eba prov\u00e9st d\u00e1lkov\u00e9 \u00fadery, ale nebe je\u0161t\u011b nen\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u011b bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 pro nasazen\u00ed bombard\u00e9r\u016f B-52\u00a0a\u00a0B-1.<\/p>\n Evropa disponuje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 2\u00a0000\u00a0st\u00edhac\u00edmi letouny, z\u00a0nich\u017e 900\u00a0tvo\u0159\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 dvoumotorov\u00e9 d\u00e1lkov\u00e9 stroje. Matematika je v\u00a0tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b a\u017e absurdn\u011b prost\u00e1: kdyby Evropa vyslala na pomoc Ameri\u010dan\u016fm pouh\u00e1 4\u00a0% sv\u00e9ho letectva, hlavn\u00ed ni\u010divou s\u00edlu \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n by t\u00edm okam\u017eit\u011b zdvojn\u00e1sobila.<\/p>\n Evropa jako n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed ochr\u00e1nce USA<\/p>\n Je\u0161t\u011b markantn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je americk\u00e1 z\u00e1vislost na Evrop\u011b v\u00a0oblasti n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva. Kongres si po skon\u010den\u00ed studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky postavil hlavu a\u00a0odm\u00edtl sn\u00ed\u017eit po\u010det letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed z\u00a0jeden\u00e1cti na jakoukoli rozumnou \u00farove\u0148. To vedlo k\u00a0situaci, kdy Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty za\u010daly \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l \u010dast\u011bji p\u0159ehazovat ve\u0161kerou \u201epr\u00e1ci okolo\u201c na bedra Evropy.<\/p>\n USA maj\u00ed nyn\u00ed pouh\u00fdch 80\u00a0doprovodn\u00fdch oce\u00e1nsk\u00fdch lod\u00ed, zat\u00edmco evropsk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st NATO jich disponuje 170\u00a0a\u00a0Turecko s\u00a0Kanadou p\u0159id\u00e1vaj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch 30.\u00a0Ano, evropsk\u00e1 plavidla<\/a> jsou sice m\u00e9n\u011b vyzbrojen\u00e1, ale p\u0159i doprovodn\u00fdch operac\u00edch jde v\u00a0prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b o\u00a0kvantitu. Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo je na tom moment\u00e1ln\u011b tak b\u00eddn\u011b, \u017ee m\u00e1 pot\u00ed\u017ee sehnat dostatek doprovodu i\u00a0pro ochranu sv\u00fdch drahocenn\u00fdch letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed\u00a0\u2013 co\u017e se ostatn\u011b naplno projevilo hned na za\u010d\u00e1tku operace v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu<\/a>. O\u00a0tom, \u017ee by Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 zvl\u00e1dli vlastn\u00edmi silami doprov\u00e1zet je\u0161t\u011b civiln\u00ed plavidla, nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt ani \u0159e\u010d.<\/p>\n Kdyby z\u00edtra vypukl konflikt mezi USA a\u00a0\u010c\u00ednou a\u00a0Evropa by odm\u00edtla doprov\u00e1zet americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 konvoje mimo bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 oblasti (co\u017e se doposud pokl\u00e1dalo za naprostou samoz\u0159ejmost, nebo\u0165 takov\u00e1 slu\u017eba nevy\u017eaduje p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd vstup do v\u00e1lky), museli by Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 zv\u00edt\u011bzit do m\u011bs\u00edce. Jinak je \u010dek\u00e1 drtiv\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka. \u010c\u00edna by toti\u017e jejich z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed konvoje uprost\u0159ed Pacifiku pos\u00edlala ke dnu jako na b\u011b\u017e\u00edc\u00edm p\u00e1su, proto\u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se p\u0159i jejich ochran\u011b a\u017e dosud spol\u00e9haly v\u00fdhradn\u011b na Evropu.<\/p>\n Naprosto tristn\u00ed je pak situace v\u00a0oblasti protiponorkov\u00e9ho boje. V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu to sice na\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed nep\u0159edstavuje a\u017e tak fat\u00e1ln\u00ed riziko, proto\u017ee Teher\u00e1n spol\u00e9h\u00e1 v\u00fdhradn\u011b na rusk\u00e9 stroje\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0ty jsou svou \u201etichost\u00ed\u201c a \u201enezachytitelnost\u00ed\u201c zhruba na \u00farovni fotbalov\u00fdch fanou\u0161k\u016f. P\u0159esto i\u00a0ty mohou nad\u011blat vr\u00e1sky, pokud z\u016fstanou ti\u0161e \u010d\u00edhat na dn\u011b Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu.<\/p>\n V oblasti americk\u00e9ho protiponorkov\u00e9ho boje se pak situace m\u00e1 zhruba n\u00e1sledovn\u011b: Mimo jin\u00e9 jde o\u00a0vpravd\u011b komickou sou\u010d\u00e1st sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku na Gr\u00f3nsko. Kdyby se ho Evropa rozhodla br\u00e1nit (co\u017e by se sice nestalo, proto\u017ee \u201eEvropa\u201c), narazily by Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty na tvrdou realitu: evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty toti\u017e vyr\u00e1b\u011bj\u00ed suver\u00e9nn\u011b nejlep\u0161\u00ed ponorky na sv\u011bt\u011b. Ostatn\u011b USA se musely s\u00a0N\u011bmci a\u00a0Italy v\u00fdslovn\u011b dohodnout, aby sv\u00e9 \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00e9 stroje Type-212A rad\u011bji v\u016fbec neexportovali. Jedinou sou\u010dasnou americkou obranou proti modern\u00edm ponork\u00e1m je tak v\u00a0podstat\u011b jen telefon\u00e1t do Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ee, \u0158\u00edma \u010di Lond\u00fdna s\u00a0 prosbou, aby jim zap\u016fj\u010dili p\u00e1r protiponorkov\u00fdch fregat.<\/p>\n Nemysl\u00edm si, \u017ee by se USA v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b konfliktu s\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem vylo\u017een\u011b t\u0159\u00e1sly strachy p\u0159ed rusk\u00fdmi ponorkami, ale jejich p\u0159\u00edtomnost je nepochybn\u011b nut\u00ed k\u00a0nemal\u00e9 taktick\u00e9 kreativit\u011b. Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00a0moment\u011b, kdy by m\u011bly sv\u00e1 plavidla skute\u010dn\u011b vyslat skrze \u00fazk\u00e9 hrdlo Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu.<\/p>\n Boj v\u00a0pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch vod\u00e1ch nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 sranda<\/p>\n N\u011bmeck\u00fd ministr obrany se ned\u00e1vno \u0159e\u010dnicky t\u00e1zal: \u201eK \u010demu by tam bylo t\u011bch p\u00e1r n\u011bmeck\u00fdch fregat a\u00a0korvet?\u201c Odpov\u011b\u010f je p\u0159itom pro americk\u00e9 strat\u00e9gy a\u017e bolestn\u011b z\u0159ejm\u00e1. Fregaty t\u0159\u00eddy Sachsen a\u00a0Brandenburg disponuj\u00ed schopnost\u00ed prostorov\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany (Sachsen si porad\u00ed i\u00a0s balistick\u00fdmi raketami), maj\u00ed ponor pouh\u00fdch \u0161est metr\u016f\u00a0\u2013 co\u017e je d\u011bdictv\u00ed operac\u00ed v\u00a0m\u011blk\u00e9m Baltu\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0\u0161pi\u010dkov\u00e9 sonary pro pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed oblasti. Korvety Braunschweig pak s\u00a0ponorem pouh\u00fdch 3,5\u00a0metru, 42\u00a0st\u0159elami zem\u011b-vzduch a\u00a0prostorov\u00fdm radarem p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed ide\u00e1ln\u00ed plavidla pro Hormuz.<\/p>\n Velen\u00ed americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva by dnes sk\u00e1kalo radost\u00ed \u0161est metr\u016f vysoko, kdyby m\u011blo k\u00a0dispozici t\u0159in\u00e1ct takov\u00fdch plavidel, jak\u00fdmi disponuje N\u011bmecko. Kdy\u017e do po\u010dtu zahrneme i\u00a0naprosto tragickou t\u0159\u00eddu F125, tvo\u0159\u00ed on\u011bch n\u011bmeck\u00fdch \u201ep\u00e1r fregat a\u00a0korvet\u201c celou p\u011btinu po\u010dtu doprovodn\u00fdch lod\u00ed americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva. A\u00a0to mluv\u00edme jen o\u00a0Berl\u00ednu\u00a0\u2013 men\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty od Skandin\u00e1vie a\u017e po \u0158ecko maj\u00ed v\u00a0arzen\u00e1lu velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed podobn\u00fdch plavidel.<\/p>\n USA v\u00a0tuto chv\u00edli nedisponuj\u00ed prakticky ni\u010d\u00edm, co by mohly smyslupln\u011b nasadit do boje v\u00a0pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch vod\u00e1ch. Prov\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 torp\u00e9doborce t\u0159\u00eddy Arleigh Burke maj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00fd ponor a\u00a0jejich senzory jsou pro toto m\u011blk\u00e9 vody naprosto nevhodn\u00e9. Na \u201e\u0161pinavou pr\u00e1ci\u201c u\u00a0b\u0159ehu tu byla v\u017edycky Evropa. Vlastn\u00ed americk\u00fd pokus o\u00a0\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed situace toti\u017e skon\u010dil tot\u00e1ln\u00edm fiaskem jm\u00e9nem LCS (p\u0159ezd\u00edvan\u00fdm v\u00fdsti\u017en\u011b \u201eLittle Crappy Ship\u201c). Tato plavidla jsou natolik bezbrann\u00e1, \u017ee je americk\u00e9 velen\u00ed rad\u011bji z\u00a0konfliktu potupn\u011b st\u00e1hlo.<\/p>\n Skute\u010dnou katastrofu v\u0161ak p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed americk\u00e9 kapacity v\u00a0oblasti boje s\u00a0minami. Dosluhuj\u00edc\u00ed d\u0159ev\u011bn\u00e9 minolovky t\u0159\u00eddy Avenger m\u011bly skon\u010dit na kompostu u\u017e p\u0159ed dobr\u00fdmi deseti lety. Minolovn\u00fd modul pro (ji\u017e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9) \u201epseudokorvety\u201c LCS sice jako jedin\u00fd modul p\u0159e\u017eil rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 \u010distky, ale jeho re\u00e1ln\u00e1 funk\u010dnost je zat\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161e v\u00a0rovin\u011b zbo\u017en\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n D\u016fvod je op\u011bt prost\u00fd. Evropa v\u017edy po\u010d\u00edtala s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz (nyn\u00ed Rusko) v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b konfliktu okam\u017eit\u011b p\u0159istoup\u00ed k\u00a0masivn\u00edmu zaminov\u00e1n\u00ed okoln\u00edch vod, a\u00a0proto disponuje v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm po\u010dtem minolovek ne\u017e cel\u00fd zbytek sv\u011bta dohromady. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty tak nikdy nem\u011bly pot\u0159ebu v\u00fdrazn\u011bji \u0159e\u0161it vlastn\u00ed neschopnost v\u00a0minolovn\u00fdch operac\u00edch\u00a0\u2013 neschopnost, kterou jen prohloubilo zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed a\u00a0drastick\u00e9 osek\u00e1n\u00ed pl\u00e1novan\u00e9ho po\u010dtu plavidel LCS. Do\u0161lo to tak daleko, \u017ee USA maj\u00ed v\u00a0sou\u010dasnosti m\u00e9n\u011b lod\u00ed pro boj s\u00a0minami ne\u017e Belgie. Belgie!<\/p>\n Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty tak disponuj\u00ed pouze \u010dty\u0159mi lod\u011bmi, kter\u00e9 mohou do pr\u016flivu vyslat k\u00a0odstra\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed min, dopln\u011bnou o\u00a0p\u00e1r prototypov\u00fdch modul\u016f pro ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00e9 LCS. S\u00a0takto \u017ealostn\u00fdm po\u010dtem plavidel by vy\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed oblasti trvalo dlouho. Nav\u00edc to st\u00e1le ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd probl\u00e9m: bez evropsk\u00e9 asistence je v\u00a0pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch vod\u00e1ch nem\u00e1 kdo chr\u00e1nit. Teoreticky vzato jsou\u00a0\u2013 na rozd\u00edl od st\u00edhac\u00edch bombard\u00e9r\u016f, leteck\u00fdch tanker\u016f \u010di protiponorkov\u00fdch plavidel\u00a0\u2013 pro boj v\u00a0pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch vod\u00e1ch a\u00a0minolovn\u00e9 operace relativn\u011b solidn\u011b vybaveni asij\u0161t\u00ed spojenci USA. V\u00a0tomto \u00fazk\u00e9m segmentu by tedy pomoc z\u00a0Evropy mohla suplovat Asie.<\/p>\n Podpora nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1<\/p>\n Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b plat\u00ed, \u017ee seznam oblast\u00ed, v\u00a0nich\u017e jsou na sob\u011b Evropa a\u00a0USA vojensky, zpravodajsky a\u00a0pr\u016fmyslov\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e9, by vydal na s\u00e9rii \u010dl\u00e1nk\u016f, kter\u00e1 by si po\u010dtem epizod nezadala ani se seri\u00e1lem Ulice. Zde jsem se proto omezil pouze na body kritick\u00e9 pro sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu. O\u00a0\u010dem se v\u0161ak v\u00a0m\u00e9di\u00edch mluv\u00ed jen m\u00e1lokdy, je ona masivn\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 podpora, kterou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty od Evropy stabiln\u011b dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed.<\/p>\n Evropa toti\u017e \u010dasto supluje roli americk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil, \u010d\u00edm\u017e jim uvol\u0148uje ruce pro operace v\u00a0jin\u00fdch koutech sv\u011bta. Doned\u00e1vna se nap\u0159\u00edklad evropsk\u00e1 plavidla pod\u00edlela na pot\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed drogov\u00e9 kriminality v\u00a0Karibiku. Tato spolupr\u00e1ce v\u0161ak vzala zasv\u00e9 pot\u00e9, co po nich Donald Trump za\u010dal vy\u017eadovat asistenci p\u0159i sv\u00fdch\u00a0\u2013 diplomaticky \u0159e\u010deno\u00a0\u2013 pr\u00e1vn\u011b p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm sporn\u00fdch akc\u00edch.<\/p>\n Dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed polo\u017ekou na seznamu je doprovod americk\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch lod\u00ed p\u0159i rutinn\u00edch p\u0159esunech, co\u017e citeln\u011b odleh\u010duje pr\u00e1ci americk\u00fdm doprovodn\u00fdm flotil\u00e1m. Zapom\u00ednat nesm\u00edme ani na soustavn\u00e9 sledov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch ponorek a\u00a0kontrolu strategick\u00e9ho koridoru GIUK gap (tedy pr\u016fliv\u016f mezi Gr\u00f3nskem, Islandem a\u00a0Brit\u00e1ni\u00ed)\u00a0\u2013 co\u017e je pr\u00e1ce, kterou za Ameri\u010dany op\u011bt z\u00a0velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti \u201eodd\u0159ou\u201c Evropan\u00e9. K\u00a0tomu si p\u0159ipo\u010dt\u011bte nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed policejn\u00ed a\u00a0protipir\u00e1tsk\u00e9 operace, nap\u0159\u00edklad ty u\u00a0b\u0159eh\u016f Som\u00e1lska atd.<\/p>\n A nez\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1me jen u\u00a0n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva. Evropa disponuje druhou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed flotilou leteck\u00fdch tanker\u016f na sv\u011bt\u011b a\u00a0ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0tou americkou je v\u00fdrazn\u011b modern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed (slovem v\u00fdrazn\u011b zde mysl\u00edme rozd\u00edl v\u00a0pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9m v\u011bku 14\u00a0vs 52\u00a0let). Evropan\u00e9 p\u0159itom tyto stroje nemus\u00ed pos\u00edlat p\u0159\u00edmo do boje; sta\u010d\u00ed, kdy\u017e je Ameri\u010dan\u016fm zap\u016fj\u010d\u00ed pro operace v\u00a0t\u00fdlu\u00a0\u2013 co\u017e v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ta\u017een\u00ed znamen\u00e1 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm logistick\u00e9 z\u00e1zem\u00ed v\u00a0N\u011bmecku.<\/p>\n \u0158ada b\u00fdval\u00fdch koloni\u00e1ln\u00edch mocnost\u00ed si po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b st\u00e1le dr\u017e\u00ed st\u0159\u00edpky sv\u00fdch n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00edch imp\u00e9ri\u00ed. Pro americkou logistiku je to v\u0161ak dar z\u00a0nebes: z\u00a0t\u00e9to \u201enostalgie\u201c toti\u017e plyne existence strategicky rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch v\u00fdzv\u011bdn\u00fdch stanic, evropsk\u00fdch hl\u00eddkov\u00fdch lod\u00ed \u010di pr\u016fzkumn\u00fdch letoun\u016f. Nav\u00edc Brit\u00e1nie a\u00a0Francie disponuj\u00ed v\u00a0Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu i\u00a0v Asii kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi z\u00e1kladnami.<\/p>\n Na prvn\u00ed pohled to vypad\u00e1 jako v\u00fd\u010det nepodstatn\u00fdch drobnost\u00ed\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0v podstat\u011b jimi i\u00a0jsou. Jenom\u017ee v\u00a0sou\u010dtu jich je tak neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed, \u017ee by Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 museli sv\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly prakticky zdvojn\u00e1sobit, aby dok\u00e1zali v\u0161echna tato m\u00edsta a\u00a0operace uhl\u00eddat vlastn\u00edmi silami. Evropa tyto \u00fakoly nav\u00edc \u010dasto prov\u00e1d\u00ed ze sv\u00e9ho \u201evlastn\u00edho\u201c \u00fazem\u00ed\u00a0\u2013 i\u00a0kdy\u017e uprost\u0159ed Tich\u00e9ho oce\u00e1nu. A\u00a0co se n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva t\u00fd\u010de, evropsk\u00e9 lod\u011b sice nemaj\u00ed na palub\u011b 64\u00a0st\u0159el Tomahawk, ale je jich dvakr\u00e1t v\u00edc.<\/p>\n
1) Fakticky jedin\u00e1 dostupn\u00e1 t\u0159\u00edda oce\u00e1nsk\u00fdch doprovodn\u00fdch plavidel\u00a0\u2013 torp\u00e9doborce Arleigh Burke\u00a0\u2013 je tak hlu\u010dn\u00e1 (pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed parn\u00ed turb\u00edny, co\u017e je akustick\u00fd ekvivalent fanou\u0161k\u016f Ban\u00edku), \u017ee lod\u011b svou vlastn\u00ed hlu\u010dnost\u00ed prakticky ohlu\u0161uj\u00ed sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed sonary.
2) Projekt protiponorkov\u00e9ho modulu pro ty katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed \u201epseudokorvety\u201c LCS byl p\u0159ed p\u00e1r lety po dvou dek\u00e1d\u00e1ch marn\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje definitivn\u011b zru\u0161en.
3) B\u00fdval\u00fd moder\u00e1tor televize Fox (a sou\u010dasn\u00fd ministr obrany) p\u0159ed rokem zru\u0161il projekt nov\u00fdch protiponorkov\u00fdch fregat. Kdy\u017e se mu tehdej\u0161\u00ed velitelka n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva pokusila vysv\u011btlit, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty skute\u010dn\u011b pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed aspo\u0148 n\u011bco pro boj s\u00a0modern\u00edmi ponorkami, byla za tento \u201ewoke\u201c n\u00e1zor okam\u017eit\u011b vyhozena.
4) Projekt nov\u00e9 generace torp\u00e9doborc\u016f (kter\u00e9 m\u011bly disponovat i\u00a0tich\u00fdm pohonem vhodn\u00fdm pro lov ponorek) byl zru\u0161en ve prosp\u011bch bitevn\u00edch lod\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddy Trump. Nov\u011b pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 fregaty jsou pak v\u00a0podstat\u011b jen upraven\u00e9 \u010dluny pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed str\u00e1\u017ee\u00a0\u2013 a\u00a0pochopiteln\u011b nemaj\u00ed sonar.<\/p>\n